Wednesday, December 2, 2009 - 6:03 PM
My hawkish friends are picking on Obama's speech. It didn't stir them.
News flash, fellas: It wasn't meant to. He wasn't speaking to you all, or to me. In fact, he likely is mighty tired of listening to Afghanistan hawks, having spent much of the last three months with them. In defense intellectual terms, this homily was written for Andrew Bacevich and Richard Kohn, not for Eliot Cohen and Tom Donnelly and Peter Feaver, to name a few of the usual suspects.
This speech was an ode to ambivalence, an aria of ambiguity, a rasher of reluctance. It was addressed to those who, like him, really didn't want to send more troops to Afghanistan. It was for those who care more about rebuilding New Orleans than Kandahar or Mosul. He was explaining to them why he was breaking with them. He had after great deliberation concluded that it was necessary to escalate.
To really get this speech, I think you had to be someone who voted for Obama, who believed he was elected to end our wars, and was feeling terribly and personally disappointed with the president over the possibility of a surge in Afghanistan -- and the failure to close Guantanamo, and the lift the ban on gays in the military, not to mention the bailout of Wall Street fatcats. Hence the explicit discussion of the Vietnam analogy, and the review of the folly of invading Iraq in 2003. (But why deliver it at West Point, where ambiguity is not a core Army value? That probably was a mistake.)
Seen in that context, these are the three most important quotes in last night's speech:
First, there are those who suggest that Afghanistan is another Vietnam... I believe this argument depends upon a false reading of history."
I'm mindful of the words of President Eisenhower, who, in discussing our national security, said, 'Each proposal must be weighed in the light of a broader consideration: the need to maintain balance in and among national programs.' Over the past several years, we have lost that balance. We've failed to appreciate the connection between our national security and our economy."
And, given what I think was the purpose of the speech, this was the best line:
That's why our troop commitment in Afghanistan cannot be open-ended: because the nation that I am most interested in building is our own."
JIM WATSON/AFP/Getty Images
Of the three quotes above the first is debatable but the second two are spot on and the reason why Obama as a leader in peace and war is head and shoulders above the miserable duo of Bush and Cheney.
"a rasher of reluctance you say? I was once invited by a Brit to partake of a rasher of sausages, which I found bland. Like those sausages, I wished I would have found a little more spice. :}
One wishes you'd have shown a dollop of deference, a soupçon of shyness, a modicum of moderation in your alliterative analysis of Obama's oration. Lest your readers rant or your editors emit a tirade of testiness.
Barack Obama, man of peace and justice
"...he likely is mighty tired of listening to Afghanistan hawks."
President Obama has made it clear that he wants America to become a republic instead of the military empire it has become. If he gets re-elected, I predict strong cuts in the so called defense budget, as well as massive base closings all over the world. Also, gay Americans will be able to serve our country proudly and out in the open, just as they do in civilized countries around the world.
It's about time America has a president willing to stand up against the militarists and war profiteers that are the real enemies destroying our country. President Obama is like Konrad Adenauer was to Germany, healing a nation severely wounded by an evil and criminal regime.
Thank God for President Barack Obama, a man of peace and justice for all!
Did you watch the same speech I did?
Admiral,
Did you watch the same Speech I did? I saw (too) many of the sorts of things I saw in similar speeches during the last administration.
- The speech before a uniformed military audience. Check.
- The trotting out of the wounded as props. Check.
- A further validation of the terms ushered in under the last administration (e.g. "wounded warrior"). Check.
I cannot begin to express how disgusted I was that 1LT Berschinski, a triple amputee from Afghanistan, was trotted out from Walter Reed like a stage prop. The fact that this decorated infantry officer was wheeled into Eisenhower Hall where everyone was in Service Dress wearing a field uniform bothered me greatly. Surely the Army could have fitted him with a proper uniform in advance of this event. I guess anything to keep the "wounded warrior" meme going strong. This officer who sacrificed so much deserved better than to be used as a disposable stage prop. I expected so much more nuance from this administration and I am deeply disillusioned. For what it's worth, I don't ever recall Bush even using the "wounded warrior" term himself in a nationally televised speech. He may have, but I don't recall it.
There's No Concilliating the Far Right
I think President Obama is doing the right thing in trying to bring the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq to satisfactory conclusions; Wall Street needed to be bailed out before its failure brought down the entire country. That having been said, Obama's middle-of-the-road course does little to concilliate the hawks and far right. Against all evidence many of them continue to believe that he's a socialist, a gun-confiscator, that he's not an American citizen, that he was educated at a Wahabi madressa, and so on. These days the ideological right is more and more resembling the Joe McCarthy supporters and John Birch Society types of the 1950s.
How has Obama "brought the war in Iraq to a
satisfactory conclusion?"
What did he do? Not a speech, but what has he done? What are you talking about? The war in Iraq has come to a satisfactory conclusion thanks to President Bush, Gen Petraeus and the surge, which, as I recall, Obama opposed every step of the way, insisted it would fail, was failing and had failed.
Long after other Dems had abruptly stfu about Iraq and the surge, Obama was touting his genius in opposing the surge well into the summer of 2008. Finally some presstitutes explained that since the surge was a success, there was not much point for Obama to keep touting his opposition. Obama stfu about Iraq & started talking about Afghanistan, scrubbed his site of his opposition to the surge, and it's like it never happened!
Last I heard from Obama, he was blatting that he would bring all the troops home from Iraq by September 2009. Gosh. How's that working out? The troops are coming out pursuant to a SOFA put in place in Dec 2008, and with which Obama had nothing to do, nada zip.
So Pete, give us the benefit of your genius. What has Obama done -- not blatted or brayed or whined -- but done -- to bring about the end of the war in Iraq.
The answer is nothing, nada zero. He's not dumb enough to interfere with the schedule of withdrawals from Iraq. So Pete -- tell us -- what has Obama done to bring about the end of the war in Iraq. Name just one thing. One.
There's one "l" in conciliating you moron!
If you're going to engage in an abusive rant, the least you could do is accurately understand the post you are responding to. Pete did not say Obama had brought the war in Iraq to a satisfactory conclusion, he said he is TRYING to bring the war to a satisfactory conclusion.
Maybe you should worry about something besides the spelling skills of others, "you moron".
Good decision, but where was the confidence?
"And as Commander-in-Chief, I have determined that it is in our vital national interest to send an additional 30,000 U.S. troops to Afghanistan. After 18 months, our troops will begin to come home. " Why do you start a deadline right after you discuss the surge? I interpret this as a lack of confidence.
President Obama can't table for the war on terror. A: You're already surrendering to not only al-Qaeda, but also the Taliban. You're giving something for them to hold on to B: You can't expect the War on Terror to be short and quick. We've been fighting against terrorism since the 1990s. C: Our enemies are employing strategies and tactics that we have never prepared ourselves for. We cannot give in and must find their weakness and exploit it.
"America is also providing substantial resources to support Pakistan's democracy and development." This statement is partially true (correct me if I'm wrong). Pakistan is currently, as President Obama outlined, in one of their largest offensives fighting to stabilize the western part of their country. The US is only providing limited amounts of development aid (food, water, etc) that is meant to combat Pakistan's food crisis. Yes, these are great resources, but I cannot stress that we need to go further in assisting them by providing military equipment. The US is currently having issues in Pakistan with traversing the terror and fighting the enemy, so how can we expect a significantly weaker and less equipped army to do the same? Why can't we send them some military hardware, not the latest and greatest, but not the old crap that is falling apart. I've heard arguments against this stating that this would tick off India and that this aid can get into the wrong hands. Yes, this may disappoint India, but we have strong enough ties with India. Second, by stating it's going to fall into the wrong hands shows a lack of confidence for an ally we need. President Obama needs pay more attention to Pakistan and the border between Afghanistan and Pakistan.
I also have some feelings about our current plan for the Afghan Army, and feel that it should be expanded, but I'll save that for another day.
So, all that talk during the campaign that Afghanistan was the necessary war, that he would do anything it took to win, that it was vital to our national security, even chiding McCain for not being man enough to go hunt bin Laden...you mean, all those speeches by Obama were unmitigated horseshit???
Shocking...
The president orders up a troop increase, consistent with his campaign, and they accuse him of not fulfilling a campaign pledge.
You're going to have to repeat that many more times before it has its intended Goebbels-effect.
Some of the best analysis I've read today. Particularly think his emphasis on reluctance is key.
This was not a Hollywood war speech (nor should it have been)
It seems like Hawks wanted a cinematic, nation rallying "over the top" war cry. This is not that kind of war and therefore the President's sober tone regarding escalation was entirely appropriate. Wars will continue to be very unsatisfying endeavors in the sense that the importance, the objective and the end are hard to grasp and in the case of the latter, impossible. There will be no signing of surrender on the deck of the USS Missouri. This is an abstract war.
Question: is deployment during the Afghan winter (a quiet time for Taliban activity) a deliberate part of this surge strategy? I.e. do fewer casualties in the first months of the surge (where after winter they are unfortunately sure to escalate) part of an effort to divorce casualties and the President's policy?
Exceeds a CEO with fiduciary responsibility ethics...
this is a fuller picture of a world with deadly competitors who don't necessarily bow to Mecca.
No option for expanding the economy, protecting the Constitution, getting a new Congress, or providing for the common defense and public welfare can be evaluated without a full perspective. We have been stampeded too often by those who deal in self selective half truths or self induced denials, if not out right lies.
The Fantastic Mr. Fox eats well among the caucus, in the sewers of K-street and on every channel on cable TV with or without of person of gawd.
The President applied the principle of honor at a site where its implications are understood among those who will bear the toll.
Sloganeering and Serious Thinking
Years ago I saw a piece of paper taped to a refrigerator in Austin, Texas, and on it someone had written:
"All meaning has been reduced to statements of approximately this length."
That was in 1995. We've become far more efficient since then. Now we're all about Stay the Course. Cut and Run. Flip-flop. War of Choice. COIN. Change (You Can Believe In).
In his approach to foreign policy, George W. Bush appeared to be the embodiment of the the principal known as Ockham's Razor. Unfortunately, his explanations for the sources of our enemy's conduct ("they're hate our freedom," "they're evil") turned out not to be the simplest, but the most simplistic.
It all made for great political bumperstickers; it also made for a poor starting point from which to think seriously about foreign policy. For example, the counterinsurgency fetish so often displayed on this fine web log would be impossible without a more complex understanding of other people's aims and motives.
Insofar as the conduct of foreign policy is concerned, Barack Obama seems congenitally resistant to this kind of sloganeering. Whether this is because he lacks a grand strategic vision, or because he understands that grand strategic visions are generally resistant to sloganeering, remains to be seen.
In my view, Obama has the unenviable task of managing a corrective to decades of imperial overreach while at the same time protecting the republic and resuscitating the economy. Part of this, I hope, will entail leveling with -- and educating -- a citizenry which claims to want straight talk, but is in fact more comfortable with folksy lies, and has an attention span of about thirty seconds. This cannot go on much longer. Reality has been knocking on the door for some time now. If we continue to fail to listen, the house will be blown down around us.
However he navigates the mess he's been entrusted to clean up, Obama's solutions will be neither simple or pretty. Last night's speech was an indication of that.
According to Bob Woodward . . .
. . . during the run-up to the Iraq War, Andrew Card told George Bush "You have to explain this to the American people as if they were a ten-year-old." (From memory; don't quote that.)
My worry is that Card was right, and that while Obama's attempts to nudge the nation toward greater appreciation for complexity, tragedy, ambivalence, etc., are admirable, he's nevertheless dreaming.
Now, without dreams, nothing gets better. You can't put the energy into trying to improve things unless you believe your dream might come true.
That might have been a challenge for Bush to speak to the country as if it had the mind of a ten year old since he seems to have the mind of an eight year old.
Thank you for your astute paragraph,
"Now, without dreams, nothing gets better. You can't put the energy into trying to improve things unless you believe your dream might come true."
I hope the statement was your own; I'll remember it and try to attribute it to you...as I may quote it and remember in time.
Also, I too believe in President Obama; he is an intelligent and admiral person with honorable characteristics of deep ethics, sincerity, honesty, and humility.
I wish the best for Mr. Obama and the troops, but it seemed to me that President Giuliani could have given that speech: Mom, apple pie, and 9-11.
I kept expecting that the gatecrasher couple was going to walk up the side aisle to provide some comic relief.
As 3 is to 1. Famous Napoleon quote from Clausewitz.
POTUS has a responsibility to project confidence and at least look like he supports his own decision. Looked like a reluctant college professor up there, not a leader.
Cards on the table, I voted for the guy and I don't think this is a good decision. But, once made, the Commander In Chief must rally support for it. He missed the mark last night - big time.
Campaigning and Leadership are related, but fundamentally different in the end. Obama's not the first President who ran on a domestic agenda and was reluctantly "dragged away from it" by responsibilities of the office (Lincoln, Kennedy, LBJ).
Presidents are not just "domestic policy engineers." In fact, very few have been successful in that arena (really more Congressional and the Courts). They are caretakers of vision, foreign policy and the strategic direction of the nation. They are responsible for maintaining will within the Clausewitzian Trinity for the policy he chooses.
Leaders make tough decisions, sometimes not popular. The difference between being a legislaturer and an executive.
For most of us who've been, you know, PAYING ATTENTION AND STUFF, that got pretty old around . . . I was going to say 2003 . . . but probably January 2002 is more like it.
But thanks for trying.
You're not the only one "who've been" - allot of us have several times.
I get it, as much as the next guy. I'm not a fan of "this surge" at all. But, I recognize the debate whether to do or not is over. It's time to get in and try to make it work.
Leaders sometimes must execute decisions they don't necessarily want to do or agree completely with. But, regardless, they must try to succeed. And they must convince others it's important.
Otherwise, don't make the decision or sit in the chair.
Is the surge of troops the fakeout and the withdrawal the real policy
or
is the surge the real policy and the withdrawal the fakeout?
I honestly don't know, and I don't think Obama does either. He's played this game many a time, but never as CIC. Interesting times lie ahead.
When caught in a draw play....
is your question not a good indicator of a defense in adjustment? Who now is the sucker? bin Laden? RNC? Charlie Chaplin's little tramp in Washington apparel chasing a truck while waiving an artificial bow flag?
Interesting times do lie ahead. Good point!
This is a President who knows how to play the Great Game
a 'surge' has a drawdown built in
When Petraeus got his previous CiC to agree to an 'all in' counteroffensive, the necessary draw-down of a tired infantry force from combat in Iraq was accellerated, barring a VN style draft expansion, or wholesale transfer of non-infantry from elsewhere in the services. (Todays drawdown in in Iraq is somewhat masked by our return to FOB overwatch duty, under the Withdrawal-SOF terms. Odierno's force is in the the posture sought by Gen. Casey, albeit in a reduced civil conflict context, for now.)
Committing to two concurrent 100,000 man occupations in 2010, (anticipating Af-Pak casualties comparable to Iraq-07?), we guarantee we can't sustain that effort thru 2011. At least not with a volunteer force consisting mostly of salaried noncombatants. Plan B is that we fall back on artillery and bombs, accept the collateral of targeting buildings sheltering civilians in a poor country, as we once did in Korea.
It's like paying bills with the credit card, or the delay of economic bad news that generally precedes a presidential election. The downstream effects of the 'surge' geometry are predictable, however exciting the near-term 'benefits.' Should he survive, Clan Karzai and the other Af-Pak players may hold some powerful negotiating cards in 2011, as Maliki did in 2008.
There's a term used on the fight channel, when a contestant gambles he can win with an offensive surge, but instead burns out and loses.
Flaming? Does anyone remember the myth of the Phoenix? The modern insurgent rises from the 2002 ashes, while our 'clients' wave the bird half of the V-sign.
What's that Kipling quote Tom favors, about trying to fox the pathan on his home turf?
"In defense intellectual terms, this homily was written for Andrew Bacevich and Richard Kohn, not for Eliot Cohen and Tom Donnelly and Peter Feaver, to name a few of the usual suspects."
Uh-oh, Tom must have pissed off Eliot Cohen because today the good doctor's revenge is to have an article about counterinsurgency in the Outlook section of the Post!
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