Friday, October 29, 2010 - 7:25 AM

I see where the U.S. government has disclosed that its total intelligence budget is $80.1 billion. (I was surprised to see that the military chunk of that is so big -- $27 billion. I am guessing that a lot of that goes to satellites, probably the part of defense spending most neglected by reporters.) That means the U.S. intelligence community as a whole has a larger economy than any these countries, going by the IMF's estimates for nominal GDP, 2009:
Maybe the CIA and NSA should demand their own U.N. seats, like Stalin did for certain Soviet republics after World War II. But then the DIA would want one…
U.S. military intelligence spending all by itself is bigger than the economies of Panama, Yemen, or Jordan -- which reminds me of the old journalists' joke that that last country is a wholly owned subsidiary of the U.S. intelligence community.
Jokes aside, my gut feeling is that we could halve the size of intelligence spending without losing much security. The question is which half?
It would be interesting to know what that $80 billon really buys? It is unfortunate that there is not some method to discover the ‘real return on capital’ of that whole ecclesiastical and almost mystical apparatus that is much like a ‘Temple of Intelligence’.
One aspect left out as concerns this $80 billion is, and I think this is still true, the DCI can or in other parlance, reprogram funds from one use to another after funding is appropriated. I would move that under the cognizance of the DNI where it should really rest if you not only want transparent oversight, but also empowering the position as the real boss - if that's what you want your DNI to be?
Additionally, the fact is, this 80 billion might be the pot of gold, but where does ithe end of the rainbow? The NRO fought releasing their budget, but the scientific community challenged them on that and won. I also believe the NSA was told to cough-up some numbers but haven't complied? thus far?
Anecdotally, I think intelligence collection is the second oldest profession, but may lack the morals of the planet's first oldest vocation? : )
I've heard the "second oldest profession" thing before. However, I think there's a compelling argument that intelligence, in fact, came first - you gotta know where to go. ;)
Now that is funny BOLANDJD, and reminds me that there was once a SAID (safe area intelligence digest study) that mentioned that if on the lamb, there was a particular house in Beirut, with a red door, (believe-it-or-not) that one might find safe haven in, and get a message out! : )
Rather than just sounding like a politician who wants to cut "Fraud, Waste, and Abuse" to save money, what would you cut? Fewer UAVs in the BCTs? Cut some CIA analysts? Oh, and much like trying to cut JFCOM out, good luck convincing any members of congress to make those cuts if those jobs or production of intel assets is done in their district.
The first thing I would is "sunset" all programs, activities, and agencies, along the lines once suggested by William O. Douglas--that is, every 5 years, they either get re-authorized by Congress, or the agencies themselves go out of business.
Second is limit consulting payments to a percentage of total budget.
Third is probably get rid of a lot of analysis that is inferior to open source stuff.
That's a start.
Best,
Tom
You are going soft, in the head
Why would a vote to not re-authorize be any easier than a vote to completely defund?
So the agencies would make consultants employees. They would lose some capacity due to higher employment costs, but this would have no effect on the amount of spending.
You mean collection, right? Or are you advocating using bloggers' material instead of CIA employees?
Cut the bloated and wasteful military budgets...
U.S. military intelligence spending and overall military is bloated, wasteful, uses resources needed for nation building at home, and needs to be vastly reduced.
Conservatives and those on the right (Glenn Beck, DeMint) decry socialism but those on the right are the biggest cheerleaders for our military/corporate socialism which has become a vast jobs program in congressional districts. Socialism can be a positive force but instead of serving corporate military contractors socialism should serve average Americans, alleviate poverty, and education.
Does the National Endowment for Democracy fall under the intelligence budget?
and if not why not?
The problem with intelligence spending is that it is mostly a pre-emptive activity. It is very hard to measure the return on investment on prevention initiatives, but studies in the medical field insist on their importance. I think any cut in this field should be done with care. Trusting this on politicians planning only over a four years span seems risky to me.
This being my 2 cents. I do think 80 billions is rather steep, but I do not want to be the one who decide where to cut, and who accidentally ends up costing lives at home or abroad.
An excellent observation. This is really about the end analysis and its slow over the years bending to shape foreign policy agendas by those that would rather hear noise than the true signals, which degrades getting our money's worth out of these national assets.
Don't shoot the messenger, shoot those that misuse what the messenger has gathered.
Secret power corrupts in secret.
While the legit intel mission is preemption of foreign threat, good doctor, the primary threat to every US gov't is domestic competition. The ability to edit the foreign threat for political gain, while using part of that power in re-writing the history of our own foreign interventions is corrosive to a theory of gov't based on a freely informed voter empowering informed representatives.
The however effective spooks may be in ways that are never fully unwrapped, the concentration of power into the executive (and beyond into the black world) is destructive to the Constitution and Republic.
The international nuclear socialist threat is over. It's time to reverse the growth of the 1947 National Security Act apparatus.
Of course Walking Wounded close held information not open to wide scrutiny that resides with the Nomenklatura, to take a a Russian word derived from latin, is power in the hands of a few, and has over time, corrupted the intelligence community, as a provider, its ability to offer forward risk free analytical work all too often.
However, let's not throw the baby out with the bathwater, and never forget that when you are up to your rump in alligators, don't forget that your initial mission was to drain the swamp.
Additionally, and I'm not sure why I am mentioning it? Never completely trust a women or an automatic weapon - John Dillinger
Cut by our own knife- better sharp or dull?
Your point taken, Tyrtaois. Survive alligators; then drain dirty bathwater while powdering baby.
My point was not simply that the intel community that drinks downstream from Yale and Wall Street became corrupt. I'm saying that the culture of forbidden knowledge is corrupting of the body politic, bottom up as well as top down.
Once we all agree that of course our gov't must withold the most critical information for our won good, for the protection of the troops, then I must assume that Team W knows more than I, that invading Iraq is a good bet. No choice, really.
We do agree on the need for many, many state secrets, and the laundering of history to protect the methods of keeping them. Don't we? Goes without saying. We're all on the same team.
Dillinger's 'woman in red' killed him with a dime, in the story. In the alternative version, Hoover's career and the FBI myth was built on misinfo, a botched hit. Lessons were learned.
As a fairly junior FSO, I occasionally took a more senior officer's classified messages and sent them out, with wording slightly altered, as unclassified messages, often citing the newspapers where he got the original information. When he challenged me on this I asked what part of my message should have been classified. He then stormed out of the room. I quit this when the ambassador asked me to, saying that the practice was getting the other officer very upset.
Over my career I saw a lot of this type of "reporting", and realized that there was far too much classification going on, and that open source material was often far better and far more usable.
The Pentagon once had an open source intel team called "Able Danger". It was very successful, actually too successful since it IDd the 9-11 hijackers before that "Pearl Harbor" event. It was instantly shut down, all files deleted, and officers warned of prison should they talk, even if called before Congress, about what they learned before 9-11 and who they warned about that threat.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Able_Danger
The U.S. Constitution specifically requires an accounting of public funds, so a law requiring disclosure is not required. We just must insist that withholding the truth is treasonous. Congress does little because most have been blackmailed to shut up.
Second, most CIA funding is grabbed from the Pentagon. Recall the ongoing "problem" of the Pentagon unable to account for billions of dollars each year, and Congress never investigates. There around thousands of CIA agents wearing American military uniforms (Gates was one of them for a while). One of their roles is to help pay for CIA activities by stealing stuff by declaring it surplus so the CIA can use it.
Of course the other role is spying on the US. military, just like the KGB. So be careful what you say to your fellow officers, lest it get reported to Langley. This is how the CIA gets much of its intel to impress the President. They intercept it from U.S. military channels and flash it to Gates before it arrives in the Pentagon.
All this dosh on the table and we are still concerned about what men in beards in the desert might be doing next? They are operational idiots. An underwear bomb? Terrorists kill how many Northern Americans and Europeans every year? How many Americans die in routine road accidents? How much cash do we fund for road safety vs. CT issues?
Curious question, how much money did Penkovsky get paid a month. Cheap at the price and he was a true Russian Patriot to boot
Best all,
AJ.
It is disgusting how much we spend on defense and how little we spend on other very important parts of th budget, such as education. Deciding where to cut the defense spending is not a task I would enjoy undertaking. As we are involved in two wars, trying to hold onto our hegemony status, competing with China on every level, it is hard to tell where we are able to cut. Should we eliminate certain parts (maybe ending a war?) or reduce parts or all aspects of the defense budget? How would any politician get elected if he ran on a platform including this? It translates into reducing funding for the troops. Getting elected just wouldn't happen.
The law of diminishing returns.... but how may are tripping over each other secretly spying and programming of all kinds in our own country under the wildcard of terrorism??? They could be doing anythign to anyone for any reason in any way and as Bill Schieffel saying there are technologies going on in Iraq that you couldn't imagine but i can imagien whatever it is he can't talk about could also be used here. and misused even...could happen
(20)
HIDE COMMENTS LOGIN OR REGISTER REPORT ABUSE