Wednesday, September 14, 2011 - 12:10 PM

If you want a strong defense, shouldn't you vocally support ending the Bush tax cuts for the rich? Shouldn't you even be in the lead? I'm talking to you, AEI.
If you think the federal deficit is a problem, shouldn't you think the same? I mean in either event, spending cuts alone won't get you there.
So yes, I think President Obama is doing the right thing.
One must admire, sort of, the Third World cunning ...
... of those rich people and corporations (not really a distinction since it was decided corporations are people) to bribe political hopefuls into guaranteeing no tax raises by cash donations to help them win election to Congress.
Something similar has been in force in many other nations going back through millennia, and its arrival and entrenchment in America does not seem to have lifted the moral or financial tone of the republic. What it amounts to is financially penalizing poorer Americans -- the electors -- to protect the wealth of the richer ones. At the moment, particularly those poorer electors whose kids now can't go to public school five days a week, because their state and local authorities can't fund such services. Is a three-day school week bearable? I hope we never get to see.
Tom, the generic term ‘defense’ to cover all military spending is deceptive. This country spends more dollars on the military than the next nineteen largest nations (most of whom are our allies); in fact it’s 2010 share of total global military spending was 43%!
Color me curious about what all this spending has purchased at great expense for our country? Our gold plated armed forces (particularly the U. S. Army) seem incapable of bringing two low intensity campaigns against lightly armed insurgents to a conclusion after a decade of war and an unlimited expense account of more than $4 trillion dollars.
Our ‘defense’ spending in reality is not about the defense of our nation; rather it is about defending the defense industry’s insatiable appetite for hyper-expensive procurement schemes and a funding jobs program for a bloated officer corps.
This country should have a strong defense establishment to protect itself and its vital interests. However, what we have now is a military complex so out of proportion in size and expense that it actually intimidates and even warps sound judgment in it’s funding and use by the political establishment.
Give me some links to those numbers - not debating them - just need a link so I can write this damn paper.
So what if we spend more on Defense than everyone else? I think we should but how we spend it is what is wrong, don't you think? You made some great points in a prior discussion as did Ty about the incredible costs of the F-35B as just one example, we will need something like it (V/STOL) but not at 150 million a copy! Imagine if we spent that much more on training troops via ammo, range time, etc....?
As for the Counter-Insurgency Comment, they take at least 10 years on average unless you want us to become the ruthless monsters some posters have implied the military is on this blog. I am all for better DoD spending and wish we would go with cheaper, simpler large dollar items (tanks, planes, ships, etc....) but that is something that would also require a cultural change but not as much in the DoD as Congress. How many times has the DoD stated it did not want something and yet Congress got it anyway? The DoD is a lot like a sports team at a big college, it is going to ask for the world for funding and hope for the best but if the school keeps giving them the money they are going to spend it one way or the other and why wouldn't they?
Another point is that we spend 60% of the entire budget on entitlements and that is only going to rise up to an estimated 80% via the Congressional Budget Office, long term how do we solve that?
The Economist recently sought to answer the question, "Who are the world's biggest employers?"
(http://www.economist.com/blogs/dailychart/2011/09/employment)
Number one is U.S. DoD
Sure thing, here's one: http://www.globalissues.org/article/75/world-military-spending#WorldMilitarySpending
and another: http://www.sipri.org/research/armaments/milex/factsheet2010
and another: http://www.economist.com/blogs/dailychart/2011/06/military-spending
These seem to be all in roughly the same ballpark though there is no way of telling whether they include the intelligence services or not.
ERIC, I have no problem with the US spending more on the military than do other nations. But that spending has to be realistically balanced with other needs in our society. It also has to be structured around the defense of our vital interests and not speculative wars of choice.
Entitlements are not going away irrespective who controls the White House and Congress. Fortunately, SS is readily fixable by removing the payroll cap, tweaking eligibility and means testing. Medicare is vastly more difficult to repair (unless doctors, hospitals and the drug industry are forcibly coerced) and is not going away either no matter what the Tea Party would wish. The mass constituencies of these entitlement programs make the constituency for military spending look like pikers in comparison.
The American population is aging and it is becoming increasingly more difficult to sell the public on the idea that we spend money on the military and poorly conceived wars at the expense of civilian expectations and needs. This is particularly true when we conduct expensive wars that contribute little to ‘real’ national security or have an identifiable strategic rational that the public comprehends and supports.
With a sick economy that is in ‘relative’ decline and a population unwilling to tax itself to pay for those things they want something has to give. Congress is the prime offender in this situation but the military also must share the blame.
Firstly, the US military has a tendency to promise more than they can deliver. This is particularly true regarding their performance in asymmetrical wars and secondly, for their obsession with big-ticket gold plated procurement programs at the expense of troop training, readiness, support and more rationally price weapons systems.
Lastly, the American public does not have the unity, stamina and will power for expensive long-term inconclusive wars, which are impossible to conclude within a reasonable time frame by their measure not the military’s measure. Even John McCain this week recognized that fact in his public statements.
What the US public will support is a very powerful US military that is fiscally sustainable and used for purposes they can readily relate to. Unless, invaded by Martians they will NOT give up their entitlements (reform them yes) in order placate the military’s desire for a blank checkbook and Congress’s desire to pork barrel the defense budget for their own selfish motives.
INTELLIGENCE LINE ITEMS IN DOD BUDGET
Of course their budgets are buried there. There are ways to guesstimate some of them, but it was allot of work when I was an editor in a previous life.
You can be assured that "black" programs are in their. I think some of the NSA and NRO budget items are more easily spotted. When NASA launches a spy satellite, whose budget is that in? {;*))
Still, what's $10 billion here or there?
JPWREL,
Entitlements need to change, radically, even if the people do not like it or we as a country will be done for, say what you want about military spending but it is discretionary, entitlements are not. Think about it, before the health care bill was passed the CBO estimates that entitlements will be 80% of the entire Federal Budget by 2020, what do you think it will be if we go Gov't Program Single Payer? It has to change or the seniors of today are screwing the kids over.
"Entitlements are not going away irrespective who controls the White House and Congress. Fortunately, SS is readily fixable by removing the payroll cap, tweaking eligibility and means testing."-
I do not want SS to go away but if it keeps on it's current course it will go away. They need to get it off it's current gov't burden, put it in the market and base what you can choose for investments on what the Thrift Savings Program (TSP) offers. Means testing is IMO terribly unfair, a private SS system that is managed by the gov't but the money is invested in private accounts with only a re-balanced target fund, a Treasury Fund or Fixed Income Fund to pick from would give those people when they retire more money, prevent Congress from borrowing out of it, increase our GDP as much as 2% (via "The Economist" estimate), allow you to leave it to someone, donate it, whatever and would take the burden off the gov't. IT needs to be done and those who want to keep it in it's current form are acting in a selfish manner and not thinking long term.
"Medicare is vastly more difficult to repair (unless doctors, hospitals and the drug industry are forcibly coerced) and is not going away either no matter what the Tea Party would wish. The mass constituencies of these entitlement programs make the constituency for military spending look like pikers in comparison."-
I agree with you on this, it will be hard to fix but I think it can be fixed, they could save an estimated 20% a year alone if they reformed the administrative costs and who knows how much the ripple effects of savings would have if we had tort reform?
"The American population is aging and it is becoming increasingly more difficult to sell the public on the idea that we spend money on the military and poorly conceived wars at the expense of civilian expectations and needs. This is particularly true when we conduct expensive wars that contribute little to ‘real’ national security or have an identifiable strategic rational that the public comprehends and supports."-
That is fine and dandy when talking about Iraq, not Afghanistan and while agree we need to radically overhaul the DoD and it's spending (except for us of course ;) ) Afghanistan is not just about Afghanistan, Pakistan and Afghanistan's location play a big part in that conflict.
"With a sick economy that is in ‘relative’ decline and a population unwilling to tax itself to pay for those things they want something has to give. Congress is the prime offender in this situation but the military also must share the blame."-
The military does what it is told, the only thing they should share the blame for is the obvious corruption that goes on at the highest levels of the Pentagon with the seamless transfer from Military Retirement to working for a Defense Company.
"Firstly, the US military has a tendency to promise more than they can deliver. This is particularly true regarding their performance in asymmetrical wars and secondly, for their obsession with big-ticket gold plated procurement programs at the expense of troop training, readiness, support and more rationally price weapons systems."-
Ehhh...not so sure about making a promise they cannot deliver on, most fought against OIF behind closed doors, Rummy fired a bunch, the threat is bigger than you see on the news and as for performance, at the tactical level it has been great it has been at the Strategic Level where the slips up have occurred, I would look to our civilian leadership to take a seat that table of blame right with us.
"What the US public will support is a very powerful US military that is fiscally sustainable and used for purposes they can readily relate to. Unless, invaded by Martians they will NOT give up their entitlements (reform them yes) in order placate the military’s desire for a blank checkbook and Congress’s desire to pork barrel the defense budget for their own selfish motives."-
I agree with you, DoD needs to change but that is easy, getting Congress to change is the hard part.
I'm not sure the CBO projects entitlements to be 80% of the federal budget by 2020.
As I read the Office's budget documents this month, it is projecting that federal debt held by the public could reach 80% of GDP if certain policies are continued. These policies include not imposing cuts in Medicare physician reimbursement now scheduled for the end of this year under current law, and extending income tax rate reductions enacted in 2001 and 2003 beyond their current expiration dates.
CBO is very clear that entitlement spending is the single biggest category of expense in the federal budget now, and will become relatively more important as time goes by, the population ages, and health care costs continue to increase. The Obama administration (correctly) identified this last factor as the most important to our long-term budgetary future and sought to address it in the 2009 health care reform legislation, through steps that will not be fully implemented until 2014. Unhappily, while administrative costs are significant in the American health care system, meaningful reductions in the rate of federal outlays will require major substantive changes both in the kind of health care delivered to seniors and in the lifestyles of Americans in general.
As far as military reform is concerned: a) it is not easy, not even relative to entitlements. b) It is going to require some hard choices about subjects that the military community would rather not talk about -- one of these is the cost of health care provided to service personnel and their families. c) It is going to require we place a time limit on efforts to redeem the mistakes of the Bush administration and the military's leadership in Afghanistan particularly. d) It is going to require a smaller Army and Marine Corps, a realistic assessment as to the naval and air assets required to preserve freedom of navigation in the Western Pacific, and subject to that assessment a increase in naval strength for that purpose and reductions in resources devoted to other purposes.
Finally, military reform and rationalization is necessary for other than fiscal reasons as well. I regret to note the conceit evident on the part of the military community, after nearly 10 years fighting two wars that have not been won, that the American military has never been stronger, is better in every way than it was ten years ago, and is building on a record of success. Also that the military only does what it is told, and every... suboptimal successful outcome is the civilians' fault.
Very likely, it is only the low regard in which so many other American public institutions are held that has sustained the reverence for the military expressed by public officials and the media. Expect that reverence to be temporary if the military fights to maintain the increased budgetary resources devoted to it by the last administration.
Actually, the GAO also estimates it to be even more than 80% of every federal dollar by 2020, that is in Federal Revenue though, ie; taxes, not GDP, big difference.
As for these comments-
"Finally, military reform and rationalization is necessary for other than fiscal reasons as well. I regret to note the conceit evident on the part of the military community, after nearly 10 years fighting two wars that have not been won"-
Who is going to sign the peace treaty on these exactly? Tell me where at the tactical level we are losing? Insurgency/Counter-Insurgency last an average of at least 10 years and the goal is to get the insurgents to the level that they can be handled by the locals or militia's, but we will try to make what things happen on your time table in the future.
"that the American military has never been stronger, is better in every way than it was ten years ago, and is building on a record of success."
I am no fan of the lumbering regular Armies culture but even they have improved since the wars started and Hmm...I think they have adapted, again, back up your points, show me where they have not improved in their counter-insurgency skills? SOF is actually making in-roads via VSO (although we should have been doing this since 2003) and the Marines are doing pretty well themselves but I guess if you do not see a Paris Peace Accord, Treaty of Westphalia or at lest something that one can frame on a wall no successes can be marked?
"Also that the military only does what it is told, and every... suboptimal successful outcome is the civilians' fault."-
I must have missed it where the Military is now dictating policy and strategy, even at the strategic level for the wars all we do is make suggestions, civilians make the call and that has the way it has always been. The military shoulders blame for advice it gives and the flags officers for not having the political courage to resign and speak out but in the end the calls are still made by the civilian leadership no matter what we advise. But hey, perhaps you know something I don't? Did the Military want to go to Iraq? Did the Military want to ignore Afghanistan for almost a decade?
"Very likely, it is only the low regard in which so many other American public institutions are held that has sustained the reverence for the military expressed by public officials and the media. Expect that reverence to be temporary if the military fights to maintain the increased budgetary resources devoted to it by the last administration"-
I do not expect it to change whatsoever and if you expect it to change because Flags will continue to ask for the world when it comes to budgets you have not been following the news the last 30 years and most certainly have not been following Congress who have kept programs alive or attempted to revive others purely for their own needs. The military is held in high regard because it is under a different set of rules, does what it is told by elected officials and we do a job most do not want to do not because everyone else in gov't is held in "low regard" as you imply, but hey maybe you know something I don't?
One more point, you talk of conceit in the Military yet your post drips with arrogance but it is also full of ignorant commentary, while I can be snarky at times at least I know what I am talking about.
Actually, I apologize for that last paragraph, it was not needed and I should avoid that kind of thing on here. Cheers.
I have no doubt that Eric Stratton thinks he knows what he is talking about.
As best I can make out, GAO made a presentation in 2007 estimating that mandatory spending -- that is, entitlements plus interest on the national debt -- would exceed revenues, estimated as a percentage of the gross domestic product, sometime between 2030 and 2040 based on current trends. Such spending would approach 80% of projected federal revenues sometime after 2020.
This is not the same as entitlements alone making up 80% of the federal budget, a point I make here only because Tom Ricks' main post was an expression of support for the Obama administration's (very limited) proposals to, in effect, raise the revenue line by making changes in tax law, including tax rates for the very highest income earners. Were the administration's proposals enacted, and other things remained equal, the percentage of federal revenues represented by spending on entitlements (or on anything else) would decline, but the percentage of federal spending represented by entitlements would not.
For the record, the share of federal spending represented by entitlements as of FY2010 was approximately 55%. Large projected increases in Medicare spending would be partially offset by future reductions in spending on such things as food stamps and unemployment insurance as economic conditions improve.
As to the other issues Eric Stratton raises in his last post, I am sorry to say his remarks tend to reinforce the concerns I raise upthread. However, we are very late into this thread. This conversation will have to be continued at a later time.
I've been looking to see if Saez extended his series back another 100 years, I think it would be highly educational.... in so many of the debates we treat that valley in the middle as the baseline, but I question whether it is the anomaly and whether the factors that led to it are even repeatable. Which leads me to wonder if the problem is really that of policy, but of quality of life expectations. Seems to me life has sucked for wage earners for most of history.
Just before the great depression, the wealthy also had a large share of the GDP and very low marginal tax rates. Prior to that, I think the wealthy's share of GDP grew to it's predepression peak as a result of the economic changes caused by the industrial revolution and the rise of manufacturing. I'd also argue that we might want to emulate the period of time in which our infrastructure, quality of life, scientific advances, and global power improved the most.
can the middle class renaissance be repeated?
I wonder to what extent the factors that led to that shift are repeatable? Rhetorically we have all but surrendered the notion that the government is an effective force for good even while it provides the framework for us to enjoy an astoundingly disproportionate share of global resources. Beyond a decimated global manufacturing capacity, I don't see the broad support for labor nor the rage toward industry and pro-industry cabals (Minnesota Commission of Public Safety) that I would argue were crucial to the reforms that led to the robust middle class we've come to expect.
To your question: not this generation. It seems clear to me that we don't root for the little guy anymore.
I suspect not many 19th century numbers
I think his series begins with the implementation of a federal income tax, no?
Best,
Tom
the top 1% already pay 38% of all federal income taxes! It sounds like you're arguing for the top 1% to pay their fair share, but they already do more than that
1. If you compare the percentage of income earned that's actually spent on goods and services, the bottom 80% spend a much higher percentage of earned income than the top 20%. Given that one major cause for the current dismal economy is a lack of demand, it makes much more sense to tax income that isn't going to be spent (create demand) than to tax income that will be spent.
2. Another significant cause of the dismal economy is the high level of household debt, largely caused by loose lending practices and the collapse of the housing market. This is a problem that's confined to poorer and middle class families, so reducing their tax burden will also allow them to pay off their debt more quickly, which will also increase demand and improve the economy.
3. The combined wealth of the wealthiest 400 people in America is about $1 trillion larger than the combined wealthy of the poorest half of Americans.
4. The percentage of the population living in poverty has grown for the last three consecutive years. One sixth of the population is currently below the poverty line.
Points 1 and 2 are the economic reasons that it makes sense to tax the rich more heavily. Points 3 and 4 are more about the character of the nation in which we live. Personally, I don't want to live in a nation with a few ultrawealthy individuals and a large impoverished class. It's not consonant with my conception of what our nation should be. I'd also add that social mobility in America has been decreasing steadily over the last decade, whereas it peaked during the era of the Great Society.
Sure, they pay 38%, but have 42% of the wealth. So you think that the other 99% can better afford to pay a higher percentage of their lower income?
Don't even come back with the whole "job creator" BS, the contrasts between corporate incomes and the unemployment rate speaks for itself.
You make a lot of good points yet taxing the rich more will not solve the problem of the middle class, we could tax them at a 90% rate and it would not really do much for the debt or help narrow the gap that much. A big part of the problem that has killed the middle class is the loss of manufacturing jobs that once provided a nice chunk of our jobs, they are no more. The questions are how do we get the manufacturing jobs back without offering huge tax cuts to Corps (over 2 trillion parked overseas due to our ridiculous Corp Tax rate at 36%)? If we cannot get the manufacturing base back and if it continues to shrink does that not also affect our National Security long term? Is there something we can replace the manufacturing base with that would expand the middle class again?
As for increasing taxes or making cuts for the rich, I would just like to see them (The Gov't) spend the money they have now more efficiently and reform Social Security and the Tax Code itself before we start jacking up the tax rates.
The consensus view within the modern Republican Party is that every last inefficiency must be wrung out of non-defense spending and every irrationality (or every one without a constituency) purged from the tax code before higher marginal income tax rates can even be considered. And even then, higher marginal income tax rates cannot be considered.
To regard this as a product of ideological fervor and discipline requires that we disregard as motivating factors the importance (and ease) of raising campaign funds from rich people, and from corporations controlled by rich people and now able to make nominally independent campaign contributions; the fact that elected officials are often in need of careers after they leave politics, and desirous of jobs that pay more than does government work; and the fact that quite a few politicians are wealthy enough themselves not to want to pay higher taxes.
The importance of maintaining party-wide message discipline -- no tax increases, ever -- is a technical issue pertinent to campaign tactics. It might not outweigh the ideological commitment of a few GOP Congressmen or Senators. It would be a motivating factor only for those Republican politicians immersed in permanent campaign politics.
My impression, very honestly, is that among many Republicans there is an additional factor to consider: a kind of emotionally-charged deference to, even reverence for, very wealthy people. The rich are the job-creators, the economy makers, the founders of the American feast. Republican politicians there are who can be bought, but the transaction isn't only or always about dollars and cents, or the relationship one of employer and employee. It is rather a relationship of master and servant, of elected officials sincerely convinced that defending their social superiors against inconvenience is the highest service they can render to their country.
This is not exactly a new thing in world history, even if it is not a particularly American thing. I wonder how long it will last.
Don't really have a short-term solution. Taxing the rich (in conjunction with killing a lot of tax expenditures, corporate subsidies, closing loopholes, etc.) allows you to fund stimulus. If you're looking forward, stimulus will fund education, development of green infrastructure (which is mostly construction of things like windmills and replacing aged city plumbing, etc.), and other infrastructure. This provides middle class jobs, allowing for an increase in demand and the deleveraging of household debt, which should jumpstart the economy. Basically every reputable economist is arguing for stimulus as a short term solution. In terms of long term solutions:
1. The quality of public education needs to improve. This can partly be solved by spending more money on education, with the emphasis being improved classroom/lab facilities and more teachers per student. The other improvement that needs to be made is an effort to tie pay to performance for teachers, with financial incentives for high performers as well as teachers who work in low income school districts (where children are being left behind). This last is vehemently opposed by the teachers' union, and obviously there will always be debates about how to effectively measure performance, but it needs to be done.
2. Undergraduate education needs to be reformed. Surprisingly enough, the changes Rick Perry made to the Texas public university system are a good step in the right direction, and with a little tweaking could be a very effective way to incentivize high performance in teaching and research, especially for the adjunct professor underclass, cut dead weight from the faculty, etc. It will also lower the cost of a college education, which is one of the two expenses rising at a much higher rate than inflation/income growth for the middle class, and eroding middle class purchasing power.
3. Curb the growth of health care costs, which is the other significant rising cost that erodes middle class purchasing power, and is single-handedly responsible for consistent growth in federal expenditures. This link < http://www.tnr.com/blog/jonathan-cohn/94894/if-dr-seuss-wrote-about-health-care > has a video that explains part of the problem. In terms of federal spending, the fact that the federal government legislated away its ability to negotiate the price of drugs is probably another significant cost driver. Additionally, there's probably a significant relationship between the fact that there are more lobbyist for the pharmaceutical industry than any other industry, and the fact that we spend more per capita on healthcare than any other developed country while receiving a lower standard of health care. Obamacare does a surprisingly good job at a lot of health cost related things, but there's still a lot of room for improvement.
4. Invest some of the reduced expenditures on health care and the increased tax revenue into research and development. A well-educated population, combined with cutting edge research, makes us more attractive to the sort of higher-end manufacturing in which we can still be competitive.
5. Simplify the corporate tax code. It's complexity favors specific industries due to years of lobbying and discourages foreign investors. Essentially, our higher than average corporate tax rate only applies to foreign companies and companies that aren't well-established, while major domestic industries pay a corporate tax rate that's lower than average for the developed world.
6. Make it easier for foreign college students to naturalize. So we can steal other countries' brain power.
7. Invest in diplomacy, especially as it applies to economics. This is the hardest but single biggest thing that we can do to preserve manufacturing jobs without resorting to protectionism. East Asian, and especially Chinese protectionism is the death of American manufacturing. Significant pressure needs to be exerted to defend intellectual property rights and change Chinese monetary policy.
8. There are a ton of other things that we could do with our tax code to shape consumption habits for the better.
As far as spending the federal revenues that we have more efficiently before we raise the tax rates goes:
1. It's literally impossible to cut spending and solve the deficit problem, due to rising health care costs.
2. Social security doesn't actually need significant reforms. There really just needs to be means testing and reform to how cost of living adjustments are calculated.
3. I don't think it actually counts as raising taxes when you simply allow portions of a temporary tax cut that was enacted to keep us from paying off the federal debt to expire.
Lester, good post but #1 is wrong
Great post Lester but:
If you want kids to do well in school, make(yes, not really possible) parents give a fuck about their kids education. Our critical education problem isn't that teachers aren't doing their job(though every profession can always get better), its that many parents aren't doing theirs. Read to your kids and work with your kids before they go to pre-school. Review and ensure your kids are doing their homework every night. If you want to make improvements to the educational system, withhold federal support(food-stamps, welfare, unemployment, etc) from parents whose kids don't do their homework or don't show up to school at all schools poor and rich.
Another big misconception about education is that poor schools need more money. Many poor schools have better and more current technology than their richer suburban schools due to federal funding. The crappy school by my house has $4k smart boards in every classroom and IPADs to use for classes; what they don't have is parents that will take the time to even sign their planners, let alone review their kid's homework or attend their kid's parent teacher meetings.
Behavior problems are also the biggest drain of resources(teacher time, students time, administrator time) wasted in poorer performing schools, but that's for another post.
I agree on some of your points but am with BN on education especially-
1.) We spend more per capita already than many countries who consistently beat us in testing, out of 25 countries considered part of the developed world only the Swiss spend more than we do. I do not think throwing money at this problem will do any good. NY spends the most per pupil in the US, with NJ close behind, followed by D.C, then VT, then CT and yet MA and NH both get ranked ahead (1 & 2 respectively) for public schools and spend far less with NH spending far less than MA. It is not so much spending as parent involvement, holding standards and saying to some kids you just do not have what it takes to get a HS Degree instead of the social promotions that often go on. . Vocational schools are also something I think that needs to be looked at for a lot of kids as well since college is not for everyone.
3. "Curb the growth of health care costs"-Drug prices are due to the expenses incurred during the development of which we talk later on Corp Tax Code & R&D is often paid for by the Companies themselves, I do not think that is a good example. They can bring the cost down a bit but this is not the biggest single cost of health care. I wish we could reduce health care costs but considering that admin alone drives up our costs 10-20% (NE Journal of Medicine) and that this is often caused by the medical community and insurance companies making sure they do some "CYA" so as to avoid lawsuits how do you take that chunk alone out with the lobby the American Trial Attorneys have going and the donations to the Dems? That is just one area, what if we go to a Gov't model? It will not get cheaper.
4. R&D can always be increased and I agree with your premise but I do not see reduced expenditures coming from health care, especially if we ever go to a gov't system.
5. "Simplify the corporate tax code."-100% agree but many of the companies who are HQ'd here in the US still hold their money overseas, the corp tax should be lowered and the only reason many companies do not pay taxes is due to the tax system that allows them to write everything off. I think in order to get more companies here and be competitive I agree we should simplify the code but I would almost get rid of the corp tax for manufacturing companies and make a lower flat tax for the rest. It is really not lower than most of the countries in the developed world, only Japan comes close.
6. "Make it easier for foreign college students to naturalize. So we can steal other countries' brain power."-
Totally agree and we have talked about this in the past on here and it ties in with R&D, we used to swipe them all the time (especially the Germans) but corp regulation and immigration policy have combined to make that harder. Another factor was that some countries loosened their regulations (EU) to keep their people and started to demand repayment for school and training that had been provided to the ones that did leave, this did not help our efforts to Shang Hai more of them to the US.
7. "Invest in diplomacy, especially as it applies to economics. This is the hardest but single biggest thing that we can do to preserve manufacturing jobs without resorting to protectionism. East Asian, and especially Chinese protectionism is the death of American manufacturing. Significant pressure needs to be exerted to defend intellectual property rights and change Chinese monetary policy."
Agree but even with Free Trade that is enforced it is still much cheaper to go overseas due to labor costs, taxation and infrastructure. This might help us out a bit with China and other Asian nations but until either our costs come down a lot or Asia's go up I just can't see it.
"8. There are a ton of other things that we could do with our tax code to shape consumption habits for the better."
"As far as spending the federal revenues that we have more efficiently before we raise the tax rates goes:"
1. "It's literally impossible to cut spending and solve the deficit problem, due to rising health care costs."
It might be but taxing the rich at 90% won't add a ton of money to our coffers, it might make some people feel good but it won't make much of a dent and they will find a way to hide it anyway.
2. "Social security doesn't actually need significant reforms. There really just needs to be means testing and reform to how cost of living adjustments are calculated."
100% disagree on this, we already have started paying out more than is paid into it, Congress has often dipped it's hands into the fund and about 33 cents of every dollar you pay in taxes goes to fund this. It needs to be radically overhauled and making someone not get this because they make a certain amount of money but still have to pay into it via means testing is more than a bit unfair. You can't have someone pay into that their whole life and not get their money for it. I think this needs to be changed to a private fund, similar to our TSP in the Military and Feds, the gov't could not touch it, the S&P gives back about 8% over it's lifetime when adjusted for inflation and has done so since the late 1800's. Even if we forced folks to go into T-Bills it would still return almost 4% which is double what SS does at 2% and if they go belly up so has the US, rebalancing funds are also a nice choice. You could also donate it or leave your earnings to a relative after you are gone. It needs to be changed, those who are on it now can stay and they would make a cut off or give a choice for younger people but it will go kaput by the time I get to it and is already on it's way if radical change is not made. Mandate that you pay into those funds like we do for SS now but allow them to pick one of the TSP funds, it would take care of a lot of our future entitlement spending and stop Congress from thinking it is their private "loan" center.
3. "I don't think it actually counts as raising taxes when you simply allow portions of a temporary tax cut that was enacted to keep us from paying off the federal debt to expire."
-Fair enough.
One more quick point, the "Green" ideas are a bit of a pipe dream. Windmills?-take up to much space (it would take an area the size of VA to meet Obama's goal of 20% wind energy), they do not do anything if there is no wind and kill hundred of thousands of birds every year now, the numbers would soar if we built more. Solar?-good for homes and can be used a lot in public areas but is still to expensive. Geothermal?-depends a bit on where you live. Hydrogen?-I would love to see Fuel Cells break through and be cheap enough to be massed produced and this is one are where gov't investment in infrastructure might do some real good but a lot of what the administration is doing is putting the cart before the horse.
Eric, I would suggest that you research deeper before dissing green energy. Use the term "wind turbine", not windmill. Yes, many thousands of birds (and bats) die from collision with turbines, but the turbines are far down on the list of un-natural bird deaths, well behind domestic cats, autos, pollution/pesticides, poer lines, windows, and other towers. Solar panels are rapidly going down in price/unit--look close into the fiasco-of-the-day of "the Obama Administration funded failed solar energy company (that supplied campaign funds) when it knew that the Chinese will flood the market with cheaper product". Geothermal energy is developed around the world, largest production plant complex being in California.
Its a jobs market that must be developed in the US or the "other guys" across the oceans will pass us by.
GSF, actually, no, I am pretty well read on Green Energy and have invested a lot of money into stocks that have to do with it.
Wind- is NOT a good use for mass energy, when not windy it does not work and the estimates for Birds is between 100,000-300,000K per year and many of the proposed wind farms are in the routes of bird migration. A windmill on your house as an extra? Great. A wind farm? Inefficient use of land and energy. You want to give up an area the size of VA to get wind energy up to 20%?!
Solar- it is getting cheaper but it is not there yet and as you can see from other posts I put up we cannot compete with those countries for manufacturing costs, that is just the reality. Between labor costs and protectionism and our tax code we cannot compete, we can invent the technology but that is where it stops. This has potential to offset a lot of use of power but not at the point it can replace it cheaply.
Geo-Really? They use it all over the world? Geo has potential if you can dig and it is even better if you happen to live near active volcanic activity in such places as Iceland or on the Pacific Rim, not as much in other areas.
The only place we are really leading right now is in Hydrogen and I love the idea and this is one area I mentioned that gov't investment in infrastructure would help, perhaps by offering incentives for Gas Stations to convert to Hydrogen, perhaps R&D, etc...but the technology is again not there yet to make it cheap enough. Ballard Power (Canadian Company) is working with Ford and GM on car batteries to run off Hydrogen and Fuel Cell (CT Company) is working with the DoD for power for bases and perhaps ships down the road. There are a few others like Quantam that tried to develop Military Vehicles that ran on hydrogen and Plug Power (lost my bottom on this one) that was at the cutting edge of Hydrogen but none of these companies are there yet and until the energy efficiency of all the "Green" sources of energy close in on fossil fuels they will not be invested in heavily and hence not used anytime soon. Just the reality of things GSF.
If you are investing money, I suggest that you do more research, field trips, and talking to people in the field. To start:you do not "give up the land" for turbines. I live 5 miles from a 220 turbines wind farm and lots of critters walk around underneath, and crops are grown there too; no piles of dead dead birds. Check the stats for the bird deaths (not your nomal spouts, new studies are out). Geothermal? yes, its done worldwide. Tell you what. Next time you have some leave, venture on up to Northern NY (Yes, near Drum) and I'll give you a tour, damn good steak and couple of beers (knowning Army can't do much there after 2100). Really, you gotta open up on this. We can't fight for the damn oil for F'in ever.
I am all for Green Energy, it is just not there yet and while I have high hopes for solar and hydrogen I am not a fan of wind and do not see it being cost effective. Also, the Geothermal Comment was meant sarcastically, I must use icons more often, electronic posts do not always convey tone very well. Geothermal is something that can be used as an augment to save you money in places, especially in heating and cooling, but for use as a main power source you need to be close to source the way Iceland and many other volcanic areas are.
As for wind, I just think it is a waste of space for what you get back in return, not consistent enough and even USA Today had a huge write up on how many birds are killed due to them, low estimate was 100k, high 300k.
Solar is at least being developed with a long term vision and being made adaptable-solar "vines" that shift to face the sun but look nice on house, solar shingles for roofs, solar glass with transparent cells, etc...all have potential. I would love nothing more than for Hydrogen to break through and cause a revolution here in the US for energy, solar to augment it but we are not close yet unless some crazy 22 y/o kid is doing something in his/her garage we just do not know about yet. I don't take the "Green" Revolution to seriously when I see the President say he is behind Nukes yet Yucatan Mtn gets shut down and there is no rush on permits. I don't take the "Green" Revolution to seriously when I do not hear about major investments into water based hydrogen fuel cells but the President wants 20% of our power to come from wind. I want it to happen GSF, I really do, would love nothing more than for us to be totally independent energy wise but right now it is just more politics and some of the things are the power of the future and always will be.
last night a mother came crying to me that as soon as she paid taxes her child had severe mental disabilites, I'm not a doctor or an economist, but as you can clearly see by my analysis; taxes are bad for our children.
Ragards,
Michelle Bachman
First, please define "rich" Mr. Ricks?
Even a family of four making $50,000 a year would see their taxes go up if the Bush tax cuts were left to expire. Are they rich?
Since this is an endorsement of Obama's proposal, it involves revealing the Bush tax cuts for people who earn more than $250,000 annually.
Through the looking glass, and what we found there
Wen Jiabao, on the verge of bailing out the Eurozone, lecturing the Europeans on fiscal responsibility...
Meanwhile, Somewhere, Mao is giggling his fat behind off...
I missed the part where the President intends to use higher taxes to finance increased defense spending.
I think the money is going for something else...
Mr. Ricks,
To answer your question, yes, we should end the Bush tax cuts on the rich. That will generate about $70 billion a year in additional revenue Unfortunately, compared to our current deficits of $1.4 trillion, that isn't very much. Intellectual rigor indeed.
this tax question is way way off.. Higher taxes will not solve our problems. You can jack the rich 1% up to 90% and it won't solve our problems. (They'll simply move their wealth overseas before it gets to that point anyway)
I'm not rich, and my parents make about $200k a year, so I don't have a dog in this "tax the super rich" fight, but I do not like talk of taxing them more.
So what if they are way more wealthy than poor Americans? "Poor Americans" typically have two color TVs, and most have a car and a house.
Regulations and entitlements are what is killing our economy. The simple act of HIRING SOMEONE HAS TURNED INTO A MAJOR LIABILITY for many, many employers. Red tape and bureaucratic regulations don't make us safe. Using your brain makes you safe. Some folks act like we would all start falling prey to snake-oil salesmen if we ended government regulation. FAIL. The internet has become the free markets best friend. Information asymmetry is on the decline...fast.
DEBT.. Our govt's debt is not $14 1/2 trillion. If you tally up all the future entitlements, most estimates place our debt somewhere in the neighborhood of $75 trillion. That's a 7 followed by a 5, trillion.
This country has flat out "un-learned" the benefits of a true free market system. The U.S. has not participated in true capitalism for some time, so don't think that it is capitalism to blame for our ails.
Peter Schiff testified to congress today about the ecnomic crisis. I suggest googling it and watching it.
So yea, tax the rich some more, and see if that helps. Our govt policy makers need to start soliciting advice from outside their circle of Ivy League economists.
RCC, you get what ninety-five percent of all Americans......
fail to understand, including damn near all of the readers of this very august blog! Don't punish those of us who've worked long, hard and smart to achieve financial success. We invested while Mr. and Mrs. America consumed and went out and spent money they didn't have, like drunken sailors on shore leave. And we lived way below our means while our family, friends and neighbors lived a country club lifestyle above and beyond their financial resources. I achieved financial independence at a the relatively young age of forty. And I did it on my own without any government assistance or affirmative action programs. The harder I worked, the luckier I got! I'm an unabashed capitalist and damn proud of it! I live my life by the credo of: Never complain; never explain. To all of the financial failures reading this, don't hate the so-called "rich," work smart and strive to join our ranks. Think about it!
Institute a 90% tax on corporate profits. This makes those "job creators" have to either pay the tax, or plow the untaxed money back into expanding capacity, modernization, R&D, or anything else that might actually require them to hire more people. This is one reason why Eisenhower-era tax policy worked so well. You aren't telling them what to do with their money, you are just narrowing their options so that they might actually, some day, create a job, rather than plow their profits into emerging markets (like our buddies in China).
Capital Controls - if labor cannot move freely across borders, why can capital? Labor actually does something, Capital, on its own, does nothing.
China has both of the above, more or less, and is both packing our lunch and eating it for us. In China, Alan Greenspan would have been executed. In Japan, he would have committed seppuku. Here, he is given a Medal of Freedom.
@Co Commander: Sorry, but here's a reality check: If your folks make $200k, they are in the top 4%. To the rest of us, that's fairly well-off. It is likely that my tax money has been shoring up their investments, and presumably your inheritance, via Bush's bank bailouts and The Bernank's ZIRP.
But the fact that there are a couple of zeroes between them and the people that actually own this country is something for which you can thank Ronald Reagan and Bill Clinton. And actually, regulations do make us safe. Here are two: a speed limits and seatbelt laws. Also, I googled Peter Schiff. He's a rich guy advocating things that will make him richer. I suggest you google "Smedley Butler" and see if anything listens.
Where was there ever a "True Capitalism"? To me, what we are seeing now is "True Capitalism": this is what happens when capital accumulation results in political power being concentrated, to the extend that a practical oligarchy with show elections has replaced democratic republicanism.
I have seen no appreciable difference in the economic policies of every US President from Jimmy Carter forward. All have done pretty much what the top 1% want them to do, and keep the rest of us at each others' throats worrying about idiocies like who is more patriotic or prays harder or supports the troops more.
Finally, the philosophy behind our government policy for the past three decades has been set mostly by a group of market fundamentalists from a place called the University of Chicago. These are the guys who now can't explain how the all-knowing, all-seeing, all-everything Free Market is producing increasing numbers of both empty houses and homeless people - a market inefficiency if there ever was one...
For something different, here is a cross-posting that Herr Ricks ought to make a topic, since I know many here might have something to say about it:
http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2011/09/guest-post-obama-team-feared-revolt-if-he-prosecuted-war-crimes.html
How justified were those fears, I wonder?
You do realize that a 90% tax rate on corporate profits eliminates the incentive to invest in or own any corporation? If you wanted to really create a second great depression, you couldn't do better than a this policy prescription.
LIES, SHIBBOLETHS, AND DEMENTED DOCTRINE
Our society and our economy are in serious trouble and our political system as powered by our electorate is giving us ignorant jackasses as decision makers. In some quarters, we are deifying ignorance. Many of our presidential candidates can't use the English language and the one who can doesn't know how to lead or put his ideas into operation.
Manufacturing jobs are not coming back and the percentage of smart people in any society does not change so forget new technology jobs for the majority. Parenting and religion are in decline. These were important components of our society. The federal budget and paying for it are not as important as our societal problems. It is unclear to me how we can adjust to the changes this nation faces. The answers certainly are not to be found in the thoughts of our politicians.
I fear that like addicts, we will not change until we hit rock bottom. At that point, ignorant voters will realize that they have been drinking the Kool-Aid. Do you know why there are people backing candidates who are cutting back on education? Are they trying to create a lower class amenable to low wages? Some people will examine how other nations in decline have survived (till now) - like Great Britain. Some people will try to start a war to enrich themselves and distract the nation. There is not a single indicator that anyone is trying to positively affect our fate in a meaningful way.
And the rich will not care because their money and they themselves will simply move somewhere else - just as our industry has. I heard a news story about how our international corporations launder their profits in such a way as to avoid US taxes completely. The moves have great names like the "Double Irish" and the "Dutch" which is used by some to achieve the Double Irish. Don't look for patriotism or loyalty because it ain't there. And don't blame regulation or uncertainty for our ills because these are just superficial excuses. You know why big businesses aren't hiring? It is because they are able to get more work out of people scared to lose their jobs and they call it increased productivity. Only if the market for products grows would they be tempted to hire. How can that market grow if potential customers are unemployed?
These are very difficult problems which require innovative new ideas to solve - if they are solvable. These solutions will require societal reform. I am convinced that government cannot be the answer because our elected politicians are incapable of seeing our problems clearly and agreeing on any approach. Oh, and they are ignorant.
We could all sit down and do some rational things with defense spending, but it would not help at all. Just watch out for those who want to actually use these weapons systems.
@RVN SF VET
"And don't blame regulation or uncertainty for our ills because these are just superficial excuses" --> Do you run a small, medium, or large business? Do you know how much risk you assume by understanding the legal parameters of the city/state/country that your business is in? I say again, hiring someone has turned into a LIABILITY for many businesses. If you don't believe me, go talk to people that actually run businesses. If hiring someone isn't a liability for them, then some other aspect of their company's operation is a potential liability.
Manufacturing jobs aren't coming back because it's too costly for anyone to do them. People now have "right" to a minimum wage (even though this just pushes more people out of the job market that might otherwise have a job--an entry level job to build their skills), and we now have to have a regulation to cover every little nut and bolt in the factory. (side bar: today I noticed that my BDE CDR's door has braille on it---no offense to anyone, but do we really think a blind person is going to be wondering around trying to find the door to an infantry brigade commander's office? Just a small example of regulation gone amuck) You can dismiss the regulation ranting at your own peril. People hold up agencies like OSHA as if that agency alone is what prevents people from sawing off their hands. Some folks say, "Since OSHA was established, workplace injuries have declined." But they ignore the fact that work were declining ALREADY declining before OSHA came along. Its called the march of civilization people.
@ Huckleberry
I provided my parents' income level in the spirit of full disclosure. My father paid his own way through college and med school and my mom started her own construction/design business without a college degree. They now run a day spa and provide jobs to 15 other people. Taxing them more will not help our economy. It will only shrink their profit margins and hamper the expansion of their business.
I'll cede you one thing. The tax issue is not as bad as the regulation issue or as bad as the litigation issue. I don't know why this country is one of the only countries without a "loser pays" system. Opponents of such a system argue that it would lead to less lawsuits...yes! that's the point! Lawsuits are HUGE sources of heartburn for companies of all sizes. The only people winning are the lawyers on BOTH sides. In a "loser pays" system, you'd better have your ducks in a row before you bring someone to court.
"These are the guys who now can't explain how the all-knowing, all-seeing, all-everything Free Market is producing increasing numbers of both empty houses and homeless people - a market inefficiency if there ever was one.."
--> This almost isn't worthy a response. If you think the U.S. economy of the past 30 years is a "free market," you are poorly mistaken.
Peter Schiff is a rich guy advocating things to get him richer?? He is in the "doom & gloom" business, and he's been 99% correct with his predictions. If the govt would do the things he advocates, he would LOSE business. uugh..
There probably wasn't ever a time in this country of pure free market, but it sure was a lot more free when Henry Ford built his factories. If he tried to build one today, he'd probably be blinded by regulations.
I noticed an MSNBC advertisement with Rachel Maddow on top of the Hoover Dam implying that we used to think big and go for big ideas in this country.. but if the Hoover Dam was proposed today, she'd be the first person to declare it an act of terrorism against nature!
Anyway, taxing rich people will not cure anything. Ask Massachusetts or New York state if a higher tax rate means you get more revenue.. nope.
It doesn't matter what anyone says before a Congressional committee - it just does not signify. They are just exercises in political theater. We might learn something, but the committee and its huge staff already know what they intend to do.
Business has coped with these regulations for many years and has built-in mechanisms for implementing them into their work routine. The loudest noises are made about pollution regulations which cut directly into profits. Tough, I'm all for pollution regulation. Yes Braille on the door is stupid, but I have not seen it in businesses. Check the Army itself - we have allot of regulations. It's interesting that you seize on one small facet of my comment and completely ignore what I view as the more important points. Over regulation will not be the downfall of our society. If you wish to view a society with unregulated business, check out China and the people dying from poisoning in their factories and the town which salvage computer parts, etc. Or, check out the report on the BP oil spill - that's an example of poor and absent regulation. It would appear that industry cannot be trusted to do the right thing. However, BP did save $125,000 by not letting Halliburton test its cement job.
BTW, with all due respect, how can a career Army officer question others about their knowledge of how regulations impact businesses? Ask your parents how much time they or their accountant spends on paying payroll taxes each week. Here in rural North Carolina many OSHA and EPA regulations are skirted, but taxes are not. Here on the coast, we do go nuts over oil spills - if someone notices.
None of this will significantly affect the decline of our society.
@RVN SF VET
Do you run a small, medium, or large business? Do you know how much risk you assume by **NOT** understanding the legal parameters of the city/state/country that your business is in?
add: understanding the byzantine regulation codes suck huge chunks of cash out of the market. Instead of using that capital to reinvest, hire, or save, the money is paid to teams of lawyers that push papers around.
Peter Schiff-- Watch his testimony from 13 SEP (I was wrong, it was yesterday), and then tell me if he looks like the one backing a position just out of self-interest. Watch the other people in the room (the panel and the committee), and you try to see if he's the one sticking to some theory in the interest of not looking bad. The PhD economist sitting next to him offering contradictory testimony is seething with an air of, "Just stick to what I've been taught....this is not the time to look stupid and admit I might be off."
Does Ron Paul come across as someone that's just trying to get the govt to do something so he can get more rich?
They are both trying to be responsible and politely tell everyone in the theater that there is a freakin fire! They are even showing them the fire exits, but everyone keeps thinking the smoke is just special effects that will blow over if we just keep playing the movie!
Great point on everything, not much else one can say.
"The state is the great fiction by which everyone attempts to live at the expense of everyone else." --Bastiat, about 160 years ago I think
One more thing.
@Huckleberry,
Reagan, Clinton, Bush x 2, Obama-- all birds of almost the same feather. I never said anything that could be construed as support for any of them. Bailing out the banks was the antithesis of the free market.
Reagan had a great message and started off great, but he grew the federal govt drastically and did nothing to stop the march of regulation (regulation is normally advocated by the politically connected that are in position to cope w/ the regs...and smaller entities suffer.. seriously, a lot of regulatory legislature is written by the very companies being regulated, via their lobbyists).
And your tax money is used to prop up my parents' investments? Give me a break. Do you honestly think that?
I agree the democratic representation in this country is pretty messed up. Democracy is just two wolves and a sheep voting on what to eat. "Self Government" will be the politics of the future.. I wish we'd hurry and get there faster.
So we agree there is a toxic political structure in place. But taxing people more and regulating them more will not solve the issue.
Seat belts and speed limits.. come on. Do you never drive faster than the speed limit? And if you don't, what is the number one reason why you don't? Because the little sign says so? Or because A) you know a man with a gun will give you a ticket or B) you know from personal experience that you should probably be slowing down. Either one is an acceptable answer, but it doesn't mean you were driving slow just because a benevolent regulation was in place.
As for the seat belt, are you telling me you wear your seat belt just because a regulation tells you too? Or is it because you are an intelligent human being that understands if you don't you are putting yourself at risk?
A society that goes around abiding by regulations just so that men with guns don't put them in a rape cage is not a society I think any of us want to live in. (I'm not straw manning you... I'm just saying something extra now) Have some a little faith in people's ability to learn and adapt. If the govt got out of the regulation business, the learning curve would improve.
There was a village in northern Germany a few years ago that said, "F*ck it, we're taking down every single road sign...there are too many of them." Did people start crashing into each other? No.
"Remove justice, and what are kingdoms but gangs of criminals on a large scale?" -- St. Augustine of Hippo, City of God, 1600 years ago.
Notice that for Augustine, justice is the key to political legitimacy. I will grant you that, without justice, the state does in fact decay to that which Bastiat describes. And that is where the neoliberal policies pursued by every President from Carter to Obama have gotten us. Whether we are talking about prosecutions for torture or securities fraud, I'd say that we have seen a complete disregard for the notion of Justice For All. It now more likely resembles a nation of Just Us -- and that US doesn't include me or anyone I know.
We have just seen the largest wealth transfer in the history of this country -- upwards -- and not a single prosecution for fraud, except for Bernie Madoff.
Don't look to me to defend professional economists. They've mostly all be wrong, disastrously so. But the wrongest among them have been the ones advocating the same non-policies you do: Freidman, Greenspan, Gramm, etc.
There is no such thing as a Free Market. There never has been, there never will be. And that, in my view, is a good thing.
What I am trying to suggest is that we have seen three solid decades of movement in that direction: de-regulation, lower taxes, a failure to enforce the laws governing the bond and securities trade, a lowering of tariffs, the expansion of free trade zones, the enfeeblement of unions, the collapse of state socialism in Eastern Europe, the adoption of market economics (of a kind) in China, and so on.
Can you honestly say that markets of any kind are more restricted in 2008 than in 1978? Shouldn't a free-er market produce results more in line with this fable of True Capitalism than a more regulated one? But what has happened?
Where I have seen government intervention it has been nearly always and everywhere on the side of capital: the S&L bailout, the deal that staved off collapse when LTCM went TU, the Greenspan Put, the Bush Bank Bailouts, Obama's failure to investigate securities fraud and the ignominious TARP, and the policies of The Bernank: QE1, QE2, ZIRP.
And yet, what I see when I look at is a median wage for workers lower than it was in 1970. This is despite the greedy American worker's demand for what you seem to think are unreasonable wages.
Yes, if Phil Nike paid American workers what he paid workers in Indonesia he wouldn't have had to move his production there. Another question: is an America full of workers making Indonesian wages really the America you want to live in? Good God man! Will that level of wage going to enable an expansion of this spa business you have brought up?
70% of the American economy is based on consumption. Americans are not consuming like they did, for a variety of reasons (indebtedness, unemployment, fears of the first two, inflation, etc). This, more than taxes, or regulations, is why the economy is stalled. You can get rid of all taxes and all the regulations and nothing will happen. Unless people have money in their pockets, they cannot spend it.
Now, I will grant you that letting our economy get to the point where it depends upon this level on consumption was probably a stupid idea, but here we are. But to think that if we just balance the budget all we be well is class project that the rich, who have already been bailed out, are trying to foist on the rest. I know of no instance in which this kind of "expansionary austerity" has ever worked. But I never studied economics formally.
I like Ron Paul. I would never vote for him, but I am glad he is there. Still, I wonder why so few of his fellow freemarketeers in the GOP have gotten on board with his proposal to audit the Federal Reserve. Any ideas? And if Obama is such a socialist, why hasn't he conducted such an audit?
Finally, on taxes:
Do you supposed high tax rates have something to do with education?
Per US News & WR: As of 2009, the top 5 states based on the academic achievement of their students: Connecticut, Massachusetts, California, New Jersey, New York.
I sense a trend here. Do you? Tell the truth now.
ZIRP, simplified:
Bernanke keeps the Prime Rate at 0%.
Banks borrow at 0%.
They take this free money, and do two things with it:
1. Put it back into the stock market, thus keeping it artificially high, and
2. Buying US Treasuries with it, which pays around 2%
The former is what keeps your folks' stocks higher. The latter's interest is tacked onto the national debt, which my taxes (and yours, and your folks') are servicing.
If you have stocks, at least you are getting something out of the deal. If you have no stocks (and about half of us in the US don't) you are simply paying taxes to keep other folks' portfolios inflated.
Go it? Sound fair? True Capitalism? Free Market? Justice per Augustine?
Can't see how fewer regulations are going to help me out on this one.
(62)
HIDE COMMENTS LOGIN OR REGISTER REPORT ABUSE