Friday, January 21, 2011 - 7:38 AM
By Lt. Gen. David Barno (U.S. Army, ret.)
Best Defense bureau chief, Army issues
Marty Dempsey's nomination as the next Army Chief of Staff means one thing: The U.S. Army has just won the big Powerball jackpot. For a service struggling with the grim realities of ten years of war, and facing an uncertain future of inevitable defense cuts, this wily cavalryman is exactly the right medicine to revitalize the force.
Dempsey leads the Army's Training and Doctrine Command (TRADOC), an organization once described as "the architect of the future Army." He's been acting commander of U.S. Central Command and served twice in Iraq. He's a scholar with a degree in English who taught at West Point. He listens and thinks. With coming budget belt-tightening, two wars winding down and a shrinking Army end strength, Dempsey is the pivot man holding a historic opportunity to re-shape the Army Next.
So -- what are the "gotta do" items in the next Chief's overflowing inbox? My top 10:
1) Finish the Fight. Both Afghanistan and Iraq will likely wind down on Dempsey's watch. Armies exist to fight and win wars -- and the U.S pays huge costs in peacetime so the Army can deliver the goods when the fire alarm rings. And this Army has delivered in spades, after some rocky starts. Now as these wars unwind, the U.S. Army must spare no energy in seeing that its remaining deployed forces, particularly in a major fight for Afghanistan, get everything the service can institutionally provide. Soldiers and their leaders have given their all for ten years, winning one war and beginning to turn the tide in another. But the bureaucratic Army track record here has been decidedly mixed (see: Rodriguez IJC HQ standup). Pull out the institutional stops.
2) Generation Keep. The officer and NCO leaders of this force rival the Greatest Generation of WWII fame. But in an Army soon to be largely back in the motor pools and on rifle ranges, these "war babies" could leave the Army in droves rather than stay in a stifling over-centralized, power-point-centric Army. The training-focused Army of the 80s and 90s so prized by today's general officer leadership is foreign to them, and returning to that auld sang lyne model may not scratch their itch. The next peacetime Army - - not the CPTs and MAJs, SSGs, and SFCs -- must change. A return to a bureaucratic garrison mindset is already becoming the natural line of drift. Micromanagement, hours of power point Quarterly Training briefs, and the occasional Combat Training Center rotation slapped atop of a newly resource-austere force could drive out many of these best and most experienced officers and NCOs in the Army's history -- people that the Army vitally needs for its next incarnation. The quality of who stays matters -- not just the raw numbers of butts in seats.
3) Reform the Army's Personnel System. The one Army system that affects every single Soldier, his or her family, and defines the arc of their life in uniform is The Personnel System. It's been largely untouched and unreformed by the longest war in the nation's history. Changing it in ways that do not flip over the apple cart in the midst of two wars is no small task. First order: build in flexibility. Get more personal adaptability and openness in assignment and promotions. Second, challenge assignment officers to abandon rigor -- and give them the tools to better manage this convoluted system as it evolves. Third, find ways to creatively ease out the perfect "up or out" industrial-age promotion pyramid: enable officers to drop back year groups, open up direct commissions for selected skills, put more warrants in place of officers in techie jobs, and make shifts easier from active to reserve (and back again). Lastly, add better civilian education for NCOs (think: a few NCO Foreign Area Officers?) and more sabbatical opportunities for all. Fewer deployments may actually free up serious time for more and better professional development -- especially if there is less tolerance for peacetime Army busy work! Changes on the Hill to the Defense Officer Personnel Management Act may be needed to support re-shaping the officer billet structure -- but the Army simply must give officers and NCOs better ability to manage their careers and their lives. In a smaller professional force competing for talent with the Googles of the world, this reform is a "must do" if the Army is to keep its best on board.
4) Find the Best Senior Leadership. Arguably the most important job of the Chief is to grow and select the Army's next cadre of Generals. Chiefs who slough this off abandon their most vital tool for shaping the Army and encouraging the next generations of officers. Bad generals -- dumb generals -- kill off innovation and risk-taking, poison the well of future talent, and leave a legacy of "ducks picking ducks" in their wake. The Chief must know his leaders -- from a 360 degree viewpoint, not just from all their shiny mirrors pointed upward. Find and eliminate the Toxic Leaders -- your junior leaders know who they are. And clearing the underbrush of the Army's hierarchical layers while opening the door to collaborative leadership outside of combat would also send a powerful message of value to every leader in the force. LTs and CPTs employ flattened "battlefield collaboration" in combat -- modern command and control has moved in that direction with chat functions and networked coordination. Home station Army leadership and garrison-based force management has not. Pick the right leaders for the force -- and get them involved from their earliest days of service in contributing to flatter decision-making, opening doors for innovation, and decentralizing control and authority to junior leaders.
5) Get Ready for the Next War. This unwelcome worry is a feature coming to a theater near you -- and both sooner and probably in a different form than most experts think. Figure it out. Debate and then decide on the next Big Idea(s) in human conflict and the Army's role in it. What does "landpower" mean in the 21st Century? Sketch out the next "AirLand Battle" -- or devise a couple likely variants. Set up the Army to dominate that fight -- but more importantly, drill it to adapt quickly when it's not quite right. Make choices -- "full spectrum ops" is not a helpful bumper sticker to a company commander taking his troops out to train. Worse, it provides next to no guidance when making tough choices on competing ideas for organization, weapons systems, or kit. The next war will not be like the last -- but who's seriously thinking about what it is going to be? Think hard too about the Army's role in preventing wars -- today there is precisely zero Army force structure devoted to "building partner capacity," helping others secure themselves. How do you avoid "failures of imagination" -- akin to those that have serially plagued the U.S. military for the last ten years?
And from my very, very limited interactions with GEN Dempsey, he is the right leader to implement these sorts of changes.
The idea... prepare for the Black Swan.
Think about markedly increasing the number of Professional Development Assignments with government agencies: Farm out officers & senior NCO's into Federal Government Agencies' Emergency Operations Centers (EOCs) and Continuity of Operations cells, etc. Purpose: Build / introduce in an ethos of attack & defend in these organizations. In the 21st Century we can't know for sure where the next threat will come from.
In return for assignments in federal agencies, officers & NCOs broaden their outlook and perspective and makes them more valuable when they return to their next Army assignment & need to synchronize the fight utilizing 'whole of government' approach. The challenge of working and learning in these environments may provide the necessary intellectual / mental stimulation to keep soldiers from fleeing the peace time Army due to lack of a good challenge.
Unleash the amassed experience and talent of this group of young leaders to benefit government agencies in the name of National Security.
Think way out of the box... how about rotations with NGO / PVO for the reasons listed above (assuming one can find willing NGO / PVO partners).
I'm sure there will be a big push for more FAO's... what about a similar push to get familiar w/all of our Nations Instruments of National Power. Start with assignments in our federal government & then look at the rest of the DIME... where could the next "Greatest Generation's" talent be best leveraged for our national defense. Build the military staff knowledge to harness & synchronize the DIME.
Consider similar assignments with industry (Petroleum, Food Distribution / Supply, Power Distribution, Health Care).
Watching 1AD turn around from redeployment/port and march back into the building fight in Iraq of 2004...first indicator of a great leader.
Listening to him at Carlisle - nearly every Army classmate of mine was fascinated by his forward thinking. This is a leader who won't be constrained in his thinking.
LTG Barno - you're right about the challenges. It will all boil down to how does one save the Army from the multiple effects of budget cuts, a return to garrison, and a group of officer/NCO leaders who have known nothing but fighting.
Great pick - great list!
I think General Barno gets things done in smart fashion here-- good soundbytes for the paradigms ("people are the Army"), broad requirements emphasizing the need to clean up the act on a lot of functions, and all of it stated succinctly.
The only addition I would have made would have been to #10: Resilience. I would have tacked on a little joke about building bridges and indiscretions with goats. General Dempsey can accomplish all nine of those other things with varying degrees of spectacular success, and they'll call him a good Chief of Staff. But if he messes up #10, he'll always be "Dempsey the vet-indiscretionator."
I hear that the General is a fine leader and an intellectual - that is good for him, good for the nation, good for the Army, and good for me as a tax paying concerned citizen.
I was thinking though, I recall Brigadier General Christian de Castries was seen as a wily cavalryman also, until he get got in over his head . . . .
I think you would find great leaders and poor leaders coming from all military communities. Its true that the stereotypical cavalryman tends towards action over contemplation. When it works out, we call them decisive and when it doesn't we call them reckless. I don't know GEN Dempsey well enough to know if fits that particular stereotype. But if he does, maybe charging headlong into the Pentagon bureaucracy isn't so bad - certainly better than charging into isolated valleys in the Vietnamese highland.
Daunting indeed. I just have to wonder where Barno was with all these good ideas a few months/years ago when he didn't have the (Ret.) after his rank? Heh, better late than never.
I don't get the jokes from JG about goats, enlighten me? I will say the Army doesn't understand resilience, lots of work to be done there, what they are selling now is a start but it doesn't begin to address the problem.
Finally, I didn't serve with Dempsey, but he did me an unknowing favor a long time ago which I am eternally grateful for. I did serve in his old unit not long after he left though...and I know Bandits Don't Fail Those With Whom They Serve.
I got my fingers crossed he will rise to the challenge of this Top 10 list, in truth he has nowhere but up to go vice his predecessor.
The joke begins with a guy coming into a town across a beautiful bridge. He meets the guy who built it at the bar, who everyone laughs at and no one will sit with.
It ends with "yeah, you can build a thousand bridges, and they might call you a bridge-builder. But if you ---- one goat..."
I'll leave it up to you what you'd call a guy like that. The point is that I'm sure Westmoreland did a lot of great things, but I can't name any of them. I just know he's the guy that ----ed the goat in Vietnam. I think McChrystal gets to wear that crown for Afghanistan and Bremer gets it for Iraq. Now we'll see if Dempsey gets one for the post-war Army.
I know that joke, my version had a sheep in it. Your point is well taken. You're only remembered for your last great act.
And the task of re-orienting combat leaders to the reality of garrison training in a fiscally austere environment, and the leadership challenges that will entail, is at the top of the list.
From my mid-career officer's foxhole...
No doubt that most commenters on this forum will find LTG Barno’s essay too fawning and pro-Army, but I think that, on the whole, he is mostly right. I agree that GEN Dempsey is a fine choice and probably the best candidate. Afghanistan is far from over (barring a major policy change in the near future), as is the terrorist threat from certain extremist non-state actors. I think the Army will still be significantly operationally engaged during GEN Dempsey’s tenure as CoS; I doubt we’ll have trouble keeping the “war babies” in. But the OPTEMPO should slow down enough to properly implement ARFORGEN (Army Force Generation), the three-phase cycle of reorganization, training, and operational deployment. A return to a true regimental system would be fantastic for implementing the less centralized and flattened organization and personnel systems that LTG Barno is recommending. I can see a requirement for expanding special forces and/or extending traditional special forces missions to “conventional” units with the goal of both building/retaining regional expertise and deploying to prevent future wars rather than simply training to fight them. The Army will also need to “relearn” high intensity conflict. The rise of near-peer regional powers like the so-called BRIC nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China) and future national policy that will no doubt be more circumspect about becoming involved in another long term counterinsurgency should combine to make COIN less likely in the future while threats of conventional military action (think North Korea) will increase. In any case, the Army (and probably DoD as a whole) needs to realign strategic ends, ways, and means. And maybe on a level of lesser importance, the Army needs to fix the uniform situation from replacing the ACU with a camo pattern that actually works to getting rid of those God-awful “mall cop” Class-B’s (the one with the white shirt and blue trousers). And don’t get me started on the stupid black felt bag they make us all wear on our heads (only the French could invent headgear so worthless). I wish GEN Dempsey all the best as he takes on the challenges that await him.
Everyone has different views from their spot on the mountain, but I think you make a mistake by discounting the War Babies desire to leave the Army immediately or in the near future. I can't speak for other year groups, but I can tell you from experience that 2005, 2006, and 2007 are filled with officers looking to get out. And the officers that are looking to get out aren't just the bottom feeders the Army wants to get rid of.
After 1st AD's bloody 15 month deployment in OIF I, Dempsey had his commanders and JAGs purge hundreds of combat veterans with other-than-honorable discharges for things like possession of marijuana, short AWOLs, and drunk and disorderly problems.
There was no attempt to treat any of these soldiers for PTSD, give single soldiers in the barracks any leadership, or rehabilitate soldiers who had serious issues with what they had seen and done in Iraq.
This is like leaving wounded soldiers on the battlefield, in my opinion.
After reading the "Lost Art of Leadership in Garrison" part of the Army Suicide Prention Report, I'm not so sure this wasn't a bad thing.
http://www.army.mil/-news/2010/07/28/42934-army-health-promotion-risk-reduction-and-suicide-prevention-report/index.html
enlisting in the army is a symptom?
Oh, what a piece of rationalization that report is.
So, people who enlist in the Army are predisposed to risk-taking behavior, because we know that they know they're going into combat? Thus, when they take risks by acting up after long and repeated 15 month deployments, it's more of a preexisting condition than the effect of the long combat deployment, longer than WWII on the western front.
Burn 'em out, kick 'em out and let society deal with 'em - after you further disable them with other-than-honorable discharges for minor offenses like self-medicating with marijuana.
I guess that was Dempsey's idea - if they kill themselves outside the Army, who cares? A despicable careerist.
One thing we know about old Marty boy is that he knows how to look the other way when people are being tortured and murdered.
11) Challenge the AVF - push for return of the draft
...or cancel 7).
....look, sclerosis comes with heritage and age. The world around, ie, major industries and organizations, us that, regardless of their belief in their selves, a time for a wholesale cultural revolution at the top. It is time for the leadership to go. Start bringing into the Army and other services professionals from the side at all echelons. We might find that this will invigorate the organization.
As Frederick the Great once observed, like Prince Arthur's mule, an officer goes gray in the ranks and while there becomes, like the mule, proficient in the routine but has no ability to soar to victory, only to trudge thru campaigns. TRADOC is where the mules rest.
We spend more by factors than any of our challengers yet we can not seem to produce anything other than the most elaborate of galleons decades after needed. This profligate behavior continues well after the rest of society is in hock. Time for management change until we match the Pirates or O's or America's team, the Nationals.
Okay, he's not in office yet, but let's see real change.
1) Eliminate overhead. Will he support Gates idea to cut Generals and HQs in Europe after Gates leave?.An Army HQ, and Corps HQ, and two Division HQ to command four brigades? Will he keep open two big bases that the Bush admin directed to close, but his Generals quietly kept open?
2) Will he cut the massive overhead in Korea, with an entire Army HQ to command a brigade? The entire Daegu complex is just fat.
3) Will he support a pay freeze for four years to retain force structure? The Jan. pay raise could have funded 30,000 more bodies.
4) Will he stop the firing squad solution for good NCOs and officers who make mistakes, like DUIs or smoking a joint.
The Armymarines will blow twice as many FRN's as they waste now. They will manufacture threats and keep this nation commited to war until total collapse. They are all "Warriors" now, and hold the civilian population in utter and complete contempt. As far as they are concernrd, all money in America belongs to them. They decide what we can keep. In nominal dollars, the budget will double under this little tin pot war monger. Bet on it.
When you say "An Army HQ, and Corps HQ, and two Division HQ to command four brigades," it shows that you have no understanding of how the Army works or is organized. Those BCTs can fall under any division when deployed, and normally do, the Division HQ and Corp HQ command much more than 4 Brigades, even in Europe you seem to dismiss the Support and Avation Brigades. The Division and Corp HQ are designed to deploy into comabat and command much more, as we have seen in OIF and OEF...the days of a Division deploying as a Division are long gone. Same goes for your comments on Korea, the Army HQ is designed to command all the forces that would deploy if war were to break out. Feel free to do some reading on how the Army runs and is organized, or talk to someone with some knowledge on the subject.
Not sure where you get the numbers for a pay freeze in January supporting 30,000 more soldiers...does that include all the equipment, training, medical care, housing, etc...that 30k troops require, I doubt it. Again, seems to be another made up fact.
Thanks for your comments, as they represent exactly what is wrong with Army officer thinking. All this massive overhead is considered normal and needed. Then why did Gates direct the overhead cuts? How about the 50 of so Army Generals in Europe to command these four brigades? Why not wipe out the 10 division HQs for a leaner, flatter organization, like McGregor suggested. We don't rely on foot runners anymore. Since blue force trackers show Corps HQ each tank, I'd think they can keep track of ten brigades HQ.
When people point this out, the reaction is that outsiders are ignorant, and need to educate themselves. The wording of your response shows the arrogance of the ignorant. For example, South Korea's military is roughly five times stronger than the North, and its mobilized Army is twice as big. So why does the Army think it needs to be ready to send American foot soldiers over there? We have one combat brigade in Korea and one aviation brigade, yet this requires 20,000 active soldiers there and 30,000 American/Korean civilians?
The pay raise costs is roughly $100,000 a year per soldier, so that doesn't cover equipment. Of course you didn't suggest that is an interesting idea, but the typical response by someone from an officer corps focused on pay, perks, and privileges. Keep your hands off my undeserved annual pay raise, even though civilians see wages fall and even fed civilians get a freeze.
you miss the point...all those Generals in Europe are not there to command 4 Brigades. There are many more than 4 Brigades in Germany and Europe as a whole...but hey feel free to only count the BCTs.
Saying the Corps and Army HQ only command those units is the same as complaining that 18th Airborne Corps only commands units at Ft. Bragg, its simply not true. Corps HQ operate on a rotational basis, as you have seen in Iraq...so these Corps HQ that you somehow think only command units in Germany, actually command multiple Divisions when in combat (serving as MNCI for example). In the same manner that COCOMs do not have huge amounts of assigned forces, but can swell to well over 200k as we see with CENTCOM...when all the troops redeply, will you complain that CENTCOM is not necessary, because at the moment the 4-Star HQ is only commanding a small force?
If you make an argument, try backing it up with facts and a relevant analysis.
The Army has 12 redundant and mostly immobile Corps size HQs led by three or four star Generals to command the 10 divisions. Yes I know that some of these are "joint " commands, but they are really Army dominated Corps+ size command elements.
I Corps - Wash State
III Corps - Texas
V Corps - Germany
18th Corps - Bragg
7th Army - Germany
8th Army - Korea
US Army Pacific - Hawaii
SouthCom - Miami
AfricaCom - Germany
CentCom - Qatar
USFI- Iraq
USFA - Afghanistan
What to do?
Eliminate 8th Army, the 2nd Div HQ can do it
Eliminate V Corps and 7th Army - A division HQ can do it, as two brigades move back to the USA as the Bush admin directed, but the Army has stalled
Eliminate AfricaCom - the State Dept can do it
Eliminate USFI - let Centcom do it with a Division HQ (we are leaving there, right?)
Eliminate SouthCom - let State and the DEA do it
The next CG of USAREUR will be a three star not a four star. The First Armored Division is headed back to the states. The final decision of the two brigades will be made soon but I believe that at least one and probably both will come back to the states leaving the 2nd SCR and 173rd in Europe. I am not convinced that V Corps will be retained in Germany rather redeployed to CONUS. It is clear that Congress is looking for ways to cut the deficiet and maintianing overseas bases and commands may no longer be justifiable. There is speculation that USAFRICACOM will be redeployed from Stuttgart to probably Norfolk area. Can the move of USAREUR and EUCOM back to CONUS be far away! If you are looking for saving having HQs in Europe 20 years after the fall of the Berlin Wall does not make sense.
Korea is a different matter, you have USFK which is a Joint Organization and you have Eighth Army which is the Army Force Command for U. S. Army Forces in Korea. It has been downsized and more to come. I suspect that keeping the 2nd ID HQ in Korea is something that needs to reexamined. At this point they have three Brigade equivalent commands under their C2.
The problem with pay raises is that even if DoD agreed Congress would give it to the Armed Forces.
Concur on the firing squad solution, but I doubt it will happen, to many zero defect aholes in the Army.
Clearly you don't know anything about the military. Several of the Commands you listed such as USAFRICACOM are unified commands e.g. Joint made up of all the services.
The Army Four and Three Star Commands are:
FORSCOM
AMC
TRADOC
Army Central
Army Europe
Army Pacific
Eighth Army Korea
Army North
Space and Missile Defense Command
Army Special Operations Command
I Corps
III Corps
V Corps (currently commanded by a 1 Star)
XVIII Airborne Corps
There are three Army Commands that support unified commands that are commanded by two stars:
Strategic Deployment and Distribution Command
Army Africa
Army South
Townie, clearly, you don't know how to read
I wrote:
"Yes I know that some of these are "joint " commands, but they are really Army dominated Corps+ size command elements."
Your attempt to woo us with your expertise failed. There is 1st Army HQs, led by a three star General. It mostly deals with reserve issues. That entire Army is mostly fat left over from the Cold war. It has training divisions that do little but collect pay. Reserve units should be aligned directly to support Corps commands.
And you forgot four-star General P in Afghanistan and the four-star ox in Iraq, who apparently have some sort of command of army troops.
And there is U.S. Army Alaska with a two-star, which as no real mission, other than pretend to share command of 25th Division elements.
There is U.S. Army Japan, with a two star to command 2000 support troops.
Stop HQ's efforts at backfilling....
....starting to see the use of the words like 'backfilling' coming out of program executives to provide documents that justify decisions made in years past for quick reaction spending to eat up either supplemental or expanding war appropriations. (This is the side of the war where while some are getting killed many are making a killing.) It is like creating documents to show that substance sits beneath decisions made when in fact what was occurring an every REMF for his or her self raid upon a treasury left wide open. It is to assure the final days of a career sit upon a pinnacle of costs (a measure of military or civil service success) and establish a well seeded after market for professional service annuities to large vendor recipients of this largess.
Will back dating be directed to assure consistency if an unlikely audit is feared?
If Gates is concerned he'd order those practices stopped immediately. Go back to simple business case analysis and engineering cost verification with SarBox accountability before spending a dime of any money upon stampede money decisions. CYA is expensive and a very bad investment. Paying for the defense of Maddoff or watching Fox News for 'fair and balance' is a more lucrative decisions.
Nice to-do list, but might want to recalibrate number #1. We did not ‘win’ in Iraq and continue to flounder in Afghanistan. Hope he has the courage to ‘finish’ these fights by pulling out all Army personnel out of these misbegotten adventures.
On Iraq, it depends on how you define "victory". One of the many flaws the US establishment failed to fully grasp during the conflict was that it lacked a final, over lasting strategic objective that had to be met to call it an absolute victory, post-Saddam, besides from "stabilizing" the country. For the most part the conflict was based in American reaction to insurgent breakouts, with the United States' commitment based in fear of Iraq being overrun by Islamic radicals. If you define victory as building a democratic Valhalla in Iraq, like some neo-cons probably dreamed of at the beginning of the war, it was an absolute, unbelievable, astonishing defeat. On the other hand if you stay on the very limited vision of "removed a hostile regime, and put another one in place while maintaining it somewhat stable and keeping violence to a minimum", then US forces succeeded, regardless of the immense damage in global reputation it suffered throughout. Nonetheless, said "Victory" that might be Pyrrhic in principle if the Iraqi government collapses in the following years or if its influenced successfully by the Iranian regime to the extent that puts it in a direct clash with US interests.
Don't look now, but Army air has a serious lift deficit built in
We operated past the airframe half-life point much earlier than planned, and are fielding plans for replacements late, with more slippage likely.
Sorry to be late to this fight. Dave Barno's list is interesting and important, however THE issue for the era is solving the affordablilty of this Army.
Affordability measured not in bumper stickers supported by power point slides about numbers of soldiers or quality of life or such - those are inputs. The relevant metric is measuring outputs, that is the ability of the Army to sustain forces out. That metric makes it clear today's Army is simply unsustainable.
As I recall we have something like 45 BCTs and they are out about 1 in 2 or in round numbers that is 110,000 trigger pulling soldiers out at any one time (and that widely seen as unsustainable) . Today, that 110,000 soldiers out costs the Nation just under a quarter a trillion dollars a year. It doesn't get a lot better in the out years - as we have seen in the drawdown from Iraq, pulling soldiers out of Iraq has not had a material impact on the Army's bill to the taxpayers.
This situation has been a decade in the making (the Army budget in August 2001 as I recall was about 68 billion). So I submit much of Dave Barno's list is about increasing that quarter of a trillion dollar bill to the Nation, the reality facing Marty Dempsey is vastly different. Unicorn out
Sorry to be late to this fight. Dave Barno's list is interesting and important, however THE issue for the era is solving the affordablilty of this Army.
Affordability measured not in bumper stickers supported by power point slides about numbers of soldiers or quality of life or such - those are inputs. The relevant metric is measuring outputs, that is the ability of the Army to sustain forces out. That metric makes it clear today's Army is simply unsustainable.
As I recall we have something like 45 BCTs and they are out about 1 in 2 or in round numbers that is 110,000 trigger pulling soldiers out at any one time (and that widely seen as unsustainable) . Today, that 110,000 soldiers out costs the Nation just under a quarter a trillion dollars a year. It doesn't get a lot better in the out years - as we have seen in the drawdown from Iraq, pulling soldiers out of Iraq has not had a material impact on the Army's bill to the taxpayers.
This situation has been a decade in the making (the Army budget in August 2001 as I recall was about 68 billion). So I submit much of Dave Barno's list is about increasing that quarter of a trillion dollar bill to the Nation, the reality facing Marty Dempsey is vastly different. Unicorn out
The jungle drums carry a message of lowered defense spending, not increase. But whether it's up or down, the real key will be in the direction Gates is pushing: internal rearrangement of programs and priorities.
With the Rs in power and getting pushed from the right (imagine: to the right of the Republican Party!) to cut defense (google "tea party defense spending"), the twist may be that the Rs give the Ds cover from the weak-on-defense libel (in fact defense spending tends to go up under Ds and down under Rs). So, for defense advocates, you may have a perfect storm ahead.
What's missing from the overall defense discussion is any talk of reform. It's all about buying and fielding more or less of more-or-less the same thing (geez, it's really worked well in the Middle East). The absence of serious talk about defense strategy and priorities indicts our defense establishment, especially those adamant keepers of the status quo, the military Services. No shakeup could be too big.
re " fielding more or less of more-or-less the same thing."
Contractors are flying '80's vintage rooshun rotary in support of our Afghan war. Only the more over-powered of the NATO-US rotary can hack it, hauling a reduced load, and that's wearing out, depleting the VERTREP capability across the force and fleet.
The rotary reset alone is a half trillion problem.
Education is not part of the Army culture, and while I agree with LTG (R) Barno's assertion that it should be, I doubt that it will happen on GEN Dempsey's watch. Many officers view education as a necessary evil to get to the next level of command, and here I am referring to the mandatory schools (career courses, CGSC) that are the "gates." Education (such as graduate school or a fellowship) are viewed as unnecessary (and perhaps even career-damaging) diversions from the "real" Army. Until the Army rewards officers for undertaking education beyond the mandatory Army schools, the Army as an institution will continue to pay lip service to the "importance of education."
I have a corollary to BolandJD's uniform comments: we need to quit wearing the ACU (and its successor) to EVERYTHING. It is not a uniform that is suitable for every occasion. The justification that we are an "Army at war" is worn out, and now it's just an excuse for not wanting to wear Class B's on the Washington Metro. I hate seeing events on TV where the other services are in their service-dress uniforms, and there's the Army, wearing a field uniform topped with a black beret. We should look as good as we are.
Thanks for saying that again. So true.
No on your comment about Army education. The education records of the next, current, and past Army Chiefs of Staff back through General Rogers shows that all ten graduated from a junior service college, nine graduated from a senior service college (either Army or National), and nine hold master degrees. The one who did not attend senior service college (Casey) and the one without a masters (Meyer) both had fellowships at prestigious think tanks. One (Rogers) was a Rhodes Scholar. If the current breed downplays 'education,' it is a recent and unenlightened trend. Ah, My Favorite Army: Luddites.
Yes on your comment about uniforms. The idea that cammie pajamas are a suitable dress uniform is an insult to military tradition and a shabby way to assert combat bona fides. The Smothers Brothers put it in the right light (to the tune of Streets of Laredo):
"I see by your outfit that you are a cowboy;
I see by your outfit you are a cowboy, too;
We see by our outfits that we are both cowboys.
If you get an outfit, you can be a cowboy, too."
"For the second year in a row, the U.S. military has lost more troops to suicide than it has to combat in Iraq and Afghanistan."
Our people are killing themselves in droves. Barno the revolving door CNAS barker and battlefield loser missed this little fact. Typical of today's fascist officers.
http://www.congress.org/news/2011/01/24/more_troops_lost_to_suicide
"According to four current and former NESA Center employees, all of whom asked for anonymity for fear of retribution, Barno has been investigated by a special unit of the Defense Department's Inspector General's office that focuses on senior officials. The allegations are that he created an office that misspent taxpayer funds, abused contractor employees under threat of termination, awarded jobs based on favoritism rather than merit, and created an overall atmosphere of fear and intimidation at the center."
I wonder how this got swept under the rug.
http://thecable.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2010/03/24/exclusive_former_top_us_afghan_commander_accused_of_mismanagement
Will Dempsey be able to do it?
General Dempsey does have good ideas and the ability to lead, but the inflexiblity of the garrison Army is strong...I have seen people in charge of captain career courses give a faculty member hell because he actually took the captains to a fuels unit in order to teach the strengths and capabilities of the units instead of following the powerpoint plan of instruction...innovation, flexiblity and adaptability are very weak values in a lot of the institutional Army...Barno is spot on...the best and brightest will be crushed and they may leave in droves unless something drastic is done...
Beat Navy and USAF, in the budget wars.
It's no joke.
Those other services are similarly oriented toward the center of mass, which lies along the Capitol-Pentagon axis. Follow the money.
CSAa shoot for 3-5 things to accomplish
I like the last paragraph:
"This Army is at a strategic inflection point -- success in the next war may well rest on how it manages this wrenching transition. "
I would band the items in groups of 3-4 –remember that CSAs (as strategic/organizational leaders) shoot for 3-5 things to accomplish in their tenure and are lucky/happy to get 2. One of the roles of the CSA is to posture his successor and the CSA-after-next for success--so first things first.
My recommendations:
GEN Dempsey first priority is to continue to provide combatant commanders with relevant and ready landpower for this fight and meet operational requirements across the globe (Title 10 responsibilities are comparable to Organizational/Business Strategy).
Second priority is to retain and develop human capital--that includes intellectual and moral aspects of the human dimension. As Jim Collins stated "First Who, then What" (have to have a strong Leader/Leadership Strategy--this addresses the culture). Having bright, talented, and motivated folks who understand the Mission enables a lot of good things in tough times.
The third priority is to capture lessons from contemporary operations (not just in theaters of conflict) and provide reflective thought to develop concepts that will drive transitions in preparation for the next fight(s) or POTUS-directed activities. (Given Organiztional and Leadership Strategies that lay out the "what" and the "why", this priority provides the context for the "how".) For Army, the framework is DOTMLPF to develop and integrate capabilities for the future force.
Three "Big" Things are strategic in nature and essential for the Army.
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