Thursday, March 8, 2012 - 6:19 AM

Here is the latest from Joel Wing.
But General James Mattis, the head of Centcom, appeared last optimistic in his testimony to the Senate Armed Services Committee on Tuesday. Asked by Sen. John McCain if al Qaeda is making a comeback in Iraq, Mattis said, "Yes, sir, notably in the western Iraq area. But the threat is extending into Baghdad." Returning to the subject later in the hearing, he added, "It's not significant. It won't threaten the government. It'll kill a lot of innocent people."
Mattis also sounded quite dovish on Iran. "…[T]he best we can do…is to delay them. Only the Iranian people can stop this program."
I was also struck that General Dempsey, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs, in his own Senate testimony yesterday commented that Syria's air defense system is "approximately five times" more sophisticated than those NATO aircraft faced in Libya.
Is that called burying the lede?
Only the Iranian people can stop the Iranian nuclear programme? I'm assuming that the good General means a presumed nuclear weapons programme rather than a nuclear programme with NPT signatory status and IAEA monitoring. But these days one never knows, given that every touted nuclear advance is spoken with 'weapon' in the same phrase. One can only assume that the conventional wisdom that Iranians generally don't want to shut down the nuclear programme is false. Or, probably more accurately, this is what the mini-shah and his lick-spittles are wont to whisper in Washington. I suspect they are rooting for Rick Sanctimonious, given his relationship with the Ledeen family. There is, though, a more sinister interpretation which is more in keeping with the Mattis persona. Remember Iraq, where it was argued that as Iraqis didn't try hard enough to oust Saddam that meant that they could be 'punished' through sanctions and the occasional volley of cruise missiles?
The Syrian air defence is probably still in a time warp of at least 25 years. What this particular General is probably saying is that it's a damn stupid waste of time to let the UK and France take the 'lead.' That was true for Libya too, of course. The UK and France still believe that they 'won' there without much support from Uncle Sam. Damn if I know why, but there it is.
A for Iraq, wasn't there a small boom a few days ago in Tel Afar? That signal Success Story of yesteryear?
What Gen. Dempsey testified could/should be the lede. As it was, the lede was calling Iran a "rational actor" and getting swatted at from the right. But put them together and you have this lede: JCS Chairman tempers calls for Iran, Syria intervention.
"A person who advocates peace, conciliation, or negotiation in preference to confrontation or armed conflict."
Thank God for the anti-Yes Man.
It seems to me doubtful that senior French and British military officers do not recognize the key facilitating role of U.S. forces. In particular British officers are on the record lamenting the degredation of their capabilities. DILNIR, I don't see why Americans feel the need to be constantly praised? We certainly don't feel compelled to at times even to recognize allies contributions let alone praise them?
Ah, military officers, perhaps. They may indeed recognise and be grateful for the role of US forces in the Libyan farce. But certainly not the political hacks, bought-and-paid-for journalists and divers other rubbish. I can't think of a single story or column in UK on-line papers that did not extol Cameron and denigrate Obama. The word often seen was 'pusillanimous.' Hardly high praise. I don't recall seeing French TV mentioning either Obama OR Cameron. Heck, the name of the comical Bernard-Henri Levy was invoked more often than that of Emperor of all the French, Sarko I. Nobody expects Americans to want praise all the time. However, the misguided use of pusillaminous is going a trifle overboard.
I'd better add that not only do I not live in the US but I'm not a US citizen.
You don't live in the U. S. of A? Who'd a thunk it. . .pusillaminous indeed. It is kind of like being handed a rope by Color Sergeant Spot of the 42nd Commando and told to abseil. I thought they wanted me to piss up the damn thing, until someone told me it meant repelling down it. : )
As per Gen. Dempsy's remarks. . .
on Capital Hill yesterday: basically, Syria’s radar and associated air defense systems are older (although capable) Russian and former Warsaw Pact vintage, that Israel hasn’t seen any problem with defeating by combat electronic techniques. Although Iran may have delivered something a bit more sophisticated since the IAF’s last combat penetration into Syria?
My opinion is that U.S. wouldn't have that much of a problem with defeating Syria’s anti-air threat, although it is manned by an actual trained army, as opposed to mostly mercenaries, with dubious technical training, as was the case in Libya. . .In essence, I guess saying Syria's air-defense is five times greater than Libya's is technically correct. . .But the statement is also open to interpretation.
Anyway, the good General may be running interference against those well known senators that never found an intervention they didn't like?
Of possible note, I did see a recent video in Arabic of a delivery of weapons and vehicles being flown into a Syrian airport I recognized as the one outside the town of Hamah. My recollection is that the Syrian army generally move their stuff via surface roads. . .one might wonder about Syrian military convoy security these days.
I do believe during the YK War Israel lost in the neighborhood of 40 aircraft to Syrian AA. Never state that electronic warfare defeats ground assets. Its almost more an art than science--art being the ingress patterns of the attacking aircraft. Besides, these dudes can put thousands of unguided BB's in the air that EW doesn't touch.
Recent talk seems to be the needed elimination of the SAM package and the inherent and expected loss of innocents that surround the ground placement of AA radars and shooters.
Mr. McCain, of all people, knows this well.
Kill 'em all and Allah sorts out the mess? Hardly a viable strategy for benevolent America.
There have been a lot of improvements since 1973 within the IAF, but your point isn't lost on me. But again, since then, the IAF haven't found penetrating Syrian air space too daunting, although admittedly, it hasn't been a sustained air campaign, only selected targets.
Toujours Fidele
Do attack planners know enough to use misdirection? Like getting all the radars, missiles, and guns looking "one way", and then sending planes "the other way"? Sort of like complicated wack-a-mole? Or do they just blow everything up and jam the rest?
McCain & TYRTAIOS vs Annan: I'm with Annan
McCain to Mattis: Is al-Qaeda popping up in Iraq again? Mattis: Yes.
Volumes are unspoken in this brief exchange. Let's recall there was no al-Qaeda contact with Iraq when president Bush decided to invade that nation, although the president and his close bumblers repeatedly claimed otherwise. After the invasion & occupation, a Jordanian with keen publicity ambitions later announced the presence of a body named al-Qaeda in Iraq that greatly cheered the Bush clique and greatly astonished al-Qaeda itself.
This week, packing his bags to visit Syria on behalf of both the UN and the Arab League, diplomat Kofi Annan takes a moment to warn against any outside military help to Syria on the ground that this would make things worse. You only have to look, he says, nearby to see how much worse. Guess who's nearby to Syria. Yep. Iraq. But TYRTAIOS, toujours facile, suggests that another neighbor could consider military action -- admittedly, not help, exactly -- in Syria in good heart and with every hope for success. I remain with Annan.
PS I don't really believe general Mattis has been last optimistic before the senate. Less optimistic, yes.
No KUNINO, I suggested nothing
No KUNINO, I suggested nothing - You on the other hand inferred I did. Incidentally, feel free to address me directly, you needn't refer to me in the 3rd person like some subordinates do to seniors. . .wait, hold that thought. . .continue to refer to me in the 3rd person. : )
So we just finished our capstone exercise here at Carlisle. Students played the roles from COCOM command and staff all the way up to CJCS and deputies to DoS, OSD, USAID, and National Security principals. The world was exploding with problems all over the place.
We tried to employ the national elements of power Diplomatic, Information, Military, and Economic (M)...but the scenario always pushed us back towards M. There's some definite negative training in that. No such thing as declaring peace and going home early. Oh well.
They never let you maneuver around the flank to kill the OPFOR -- they want the direct confrontation, and as an unintended consequence allow creative thinking to atrophy.
LAST NIGHT, I HAD ALREADY CRITICIZED DEMPSEY
"On another note; what's with Dempsey and his holding up the nasty spectre of Syrian air defenses? First, the Israelis were able to neutralize a sector and get in and out. Second, how did he think we were going to penetrate the USSR? The "packages" we sent over Iraq is the same tactic we would use along with some new ones. Same for Iran. Does he think that we are only capable of attacking the Libyas of the world? Who briefs this guy and writes his stuff? However, I am not advocating either. Of course, a stray cruise missile or fifty for Syrian artillery and armor would not be such a bad idea."
Whoever prepares his testimony isn't very bright and General Dempsey mocks his office with such a statement. If it were a cake walk, we wouldn't be paying the flyboys the big bucks.
You know you've been in a war too long when....
...a person can say, """It's not significant..."" and, ""It'll kill a lot of innocent people"" in reference to the same thing.
I suppose everybody concerned has "killed a lot of people" so far to no productive end, so a bunch more I suppose don't really change the fundamentals. But its still disillusioning.
But remember that you're quoting Gen. Mattis, who has a reputation for celebrating war and killing. You might say that he's the modern day Patton.
I disagree with you. First, America's foreign policy or policies are so vague, I am not sure what they are. I agree with supporting Israel. I don't agree with sucking up to Iran and the muslim crazies who run the country..
"Is rio orange war always comparateur forfait bloque inevitable ?"
MaximB
I'm assuming that the good General means a presumed nuclear weapons programme rather than a nuclear programme with NPT signatory status and IAEA monitoring. But these days one never knows, given that every womenrainboots touted nuclear advance is spoken with 'weapon' in the same phrase. One can only assume that the conventional wisdom that Iranians generally don't want to shut down the nuclear programme is false. Or, probably more accurately, this is what the mini-shah and his lick-spittles are wont to whisper in Washington.
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