Posted By Thomas E. Ricks Share

The Royal Navy may be cut to about 25 ships, total:

6 destroyers
6 frigates
7 attack subs
4 boomers
2 carriers

Yow. If this happens, Britain will have fewer warships than the Imperial Japanese Navy lost in just one battle, Leyte Gulf. (Where, for the record, the U.S. Navy sent to the bottom 4 carriers, 3 battleships, 8 cruisers and 12 destroyers.) Or less than half the 63 galleons and armed merchant vessels the Spanish Armada lost, mainly to storms.

public.navy.mil

 

JPWREL

10:56 AM ET

October 11, 2010

Here is a country whose

Here is a country whose fiscal profligacy has been as bad if not worse than our own. But it is also a country whose military structure since the end of Empire has been designed essentially to be a mere auxiliary to the United States and it’s policy goals. This was done in the hope that this would enhance the ‘special relationship’ considered essential in the post war era but the reality is that for Washington this relationship has never been as special as it has been for London. The special relationship has really bought Britain very little in the way of special influence or special benefits those are pretty much reserved for Israel.

Some ‘Atlanticists’ in the British establishment have viewed the American-British relationship as being designed to allow Britain to ‘punch above its weight’ but that begs the question for what purpose and whose interest does that serve? Great Britain needs to gradually correlate its military establishment more closely to correspond to its real fiscal and economic capabilities and its true security needs. And for the United States itself with a weakening economic and fiscal position will likely be forced eventually to make the same sort of strategic reassessment and hard choices that are taking place in London today.

 

ERIC_STRATTONIII

3:44 PM ET

October 11, 2010

All of you

Stop the slliness, if the US abandons it's maritime obligation guess who will fill the void? Also, we have gone over this before, via the CBO, the Stimulus alone cost more than the OIF to date. Lastly, hate Military Spending? Fine, then Turn off your Internet, GPS, Microwave, do not take most of your meds, avoid most of the modern EMS services, etc...etc...Sheesh, I have rarely heard so many who gave so little whine so much and forget that the Military is not the burden you think it is. Oh, before an ill informed person pops in and tries to say that Military Benefits too are a burden, most arerolled into the DoD budget and there only about 28 million Vets total in the US, retired Vets are even a smaller percentage of that. I am so tired of the whine when you folks do not look at the big picture. Who will fill the void if we go isolationist again? Who would you have guide the world, us or China? For the most part the US has been a force for good in the world, far better than any other past power but I doubt the lot of you will stop bashing it, stop talking up conspiracies or your most common offense, looking at events with 20/20 hindsight. Almost a joke at this point.

 

ERIC_STRATTONIII

3:46 PM ET

October 11, 2010

JPWREL

Not directed at you, that was a shot across many a bow.

 

CMEYERGO

3:47 PM ET

October 11, 2010

Bankruptcy

This comment is an example of the Soviet Union mentality found in the US military. Money is no object!

 

KAYKURI

5:14 PM ET

October 11, 2010

Speaking of tired arguments...

"For the most part the US has been a force for good in the world..."

They oughta put that on a recruitment poster.

 

ERIC_STRATTONIII

12:27 AM ET

October 12, 2010

Don

Shocker, I got two of the biggest conspiracy folks on here for a reply. Cmarygoround and Don "everything is a conspiracy by big business" Bacon ;)
Don, what was the purpose of the those conflicts? I thought we were in a world struggle for ideals and while we did some pretty horrible things during the cold war to act as though it was for business or that is should not have been done at all is illustrates my point in my first post, your amazing 20/20 hindsight. You can post all you want about "War Is A Racket" Don but in the end they have to be fought and if the US does not do it, who? Have we overextended ourselves? It would seem so. Have we always made the right choices? No. Yet, the world does not exist in a vacuum, power leaves and is filled by another, just the way world has always worked. To think anything else would happen if we pulled back to our shores is just naive and unfortunately typical of many.

 

ERIC_STRATTONIII

6:54 AM ET

October 12, 2010

Arvay

Yes, another "Logical" contributor ;) If you really think that the Chinese do not have global ambitions, ask the Japanese, Vietnamese, Indians, Koreans and others what they think? If you think the Chinese do not think in those terms you are not very well informd nor do you follow current or past Chinese History. Yet another naive and silly "America" is the devil post. I am glad all the Cuck-coos are striking the old familiar rants though, at least you are consistent. Exactly when will the Bush Rants get old? When exactly will the "the Military-Industrial Complex" Conspiracies get old? When will the whole slew of conspiracies some spout get old? Sheesh, I should invest in tin foil with some of the marxist, paranoid rants I hear on here at times.
Hmm....Oh, by the what has the DoD given us that may have helped our economy a bit? What are we all on now? Lets face a fact guys, the things you are typing on, the thing we are posting on and many other facets of everyday life are due to the DoD. Lastly, the cries of the US not being taken seriously and on it's death bed have been said many a times before. I am all for better spending, wayyyy better leadership in the DoD and much more stream lined procurment but the way some of you talk about cuts is a bit overboard. Ducky did not have a bad idea about making the Army smaller but the Navy is a bit more important for a Nation with two oceans around it and overseas territory and states. Lastly, I also noticed how the moonbats who howled about the costs of the DoD ignored the whole fact that the CBO came out and said that OIF (argument is legit that is was not necessary) cost less than the stimulus.
My whole point is that even with a 50% across the board DoD cut you would not change a bloody thing about our economy, our debt or habit of adventure. You are looking at the wrong devil boys if you are looking for someone to blame for the current economy or debt.

 

ERIC_STRATTONIII

10:01 AM ET

October 12, 2010

Arvay

I am glad you are not blaming the Military for our economic down turn, that is refreshing but you are wrong on China. They do not take a fiscal year to year approach and have a long view and do indeed want to be the dominant power, why? It also helps with their economy and their energy needs when they can influence and push treaties and agreements. See the big picture.

 

ERIC_STRATTONIII

8:34 AM ET

October 13, 2010

Arvay

Why does the US do it? Why does anyone do it? So they can better situate themselves for economic gain. If you cannot see the baseline cause of these things then nothing I say will will convince you or make you open your mind or line of reason. Yourself and Injun really just cannot see it and for some reason want to think the US is capable of such things but no one else is. Then again, I envison you both more than likely wear turtlenecks or some other "hipster" clothing, hang out at Coffee shops and/or the local University spots and just shout "Down with the Man" as you drive away in your Prius to the burbs, but hey, that could just be me ;) Now if you will excuse me I must report to my Military-Industrial Masters, they frown on it when we are not plotting something for the benefit of Wall Street.

 

GRANT

11:22 AM ET

October 11, 2010

It isn't exactly new for

It isn't exactly new for navies to grow smaller. Look at the size of major navies in the 19th century to today. Also the U.K can't exactly afford an over sized fleet.

 

TYRTAIOS

11:33 AM ET

October 11, 2010

That depends on what you

That depends on what you consider oversized Grant. What do the Brits, supposedly a maritime nation, consider there interests off shore? Were I King of Argentina, and still smarting from that slap on the wrist Britain gave in 1982 in the Falklands, I might think the time is nearing for some military adventurism.

The fact is, the Brits were hard pressed last time to put together a maritime force, and the late Lord Lewin was heard to have said after the war,” that was a damn close-run thing."

 

JPWREL

12:03 PM ET

October 11, 2010

The British air defense of

The British air defense of the Falkland’s is rather robust with a half squadron of new Euro fighters and ground based missile defensives that are extensively tested on a routine basis. British C-17’s can quickly reinforce the garrison on the Falkland’s with additional assets. Currently, the garrison is staffed by the Grenadier Guards with special cold weather training and can be rapidly brought up to strength by Royal Marines (intensely cold weather trained) and the balance of the Guards. The key to the defense of the Falkland’s is air power and air power based at the Mount Pleasant base can not only defend Falkland airspace but can easily range over all Argentine air base’s within range of the Falklands. The RAF has the same anti-runway and precision munitions as that of the USAF and knows how and where to put them.

Granted Argentine capabilities have improved since 1982 but British capabilities have geometrically increase in comparison to Argentine. For Argentine’s to invade the Falklands they first have to get there through British nuclear attack submarines and air dominance but be prepared to fight for a beachhead against professional British infantry and Marines whose mobility has been dramatically enhanced by the helicopters and other goodies already there at their disposal unlike the previous occasion. One would also imagine that the Brit's hopefully not being complete idiots would have signals, surveillance, reconnaissance and human intelligence assets which would give them a bit of a heads up on any change in Argentine military activity?

Actually, none of this will come to pass and over a period of time the British and Argentines will come to some sort of agreement on sharing the oil wealth underneath the cold waters which is what this is all about. It would do no good for the Argentines to forcibly take the Falkland’s since the RN nuclear attack boats could make it impossible for them to do any offshore drilling anyway. So my guess is that this is Argentina’s way of beginning the process of negotiations by trying to start out with the strongest hand they can.

 

TYRTAIOS

12:27 PM ET

October 11, 2010

Ok, no war in the far

Ok, no war in the far Southern Hemisphere - crisis avoided. And France won't have to buy back up all the Exorcet missiles it sold world wide, as it did last time, to prevent Argentina access again - a financial mess avoided for the Grenouilles as well! : )

 

CARL

5:59 PM ET

October 11, 2010

JPWREL: This is a very

JPWREL: This is a very narrow question. I am just using the Argentine Navy and the Falklands as an example. I don't think it would actually happen.

Let us say the Argentina did not try to invade the Falklands. Let us say they announce a blockade of the Falklands using the 3 diesel electric subs they have. Could the Brits break that blockade with the very small naval force they have? Could the Royal Navy afford to try if they stood a chance of losing one or two of their very small force of ships mentioned in the blog entry? Or we could up the ante a bit and say the navy of Argentina bought an extra two subs, Kilo class or one of the new European designs. Could such a little Royal Navy break a blockade established by only 5 subs?

If they didn't it would not matter if the British garrison could be supplemented by air. I don't know but I would guess the islands people, military and civilian, could not be supplied over the long term by air. It seems to me what the British will have is a Reichswehr type navy, good for maintaining professional skills in the hopes that times will get better but not much else.

 

JPWREL

7:40 PM ET

October 11, 2010

Carl, that’s really a good

Carl, that’s really a good question for RubberDucky our former submariner! The Royal Navy primary job during he cold war was anti-submarine warfare to protect the lines of communications across the Atlantic to the western hemisphere. The Argentine diesel electrics are likely no match for the RN’s skilled and experienced submariners and nuclear attack boats of the Swiftsure and Trafalgar class. Also, complimented by anti-submarine patrol aircraft which could be based right on the Falkland’s at either Mr. Pleasant or Stanley that would make the waters around the Falkland’s very dangerous place for the inexperienced Argentines. As I understand it from RD a first-rate diesel electric is no match for a first-rate nuclear attack sub like those possessed by the USN and RN. While anything could happen and usually does in war a sea fight with the RAF controlling the airspace plays right to the skill set of the British Navy’s attack submarine force whose technology, training and technique is comparable to the U. S. Navy. Also, if that situation required the British have the capability to attack both Argentine Air Force and Navy installations via their submarine launched cruise missile force.

One must remember that the RN is the second largest Navy in the world in tonnage and that the new ships replacing the old ones such as the new large deck carriers and the Darling class destroyers have an exponential increase in capability versus the vessels leaving service. On land it would be very problematic for the Argentines to land without air superiority or controlling the lines of communications to the mainland for obvious reasons. My son in his career has worked with British troops particularly Royal Marines, and the says they are outstanding troops and possess a standard of physical conditioning that training that is incomparable.

 

RUBBER DUCKY

9:59 PM ET

October 11, 2010

Submarine vs Submarine

"Two blind men in an unlighted coal bin at night, each armed with baseball bats and aiming to kill each other." That's how an old skipper (the late Yogi Kaufman) described sub-on-sub ASW.

All else equal, odds to the nuke. But it's a crap-shoot and many nukes have been embarrassed by pigboat adversaries in exercises. Give me the names of the two COs and I'll adjust the odds...

 

ERIC_STRATTONIII

12:44 AM ET

October 12, 2010

Ducky

I agree with what I think is your point, that we should get some more D Boats, the Germans make an excellent D boat that is a far quieter than any Nuke we have, cheaper and owned by GE last time I checked. The only hiccup would be if Congress got involved and forced them to buy US made only thus driving up the costs.

 

RUBBER DUCKY

6:28 AM ET

October 12, 2010

Never my point!

The utility of diesel submarines - even modern Air-Independent Propulsion types - lies in there value as coastal defense platforms for nations without global duties and bluewater strategies. The slow speed, relatively low endurance, and small ordnance and sensor load make them singularly useless for US needs. In a nutshell, a diesel submarine functions like a barely mobile minefield, deadly to those near it but with no real legs.

In the area of quieting, though, a diesel on the battery is as quiet as ... a modern nuclear (sorry, George: nuculer) attack boat. With detection (and counter-detection) range for both in hundreds of yards, neither type boat would have a distinct advantage in nuke-vs-diesel ASW and it would get down to tactics and skipper smarts. And luck: as an old executive officer once said it, "In this line of work, if you're not lucky we can't use you."

I've been advocating against US building diesel submarines for 30 years, in print and vociferously (me? yeah, really). The best description of the DBF crowd (Diesel Boats Forever) is in the legend under a pair of DBF dolphins in the Submarine Museum at Pearl Harbor: "Unauthorized Insignia Sometimes Worn By Incurable Romantics."

 

RUBBER DUCKY

6:29 AM ET

October 12, 2010

Shit!

"...their..."

 

ERIC_STRATTONIII

7:00 AM ET

October 12, 2010

Ducky

Never worry about typos, we all do it :) As for D Boats, the word I got from guys in that area and from other sources is that the new D boats Fuel Cells are wayyyy quieter than the Nukes, am I being mis-informed? Also, they would be a cheaper alternative to what we have now for coastal defense vs fast attack nukes wouldn't they? Or is it a short term saver only?

 

RUBBER DUCKY

8:12 AM ET

October 12, 2010

Take it from an old chief sonarman..

Quiet is quiet. Once you get a boat quieted to the 'hole-in-the-ocean' level, with passive detection ranges perhaps under 1,000 yards, initial-detection range is a random factor and the battle problem so frenetic that it pretty much washes into the mix of launch readiness, minimum run requirements of weapons, danger of collision, classification certainty, and a wild mix of other factors not related to ship-type that will determine the outcome.

And we don't do coastal defense. USN is a blue-water force and operates in a forward environment ... one which at the present time has no blue-water enemies. Diesel submarines for the UA Navy are the equivalent of strengthened coastal batteries for the Army.

There are some really good, really cute non-nuclear-propelled submarines on the market. But all suit the strategic needs of regional nations, not global. Let's put it this way: nukes vs diesels for the US Navy has the same perennial character as treads-vs-wheels and heavy-vs-light in army affairs. But unlike these golden oldies, the clear answer ... for the US Navy ... is nuke.

 

ERIC_STRATTONIII

9:17 AM ET

October 12, 2010

Ducky

Will always bow to your knowledge on these things, thanks for a different look.

 

CARL

11:19 PM ET

October 12, 2010

RD: would it make sense for

RD: would it make sense for the USN to buy one or two AIP or diesel boats from the Germans or Swedes in order that our nukes can train against them; or do we get enough opportunities to train just working with other navies?

 

RUBBER DUCKY

6:51 AM ET

October 13, 2010

Why buy?

We rent them.

 

GRANT

9:17 PM ET

October 17, 2010

Responding to Arvay's comment

Responding to Arvay's comment (the rest I am not going to wade into).

On the point of the Falklands it is still part of the U.K for the time being. Personally I'm of the opinion that it should return to Argentina but I am also of the opinion that the best way to accomplish that is for both nations to negotiate.
Considering the debacle of 1982 I find it highly unlikely that Argentina will attempt to retake it by force and even if it does I recall that the bombers had more of an impact than the navy by ruining the calculations of the Argentinian generals sending them into a panic. On the sailor unless you can provide some kind of evidence that he gained those injuries in combat it isn't really relevant. He could have easily gotten hurt in an accident (not necessarily on a ship), in a fight that got out of control or a dozen other scenarios.

On the U.K's relationship with the U.S I have to simply say "what?" We could only wish to have that kind of power over the U.K. We couldn't stop the U.K from developing a nuclear weapons program, we had to threaten economic sanctions to get British soldiers out of the Suez Canal and the Troubles in Ireland caused friction more than once. Also I don't really see how the First and Second World Wars were 'civil wars' in any sense. A civil war is generally understood to be largely within a state while most of the fighting in those two wars were done between states.

Lastly I'd suggest we be careful about assumptions concerning geopolitics and Asia. People who talk about the inevitable rise of Asian states make me remember the talk of Japan overcoming the U.S in the 80s and the idea that Communism was the natural and inevitable outcome of history prior to 1991.

 

WALKING WOUNDED

12:23 PM ET

October 11, 2010

A bit of perspective, please

What fleet and what empire is todays RN charged with defeating/defending?

Todays frigate probably outweighs a WW2 Japanese light cruiser, and each generation gets bigger. In terms of hitting power, its missile batteries could sink every capital ship in the Imperial Japanese Navy, well beyond the range of Yamamoto's carrier strike forces, although a prudent admiral would send a battle group, maybe two destroyers and another frigate for that kind of work.

Even in terms of conventional canon, a VN era frigate's single auto-loading 5" gun could deliver more fire, with greater accuracy than a WW2 destroyer.

One Brit boomer sitting in port today can deliver more death from the sky, anywhere W. of the Caucusus, than all of Hitler's wehmacht, lufwaffe and kriegsmarine combined. Sub pens at Navarre wouldn't last five minutes, nor the underground lufwaffe facilities. (Mobile V2 launchers are still problem.)

The US military today has global reach and more punch than the combined militaries of the world. And obviously it's not enough to make us feel safe.

So maybe we're asking the wrong questions?

 

PCDE

1:58 PM ET

October 11, 2010

The decline of this Empire is sweet to watch

Unfortunately, this will be our fate within 50-75 years.

Endless war, mass migrations of 3rd worlders to the home state, corrupt politicians, dwindling middle-class, atrophied manufacturing industry, etc ...

It did not have to be, but all good things must end.

 

CMEYERGO

3:50 PM ET

October 11, 2010

50-75 Years?

Its happening right now. The dollar is sliding ever downwards.

 

JPWREL

2:39 PM ET

October 11, 2010

For those interested here is

For those interested here is a brief review of the strength and equipment of the British Armed forces.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/newstopics/politics/defence/8005315/British-Armed-Forces-Army-Navy-and-RAF-in-stats.html

The Royal Navy may take some cuts especially in its frigate force and the old carriers but the two new 60,000+ ton carriers that will fly the F-35 will be huge qualitative jump in capability. The new Type-45 destroyers are also dramatically more capable than the older ships they will be replacing. The current guess is that the two carriers and their F-35 aviation component will be preserved or risk a mutiny by Tory backbenchers.

The Army looks to become lighter by mothballing most of its Challenger 2 main battle tanks and more of its artillery. The Army numbers do not included the 6,800 highly prized Royal Marines who are part of the Navy but are now being discussed as possibly being shifted to join up with the Army’s Para’s two active battalions into a super new assault brigade to compliment the existing 16th Air Assault Brigade. Some army armored infantry battalions may be lost along with a good part of the tank force.

The RAF could be the big loser in having its entire force restructured. The Harrier GR7’s or the Tornado’s could be sharply reduced to allow funds to beef up its transport arm and to pay for the F-35’s that would replace the Harriers. The RAF is justly concerned that if they give up the Harriers now they will never actually get the F-35’s because of the budget crunch. They are probably right. They blundered in buying the air superiority Eurofighter, which is a Cold War anachronism. It is an excellent airplane but has no significant role anymore. They would have been better off using the money for more of the multi-purpose F-35 family that also has stealth characteristics. But the Eurofighter decision was pure EU ‘politics’ something we ourselves suffer in our own procurement battles between Congress and the Pentagon.

Every one of these problems is something our own forces face but on a much more massive scale. The only service branches that seem safe from the budgeters would be both American and British ‘snake eaters’ and UAV’s. The Brit’s are probably right to face up to this crisis now than pushing it further into the out years.

 

WALKING WOUNDED

9:02 PM ET

October 12, 2010

One F-35 lifts more bomb/missile weight

One F-35 lifts more conventional bomb/missile weight than a flight of B-29's, and probably more than a max effort strike by the Ark Royal's entire air wing. And that's before the $100M 'fighters' are loaded with nukes.

Defending the realms most distant sheep pastures with strategic bombers has a lot of flair, but airlifting a light brigade BEFORE the Argentines land at Stanley is probably a lot cheaper.

 

BILL KELLER

8:39 PM ET

October 11, 2010

How effective is it really...?

Most cynical would say that the only long term effect from Yankee Station was a third rate presidential candidate.

The CNO when asked about the efficacy of the Carrier Task Forces like to point out that 50% of the strikes into OEF came from the carriers. Effect on the Taliban well....

With global control of commerce and financial speculators making most strategic decisions....currency wars far more terrorizing than conventional war...what is the armada good for...will not China secure its routes of resources?...protect its export business?

 

JPWREL

9:45 PM ET

October 11, 2010

No disagreement on the third

No disagreement on the third rate Presidential candidate. Highly mobile naval aviation with state of the art aircraft and munitions has breath taking strike capability against conventional or semi-conventional targets. Against ghosts lurking in the mountains of Afghanistan it is likely a hyper-expensive way of merely making holes in the ground.

Carrier based naval aviations usefulness is based strictly on the prevalent tactical conditions. It is no panacea and useless in some circumstances. But that is the nature of all weapon systems whether it is a nuclear carrier, main battle tank or heavy self propelled artillery. An infantryman with small arms can be the ideal weapon in some circumstances but in others he is merely a helpless target poised to be incinerated. Right now the battle is essentially a light infantry fight but perhaps down the road it will require something different thus highly professional forces like our own and the British train and equip for many different contingencies.

 

OTHER RANKS

9:37 PM ET

October 11, 2010

Not 26 warships?

The RN still has that First Rate ship down at Portsmouth...

;)

 

JPWREL

9:54 PM ET

October 11, 2010

England expects. . .

The HMS Victory is an absolutely spectacular ship to pay a visit to. She is a magnificent 1st Rate of 100 guns with a history to match. This ship required over 3,000 English oak trees for it’s framing alone.

 

WHISKEYPAPA

10:22 PM ET

October 11, 2010

Well, the USA Only has a 4th rate

But at least it is in the water.

;-)

Walt

 

OTHER RANKS

2:27 PM ET

October 12, 2010

JPWREL, I second that

Truely amazing to walk where Nelson was shot and later died. Not to mention the historic naval buildings.

While I was there I had the priviledge of touring the HMS Ark Royal. Wow! It's tiny compared to an American carrier. Wikipedia has a side by side picture of the Ark Royal's sister ship alongside the the USS John C. Stennis: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:USS_John_C._Stennis_(CVN-74)_%26_HMS_Illustrious_(R_06).jpg

The two replacement carriers would be a huge step up in size but I wonder how the RN will change it's current operating plan of having one carrier undergoing extended retrofit with the other two are out to sea. Keeping to that would leave only 1 carrier available most of the time.

 

JPWREL

9:39 PM ET

October 12, 2010

Other Ranks, the only thing

Other Ranks, the only thing that I can think of is that while one carrier is deployed or at sea training is air group the other will be dockside doing maintenance and training crew while its air group trains ashore. Pretty much the same thing we do but on much smaller scale. However, the new British carriers with an F-35 air group compare favorably with US carriers flying F-18E’s. I was visiting my boy at the NSWC base on Coronado two weeks ago and while crossing the bridge notice that San Diego’s three carriers were all in port probably doing essential maintenance and training new crews. Carriers spend a lot of their lives berthed pier side..

 

INJUN_NC

10:17 PM ET

October 11, 2010

How deluded can one be?

ERIC_STRATTONIII writes: "Lastly, hate Military Spending? Fine, then Turn off your Internet, GPS, Microwave, do not take most of your meds, avoid most of the modern EMS services, etc...etc...Sheesh,....."

The clear implication here is that without the outrageous "Military Spending", none of these fine things would have come about!!

Does the military have a monopoly on inventions and societal progress?

History has ample examples of inventions happening as the need arises. True, potential military applications can increase focus on certain technologies and accelerate discoveries, but nothing more. For instance, networking concepts were floating around in academia decades before the Internet. Heck, IBM had a world-wide (commercial) operational network (based on their SNA architecture) way before the Internet! To argue that without the military spending we wouldn't have had an Internet is either self-serving or ignorant.

These kinds of nonsensical claims are quite revealing of militarists and their toadies the world over. The scare tactics seem to work with every new generation. Our war mongers have now conveniently replaced the Soviet Union with China as the latest villain. How long can this extortion go on while the society bleeds?

How come the trillions that have been spent on our 'security' has not made us any more secure? How is it that we can't even subdue a medieval nation like Afghanistan? Or, why did we have to find a face saving 'compromise' in Iraq to extricate ourselves?

Those who might be truly interested in exploring the possible reasons should start by reading Chalmers Johnson. And go from there.....

 

ERIC_STRATTONIII

7:08 AM ET

October 12, 2010

Injun

First off, none of those things would have gotten the push or funding to be what they became without DoD funding. Never said it was a monopoly did I? Simply stating that the DoD has spurred a lot of what you and I take for granted every day. Also, when you start down the road and sound like a conspiracy hack "Our war mongers have now conveniently replaced the Soviet Union with China as the latest villain. How long can this extortion go on while the society bleeds?" Really?! You do not do much for your arugment. China is a rival and a threat in the Pacific Rim, if you do not think they are you are just naive and a bit on the un-informed side.
"How is it that we can't even subdue a medieval nation like Afghanistan?", I did not know we were in the process of making the Afghans subdue? Also, I think we have acted with remarkable restraint if anything. "Or, why did we have to find a face saving 'compromise' in Iraq to extricate ourselves?", face saving? hmm...we still have 50k troop there and they are not leaving anytime soon, so I would hold onto your carping just yet.

 

INJUN_NC

8:15 AM ET

October 12, 2010

ERIC_STRATTONIII

You write: "First off, none of those things would have gotten the push or funding to be what they became without DoD funding."

Right. And pray, where does DoD get its funding? From us -- the tax payers. The same source that funds just about everything else in this country. This money could have been routed into similar endeavors much more effectively through civilian channels. Since we -- i.e., those who oppose unbridled squandering of our resources through military adventures are "just naive and a bit on the un-informed side", and you being the informed one -- surely you'd know that there exist a fistful of independent studies that have come to that conclusion.

Furthermore, let's not quibble over semantics and over words like "subdue" to obfuscate ground realities. The fact remains that despite our 'overwhelming' military superiority, we have not been able to enforce our will on the Afghan nation. The latest evidence of that (i.e., you still want one) is a report yesterday that our man Karzai is in dialog with our enemy -- the Taliban! After 9 years of mindless carnage and trillions down the rat-hole, this is what we get in return? So much for protecting our interests!! It has now been accepted even in informed military circles that the moment we 'declare victory' and leave that country, it will revert back to the same fundamentalists we toppled 9 years ago. So, what was this all about? Where is our ROI on the 'investments' there? Aren't we entitled to ask this question without being called unsavory names?

And don't be so blatantly obtuse vis. our situation in Iraq today. We may have "50k troop" there -- but isn't our declared intention not to participate in any military initiatives going forward? So, what are we doing there? Nation building? Or just hanging around until we can slither out of there under some face-saving pretext that would appear more palatable than the image of a helicopter taking off from the roof of the US embassy?

A sober analysis (which of course would be called "carping" by the likes of you) would conclude that in perspective, Iraq was a wasted effort (along with Afghanistan) that did more harm to our interests than good. In geopolitical terms, we did a humongous favor to Iran by getting rid of their mortal enemy (Saddam) and facilitating religious (read: Shia) solidarity of the wrong kind on both sides of the border. Again, it would be interesting to see the spin by those who perpetuated this outrage and continue to rationalize it.

Again, I would repeat my question that remained unanswered in your 'informed' response. Why, despite having spent untold trillions, we are no more secure than we were on September 10th, 2001?

Also, I'd like to ask you another question: Is Ike also a 'conspiracy theorist' in your opinion because he warned us to be beware of "Military-Industrial complex" some 50 years ago? Or was he just having a bad day when he said that?

 

ERIC_STRATTONIII

9:14 AM ET

October 12, 2010

Injun

Again, this line is off topic but I will engage-
Funding-I actually agree, I would prefer to see money routed through more civilian channels as long as it was in a way that did not favor large donors but I fear that the same thing that goes on with the Military silliness and funding would happen with that if it was diverted to civilian companies as well. However, my whole point was not act like your money has all been squandered or mis-spent down the years, we have all gotten a benefit from it and again you guys are after the wrong bad guy for the blame of our economy. Try looking to the loans and the "People's" Congress that pushed them, combined with good old human greed and selfishness, not the military. Again, what say you to the CBO pointing out that the stimulus cost more than OIF to date, does that not say something about wildly inflamed attacks on military spending as being the cause of our economic demise? Or is the CBO part of the conspiracy as well?
Afghanistan-Our intention it not to subdue or force to our will the nation of Afgahnistan, do some reading on what COIN is, what our actual goal is as well as how that goes over with the Afghans when you act like the Russians did. We are acting with restraint as we should or is it that you want us to commit genocide since it is costing us billions? ;) Your argument is weak and full of conjecture on Afghanistan and not sure what your point is except to rant.
Iraq-you said we saved face and got out, having been there I can assure you we have not done any such thing and it is not you who has attempted to use ''semantics" by saying since the pols goal is no more combat operations that is indeed what is happeneing, I on the other hand never said Combat ended and know better. We also did not declare to not engage "in any military initiatives going forward?", what excactly do you think the 50k troops are still there for? Amusement perhaps? Who said that they would not do anything with the Iraqis? Or back them up against Iran if need be? Again, you show yourself to be ill informed or a selective reader.
Your conspiracy-Ike was talking more about the huge growth in the push towards Military expenditures, not some evil, secret cabal that was going to lead us into wars or somehow control how FP is made, like far to many on here suggest. Ike was a part of a lot of that spending himself do not forget that.
Lastly, when you go off on rants that are more hyperbole and conjecture you come off, at least to me, like a conspiracy nut. You have many allies on here who will say off the wall things all the time so know that you will not be alone in your far flung theories. Try not to frame your arguments in terms of conspiracy and you might sound more rational.

 

INJUN_NC

11:50 AM ET

October 12, 2010

ERIC_STRATTONIII

Well, well, well.....what do we have here.....an ex-military man masquerading as an expert in military strategy, economics, history, and governance -- all rolled into one. And those who have the temerity to hold contrary opinions/views instantaneously get branded as"a conspiracy nut" who are at best "ill informed" and prone to 'ranting'!

Bill Gates, reading your meandering verbiage above would promptly declare you as "being random". Can't you just stick to the point and answer the questions on ROI in Afghanistan and Iraq and our purpose there instead of bandying about useless terms like COIN, etc.?

And talking of COIN -- what exactly is it? So far, I have not been able to understand if it is suppose to be a "winning hearts and minds" or a "defeating the enemy" strategy? Or could it be "clear, hold and build" pockets of resistance or "nation building"? The fact remains -- nobody fully understands what our COIN strategy is meant to accomplish in Afghanistan. Not surprisingly, confusion reigns. Clouding issues with idiotic acronyms can only fool a few for so long.

This discussion is pertinent here. The proud Britannia that once ruled the waves is now having to make do with two dozen plus war ships. Why? Their militarists succeeded for too long to have that country with a dwindling economic base to spend way beyond their means on their military in the name of 'security' and 'prestige'. And my point here is that we are doing the same in this country....and unless we want to go the British route, need to stop and evaluate objectively, and honestly what our priorities ought to be in this day and age.

It seems there is no point in arguing with someone who is so vested in American military power. Especially, one who is willfully dodging two pertinent questions.

Let me try again with the hope this time they might elicit cogent responses from an uber patriotic military man -- as opposed to ill thought out snappy riposte and revisionist history:

1) Where is our ROI from our 'investment' of blood and treasure in Afghanistan and Iraq when our man/puppet in Kabul (Karzai) has now admitted to be 'sleeping' with the enemy, and the government in Baghdad has gone on record asking us to leave their country this year (2010)? What have we achieved by going there in terms of economic or political dividends? Or was our purpose of violating those countries was for their own good?

2) If military supremacy is essential for a nation to thrive (both economically and culturally), then how do the militarists explain the rise of China, India, and Brazil whose combined military budget is roughly one tenth of that of the US?

 

SEAN7601

3:13 PM ET

October 14, 2010

"If military supremacy is

"If military supremacy is essential for a nation to thrive (both economically and culturally), then how do the militarists explain the rise of China, India, and Brazil whose combined military budget is roughly one tenth of that of the US?"

What happened the last time that there wasn't a dominant naval power or two that controlled the world's seas. WWII happened. The time before that? WWI. All of history before that? Global disunity and chaos.

Without an ethical power assuming responsibility to keep waterways safe, the global economy fails to function. That global economy is what lends America its power.

It doesn't matter exactly who maintains freedom of the seas but someone with values similar to ours needs to do it. We are the only nation that can do it unilaterally so we should. Not only does it ensure our supremacy in the next global conflict (WWII has hardly foreseen more than 4-5 years prior) but it makes other nations more amenable to our causes and interests.

 

ERIC_STRATTONIII

7:36 AM ET

October 13, 2010

Injun

You get answers that do not fit your premise so you ask other questions in the hopes of doing so, I think I covered you in the post before last. If you want to learn more about what is going on OIF and OEF then feel free to read some of the following items below, might help with some of your questions or heck, put your money where your mouth is and volunteer with one of the many NGOs that go to both areas and get ground truth.
For COIN, go to the website CALL, it is not classified and you can get on as a guest for a lot of things. I know, I know, they are part of the military-industrial complex and hence suspect but try it, then there is David Galula, Counterinsurgency Warfare: Theory and Practice and the classic Small Wars manual (USMC), I would read the 1940 and updated version too, they are both available on PDF for free with an easy search.
Anything by Lester Grau for Afghanistan would be good. Kilcullen puts a non-US spin on things and he writes all the time at SWJ as do many other, it is free. They also write a great deal about the politics of the area too, you might like it. Then I would also try a Military History of Afghanistan, dry as heck but good to have, or check out the Pre-Deployment Reading list for both Iraq and Afgahnistan I know the Army and Marines each have their own version and I admit, I have not read them all but have read almost all of the Non-Fiction, working on the Kite Runer, same for the Iraq list, Kindle can be your friend for PDFs by they way.
Lastly, I discount a lot of what you say due to the context in which you say it, you also seem to think the the US is somehow capable of pushing for power and wanting to run things yet a growing China and India with a swelling resources and overall energy needs cannot have the same motives? Somehow an evil Military-Industrial Complex in the US is able to push our FP but a growing population and economy needing energy and other resources could not be a base reason to do the same? Lol, and you wonder why I just shake my head at someone like yourself, you are simply not thinking straight and I have to wonder where you get your info from and why you are so poorly informed. I do not understand how someone cannot somehow see the big picture that is that all countries will ALWAYS struggle for power and those who think otherwise are kind of out of touch. Cheers and enjoy the reads.

 

INJUN_NC

3:17 PM ET

October 14, 2010

ERIC_STRATTONIII you astound me!

"You get answers that do not fit your premise so you ask other questions in the hopes of doing so, I think I covered you in the post before last"

Could you please cut and paste instead of vaguely referring to a post. I have re-read all your posts and found no answers to my specific questions vis. ROI in Afghanistan and Iraq AND the need to have an overwhelming military superiority to become (and remain) an economic power. I would be much obliged.

Also, what, in your opinion, is my "premise"? Look, I love this country as much as you do. And just like you, I want the best for it. You being an ex-military person, seem to be enamored by a world-view that is exclusively militaristic. To reduce the complexities of relationships and attitudes between nations in the 21st century to a 'zero-sum game' is not just fallacious -- it is outright dangerous. There are compelling reasons why generals and admirals do not make foreign policy or economic policies of the country. Our wise founding fathers spoke on this over 200 years ago.

Thank you for an extensive reading list. I am familiar with most of the items you provide. However, they mean nothing to me unless they answer my (and now increasingly, the nation's) fundamental questions on "Why are we there?", "What are our current objectives for being there?", "Have we met any of the set (or proclaimed) objectives prior to going there?", and "Has it been advantageous to the nation by us being there and spending (by conservative estimates) three trillion dollars+ and thousands of innocent lives?". To my knowledge, none of the sources cited address any of these questions. Some do echo talking points of people who got us into this mess. Which, at this stage of the game, have been proven to be false and self-serving.

To put our military blunder in measurable terms, consider this: The cost of keeping one soldier in Afghanistan for a year is $1 million! We currently have 94,000 of them there (i.e., not counting the thousands of contractors). Just do the math.

Can you imagine the positive impact on our economy if even a fraction of this money were to be invested in our industries and education?

The tussle for 'supremacy' among countries in the coming years will not be waged militarily. It will be in the class rooms, in sciences, technology, and learning of classics, etc. -- which would lead to economic strengths in the Global marketplace. Hence, to remain an economic super power the US must expend its energies and resources on things that really matter -- education, sciences, industry, and human capital. By squandering trillions of dollars on pointless foreign wars and expeditions we are robbing our nation of its future well being.

Sure, given the world we live in, we need a strong military to protect us from outside invasions etc. But we do not need a military to invade other countries -- especially, under false pretexts (remember Saddam's nukes, etc.?). Not only it proved to be false, this mis-adventure has made us less secure, and has hurt us all around. It has also accelerated our mortgaging of America to foreigners -- especially, the Chinese.

What happens if the Chinese call in their notes tomorrow? Even if they don't, remember, they can. And this is something we can never control -- despite our "over whelming" military advantage over them.

That nightmare should be a recurring one for all true patriots.

 

JIMMYP

10:17 AM ET

October 13, 2010

"Strategic" Defence Review

Nice to see a topic about old Blighty here.

Unfortunately the first "S" in SDSR seems to be "spending" rather than "strategic",as it looks a lot like th cuts are being made without the necessary defining down of what exactly is expected of our armed forces. As always, it seems, the expectation from the politicans is that the military does more, with less. Of course, it doesn't help that we appear to be intent on pouring the family silver into Afghanistan with no end in sight.

As for "punching above our weight", with the 3rd (or 4th, depending on what day of the week you count it on) largest defence budget in the world I think our insistence on clinging to the US like a limpet has probably meant we have consistently punched BELOW our potential since WWII. But that's a different story..

On the budget, as always, the RN will be the worse off in the battle for a shrinking budget. It is a source of perpetual irritation that the Admirals seem wholely unable or unwilling to defend the Navy, compared to the Army and the RAF - this despite the constant operational role the Navy maintains.

It probably doesn't help that the Navy is all but invisible to the public, aside from places like Portsmouth, etc. This despite the fact that the Navy has accounted for 40% and even up to 2/3 of the British presence in Afghanistan (mostly through the RM and FAA). Operationally, not only is the RN deployed on Op Herrick but is still active in Iraq training the Iraqi Navy and running MCM and survey ops in the Gulf, on anti-piracy ops with NATO/EU forces, anti-narcotic ops both on home shores and out in the Caribbean, not mention the nuclear deterrant.

I can't view the Youtube link so I'm not sure what it says but the above list seems to miss out the MCM assets, which I can't see us losing, and the LPDs which could be cut but I would expect us to keep at least 1 of them.

But lets think positive for a while. The points about tonnage are correct and capability-wise the RN is well equipped. The new Type 45''s are a qualitive leap above the current destroyers, as are the Astute SSNs and as the carriers will be when they enter service.

Regarding the Falklands, the RN is much better armed do to the same again, in fact I think post-Falklands Naval ship building has been based heavily on that basis. We have effectively 3 deployable carriers (HMS Illustrious, Ark Royal and Ocean), plus the LPDs (HMS Albion and Bulwark) and then the frigate/destroyer fleet.

However I think the numbers game is an area of consideration and however capable the new ships are the reduction in numbers inevitably has an effect on the ability to deploy capability globally. Interestingly that seems to have been recognised and it looks highly like the Type 26 - the replacement frigate in the planning stages - will remain qualitively similar to allow for the number of frigates to be maintained (or, maybe, increased) and to provide a greater oppertunity for export, which also will help with costs.

All in all, things aren't great but they aren't quite as bad as the doomsayers predict. The real downside I think, is that the kind of strategic reassessment that we should be having isn't taking place and there isn't a genuine debate about what, exactly, the real national interest is and how the military can go about supporting it.

 

INJUN_NC

3:59 PM ET

October 14, 2010

SEAN7601, you couldn't be more wrong....

"What happened the last time that there wasn't a dominant naval power or two that controlled the world's seas. WWII happened. The time before that? WWI. All of history before that? Global disunity and chaos."

It seems you remain rooted in the times that are long gone. Before the World Wars you cite, no country in the world had the potential to destroy the other remotely. This Mutually Assured Destruction (MAD) thing has changed the rules of the 'game'. Furthermore, if you follow the debates raging within the military establishments of our country (and that of others -- including the UK), the view that expensive naval carriers are 'passe' in today's world and can be neutralized by weapon systems costing a fraction of the cost of building, maintaining, and running them, has gained currency.

"Without an ethical power assuming responsibility to keep waterways safe, the global economy fails to function. That global economy is what lends America its power."

Wrong again! Global economy will flourish with or without any aid from any power -- American or otherwise. Besides, unless America is a major player in this "global economy", it cannot derive its power from it. Given the way things are going....we are well on our way to losing our dominance to emerging powers which until a few decades ago were third worlders. Now we rely on them for lending us money!!

"It doesn't matter exactly who maintains freedom of the seas but someone with values similar to ours needs to do it. We are the only nation that can do it unilaterally so we should. Not only does it ensure our supremacy in the next global conflict (WWII has hardly foreseen more than 4-5 years prior) but it makes other nations more amenable to our causes and interests."

Again, this theory is so retro that it's not even funny. This is the kind of thinking that leads to hubris that leads to us invading countries that don't tow our line. Unless we focus our resources back here at home to compete with the World -- particularly the Chinese and the Indians, we are toast in the coming years. Else, we are unwittingly helping our economic competitors to beat us where it really counts.

 

SEAN7601

9:45 PM ET

October 14, 2010

Nuclear weapons are useless

Nuclear weapons are useless when it comes to maintaining open sea lanes. No country is going to go nuclear over maritime aggression.

You say that carriers are obselete when they have been used extensively during the most recent conflicts and humanitarian operations. No carrier has ever been sunk and chinese ASBM capabilities are unproven and, some say, nonexistant. They haven't been shown to be able to sink a moving target and still lack detection capabilities that are requisite when operating in a space as large as the ocean. Even when they do overcome the technical difficulties, we still have pleanty of countermeasures.

Naval power is not retro. The belief that nuclear weapons are all a nation needs to be secure is. Remember the talk of disbanding the Navy and Marine Corps prior to Korea? Yeah, spot on.

The global economy can't flourish in the absense of security. Just like in a nation's economy, the world needs an enforcer of property rights and the rule of law. Without that element, people can't trade.

 

Thomas E. Ricks covered the U.S. military for the Washington Post from 2000 through 2008.

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