Posted By Thomas E. Ricks Share

By Lt. Gen. David Barno, U.S. Army (ret.)
Best Defense chief Army correspondent

The annual "Unified Quest" futures war game held recently at the Army War College in Carlisle, Pennsylvania, was pretty impressive -- and also a refreshing change from my many previous forays.

Led by the human energizer Brigadier "HR" McMaster, this forum kicked off as a Very-Different-from-the-Big-Army event by enforcing a "NO POWERPOINT" rule. (OK, they showed about five slides over four-plus days.) Army insiders recognize how fundamentally heart-stopping this notion is among any audience of generals. A four-day conversation -- scary for some, I know!

Although labeled a "war game" (and based on some scarily realistic scenarios), this week was more of a graduate seminar for a fistful of Army generals and senior civilians, as well as a smattering of U.S. allies and partners. 4-star TRADOC Commander Marty Dempsey chaired all four days 00 a huge commitment that I've never seen made by his predecessors in earlier years.

A "powerpoint-free" setting actually encouraged a free-wheeling conversation all around the room -- light colonels and civilians challenging three-and four-star generals in surprisingly frank discussions. And on the couple of occasions they flipped up a slide, all conversation rapidly shut down -- quite telling. The atmospherics were surprisingly relaxed and open -- and everyone seemed feisty and ready to jump into any conversation -- another good sign.

The conference "deliverable" was both to spin up an Army "Operating Concept" to round out its recent overarching "Capstone Concept" and to provide Army Chief of Staff George Casey some hard-hitting recommendations that could be used to influence the shape of the Army via the 2014-2019 budget years -- decisions needed by next winter. I can't share those recommendations, but for the flavor of the discussion, here are some highlights of the conversation, on a not-for-attribution basis:

  • "We can't see ourselves - all of us are positive illusion factories."
  • "We are approaching a strategic transition for the United States" [that is, an era of changed strategic context, when economic dominance is no longer assured, and budgetary realities will force choices]. "We are no longer going to be operating from a position of strategic superiority."
  • "Over-burdened terms" have proliferated and add confusion to our efforts -- "what does C4ISR really mean? Does anyone really know?"
  • "Beware Heroic Assumptions in the Next World" -- not all wars will be like Iraq and Afghanistan. What's the most demanding scenario the Army could face?
  • "Tactical excellence alone does not win wars. Strategic coherence and operational excellence will be shaped by Army leaders."
  • "Mission Command -- you are trying to balance a culture of competing virtues." Can you build a commander-centric model founded upon decentralized operations as the norm?
  • "How to use technology to enable decentralization while building trust and cohesion at the same time?" Can the science of command -- technology and process -- enable the art of command?
  • "We've power-pointed over the problem" of the Army division and corps headquarters echelons of commands and what their roles should be. The Army is more than just a collection of brigades.
  • "We need to think about blurring the distinctions between the Operating Force and the Generating Force" -- it's now gotten harmful. Gotta break down the cultural barriers between the deployed and deploying forces and the institutional Army that prepares and educates the force for the future
  • "This is when we do our Interpretive Dance of Army organizational structures." (Cue: Show Powerpoint Spaghetti Chart) How is the Army's Force Management model -- "ARFORGEN" -- impacting Leader Development?
  • "What has an overriding focus on Brigade Combat Teams (BCTs) done to the Army's operational and strategic leadership skills?" What are the second and third order effects of "modularity" -- centering so much of the Army organization around the BCT?
  • Allies: Lots of concern as well as admiration. "Is the U.S. Army of the future going to be designed and built to work with allies?" "Design us in!" "The U.S. Army goes down an amazing variety of multiple rabbit holes -- we just want to see where you come up!"
  • "How are we defining -- and teaching -- Risk?" How to inculcate a culture of initiative and risk-taking -- not risk aversion? What is the message to young leaders of the recent investigations into tough combat actions?
  • "Are we thinking enough about lethality? We're four days into this and the term has not come up!" How does the Army look at its future role in delivering lethal effects?
  • And finally -- "What is the proper role of the Army in civil society? What's the proper role of the Army officer in the republic?" Do we teach the meaning of a commission, explain the constitutional foundations of officership, and establish expectations for an apolitical officer corps? And do we reinforce this understanding throughout an officers' career?

Most encouraging in the week's efforts was the obvious commitment of this part of the Army -- the TRADOC leadership -- to thinking about the big issues facing the Army beyond today's fights. First and foremost was an understanding of the critical importance of the human dimension in war. Dempsey and McMaster's red-hot focus on leader development, decentralized mission command, and a clear recognition of the unpredictability of future conflict gave me confidence. Most importantly, they understood that Job One for Army leaders in the coming lean years is: "Don't Lose this Generation!" Keeping the Army's uniquely talented young leaders on board is the only reliable insurance policy against an unknown future.

This group -- Dempsey and McMaster foremost -- "gets it." The challenge will be whether they can "sell it" to the rest of the Army in the midst of two grinding wars -- and who may well not see it the same way quite yet.

This photo is orginally from the ChicagoBoyz blog.

purpleslog/flickr

 
Facebook|Twitter|Reddit

SOLDIERSDIARY

7:06 PM ET

May 17, 2010

Operating Force and the Generating Force

On Barno's concern of the Operating Force and the Generating Force, it should come as no surprise, the Army made the decesion about 6 years back to take risk in the Generating force when it had to figure out how to man all the new commands, and MiTT/PTTs operating in Iraq and Afghanistan.
Contractors are writing doctrine, TRADOC posts are undermanned (from Dril Sergeants to OBC and CCC instructors). Those jobs are now viewed as "take a knee" assignments after 12-15 month deployments. It is difficult to work long hours and put the same efforts into those jobs coming off of deployments, and knowing the next job will involve another deployment.
The generating force needs a lot of work.

 

JOHNBYRON

8:35 PM ET

May 17, 2010

Encouraging ... and discouraging

Bright questions and observations. But no sense from the comments that the leadership knows where it is leading. This was not a confident discussion judged from the quotations. And underlying it seems the truth that these two wars, the rest of the commitments, and the strains of preserving the AVF have all led to a really tired Army. Finally, where is the top-down voice of command? These guys seem to be searching for issues rather than solving those given them.

My Favorite Army is in many ways the most fragile of the Services even though the biggest. And both the most connected to the American people and the most distant. Its future is something to worry about. These guys are and this seems a most positive session.

Loved the ban on .ppt, but why isn't it Army-wide?

 

CMEYERGO

3:43 AM ET

May 18, 2010

Blame Mircosoft

Powerpoint is great, I love it. So why blame Microsoft?

In programming, there is an old term: Garbage In, Garage Out. Powerpoint just illustrates the garbage that stand for intelligence in the US military. Its not the computers, but the "minds" that create the BS.

 

CMEYERGO

3:45 AM ET

May 18, 2010

To Expand

This report sucks, it must be the fault of Microsoft Word. If we just went back to typewriters, this BS would not appear!

 

CYRANO

4:17 AM ET

May 18, 2010

"Allies: Lots of concern as

"Allies: Lots of concern as well as admiration. "Is the U.S. Army of the future going to be designed and built to work with allies?" "Design us in!" "The U.S. Army goes down an amazing variety of multiple rabbit holes -- we just want to see where you come up!""

I hope concerns like these from allies are taken seriously, especially with a future era of inevitable relative U.S. decline. It seems to me a lot of the interoperability problems of the U.S. military in Iraq and Afghanistan are mid-level bureaucratic rather than with the top military and civilian leadership (for example, failure to provide Brits and Aussies access to SIPRNET despite multiple Presidential directives).

 

JIM KING

11:22 AM ET

May 18, 2010

Leadership

I'm Encouraged by the focus on leadership development, I think that is an issue that has been left behind the last few years. Most Lieutenants today don’t know what it means to be an officer and because of deployments they very rarely get the mentorship that previous classes of new officers received. They are sent to units that are deploying and expected to not only know their job but a lot of times they end up having to fill the role of senior Captains.

And then there's Power Point, the program everyone loves to hate. I think Power Point has done some good and bad things for the Army. It is a good way to convey information to the visual learners of the world and for formal briefs. Where we go wrong is when we use Power Point slides during working groups. Nothing ever gets accomplished. A lot of times working groups end up being about fixing the “slideology” of what is being shown. Other times the working group will be nothing more than someone reading their slide, everyone staring the slide, the slide changing and the next person reading their slide with no collaboration at all. I say keep Power Point where it belongs, in Presentations, and turn working groups back into working groups.

 

JOHNBYRON

12:07 PM ET

May 18, 2010

A solution to energy problems

If we could somehow harness all the time, effort, and management attention that now goes to crafting and titivating .ppt slides, we could power our nation for a long time...

There's an opportunity cost to screwing around with slides. Concentration on getting the pixels perfect is time lost thinking about the issue. Discussion that revolves about how best to show something rather than what is to be discussed is loss of both time and focus. The proper response to a slick pitch from the senior guy in the room should be: "You obviously don't have enough to do."

 

BPWOLF0

12:52 PM ET

May 20, 2010

Jim King on today's Lieutenants

They don’t get the mentorship? Like that offered at the Officer’s club? Perhaps you are referring to “mandatory fun” events? Or maybe you preferred an evaluation based on your unit’s operational readiness rate or APFT average and not the ability to survive, adapt, and succeed in combat? Mr. King, our young officer corps is learning and PRACTICING their trade in the crucible of a very uncertain, ambiguous, and deadly environment. Their careers will not be defined against their success against the old Krasnovians at the NTC. Combat and the reality of Full Spectrum Operations are providing a somewhat more unforgiving variety of mentorship then your implication above. There is no play book for our junior officers to study—success is no longer defined by being able to identify the corps or regimental recon elements. Walk a mile in their shoes.
My sincere apologies if I have taken your message out of your intended perspective.

 

BOLANDJD

12:43 PM ET

May 18, 2010

Love it

As a newly minted field grade officer, this report gives a lot of hope for my next phase of Army life. Based my observations of countless meetings and briefs, I do think that the moritorium on powerpoint freed up the discussion. Good for GEN Dempsey! And I'm absolutely not surprised to find everyone's favorite bald Cavalryman in the middle of it.

One comment on the last bullet - it is very near and dear to my heart. When I was in command, I was shocked to find out that none of my four LT's had actually read the U.S. Constitution cover-to-cover. Needless to say, that is what we did at our next Officer Professional Development session. Emphasis from our senior leaders on our Constitutional role and responsiblities would be welcome and needed, IMO.

On that note, whenever I restated the oath to defend the Constitution against all enemies, foreign and domestic, I always tended to think of the "and domestic" part as mainly perfunctory, certainly since Posse Comitatus went into law. And then MAJ Hasan hit. I hope the senior leadership, somewhere at some level, come to a candid assessment on how to prevent the next MAJ Hasan, precisely to defend the Constitution from internal enemies, without defaulting into a witchhunt on the one hand, or ineffective "sensativity" training on the other. I think that will be a huge challenge in the coming years, especially if another "lone wolf" from inside the goverment commits another terrorist attack.

 

SOLDIERSDIARY

1:20 PM ET

May 18, 2010

Witch Hunts

JD, agree with all you said, except fort the part on witch hunts. For some reason Witch Hunts have gotten a bad name, however they can be useful. If you recall the Salem witch trials...the end result was no more witches in Salem. Sometimes you need to get rid of the witches to have a more effective organization.

 

BOLANDJD

1:42 PM ET

May 18, 2010

Okay. Your assumption is

Okay. Your assumption is that there were witches in Salem to begin with, which I doubt is historically true. In any case, I was trying to pick a pithy phrase to make my point. I don't think the answer to the MAJ Hasan problem is as draconian as monitoring all Muslims or firing anyone who makes a contriversial statement. From the little bit that I know, it sure seems there were plenty of warning signs that someone could have, and should have, acted on to put Dr. Hasan out of the Army and away from Soldiers regardless of his religion or mental state or whatever. Frankly, I honestly don't think there will be a witchhunt - we're a long way from the 1950's. I'm far more concerned about too tepid a response that would leave us vulnerable to another infiltrator. I hope I'm allowed to say that. BTW, that's my own opinion and not the Army's or anyone in DoD's.

 

SOLDIERSDIARY

4:29 PM ET

May 18, 2010

Facts and Assumptions

Witches in Salem is a fact, not an assumption...an assumption would be that MAJ Hasan" should stop being caled MAJ Hasan, as I will assume he will be "reduced to the lowest enlisted grade, and forfiet all pay and allowences" at some point in the near future. I really hate the fact that he keeps being referred to as Major...doubt he's working any slides in his little cell.

 

JOHNBYRON

4:45 PM ET

May 18, 2010

"Witches in Salem is a fact, not an assumption"

Ditto moon rays and the flat earth. Woooeeeeoh.

 

SLEDGE

1:42 PM ET

May 18, 2010

The wrong questions

The question that needs to be asked is "What if the suggestion to not use PowerPoint came from a major on a staff some where, and not from the TRADOC commander?" the answer is that the major would be vilified...the US Army needs to figure out a way to tap into the wide intellect of its force...

 

BOLANDJD

4:18 PM ET

May 18, 2010

BG McMaster is famous in the

BG McMaster is famous in the Army for his antipathy to PowerPoint, among other little things like 73 Easting, Talafar, and lambasting a generation of general officers. I'm told GEN Dempsey has a similar disdain for cheese and "more cowbell". If the "no powerpoint" suggestion came from a major on either of their staffs, I'm sure it found receptive ears.

 

HUNTER

6:32 PM ET

May 18, 2010

Worrisome

Without delving into the ppt subject again. This is the comment that raised my hackles:

""We've power-pointed over the problem" of the Army division and corps headquarters echelons of commands and what their roles should be. The Army is more than just a collection of brigades."

The Army is more than a collection of brigades, but it probably shouldn't be much more. A little while ago we had stupid names like unit of action and unit of employment. They were stupid names because a) not many people knew what they meant b) those who did know knew they were new names for old things (BDEs and DIVs) c) those who did know knew that those new names and distinctions were meaningless.

Corps and Divisions ought to be dead or dying - but they aren't because there are flag commands to be had there (with juicy giant meaningless staffs and kingdoms to lord over). Generals don't talk about such matters because that would be killing their gravy train.

Here's the comment that should have been offered. In the May 17th edition of the ArmyTimes SEN Webb asks why the fuck do we have so many goddamned generals? (i'll look for the linky in a sec). From 1 to 6000 at the end of WWII to 1 to 1400+ these days.

I appreciate that the big guys had an off-site and engaged in some fiesty (and hopefully meaningful) navel -gazing but if it doesn't come with some discernible change in course or policy...well I hope the hotel pool was nice. (yes I know it was at Carlisle). The rest of us will just be going back to work then, that fighting and dying stuff. Thanks.

Heres that link: http://www.armytimes.com/news/2010/05/airforce_military_officers_051710w/

 

SOLDIERSDIARY

5:27 AM ET

May 19, 2010

Corps and Division

They are not going away anytime soon. I would add this, you can't have a bunch of BCTs out there no synched in their mission and focus. There will always be a need for a higher HQ to provide that command and control, and provide the BCT focus and direction.
That being said...what does a Division HQ bring to the fight. Following transformation and the BCT concept, all Division assets got pshed to the BCT. What assets can a Division provide a BCT that is designates as the Main Effort? A Corps can still do it (ISR, MPs, Engineers, etc...), but nothing from a Division. This is something that still needs to be worked out in the Army (not sure about Marine Divisions and what they provide).

 

HUEYPIC

6:48 PM ET

May 18, 2010

Language is important

I've enjoyed all the back and forth about Powerpoint. And like any other tool, its value is directly related to the person's abilities wielding that mouse! But this topic also relates to one of Barno's observations:

"Over-burdened terms" have proliferated and add confusion to our efforts -- "what does C4ISR really mean? Does anyone really know?"

It seems to me that "over burdened terms" reflects a laziness in language (or perhaps category definition) that is directly related to the many critiques of Powerpoint. I won't belabor all the arguments which critics level about simplification of complex concepts abetted by bullet points and associated cognitive truncation. But I will assert that this reflects a sloppiness of language that is haunting the Army in more ways than one. A few days ago, Ricks posted that extract from the Deresiewicz speech at West Point. It is the kind of deep thought which Deresiewicz proposes there that helps a person come to grips with clear, concise language in communication...a competency loudly and repeatedly asserted in multiple publications dealing with future leaders and soldiers (One example: TRADOC's Study of the Human Dimension in teh Future, 2015-2024). In a recent email circulated from an officer involved in the recent Haiti mission, there was an implicit critique of the "enterprise" approach to staff organization and operations. He reported that for clarity of mission and staff responsibilities, they reverted back to the "ancient" (my emphasis) staff designations such as J-5 and J-8 because people understood them and what they entailed. But as for an over-burdened term, what does "enterprise" mean these days? And exactly how does its nebulous nature improve things? I think we have a bad habit of latching onto terms then loading their rucks with a coke machine of connotations (and denotations, I suppose).

But I also choked back my morning coffee reading this one, almost laughing with a memory of the C4ISR world back in the early/mid-90s when I worked Army and Joint C4ISR doctrine in ODCSOPS. Those were the days when a vast networked military machine was being envisioned and really starting to hit its stride. And of course, contractors were anxious to hop on that train. Anyway, at a meeting on AFATDS (which was still in DT/OT), the contractor stated that its interface with other, envisioned systems (in this particular case, TBMCS) would be "seamless." This word/concept was becoming a real marker in discussions and presentations in the C4ISR world as these countless IT systems started multiplying. A good friend from PM-AFATDS leaned over to me and said, "God help any system these days that isn't seamless...and what is that supposed to mean, anyway?" Since that day, I have always tracked the use of seamless in the military context. Simply amazing, its multiple applications and recurrance! You might want to try it with the term of your choice. It clearly illustrates the point of "over burdened" language noted by Barno.

 

SOLDIERSDIARY

7:53 PM ET

May 18, 2010

seamless

AFATDS allows the seamless transition to a network centric warfare on the battlefield!

 

KEN LONG

8:45 PM ET

May 18, 2010

implications for field grade offier education in the midwest

Because we are “positive illusion factories” our critical thinking curriculum should be closely examining the effect of bias and the utility of collaborative learning to overcome bias. I don't know that we have properly included considerations of bias in our rubrics were student products. It's not enough to just cover it in classes on critical thinking; we should be looking for it in everything we do systematically.

The observation that our doctrinal terms are “overburdened and lack meaning” reinforces the idea that language matters and that we should be looking to emphasize the writing curriculum.

“Beware of heroic assumptions in the next world” leads me back towards bias and the need to beware of what you know and the lessons that you think you are justified in learning. Case studies of Israeli lessons learned in the fighting against Hezbollah may or may not be good source material for us to project the future requirements of the U.S. Army. The two forces have a different set of assumptions and operating principles, and the analogy may not fit. Clearly there's a lot to learn from our allies, however we should not accept their insights uncritically and that's what leads me back towards a need to examine bias.

The need to examine the multiple levels of leadership and organization so that we don't simply focus on tactical excellence leads me to question whether or not we are truly learning to integrate combined arms.

The discussion of mission command and the need to balance cultures of competing virtues reinforces my belief that the commander must be the role model for the humble inquiring learner. See http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=veTsjHu0F7I for a deeper look at this idea.

Note the assumption that technology is an inevitable part of our science and art of command and contrast that with the insight from Gen. Mathis recently that we should practice turning off our radios and looking at the cognitive processes independent of technology. Have we gone too far to roll the clock back. There've been some recent articles on the irreversability of evolution which suggests that complex organizations cannot roll the clock back and go back to simpler times. Are we experimenting in the classroom with different staff groups exploring different technologies and comparing products and insights in a roundtable or are we trying to standardize on a set of most complete digital command and control technology as a form of training? I think it's clear that were trying to treat command & control systems from a training perspective and not looking at the underlying C-2 processes and that we’re missing an opportunity to study.

The quote that we've “power pointed over the problem” of Army division and corps headquarters suggests to me that we should lock a group of general officers in a room for four days to solve the division and corps critical tasks and get on with business. We've pretty much figured out how brigades fights since that goes back to Washington's army and that leaders need to get their leadership in gear and fix the echelons of command issue. It's only been a problem since 1990.

FM 1- 01 is an excellent layout of the relationship, distinction and mutual support between the generating force and the operating force and needs to remain an essential part of our O200 block which is well out in front of the issues identified at the think tank. Similarly we need to continue to emphasize O200 and the end-to-end process of force generation across the services that have made their way into O200 at least through the next 3 to 5 years.

The Allied concerns can only be addressed by continuing to emphasize their attendance at CGSC and a reminder to "stay tuned"

the discussion of how we define and teach risk and inculcate a culture of initiative and risk taking is central to our educational mission for Field grade officers who are at the meeting point of strategy and tactics and who must make operationally significant risk manage decisions every day. See my separate discussion of the risk management challenge of the CEO of Goldman Sachs and decide if you think his degree of uncertainty is any greater than that of a battalion or brigade commander. I think not. We can learn an awful lot about the understanding of risk by taking a look outside of our professional domain. If the titans of global finance, informed by the biggest brains money can buy, can get risk management so dramatically wrong then we should be very careful on how we approach the subject from an educational perspective.

Concerning lethality: are we convinced that were doing an adequate job of integrating lethal combined arms in our operational campaign plan?
The proper role of the army incivil society is beginning to be addressed in the work being done on the Army professional ethic by Prof Nye,I but this needs to be in greater prominence in our curriculum as well.

In summary I think the biggest challenges going forward that the think tank were reportedly discussing, are: risk, uncertainty, collaborative learning and leadership, integrating lethal combined arms at the operational level in a way that includes all of the war fighting functions. Without their Powerpoints to review, naturally, I await the EXSUM and text-based info papers or word-of-mouth narrative to go further.

 

Thomas E. Ricks covered the U.S. military for the Washington Post from 2000 through 2008.

Read More