Proven provider John McCreary, who is on a roll lately,
said a couple of days ago that Iran's domestic political crisis may be
approaching the tipping point. The key, he says, is to watch the behavior of
the security forces in the near future:
The opposition in Iran is not
capable of effecting the political changes it advocates. However, the
government is unable to contain it, much less suppress it. A third cycle will
begin in a few weeks. When security forces begin to join the protestors, then
the Khamenei regime has begun the steep slide. As yet security forces respond to orders and have not crossed the line
to join the protestors.
And I see where Trita and Rouzbeh Parsi are asking the
same question: "Could the mullahs fall this time?"
Those who doubt this conclusion should visit Andrew
Sullivan's blog and check out the many videos
from Iran he has posted assiduously in recent days.
Btw, over the weekend the Times of London named
Neda Soltan, the young female demonstrator shot to death in Tehran back in
June, their person of the year. Good choice. NB to Lucites: Sure beats