Wednesday, January 4, 2012 - 10:17 AM

By "A. J.O."
Best Defense department of strategic affairs
This decade of military strategy was not our finest. Many prayed for a deus ex machina to save Iraq, and then Afghanistan, and the same general was required for both. Either this is a sign that the Army can produce one really effective general per generation, or this is a warning that the army's bench of qualified generals is dangerously short. As current wars wind down, we should ask whether the officer corps has kept pace with changing warfare.
The shortage of prepared generals is a lagging indicator of the misalignment between the demands of strategy and those of a general's career. With few exceptions, four-stars are selected from a small pool of successful maneuver brigade commanders. The only way to make it into this pool is to command maneuver companies and battalions. By the eighth year of an officer cohort's service, the Army de facto eliminates 90% of officers from consideration for strategic leadership, including 100% of female officers. This would be acceptable if the requirements of junior maneuver officers aligned with those of senior leaders, but the Army's requirements for maneuver officers are heavier on tactics than on strategy, which makes sense up until battalion commander. And then it doesn't. Because being a maneuver officer is a de facto requirement of strategic leadership, graduating three months of Ranger school increases one's chances of becoming a strategic leader far more than does five years of doctoral education.
A diversity of backgrounds in senior leadership would combat group-think and increase options for new leaders. It's too bad there's not a group of officers who've had the time to devote to strategic studies because they've been barred from maneuver branches.
But wait -- there is! Female officers tend to have spent disproportionate time on strategic issues, because they are excluded from most tactical jobs. In a post littered with generalizations, here's the biggest: female officers tend to be more interested in enhancing their strategic skills, because they know that their chances of making brigade command are slim, division command microscopic, and chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff laughable. So why not do a stint as a speechwriter, get a PhD, or spend time in unconventional but challenging jobs? Despite these experiences, women currently play only supporting roles in strategy-advising and writing for senior generals. In future promotions, the army should consider non-maneuver officers, including women, for strategic leadership.
The author is a female Army officer who served with a combat unit in Afghanistan.
The author makes a good point and I'm tempted to agree with her, though I'd like to see some sources that support the claim that "female officers tend to be more interested in enhancing their strategic skills." If all we're using is personal experience, then I'd like to point out that I haven't seen a single female officer who plays Risk as much as I do.
Playing a board game is not indicative of strategic planning. Men tend towards linear thinking and direct correlation. Since this path is non- productive for women in American society, due to cultural bias and discrimination, holistic long range thinking, with multiple threads and choices are demanded for any woman to survive.
Even the denigrated 'homemaker' has to cover several strategic and tactical probabilities at once.
The 'traditional' role, which only a tiny percentage of all American woman actually perform, demands long term strategic thinking way beyond the confines of a game. "Find a man to support you and marry you" has been pushed as a woman's goal. How more long range can you get? The alternatives are presented at an early age, making strategic thinking critical for women.
White men, who do not have legal and social barriers to advance, are encouraged to 'choose' a profession and follow it. Many options may encourage some strategic thinking, but once chosen, the need to consider alternative courses is not a survival skill. Left brain, linear thinking based on written information has encouraged hierarchical, conformist behavior. The GOP has taken this to its logical, but destructive conclusion. A lack of ability to think outside the box is making them toxic.
I retired as a Major from the Air Force. The officers I dealt with, particularly the fighter pilots, had little or no strategic concept, in part because they are segregated from the daily functioning of the entire system.
Most of their strategic thinking was focused on continuing to be able to wear a flight suit to work. Personal reward and keeping the boss happy were the main motivators.
The pressure to become a non-smoking, non-drinking force might have been good tactically, but strategically, placing forces in war zones with no way to turn off the horror leads to massive PTSD. Which is what we'll be dealing with for the next 25 years.
I recommend Leonard Schlain's "The Alphabet versus the Goddess" which deals with the effect of communication by images instead of words.
There is an issue, but it is not really about gender
"So why not do a stint as a speechwriter, get a PhD, or spend time in unconventional but challenging jobs?"
Maybe more female officers (in terms of percentage -- not raw numbers) choose to pursue these paths than men, but that does not imply -- as a "gender" -- they are better at it.
I know a lot of female officers whose choice to pursue the academic path was greatly influenced by the fact it allowed them lots of flexibility and time off to have children -- not because they didn't think they could be "commanders." Army lore is that the USMA hospital has the highest birth rate per capita of any Army facility -- and that is a feat.
You will find general agreement that the path for selecting general officers has a lot of flaws, regardless of gender. You may find a harder time getting people to agree that women in the Army are less prone to: being short-sighted, currying favor from their superiors, and being abusive/toxic to subordinates/peers (especially their female subordinates/peers.)
It is certainly debatable whether being an outstanding battalion or brigade commander qualifies you to be a general officer (strategic leader.) But there is plenty of experience that indicates that smart, energetic, thinking leaders will excel at anything. It is hard to imagine a brilliant, successful "strategic thinker" being a failure (or even mediocre) at commanding a BN or BCT.
And if they are, there are opportunities for strategic thinking -- even "defense" thinking -- outside the Army.
The bigger question is: is our system putting smart, energetic, thinking leaders into brigade command?
Or are too many risk averse, ticket punching, "yes" men (and "yes" women is CS/CSS brigades) making the cut? And why?
GEN Barbara Fast = Ruined MI by dropping standards so a generation of Bradley Manning's can get TS/SCI level jobs.
GEN Janis Karpinski = Abu Ghraib.
CSM Teresa King = Drinking Problem, Inappropriate Relationships, and her degrees that helped her get to her illustrious position came from diploma mills.
Not really helping females in the "we're ready to be strategic leaders department".
Don't forget Brigadier General Reynolds, OIC Parris Island-the word from those who've worked with her says she was mediocre throughout her career and a failure at recruiting-a career killer for male O's in the Marines, but no worries if you're a female.
I have personally never seen a female senior servicemember who hadn't ridden her second X-chromosome to the top, aided by healthy doses of backstabbing and water cooler politics. Not saying they don't exist-just saying I've never met one. Nobody whose opinion I trust and respect has ever told me they've met me one, either.
Ph.D.s are great-didn't Napoleon have one? I'd like to see how many of those are in sociology and other pseudosciences. And being a speechwriter along with other "unconventional jobs" (anybody want to guess whether this means serving on a Pentagon EO panel or HALOing into Baluchistan?) is an awesome qualification for strategic leadership.
It is only a military grown arrogant in its presumed superiority over all contenders which can play silly games like these. Everybody deserves a pony!
As an AF guy I cannot offer a lot of insight into the Army's issues. I would argue that female leaders at the high ecehlons in the AF are also relatively few and far between as well. There are very few career fields that ban women in the AF, with all pilot positions currently open to them. 8% of AF GOs are Women compared to roughly 6% in the Army. In reality you are only talking about a difference of about 6-7 positions. It is hard to believe that access to "combat arms" is the big discreminator here and not some sort of greater bias since women have full access to those fields in the AF. Of course it could also just be a numbers game........
http://www.militaryhomefront.dod.mil/12038/Project%20Documents/MilitaryHOMEFRONT/Reports/2010_Demographics_Report.pdf
Although it is true that all 'combat arms' positions are open to women in the Air Force, female fighter pilots entered the force only 15 years ago. At best, that first cohort are just reaching the point where they are meeting O-7 boards.
Most of the students in the War Colleges (sadly myself included, although I used to be a NTJ type) are ISTJs which means they are highly suited to running tactical operations which calls for methodical thinking and judging. There is a suggestion - and at least one paper we all read - that the skills needed at the strategic level are ENFP leaning....which means all of us are screwed. Old dogs, new tricks, etc.
Women, IIRC, are more likely to be NFP types than men are. So maybe the initial post has merit...if you think M-B is any different than a Horoscope that is. Me, I'm a Taurus with a bad moon rising.
I don't doubt that there are many women who would be successful at the strategic level than men. Perhaps more so. (There is research indicating that women make better investment bankers (on the whole) then men due to being more risk-averse (which leads to better outcomes in the long run in investment banking.) Risk-aversion may well be a benefit at the strategic level and a detriment at the tactical.
But the larger issue is with the path to GO...and I think the OP hit that on the head (regardless of gender).
Not a good decade for military tactics, also
Why just insult the national strategists? Beating the Iraqi army was hardly a test of strategy or tactics: this was the body punished savagely for its earlier invasion of Kuwait. Nobody believes America handed back a fixed Iraq last month, although sundry public officials claim that.
From Afghanistan we read the fruit of an Iraqesque struggle to present facts from there as symptomatic of American success. Their varying nature suggests their unreliability. (Truthiness.)
Blaming the generals for the mess is hardly fair. They were stuck with the demands of sundry ignorant but outspoken civilian employees of the Bush administration running amok at the wheels and levers of government, and the then-president's unthought through view of what declaring war means. The generals knew they didn't have enough time to plan the Iraq adventure appropriately, and it's disappointing that none resigned to make their clear, calm, professional views known. The war against Afghanistan seems to have been started by the US Navy and the CIA, and its sensible part ended -- in American victory -- a few weeks later with al Qaeda abandoning the field in desperation. Now there's a war against Pakistan, although undeclared -- but war is exactly what starts when foreigners attack an official post on any nation's border.
As Mr Ricks points out in another post today, those Bush civilian blabbermouths continue to think or hope their views about Iraq matter. None seem to include the profound apologies that would seem to be needed. Apology to America, as well as Iraq. Instead, they seem to want another Iraq invasion.
The article sounds like the "Study"
The article sounds like the "Study" done b the Diversity Committee, it's all about job opportunity, careers advancement, etc....
http://mldc.whs.mil/
RBB is pretty spot on I think and our system and the way it advances people to the top post is hardly indicative of who will be a good GO as Hunter and RBB both point out but the article comes out as "I want to be GO so I can make strategy!", no real points, citations or argued reasoning as to why women are advanced or not advanced or why they would somehow be better at it than men.
This is like the argument for not expelling so many CEOs... inavailability. I submit that those at the top simply do poorly sharing responsibility and limit their subordinates growth and impact - a failure to hand the reins downward stunts the growth of additional prospects. Great leaders are often not very good at sharing the things they truly covet. I have no trouble believing women would be as good as men and possibly better if they are getting different experiences. I also think that - Judgment comes from experience, which comes from bad judgment. Competence is forged.We may be producing a lot more great leaders - prove to me we are not holding them back :-) And certainly make sure women are considered also.
the Army de facto eliminates 90% of officers from consideration
I think I understand the gist of this argument, but I want to be clear, who are the 90% eliminated from consideration?
I'm one. And I'm really upset about it too!
But what I'm asking is what is the de-facto process by which Army officers are excluded from consideration for strategic command. Is it non-selection for a combat arms branch, non-selection for a company command, non-selection for Ranger School?
I won't even go down the male/female road. It's not relevant to the core argument.
I disagree, however, that tactical leadership experience does not prepare one at all for leadership at the strategic levels. Rather, it provides the foundation upon which successful strategic leaders are built. The best leaders at all levels know their craft and remember what it is like to be down on the pointy end of the spear. Yes, one must broaden him or herself with further education and experience, but do we really want to have a bunch of general officers who have never commanded a company, battalion, or brigade? Pretty arrogant to think you can make it on your superior intellect alone, I think.
We in fact have started to go down that road and what I see bothers me. 1/3 of this year's Army war College class have not commanded a battalion. The class has more Acquisition officers than Armor officers. In the late 90's the Army started managing officers by specialized career fields, some of which were not part of the traditional command track. The idea was to give those in specialized fields an increased opportunity for promotion and flag rank without having come up through the traditional company/battalion/brigade command gates. We now have a significant number of senior officers and even some general officers who have achieved their current rank without having commanded anything larger than a company. They have been off doing esoteric, deep-thinking jobs ever since. They are smart folks, no doubt, and their skills are needed, but in my experience, these folks are not always very streetwise. They simply have been away from the nuts and bolts of the tactical Army for too long. I don't think this is a healthy trend for our Army.
The recent case of MG Fuller, the CSTC-A/NTM-A officer relieved for publically venting his frustrations about our Afghan allies, is a good case in point. He was an Acquisition officer, no doubt smart and well educated in that field. He had, however, not been in a tactical leadership position since commanding a tank company in 1987. He had also not deployed during the last 10 years of recent unpleasantness. The Army assigns him to a very sensitive, stressful, and frustrating job in a combat zone. He was probably very good at the technical aspects of that job but clearly could not handle the frustration of dealing with the Afghan culture and environment. Clearly, not a savvy strategic leader, yet he fit the mold of education and assignment advocated by "A J.O."
@ A. JO
You must have been in a unit that worshipped at the Ranger Tab temple. It is unfortunate to think that female officers or any non-manuever officer is eliminated from Senior Leadership just by their branch. Aviation, Artillery, Air Defense Artillery, Engineers, Military Police, and many others all have female officers and GO positions for which they could potentially qualify.
Currently the CSA and G-8 are both non-manuever senior leaders. The CSA and VCSA are both non-tabbed. While Combat Arms officers do typically make up the majority of senior leaderships, I think the current generation of combat proven officers (our peers) could give a crap less what school leaders attended. Your frustration is evident, and clearly a representation of your experiences. However, is it the career niche (branch) trend availability that is limiting your or other non-tabbed, non-manuever officers ascension to higher ranks or is there a fundamental lack in capability and competence limiting you from reaching to the higher ranks?
I think you may want to consider doing some research and analysis of current and former trends tied to real data, before you rant on about being denied Command and or GO level experience. A diversity of backgrounds is critical to creating a functioning and forward thinking officer population. Strategic importance in thought and assignment is not always reached by having the “hot maneuver job” at the tactical level. There are a large number of General Officers who served as general-aide’s early in their career typically open to a wide variety of individuals. There are many capable women officers out there, and it’d be a shame if this was the sentiment, but I can see how many units at the tactical level foster that kind of climate.
The Army is always changing as are the roles for women. Women now serve in CSTs supporting SOCOM, who would have predicted that in 2001?
"A diversity of backgrounds is critical to creating a functioning and forward thinking officer population. Strategic importance in thought and assignment is not always reached by having the “hot maneuver job” at the tactical level."-dude, really? Diversity of backgrounds might help that officer who is at the head of things to get info from those people but it does not mean that same person should be in charge, it is also not our strength. A small request, please do not use "Officer" or "Military Report" communication styles, I ask only because I truly hate it. If you say "synergy" or "dynamic" or other such "doublespeak" in any post I will make a voodoo doll of you and stab it with pins on a regular basis. Also, just so we do not go down this road again, go read ALL the posts on another thread on this blog, it is up in the right hand corner, called "Can we let female soldiers in?", then come back and sling an answer on this topic in this thread. CSTs are a joke, as are are FETs. Please read ALL the posts though.
In the last couple months I've been in numerous discussions about the future of the military.
Overall, I think we're going to see some bad stuff happen regarding women in the military. The wars likely won't last long enough for any significant action to be taken by women in combat roles. We will not have an answer to their roles and capabilities in austere fighting environments.
My history is not perfect but I think that last substantial changes/movement for females in the military was during a "time of peace" when a garrison military ruled, etc. I believe the same will happen again as we transition to peace.
I believe we are about to see absolute devastation of our military if we stay on our current azimuth.
Some say we ruined things that last time we had major cuts because some of our best left. Now they say they won't replicate that because they are going to get rid of the "deadwood". I see some problems here that will affect women in the military and perhaps set back women for generations, though I hope not. But to be sure, women will not be the only losers here. We will all pay.
I believe that if we usher in the burning of the deadwood, that we are going to scare service members into sheer paranoia about their evaluations, where they stand with their commander that can perhaps throw them to the wolves, repeatedly counsel them for trivial things and then discharge for 'patterns'; that people will get labeled if they have a bad day at PT, so on and so on. It's going to create an environment where we eat our own to a far greater extent than we currently see. In the short term we are going to hurt morale, readiness and competency. In the long run we will ruin faith in the military institution and jeopardize winning a "real war".
Additionally, the 'deadwood' we get rid of is not going to be of any different percentage than it was before. Good people left for early retirement and they will do the same again. A young SGT that pisses off the CSM and gets thrown to the bottom of the OML, or fails a PT test or body fat because he got depressed for two months following the deaths of his comrades in combat or perhaps his father from a sudden illness, he'll get tossed in the burn pile. He's not deadwood, he's a guy that stumbled. He may have served five years, that's 60 months, and for 2 bad months...that's 1/30th of his time in the service, he'll get burned. Are we losing a good one or a bad one? Will he learn from his struggles and his pains and emerge a better person, a tougher person, and a better leader? Well, probably. That is the norm. People tend to grow when they endure a crisis. So, when this guys grows and emerges from this stumble, to find he's back on the block, what good have we done for him, his family, or the military? He goes to war for his country and his country won't even go to bat for him. We all know these stories are going to be out there. The true deadwood, the lowest of the low, is scarcely 1% of the military, and that's probably over estimating it. But we will likely start purging 5-10%, especially within the ground forces. There are going to be damn good people that get booted and some damn turds that get to stay. It will not be avoided by a rush to purge. Slow, meaningful, well thought out changes are the only answer.
The politicians, GO/FO and top enlisted echelons are to blame, as they were last time. They will announce cuts to everyone, everywhere, except among their own population.
So, how does this tie into women in the military? As we layer another coat of gold upon our gilded force, it will be the "perfumed princes and princesses" that get selected, promoted, and prosper. New "initiatives" will be brought forth to advance women in the service. We will say we are "growing" as a military and that our peace time footing is the perfect opportunity to begin this process. New experimentations will be done. More square pegs will be forced into round holes. There will be more "Fasts" and "Karpinskis". Beyond the male jackasses that will be despised, the females will be viewed in a darker way. People expect the good ole boys to be bad. They won't expect that with the females, not at first.
I'm all for females getting their shot just like the guys. I've met more than a couple females in the military that I deeply respect and value. But the standard is combat: fighting in it, leading others in it, training for it, preparing for it, and winning at it. Wars are won by people, people do the fighting, the fighting is done tactically, it is commanded at the tactical and operational levels and orchestrated at the strategic level. If we decide our strategists don't need to be competent in the tactical and operational levels, then so be it. But I don't see that happening. Our warriors must be thinkers and our thinkers must be warriors. Therefore competence all the way up must be attained. Any compromise will likely just create the noise before defeat.
So, when the damage is being done, when the scandals break, or subordinates' careers ruined, or when the next war breaks out - the gilding will get blown off like fine powder. The more a peace time, garrison-minded, deadwood burning mindset takes hold, the more superficial our military will become. Form will triumph over function. When we finally wake up and witness the disaster, people are going to get blamed. I think that if we artificially bolster women in the coming years during this next transition, that women will end up bearing an unfair and disproportionate amount of blame. It will set them back and it will then set the men back as well as there will be a backlash. I don't see that turning out well for anyone. And, it won't turn out well for our nation.
I believe this is going to come to fruition but I hope I'm wrong. I am not optimistic about where we are headed right now. I dearly love the military but I think we're headed in the wrong direction.
@Eric Stratton...rush chairmen...Damn glad to meet ya
Thanks for the comments. I am not synergizing anything, or getting after it, or taking a knee and facing out. but Dude...yes really.. There is a reason why any planning staff is not made up of the same group of individuals. It's why the MEDO and Chemo participate in MDMP even though they may participate very little.
@Charles- "The more a peace time, garrison-minded, deadwood burning mindset takes hold, the more superficial our military will become. Form will triumph over function. When we finally wake up and witness the disaster, people are going to get blamed."
Great Quote...one day soldiers will pay the price
Thanks for having a sense of humor, most people don't get the sarcasm...sniff....sniff..tears are in my eyes right now while I make the doll ;)
As for the post, I think I may have laid it out wrong, the guy at the top does not need to have a diverse background as long as he surrounds himself with people like that. If I am the guy doing the big picture strategy, I would attempt to surround myself with folks who do come from different areas but I do not think diversity in the sense that we need a mix of females, ethnic groups or religions or whatever is important and that is what I see pushed a lot. Not diversity of skill sets, that is a good thing, it is almost always a diversity based on gender & ethnicity.
Charles, females are only in the military in the first place due to mandated "goals", get rid of the quotas and then we can talk about fair chances. Get rid of the double standards and then we can talk about fair chances. Show me time in our history when we have done that and I will start opening my mind to it but I know we won't do that and hence the majority of the troops will suffer as a result.
I totally understand your comments and I'm not saying you are wrong. I believe some of the "women" stuff in the military was just PC, but some of it was simply giving them a chance.
There are two reasons I'm very open to the integration of women:
1. I would not appreciate it if I was part of the group that was being pushed away so I don't want to do that to someone or some other group.
2. The only way to resolve this issue is to set a realistic standard for performance - don't bring down the standard to meet the population, don't raise the standard just to remove a population. Let's figure out the right way to assess your capability to fight in combat. If you make that standard, you're in. If you don't, you can't play.
Not closing the door on the "women issue" is going simply open the door for other issues. Let's do the right way and be done with it - it's just too devisive to keep it lingering.
Also, I see many of the problems you see, but again, they won't go away until we do this thing correctly.
That's the problem though, there will be no "equal" shot. Not once in our history have we held a high standard for females in the military, never mind an equal one. The new Army PRT has no upper body strength in it and they will gender norm everything, it's the way it is. You are not going to have equal standards, you will have quotas (we already do) and there will be other problems from this as well. It is all about the PC silliness of our military. I have witnessed nothing that would give me confidence that they will treat this with the goal of being effective in combat. All of the training will be PC, the bar lowered more than it already is and readiness will suffer for it. We as well as many others have talked on here before about how weak our training has become in boot camp and other areas already, do you honestly think this will not hamper any effort to raise those standards? What do you think will happen with this? Let's not even go into the award inflation I have seen if a female so much as puts her finger on the trigger or gets shot at. Or the amazing speed with which many are promoted despite not being up to task (many men too), with many examples mentioned on this thread and blog. I think you have far more faith in our system than I do and I still have seen no precedent to make me feel as though I should. The articles by two females recently on this blog and the one at SWJ hardly boost my confidence that this will not turn into a boondoggle, quota driven, career driven, PC mess. Why would the 06's, GOs or Congress care though? After all, it's not them that will be out in the field, get hurt or killed over this policy. I think _B_ was right though, I just need to get ready to take a nice bite of the S%$t sandwich and learn to enjoy the taste. I can only hope to improve and change the area I am in, the military as a whole will just be that much more of a joke though.
I think the Army has recently given a lot of lip-service to the idea that for this "new kind of war" officers need to be well-rounded, have broadening assignments, think in more strategic terms, and not follow the traditional combat arms mold of company/battery command--->Staff---->S3---->XO--->BN CMD. But actually getting people to do that without fearing that they will no longer be competitive for BN CMD, and moving people (to include women) who don't fit the standard mold into strategic leadership positions is probably an entirely different thing altogether. Although, as others have noted, there are numerous men in very senior positions in the Army who are not infantryman, which signals something.
I would like to note that although I don't think being an expert on small unit infantry tactics makes or breaks anyone as a higher level leader, it is nonetheless important to have a good grasp on what is happening at the smallest level and why. I am an air defender, and gender issues are virtually nonexistent in my branch. Women have been doing everything (to exclude some SHORAD stuff) very well for a very long time. Ironically some might say, I had a female battalion commander with an extensive tactical background in air defense, who was replaced by a male who hadn't primarily served in ADA units until he was a senior captain/major. This indirectly led to a ton of pain regarding gunnery and the calendar, and numerous instances where things asked of the batteries made absolutely no sense. If we had been attacked, I would have felt much more comfortable with her experience--which is not to say that the other guy wasn't thoughtful and strategically minded and couldn't have made sound decisions--he just didn't seem to understand that he was more than a "manager" of all the tactically-minded people.
I am not holding that someone needs to be a maneuver guy to lead at a strategic level--I don't believe that. And I think there are plenty of female officers out there today with enough experience on the ground in Iraq and Afghanistan to understand the tactical level of war. But I do think that a good grasp on the lowest-level tactical reality of those under you is important, or at the very least, the ability to know what the weaknesses in your experience are and to work to combat them.
And seriously J.O., I know that some women love running around doing battle drills and crawling through the mud as MPs or engineers, but you would be a very happy air defender.
Traditional "maneuver" branches (IN, AR, AV, SF, FA): 15
Other branches: 19
Of note, 6 of those 19 were in Acquisition, 40, 59, and other non-traditional branches. There were two Engineers, including one female.
Only 11 of 34 were in the "male only" branches of IN, AR, and SF (there were no FA selectees.)
So the idea that women are being "shut out" of strategic level positions due to combat exclusion or lack of "brigade command" opportunities is a little overwrought.
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