But don't be counting your chickens quite yet. John McCreary writes in NightWatch that, "Expect more Iranian support for Damascus and more Iranian Islamic Republican Guard Corps personnel to show up in Syria and in southern Lebanon. The Iranians do not appear ready to abandon Syria yet."
Meanwhile, Egypt looks like it might be moving into Phase II of its revolution.
Thomas E. Ricks covered the U.S. military for the Washington Post from 2000 through 2008.