My CNAS colleague Connor O'Brien recently wandered over to the W Hotel to see what congressional Republicans have up their sleeves. He wandered back with this report. 

By Connor O'Brien

Best Defense Capitol Hill deputy bureau chief

The other day I went to see what Rep. Buck McKeon, the presumptive next chairman of the House Armed Services Committee, might have to say about things will change on his watch.

The California Republican was a bit coy. The theme of his talk at the Foreign Policy Initiative's 2010 Forum was leadership. He quoted Gen. Omar Bradley, saying that, "Leadership is intangible, and therefore no weapon ever designed can replace it." HASC, as he sees it, needs to restore leadership where President Obama and congressional Democrats have failed. This includes setting a timeline for drawing down troops in Afghanistan, losing focus on Iraq, cutting missile defense programs, and mishandling the War on Terror.

Mr. McKeon committed to working in a bipartisan manner and promised that HASC would not wade into partisan "gotcha" oversight, but the verbs he used in describing his agenda were telling, as  he vowed to "expose," "expedite," "challenge," and "focus," among other things. But he made few concrete statements about anything outside of the normal oversight power that is given to any congressional committee, other than calling wartime cuts in defense spending "a red line for me and a red line for all Americans." Mr. McKeon even acknowledged that his committee's ability to call Gen. David Petraeus to testify on Afghanistan could be limited by the executive branch. "Well, we can ask," McKeon said, "But as I said, we only have one commander in chief, and if he commands Gen. Petraeus to be busy doing something else, he may not show up."

Leadership is intangible, but the final outcome of defense policy is not. Republicans are no doubt committed to strengthening national defense through expanding the budget, exposing poor practices in the defense bureaucracy, and making a long-term military commitment in Afghanistan, but his committee's ability to change the status quo remains to be seen. The same was true of the 110th Congress, where a Democratic majority elected on an anti-war platform ultimately failed to end the Iraq War. With a Democratic Senate and, if necessary, a presidential veto standing in the way, Mr. McKeon and House Republicans have their work cut out for themselves. Still unresolved is the stance newly elected deficit-hawk Republicans will take on defense spending, a divide Sen. John McCain predicted earlier in the day at the FPI hoedown.

Bottom line: Don't expect too much out of the HASC in the next two years.

Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

 

IRONCAPT

12:27 PM ET

November 18, 2010

Meet the New Boss...

... Same as the Old Boss.

 

RAYFIN3

1:00 PM ET

November 18, 2010

Real Leader?

Another step closer to Armageddon. I’m certain that this good American will do everything within his power to fatten the coffers of the defense industries within his district, ensure his former staffers get jobs with these same industries, and perhaps even line up well-paid sinecures for his wife and children (one source claimed that his wife ‘earned’ almost $300K between 02-06 as a campaign adviser). All the time, he will be vigorously waving the flag and honking about how he must make America strong. His definition of American strength, however, is that of a selfish bully. He could care less about the American people, but just wants bigger and better weapons and defense contracts for his friends within the MIC (who helped to finance his re-election). BTW, this True Patriot has never spent one day in uniform.

 

RUBBER DUCKY

1:03 PM ET

November 18, 2010

Bloated

Defense spending is at an obscenely high level, held there by a combination of Service interests, corporate desires, and congressional power gathering. The Iron Triangle lives ... divorced from national interest and uninformed by true defense needs. Sounds like this twit McKeon is in the pocket of the beneficiaries of all this squandered national treasure (and about as bright as the average R).

 

JPWREL

1:11 PM ET

November 18, 2010

At some point, no matter how

At some point, no matter how fiercely resisted economics and finance will prevail in the contest between what we want and what we can afford. Affordability is the true big battalion in the contest over military appropriations. Since we are not willing to tax ourselves to pay for the size of the military the only recourse is to use the paring knife. A certain ideological element in Congress don’t even want to ask the American people to pay for current operations in war zones and prefer putting it on the tab.

At some point the press of the balance sheet and income statement will force reality even upon the Dept. of Defense. The British of late have discovered that stark fact rather rudely and are in the process of shrinking their forces and capabilities accordingly through outright cuts and consolidations in order to align them with the actual economic capability of the nation. At some point the United States will have to do the same.

The problem is the traditional appropriations and procurement patterns of the past still reign supreme even though our economic viability has taken a tremendous shock and we have major competing demand for funds form the civilian sector. We must realigned our procurement polices with a realistic national defense strategy that we can afford. Attempting to fix the procurement process without a clear and understandable appreciation of what we expect our armed forces to do is futile. The fact is we can’t do everything all the time thus we must prioritize.

Less costly alternatives need to be found to preserve capabilities in the face of economic stress. For instance rather than allowing the Navy to squander billons upon a calamitous LCS program we could instead have them build new updated frigates on a proven design at a fraction of the cost. Rather than fielding three versions of the new F-35 (A, B, & C) we should focus only on the USAF (A) and USN (C) and drop the overly complex (B). The Marines don’t need the F-35B and the latest F-18E’ and F’s should suit them just fine for their mission. The Virginia class subs production might be slowed but probably needs to continue if only to preserve the very critical submarine construction industrial infrastructure.

The astoundingly absurd V-22 project needs to be cancelled at once and Marine lift instead supplemented by new less expensive MH-60’s. The disastrous EFV should be cancelled and a less costly and simpler amphibian replacement ordered. We could also retire at least one more complete carrier strike group while also standing down numerous USAF fighter squadrons and bases saving enormous amounts of money. Additionally, manpower cuts particularly in the over blown Army could be made if large elements if not all of their regular artillery and armor were reassigned to the reserves and NG. The regular Army and Marines should be a light and mobile force.

None of this is easy and each system has their proponents who claim that disaster will befall our national security if their pet project or arm is cut or trimmed. But nobody said governing would be easy.

 

RAYFIN3

2:05 PM ET

November 18, 2010

jolly roger

Nice post with lots of good specifics. I agree that certain economic laws, sooner or later, must be obeyed. Pirates, however, operate under their own rules. Where does the ‘paring knife’ fit into the general understanding of the American way of life? We will elect those leaders like Mr. Buck McKeon, who are prepared to do what is necessary to keep fortress America strong (even if it means becoming the global jolly roger with his paring-knife claw).

 

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WALKING WOUNDED

5:07 AM ET

November 19, 2010

I see that former HASC chair Duncan Hunter is making the rounds

I never did figure out how war hero Cunningham could extort money so egregiously, without complicit crimes being committed on the Service side, or anyone on Hunter's committee staff being aware of it.

 

WALKING WOUNDED

12:11 PM ET

November 23, 2010

Duncan Hunter HASC legacy

I liked the way Duncan, the ranking HASC member after 2006, declared himself 'a presidential candidate' during his final year (2008) of congressional service. My guess was that fake candidacy kinda placed him in a protected zone re federal investigation, and that it also opened a new campaign account that would bridge him thru to his retirement career as a 'consultant'.

Less interesting than the clout that allowed Duncan to pass 'his' seat to a son, is that the San Diego US Attorney was fired in the midst of the Cunningham bribery investigation/prosecutions. There's no way that a senior republican HASC member was blackmailing the USN into paying hundreds of millions for useless software, without word of that getting back to the HASC chairman of those golden years- which was D. Hunter.

During his non campaign in 2008, US Rep. L. Hunter served honorably, like his father and Duke Cunningham.

Re the V22, which Duncan championed during his long career, the buy is virtually complete, so news that the first hundred or so A-block birds are obsolete hangar queens (at $70M ea) won't kill the program.

 

Thomas E. Ricks covered the U.S. military for the Washington Post from 2000 through 2008.

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