Good for him. This strikes me as the right move strategically. China will be miffed, but that is OK. The message is sent that we will work with our rivals but support our allies. "It is my firm belief," the president said, "that the relationship between the United States and India -- bound by our shared interests and values -- will be one of the defining partnerships of the 21st century."

Also, it shows that while the U.S. is trying to bolster the rotten regime in Pakistan, we understand where our long-term interests lie. He should get some credit for not being an idiot about on this.

Now, let's see if the Krauthammers of the world give him credit when it is due, even by their harsh lights.

Globally speaking, it will be interesting to see how the United Nations changes if China, Japan and India all have permanent seats at the adults' table. It also probably is time to kick out France and Britain and instead give the EU one seat, which would make the permanent members:

  • United States
  • Russia
  • China
  • India
  • Japan
  • EU

That means 3.5 members of the council would be Asian.

kjarrett/flickr

 

SOLDIERSDIARY

12:15 PM ET

November 8, 2010

the UN

It is tough to add members to permanent status. You want to add India, well Pakistan will have something to say about that. You want to add Germany, France may speak up and say no, Turkey, well there are a number of nations against that. How about adding Japan...well China will probably say no. Amending the UN charter is just not going to happen.

 

STARBUCK

2:21 PM ET

November 8, 2010

In keeping with

In keeping with British/French cooperation as of late, perhaps Britain will keep it's seat, but France will get to sit in it until 2020.

 

RME71

2:30 PM ET

November 8, 2010

Miffed

Tom,

Did you ever think that maybe one reason that POTUS and other thousands were in India was to miff the Chinese by extending our relationship with the Indians? I certainly hope our government has the wherewithall to figure that out. Good, long term relationships with area co-habitants of the Chinese and adversaries of the Chinese may be good for long haul. Certainly anything that makes the Chinese flinch probably is.

 

CARDSHARP

4:03 PM ET

November 8, 2010

Good luck getting the French and English to give up their seats.

Although it would more properly represent the balance of power, this won't happen. Also it begs the question should the UNSC even try to represent a balance of power?

As I understood it, the idea behind the UNSC permanent members was designed to prevent a 'league of nations' style collapse by making sure that a core group of nations would not withdraw from the UN as Germany and Japan did.

 

WALKING WOUNDED

5:13 PM ET

November 8, 2010

China's drive for Indian Ocean access

China's long-term hunt for Indian Ocean access for the is sort of like the Russian position in the Great Game. They seem to be making good progress with both Pakistan and Myanmar.

China played the Pakistan card long ago, enabling nuclear islamic missiles against New Delhi. Is the US on the verge of guaranteeing India nuclear security against China-Pakistan? Or have we already done so secretly? That might hold promise to put Islamabad's hope for reconquista jihad on permanent ice.

The IRPak port at Gwadar is under-developed, their hold on Beluchistan's Quetta insurgents tenuous. A Chinese capitalized air hub and naval base down there would complement Chinese overwatch of the Mollaca Straights from good old Rangoon.

What goes round comes round.

 

JUNGLE JIM

7:04 PM ET

November 8, 2010

What would be the basis for

What would be the basis for adding Japan as a permanent member?

 

FRENCHCONNECTION

7:56 PM ET

November 8, 2010

none

there are 3 implicit prerequisites to be a member of of the UNSC permanent members (notice "security")

- big money
- nukes
- geostrategical influence

All current members have those 3 at different levels

Japan has only one, money, geostrategically it's castrated, cannot even kick out the US from Okinawa.

India meets basically the 3 today, at least two (money, nukes and is at least geostrategically locally important).

if Brazil had nukes (probably a matter of time) if would be in a similar situation.

Germany is very similar to Japan, with the advantage that its membership in the EU gives it a huge geostrategical advantage. Besides it's current culture of democracy is far better than the more or less corrupted Japanese tradition.

 

WALKING WOUNDED

2:11 AM ET

November 9, 2010

Japan has plutonium AND orbital launch capability

JJ, Japan has plutonium and orbital launch capability, including satellite tech. When Toshiba sold CNC machining and CAD design capability to China, enabling quiet FASubmarines, the US viewed it as a strategic betrayal. The Japanese make the tools to make ALL kinds of complicated toys, including our best stuff.

The thermonuclear power formerly known as Evil Empire sold tons of Pu to Japan, effectively playing 'the Japan card' agin Mao's dynasty. This in spite of the bitterly contested Russian occupation of the Kurile Islands. (Both Japan and Roosha have mid-century histories of state terrorism, and yet still manage to talk.)

Why wouldn't a country like modern Japan or Arabia want nuclear sovereignty, given their vulnerabilities? If logic says that they have the financial means, and should reasonably fear for their marbles being taken away, then the question becomes one of access and capability.

Anyone who thinks Japan isn't another opaque member of the nuclear club is taking too much prozac, or is selected for their strategic blindness. The only thing England had that Japan still lacks is the ability to wag the dog.

 

FRENCHCONNECTION

7:25 PM ET

November 8, 2010

the EU is not a nation

it's a confederation of nations tied primarily by common economic interests. It doesn't have an elected executive power, no common judiciary and a parliament with mostly consultattive powers. It has no common army. It has no nukes, France and UK have, 3rd in rank after the US.Russia but technologically second.

Nobody can "kick" France and the UK from the Security Council, it would only lead to an implosion of the system. The only possibility would be a voluntary stepdown and a replacement by a FEDERATED EU (USA style). That won't happen before 2100, if ever.

Japan has nothing to do there. In that case Germany would be far more fitted or Brazil. Or both.

Anywat the US doesn't care about what the UN says, especially when the UN disagrees, Iraq being the latest example. But it's useful to veto any resolution condemning Israel.

So the logic would be that the Us pulls out of the UN, teabaggers would love that. Can be replaced by NAFTA, as long as it exists.

 

EMBRA

6:48 AM ET

November 9, 2010

a) or b)

a) The message is sent that we will work with our rivals but support our allies.

b) It also probably is time to kick out France and Britain and instead give the EU one seat.

Two questions: you are aware that the EU doesn't have a foreign policy, aren't you? and how many troops does India have in Afghanistan, more or less than Britain and France?

 

PRASHANTH

8:29 AM ET

November 9, 2010

India does not have troops

India does not have troops other than troops to support its Infrastructure Company / Division since US does not want troops from India lest Pakistan withdraw even the superficial support it is giving to US.

 

WALKING WOUNDED

11:45 AM ET

November 9, 2010

India has funded the Northern Alliance

India has funded the Northern Alliance, whose Tajik persian language and roots are toxic to both Pashtun and Islamabad ears.

Given the Islamabad's clear intent and history of mobilizing Pashtuns for the wars in Kashmir, India's interest in Afghanistan must include significant proxy paramilitary and covert presence, whether we like it or not. India is one of a growing list of countries (Iran, Russia, US) whose embassies in Kabul have been bombed or sacked over the years.

The hope of ISAF policy wonks is that NATO troops are seen as temporary, less inflammatory than Indian troops on the ground in Pashtunistan. But India is in it for the long haul, politics commerce or war, whatever it takes.

Looking at a map, IRPakistan would be the size of Bangladesh, but for the Brit raj-era Durand Line inclusion of Pashtun, tribal and Baluchi lands W. of the Indus. The 100 year 'lease' that ceded those lands finally 'expired' under the Taliban, who never did agree to re-certifying the split of Pashtun lands along the mtn divide. The loss of SE Bauchistan/Gwadar makes Afghanistan land-locked.

 

WALKING WOUNDED

9:44 PM ET

November 10, 2010

Mushy says India supports anti-IRPak insurgency

Specifically, Musharraf's charge was that India and elements of Karzai's gov't support factions that don't recognize IRPakistans 'territorial integrity', which is to say Islamabad's sovereignty over Pashtunistan E. of the Durand line.

Searchable transcript, proxy war discussion starts at 1:19:22
http://www.c-spanvideo.org/program/id/237447
US - Pakistan Relations: A Dialogue with Pervez Musharraf
November 10, 2010

 

ENLISTENZ

3:37 AM ET

November 11, 2010

The EU is not a nation

And I believe that it is a prerequisite that members of the Security Council first be members of the UN, and only states are eligible for that.

If any of you jokers are really serious about this, how would the UN charter be amended to accomodate you?

 

Thomas E. Ricks covered the U.S. military for the Washington Post from 2000 through 2008.

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