Thursday, February 10, 2011 - 10:49 AM
Interesting story by John Bennett of The Hill :
Gen. Norton Schwartz, the Air Force chief of staff, after that headline grabbing statement, went on to say, "There's no time for it. There's no patience for it. OK?. . . If industry makes a commitment, you will have to deliver. There will be less tolerance ... for not delivering." What a concept: Deliver what you promise! The Air Force hasn't gone quite to zero tolerance with defense contractors, but is heading in that direction. Too bad we had to wait for budgetary belt-tightening to get this tough mindset.
Speaking of spending hundreds of billions of dollars, here's your chance to ask Pentagon acquisition czar Ash Carter what he did with the money! It's Feb. 22, 2011, at 6 pm. Here is registration info. CNAS will very nicely offer drinks afterward, probably as much-needed medicine. But no blowing smoke!
Meanwhile, mega-hawk Tom Donnelly polices up some loose talk among uninformed conservatives about cutting the defense budget. He's right about Marine Corps aviation, which has been a mess for years. I think the Corps would be much better off if in the mid-'80s it had abandoned the V-22, the Delorean of aircraft, and gone with the Black Hawk, the Lexus of helicopters. Donnelly, in an e-mail to me, adds, "The House of Reps. will CUT BARACK OBAMA'S defense budget request. We're through the looking glass."
For those of you coming in late, the places to begin cutting the defense budget are in the huge support structure, especially outsourced contracts and health care costs. Secondarily, defense agencies and other infrastructure that might not be needed (like JFCOM). Finally, and lastly, personnel and weapons systems.
Wikimedia Commons
And if the DOD budget does come under the knife, you know that the order is going to be exactly opposite: Personnel first, weapons systems (but not big ticket items), defense agencies, health care, and then contracts.
But they'll blow smoke at vets...
"Oh yes, honored veterans. We will take care of you."
Then this from one of Norton's spokesmen (same article):
"Cost-control will be an issue in everything we do,” from weapon programs to healthcare", the air chief said.
I think ProPublica's coverage of the VA's scam to refuse cognitive therapy to veterans is a better example than Michelle Bachmann's looney cost-cutting proposals, but they demonstrate the same thing-- people want to skip out and leave the people who did the fighting and the bleeding with the check.
And while Congress hasn't been as ostentatious as Bachmann, they're still dragging their feet:
http://www.woundedwarriorproject.org/content/view/1191/
I think it's getting past the point where veterans' groups can sway the dialogue sufficiently. If the DoD is going to look at cost-cutting like any other employer, maybe the troops should unionize.
You are spot on with your highlight of the issue, but don't confuse DOD with VA moneys. The veterans groups mainly target the VA expenditures, programs and policies. They have little influence over DOD. DOD money for healthcare is basically Tricare for retirees. The recent issue is DOD healthcare refusal to properly care for TBI injuries.
The services don't know what they need, they don't know what they want. They therefore ask for goldplated El Camino solutions that can't possibly do everything they write requirements for - then they are surprised they don't work. Witness the Osprey, or FCS, or whatever.
This proves that while military folks may think they know how to fight, they just don't know how to build fighting systems. The fact that PMs rotate - with their personal agenda - so frequently that there is no continuity means its a wonder anything ever gets built.
But it's always the evil contractors who are supposedly gumming up the works, LOL. MICC - Military Industrial Congressional (the oft forgotten letter here) Complex. All a part of the problem.
Services are horrible at developing requirements and executing a program to implement them. Unless the written requirement is akin to "I need a plane that looks like a 767 and can tank fighters."
Some folks in DOD are better than others at developing requirements than other. The MRAP/MATV program is good example of how a rapid design, develop and deploy can work. While by no means perfect the folks in the field got a vehicle that did/does most of what they needed it for. Most importantly it got to the field in time to save lives. The biggest down side is what the Marine Corps will do with them once we are done Afghanistan since they don’t fit on ships.
Hunter pointed out some of the flaws with the requirements development issues in DOD. Military planner wanting a “do it all” solution when “do it well enough” is what is needed. Requirements creep and sometimes grow out of control due to Project management/manager turnover with each one wanting to leave his mark. We get stuck with cost over runs from Companies that over promising and under deliver and get away with because of a lack oversight.
In my opinion, Congressional inference throughout the process is the most harmful factor. Congress can force DOD to buy things we don’t need, come up with system requirements that aren’t needed and add costs, and force the selection of certain companies when another may do it better or cheaper. In the end these factors and others cost the American tax payer a lot of money
The MRAP saved lives in Iraq from ied's, but at the same time it cost some soldiers their lives in non-combat related accidents. I was in a Iraq from Dec 09 to Jun 10 and more soldiers died from MRAP accidents than anything else. The MRAP is top heavy and rolls over at the drop of a dime. These roll overs caused several deaths and injuries. Government: Build me a vehicle that can handle a massive explosion that the occupants of the vehicle can survive, because I refuse to put the number of soldiers in country required to secure our supply routes. Contractor: Here is the MRAP it is a monstrosity that can handle a large explosion that the occupants can survive, but if you take a corner at 10 miles an hour the vehicle will roll over killing everyone and the price is right! $1M a piece.
I think the Marine Corps is going to be missing the CH-46E "Phrog" when the V-22 is fully implemented because the V-22 is lacking some key features of the Phrog.
First, the V-22 generates a tremendous amount of rotor downwash. During Fleet Week 2010, a V-22 injured spectators and blew down trees at a Staten Island Park. If you google "v22 injures spectators staten island park" and click on video search you can see what I'm talking about. What you don't see in the shot is that the V22 is the wing aircraft. The lead aircraft was a CH-46E, it flew the same approach path, and landed without damaging anything with rotor downwash. Where am I going with this? The Marine Corps spends a lot of time delivering assistance and humanitarian relief to poor countries. What is going to happen when the V22 goes into third world countries where a landing zone (LZ) much like this will be surrounded my tin shacks ? It's just going to add to the destruction already caused by whatever disaster prompted the aid in the first place. The Marine Corps is going to find that the V22 is not going to be able to fit into the same LZs as the Phrog and their ability to deliver aid to many locations is going to be diminished. I think this shortfall will be picked up by the Navy H-60S platform embarked on amphibious shipping.
Second, the V22 is going to have a tough time flying in non-permissive environments. The V22 is too fast to be escorted by the traditional Phrog escorts, the UH-1 and AH-1. It's also too slow to be escorted by the F-18. All this development to develop an aircraft faster than the CH-46E and it's either going to have slow down and fly at speeds the Phrog flew at or F-18s are going to be burning circlesin the sky overhead to prevent from getting to far out in front. That's just the escort part of the equation. The V22 was dveloped without onboard defensive weapons and only in the last few years has the Marine Corps tried to fix this development problem with the addition of a "belly gun" and a ramp mounted tailgun. One belly-mounted machine gun manned by a crewmember with a video screen in the back is a far cry from two manned machine guns covering the port and starboard hemispheres of the aircraft. That one belly gun is going to be pulling double duty. I'm all about technology when it outperforms humans, but I'm not convinced this belly gun is better.
Third, survivability. The Phrog is a combat proven (Vietnam) aircraft which has been known to take hundreds of rounds and continue flying. The book "Bonnie Sue" by Marion F. Sturkey provides numerous accounts to support this and his accounts are taken from personal interviews and official unit histories on file with the Marine Corps. This survivability was hard earned, at the cost of the lives of many aircrew. This same process will be repeated with the V-22. It's unfortunate that we will have to go through this survivability process all over again. Also, any human with half a brain can figure out where to aim if you want to take down a V-22. Those big nacelles! With a Phrog, it's not that easy. A lot of people think the Phrog has an engine in the front to run the forward rotor.
Fourth, simplicity. The Marine Corps is an expeditionary force that frequently finds itself working in austere environments with little logistical support. The Phrog is a simple helicopter design (designed in the 1960s) with modest technological upgrades. Look at the V-22 readiness rates and you see a different story. An enormously complex aircraft that frequently develops maintenance issues and subsequently can't venture far from the main unit. During OIF 1 phrogs frequently were attached to ground units and stayed up front in the fight, with minimal need for maintenance support.
Sure the V22 can fly higher, faster, and supposedly self deploy. There's a lot of talk about over the horizon capability. Isn't half the battle of the MEU completed when it comes over horizon within sight of shore? That's called deterrence. Miscreants around the world know that when they wake up one day and see the Marine Expeditionary Unit shipping off the beach that the party is over and it's time to behave.
What were better options over the V-22? The V-22 won the procurement battle over the Boeing Model 360 which is sometimes known as the "Super Phrog." That's what it was, just an updated model, improving on an already proven design. Another interesting part of that story is that Boeing developed the prototype with no government funding support. They used their own cash! Imagine a company doing that today. Very rarely does a company develop such a big project without a guarantee of some money from Uncle Sam.
What does the phrog have that the Blackhawk doesn't? Namely, a ramp. It's a lot easier to load and unload pallets of food and water from a Phrog. You can drive a forklift right up to the back of the Phrog and load it. When you get to the destination, just slide it right out the back. It's just not that easy with a H-60. Also, the phrog doesn't have a tail rotor. I don't want to make this any longer than it already is, but I think a tail rotor is a frequent point of failure in many mishaps. That high frequency spinning destroys itself very quickly if it gets out of balance.
If you read this far, thanks for hanging on. I think I made some spelling/grammar errors, I have a 3 year old climbing on me while I type. Time to go make the kid a PB&J.
Should our Corps keep flying a 50 year old helicopter? Really? Would you take your family on a trip down any interstate in the country at 70 mph in a 50 year old car??? Probably not...
Some points of fact on the "Phrog"... It was removed from service in Vietnam because of numerous fatal crashes. Know anything about Hover Aft? It caused the aircraft to split at the 410 station, killing dozens. Any ideal how much of the GDP we spent on defense in 1961-1968 or how much of that it cost to buy a fleet of phrogs? The CH-46 was not cheap back then either and not very good out of the chocks... The V-22 has completed 14 deployments worldwide, 11 in combat operations, and has not been recalled from combat because of critical or fatal problems. Have not had one shot down. Why is that? Probably because it works extremely well.
Survivable and effective like no other vertical lift platform ever produced. Escort not required-slow or fast because of complex modern day survivablity features.
Comparing a Phrog to an Osprey is like comparing a F4U to an F-18... Should we have not evolved that capability? Or should we go back to radial engine driven prop airplanes?
Know anything about the recent 15th MEU deployment or the work that 26th MEU is dealing with in our 21 century conflicts? The 15th MEU was attacking targets in Afganistan (1000 miles), feeding flood victims in Pakistan(400-600miles) and killing pirates off the coast of Yemen (over 1000 miles) all in the same day! Can't do that (distributive ops) with 20th century aircraft (phrogs)... Ospreys have been deployed continuously in Irag and Afganistan for at least 4 years and at sea on MEUs for 2.
I agree our defense contractors are spoiled by no risk programs... but backing up in capability for old Phrog like aircraft is wrong and it is tragic that people are so misinformed about the facts... Worse yet that they blog all of this misinformation... Any ideal how much it would cost today to retool a phrog plant or rebuild a new 20th century helicopter? A LOT!!!! Eye watering...
Now why is it that the misinformed or ignorant are so quick to beat up a much needed modernization of vertical lift (V-22), that is saving countless lives everyday? And no one says a thing about the trillions of dollars spent on 'next gen' fighters? There is a lot of zeros between a couple of billion and trillions... Think about that.
S/Fi
Your spot on about vertical lift aircraft. They are in need of updating. I am amazed that they traditional vertical lift design has been around this long in the military. A faster, longer range aircraft, that can carry more supplies or weapons is essential in winning this war. New generation fighter aircraft in my opinion are a giant waste of money. They are expensive and serve no real purpose in this war, since the enemy has no fighters in the air.
Got a little long winded! I apologize! There were supposed to be paragraphs in there. I'm a little new to posting on this site.
The flip side of the V-22 fiasco
The flip side of the USMC V-22 fiasco is that Amy Air has let our other rotary fleet free-fall past the 50% of service half-life point, years ahead of projections.
Meanwhile the pie-in-sky quad-tilt superlifters that promised the generals powers leapfrog Navy, allow battallion and brigade airlift TO THE BATTLEFIELD, are nowhere in sight.
As anyone might have foreseen, we come to the end of land war in Asia weaker than we started.
Where are the missing trillions? Where is the audit of the DOD? Talk of financial reform and budget cutting at the DOD is nothing but smoke.
"Twenty years ago, Congress passed a major law (the Chief Financial Officers Act of 1990) that requires every federal agency to pass an audit each year. Almost all agencies have done so, many of them years ago. The big exception is the Department of Defense (DOD). In fact, DOD's books are so bad they are "unauditable" according to the non-partisan U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO).
The Pentagon is the most corrupt institution in the history of the USA. The only profitable business left in the USA is war. There will be no cuts, but war, war, war, and more war. The war mongers rule America. They will murder and torture until there is nothing left to destroy.
Why do you bother to read my posts?
I never read yours.
Admiral is nothing more than a TROLL. You ought to read JG he writes unifomrly smart, lucid posts that tell compelling stories and arguments.
But Admiral is not at all interested in engaging, just bile and insults.
We love you though Admiral, you're like the ugly girl that makes all the rest of us look fifty times better; in this case fifty times smarter, and saner. Stay, go, whatever.
I don't read your posts either.
That's a big Roger on the Proof Positive
Sounds like an invite for a big cup of STF
I never read yours, either.
Big AF budget battle is with USN, for the orbital space mission
Follow the money.
But don't count on big defense to believe their own numbers, that the foundations and trends of the post-WW2 economy are unsustainable.
Questions on basics in acquisition
Ash Carter could address some basic questions:
- How does he intend to incorporate the quick response purchases into the normal review acquisition program without losing responsiveness and innovation?
- How will he make his contracting offices responsive to program deadlines and enforce accountability upon a SES that is not of mind to meet schedules?
- How are his cost assessment, verification and validation efforts working?
- How would he hold his Program Executives accountable for initial investment requests? Acquisition baselines?
- How would he create competent technology management among the service SES?
- Would FBI investigations be a better means of patronage elimination among homesteading civil service in his acquisition organizations at Forts and Bases than using the IG?
This might do for starters.
To his knowledge, what private equity investor, bond holder or major ownership holder, would keep in employment any senior executive who places blame for bad performance by his organization on his purchased suppliers?
Bonus question: would he place his personal wealth in care by such senior executives even if they wear a fancy gray or navy blue suite with Hollywood trim?
Can Mr. Carter tell us about the how his secret expenditure to the tune of 60 Billion dollars squares with the US Constitution. The Pentagon could not possibly be in compliance, since they have no idea where the peoples money is located. or where it was spent.
Article 1 Section 9 US Constitution
No Money shall be drawn from the Treasury, but in Consequence of
Appropriations made by Law; and a regular Statement and Account of the Receipts and Expenditures of all public Money shall be published from time to time.
I think there are some expenditures that the public doesn't need to know about. It's important to successful diplomacy. As long as the elected officials in Congress and White House have oversight, that's the best we can hope for because we voted them in. I'm sure there were some expenditures even during the Revolutionary War that the public didn't know about.
But old bad habits of classification creep are back in full...
Upon review we might find that a great deal of the secret stuff is commercial off the shelf. Classification to secret maybe occurring because 'if we like it, it must be classified', Army G2 and of course all the Ft Meade people are of this mind. Programs are being placed in secure facilities because...well, the leadership has an office there and doesn't trust all it TS/SCI to come to work unless under its sight even when all they might do is mundane documentation to feed the higher echelons. Of course, 'black' programs are the earmarks for the Pentagon's own. Patronage is easily hidden.
The US Constitution was ratified in 1787. "All public Money" is as clear as clear gets. The US Constitution is the supreme law of the land. Sec Def Robert Gates is under oath. Any fed government agency that does not provide a full accounting of all public money is in violation of the law.
Yes, it was ratified in 1787. and....point?
What gov agency is in violation of the law for not providing full accounting of their spending? It's certainly not the DoD. There are plenty of representatives on the House Armed Services Committee that are "read in" to these programs. Secrecy is about a "need to know" basis. We have elected people to represent us, that is what they are doing.
You didn't touch the part about secrecy as part of diplomacy. Why not?
Gotta go with Admiral, that 1776 war violated no 1787 statute
No retroactivity was one of our better ideas, like a transparent as a foundation plank, yielding some transparency into slavery, along with the Freedman's Bureau records.
I don't see where Article 1.9 precludes Congress from allocating money to keep secrets, break codes, or create a Secret Service. But the amount allocated has to be published, and accounted for by elected officials. We did pretty good on that, up until WW2. The 1947 National Security Act institutionalized war by presidential decree, among other things, and remains the model for gov't today.
I totally agree that there needs to be a middle ground. If 90% of the budget was secret, that would be a problem. I'm not saying the middle ground is 50%, 20%, or or even 10%. However, there is a small portion of our government where the appropriation of funding is best left to a few people. I don't know what percentage of the national budget funding DARPA gets right now, but from the little they publish and their track record, they can take my income any day of the week. They are working on making invisible clothing. Come on, how cool is that?
Remember when kevlar-piercing rounds were going to help police?
Al Nobel was going to make war too terrible to wage, before he got depressed over his invention and kilt hisself.
Chemwar was touted as a new humane method of killing, without messy painful dismemberment associated with Nobel's invention.
Invisibility? There are invisible lethal agents all around, even inside us. How cool are they? OK, gut-shot isn't cool, but go DARPA.
All you need to know about Defense Acquisition....
...you can TRY to learn from this chart.
https://ilc.dau.mil/html/ILC_Main.htm
If you have a pan and zoom function on your chart, it's probably pretty good evidence that your process is broken. Abso-frickin-lutely nutty, like our Admiral.
(I have this chart posted by my desk as evidence of what not to do. It is very pretty though.)
I wonder what commenters here think of the possible need to reform the DOD personnel system at least for acquisition folks. It seems to me that you have program managers (anywhere from Captain to one-star General in Army ranks depending on the size of the program) being in charge for a couple of years, then moving on as they must under the personnel system. There can be no accountability therefore in terms of long-term success and failure. I think this plays a big part in why short term costs and benefits are always a priority over long-term issues like operating and support costs. But reforming the personnel system isn't even on the table - forget that you're talking about billions of taxpayer dollars whose caretakers are, essentially, dilettantes.
OER; This is what drives every officer regardless of rank. PM's have two years to make something happen on the program the are overseeing. Their career depends on it, that is if they plan on making the next rank. They are more concerned with getting the program to the field than they are in getting a good program to the field. They are judged on that and nothing else.
It is high time congress cut the huge DoD budget. We should be closing bases around the World and bring those service members home. It is high time we stop supporting the economy of other countries with our Military might and start spending some of that money here, say in debt reduction and innovation. Also it time for congress to stop the wasteful spending on things that the DoD doesn't even ask for. I can think of a project that was scaled back a couple of years ago, the laser plane. 10 years of spending ($1B) on this project and no real success, not to mention, what is the practical Military purpose of a 747 with a laser mounted in it. I did though; watch a video yesterday where these guys built a prototype of a glass highway that generates electricity. I would rather have $1 billion of my tax dollars spent on something like that; instead of some useless laser plane.
The fact that defense corporations are located in so many congressional districts, and that our campaign finance laws are so weak, means that there is no way there will ever be any change in this argument. One of the things that people (mostly republicans) have urged to put on the chopping block was foreign aid, including military aid. This is self-defeating though because all of the money our government (taxpayers) gives to these other countries comes directly back to the US to Lockeed or Boeing or Raytheon. Talk about a military industrial complex...it's socialism for the largest most powerful companies, our taxpayers directly supporting them over and over.
This needs to be fixed. I haven't the slightest clue how to go about doing it.
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