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Marine colonel: Drop the Cuba embargo

Here's a Friday special for you. Or, Monty Python would say, something completely different.
Another of the great things about CNAS is our military fellows program, which brings in smart officers from the military services, as well as the Air Force. They are a major part of the institution, bringing recent experiences in the field into our discussions, and tending to help focus the conversation on effectiveness. CNAS doesn't care about ideology, it cares about what works.
One thing a think tank should do is look at tomorrow as well as today. So, while everyone else in town who can spell "counterinsurgency" is honking on about Afghanistan and Iran, Marine Lt. Col. Jeff Goodes, a CNAS fellow, has been mulling a problem closer to home: Cuba. He's a three tour vet of Iraq who before coming to CNAS commanded Marine Wing Communications Squadron 28 in Cherry Point, N.C.
Cuba is something that could get very big, just as soon as Fidel dies-and that, for all we know, could be tomorrow. So it is best to start thinking about it now:
The Obama administration's decision to extend the U.S. economic trade embargo on Cuba for an additional year is detrimental to our national and regional security and further emboldens our economic, military, and infrastructure rivals. What is most perplexing is the fact that earlier this summer the Obama administration decided to relax some of the regulations regarding personal travel and personal money transfers from Cuban-Americans to their relatives in Cuba, as well as telecommunication exchanges between private U.S. and state-run Cuban companies: all are steps in the right direction for U.S. interests - but are not enough. While these relaxed restrictions are certainly a step forward in normalizing relations, these steps do not outweigh the heavy diplomatic, information, and economic influence of Brazil, Venezuela, Nicaragua, China, Russia, India, and Iran, all of whom support the Cuban government and all of whom seek to be peer competitors with the United States.
In short, the U.S. unilateral embargo will continue to retard regional security and stability, and further serve to erode our influence in the Americas at a time when U.S. credibility is globally scrutinized. The arguably outdated and undeniably ineffective embargo will continue to halt progress at every turn; more specifically, the diplomatic influence and credibility of the U.S., the social and political progress of Cuba, and the security and stability progress of the region. The U.S. embargo will continue to impede potential and future cultural and scientific trade investments, shared agricultural advancements, and pertinent meteorological and environmental exchanges regarding the shared Florida Straits ecology.
Furthermore, the U.S. unilateral embargo will continue to encourage Cuba to partner with Russia, China, and Brazil for off-shore oil and natural gas exploration within the shared U.S. and Cuban economic exclusion zone. The U.S. embargo will continue to endear many of the poor Caribbean and Central American nations to the Chavez Venezuelan PetroCaribe initiative, and the embargo will ensure that no official U.S. - Cuban dialogue and/or planned cooperative action occurs with regards to such crucial issues as regional and transnational criminal organizations, illegal immigration and extortion issues, and the growing Islamic influence on Latin American from Iranian, Syrian, and Lebanese diasporas.
We must face the facts: the U.S. efforts to isolate and force a regime change in Cuba for nearly half a century have failed. These 50 years have successfully driven Cuba to aggressively seek support elsewhere, as is evident in their forming and fostering diplomatic ties, seeking infrastructure support, establishing military liaisons, and accepting economic support from every government in the Americas - to include Canada - with the exception of the United States. Most of Cuba's economic and diplomatic partners have "Leftist" governments with close ties to state and non-state Islamic fundamentalists, porous national borders and often rampant organized crime cartels coupled with violent gang warfare fueled by drug trafficking, human trafficking, and extortion. After all, Cuba has the backing of Hugo Chavez' endorsed ALBA and doctors for oil initiative, Evo Morales' endorsed MAS, China's $600M economic and trade stimulus grant, and Brazil's $300M infrastructure and modernization credit to list a few. To be sure, the United States should be very concerned with the company that Cubans keep.
A less adversarial tone with Cuba will reestablish much needed dialogue in the region and help address shared national border security vulnerabilities, transnational and regional crime consortiums, and environmental and ecological initiatives. The necessity for the Obama administration to lift the U.S. economic embargo is painfully obvious. It would enhance the region's security, promote economic prosperity, establish shared environmental regulations, and help re-establish our credibility and leadership vis-à-vis some of our most prominent global allies and competitors. Lastly, let's ask ourselves, "Has our 50 year embargo brought Cuba any closer to democracy, or have we denied the Cubans an opportunity to see the best that our free and democratic society offers?"
I think the colonel is right. The embargo has been Fidel's best friend, and hasn't done the Cuban people any good. It is time to change this.
Flickr user: AaronE™









Agreed.
I completely agree. US policy towards Cuba has eroded our interests for decades, and it is time for it to change. Fortunately, the domestic support for a hardline approach to Cuba is fading, but it isn't fast enough!
Time to free the American people of the blockade
The people of the United States are required under US law to obtain a permission slip from the federal government to go to Cuba. Cuba is the only country ON THE PLANET for which this is the case. You can go to North Korea, Iran, Syria, China and Vietnamd and not have to ask permission from Washington.
This year, President Obama is allowing Cuban-Americans to go without asking permission. What about the rest of us?
Cubans have plenty of problems, more than a few of which are their own responsibility. But normal relations between our two countries would make it possible for the Cubans to address issues which Washington's "regime change" policies, trying to make life so bad in Cuba that the people will rise up and bring those Miami exile militants back, don't permit.
The colonel's reasoning is based on the negative premise that previous tactics haven't achieved "regime change" objective, so it's time to change "tactics".
However, you catch more flies with honey than with vinegar, and normalizing relations would be much more in our interests than trying another approach to achieving the same tired old objectives.
Thank you.
Walter Lippmann
Los Angeles, California
Col. Goodes and Ricks are
Col. Goodes and Ricks are right as rain. If we can have normalized relations with China and Vietnam then how can we refuse to have normal diplomatic and trade relations with Cuba. Normalization is so obviously sensible and beneficial to all parties that it makes me wonder if I am being obtuse and missing some ulterior Machiavellian motive on the part of those against it?
Pyrrhic
"Brazil, Venezuela, Nicaragua, China, Russia, India, and Iran … all of whom seek to be peer competitors with the United States."
International competition in an era of doomsday weaponry is unjustifiably reckless. By vying to be king of the mountain, the competitors create a very real risk of demolishing the mountain.
What are you talking about?
What are you talking about? Your comment seems incoherent to me or I am missing your point big time. Normalizing relations with Cuba has little bearing on what you are talking about.
Sorry for going OT from Cuba,
Sorry for going OT from Cuba, but I was referring to and quoting from a contextual statement presented by Lt. Col. Goodes.
I believe that we should try to improve our interactions with all nations, including Cuba.
My point is that we’re setting the bar for international relations quite low if the norm is to be that nations or blocs of nations will continue to seek advantage and dominance over others, particularly in the realm of access to essential resources.
Economic competition routinely and sometimes inevitably becomes military competition.
Might-makes-right was bad enough in the era of gunboat diplomacy. Today’s munitions are vastly more destructive.
Generational Shift
"brings in smart officers from the military services, as well as the Air Force." Do I detect a bit of sarcasm Tom?
I concur with this Lieutenant Colonel of Marines. It's not only time to move forward and normalize relations with Cuba. It's time to reshape our relationship throughout the Southern Americas.
It's interesting to note that there's a Cuban-American generational shift toward normalization of relations. However, it's still tough on them to go against the established old guard in Florida, while trying to succeed in a career.
Maybe the next national election cycle with tell?
"brings in smart officers
"brings in smart officers from the military services, as well as the Air Force." Do I detect a bit of sarcasm Tom?
Next time I'm stuck pulling an ILO (JET, whatever) assignment, I'll be sure to remember how I'm not in the military. Har, har.
Cuba
Because a blogger can address an indefinite number of subjects in a finite amount of time does not mean an administration can.
Faced with an economy in crisis, his major domestic legislative priority in Congress, two wars, and troubles with allies in Europe and Asia, President Obama has an awful lot on his plate. He would have even if Republican holds were not delaying the process of getting American officials confirmed to key posts relevant to Latin American policy. Kicking the Cuban problem down the road until next year is not a unreasonable step to take under these circumstances.
I understand that from the standpoint of some commentators, dealing with the Cuban problem means simply conceding to Havana every point at issue. That includes lifting the embargo, which would bring a major surge of trade and investment into a country still impoverished by its own government's policies, and might therefore be thought worth bargaining over. The reason for this is that there are things we will want from the Cuban government in a post-embargo world, on issues ranging from property rights to immigration to drug trafficking.
Lifting the embargo as part of an agreement touching on at least some of the major issues with which the United States and Cuba will need to cope with in the years ahead is a step I favor, but I recognize that such an agreement would take time to negotiate. The Obama administration is, rightly, concentrating on the most urgent issues right now. Cuba just is not one of them.
Good point.
While we have all the bandwidth in the world to discuss these issues, to actually develop and change national policy requires substantial amounts of time from the limited number of relevant decision-makers. That's why I try not to stress-out too much about how much time things take, whether it is the healthcare reform measures or the decision on what to do in Afghanistan. Think about what is the administration's agenda:
Big domestic issues include healthcare reform, environmental legislation, and (hopefully!) increased regulation of the financial sector.
Smaller domestic issues include gay rights (big to those individuals, but smaller in terms of policy scope) and EFCA.
Big foreign policy issues include Iraq, Afghanistan, the Iranian nuclear program, and North Korea.
Smaller foreign policy issues include Cuba, etc.
I'm leaving out a lot of issues in this survey, but nevertheless it does show how ambitious the agenda is given the relatively small number of individuals who have critical roles in dealing with these issues.
et tu USAF?
It does seem that the blues have self-defined a mission area and gear set that nearly precludes flight at an altitude, speed and location that risks return fire. CNAS is apparently safe, for now, but Cuba must be observed from 200 mi. up.
But for Boyd, the fighter mafia, and Congress they might have succeeded in toto.
But let's not forget that they are locked in an existential struggle with the senior service for control of space budgets.
I'm writing this from Colo. Springs, prior to returning to San Diego area; opposing tactical centers in that struggle.
Close Gitmo, the Entire Base
If Obama was a leader, he would push further, and close our naval base in Cuba, which serves no function and costs millions of dollars a year.
http://www.g2mil.com/closegitmo.htm
Well argued
I can see no upside to waiting here, this policy works against our interests both militarily and economically.
I am interested in the relaxed telecom exchanges, wasn't it the US that put the squeeze on Carlos Slim not to go forward with fiber optic investment in Cuba?
It's been almost 20 years now that people have been waiting for the imminent collapse of the Castro regime, his post Soviet economic reforms have proved quite adaptable. It's time for the US to adapt to the changed reality and end a failed policy.
This embargo does absolutely
This embargo does absolutely nothing productive for US foreign policy. If anything, it gives the Castros a significant PR boost--the Cuban people feel the effects of the embargo, and the Castros can blame the problems on the US.
policy of the damned
Have you never met a dictator you wouldn't take to bed. Castro, Chavez, the Mullahs..Mao, Stalin, Sung. How many peoples do you want to liberate to a dictator?
The right thing would be to liberate Cuba from Castro...rest assured PBO won't liberate anyone from anything except reality.
What better gift to a near death dictator than victory over the free world via U.S. capitulation coupled with a well delivered apology?
There isn't any official U.S. policy to keep you from moving to Cuba...beautiful people, nice weather, and all that brainy commie ideology. One problem; criticizing the Castro way might get you locked up, er uh, re-educated.
Thanks for the forum,
PR
Nah, it would be an anti-Castro move
Hi,
I am not sure where you are coming from, but I see lifting the embargo as an anti-Castro move. I think it could be presented as such.
Not sure where the rest of the rant came from.
Oh well,
Best,
Tom
The disintegration of the
The disintegration of the Soviet empire is testament to the corrosive power of freedom,when that freedom is employed to challenge insular tyrannies. The American embargo, from this perspective,is the very antithesis of what was,and still is, needed to effect change on that island. In fact, historians may one day attribute Castro's five decades of endurance to the isolating and insulating benefits of this embargo, which has served as "Fidelitos" Berlin wall. As such, the embargo can be seen for what it truly is: a policy contrary to the best interests of the United States and one maintained in deference to special "exile" interest groups who do not want a peaceful transition in Cuba, but rather prefer the chance of violent change.
As an American by nurture and conviction,I raised these arguments in my book titled "Up Dog Street," well aware that we must insure a peaceful transition in Cuba, if we are to avoid recurring regimes of autocratic "strong men" of the left or the right. There's nothing better for America than to have a fellow democracy ninety miles away.