Friday, October 16, 2009 - 5:17 PM

Here is a response from uber-hawk Tom Donnelly, who was pinged yesterday by our cranky tankers for his assertion that light infantry guys have done better at counterinsurgency than have treadheads. He says he likes heavy Army guys just fine, but wouldn't want the next chief of staff of the U.S. Army to be one:
Chad Foster is the first person to ever accuse me of hostility to the heavy Army. As the co-author of Clash of Chariots: A History of Armored Warfare, I have a tread-head reputation to defend.
The quote you [that is, Tom Ricks] used in your book [The Gamble] was to simply observe that while the Cold War heavy force was focused -- quite correctly! -- on operations on the German central front, the light Army was doing other missions (while also figuring out how to play in WWIII; the 10th Mountain Division was revived, in part, to do that in Europe and bushwhack Soviet armor with TOWs). The heavy community also understood the new technologies of their systems -- Abrams and Bradley -- far better than others; we should remember (and how silly this seems in retrospect) that the Iraqi heavy forces were thought to be a near match before Desert Storm.
And while no one would disparage that part of the Army which produced HR McMaster or Sean McFarland (or the artillery branch in the case of Raymond Odierno) I do think it is fair to wonder whether the domination of service leadership positions through the post-cold War years by heavy-force officers (Gordon Sullivan was an armor officer, Dennis Reimer an artilleryman, Eric Shinseki a tanker, George Casey a mech infantryman) didn't have some effect (possibly, inadvertently, exacerbated by having Peter Schoomaker, who served most of his time in special operations). Generally, it has been hard to break the Army out of its strict force-on-force mindset. And so much of the service's institutional energy has been spent, during these years -- and again, it's a serious question -- on wondering what the purpose of the heavy force was.
This all makes the question of who becomes the next Army chief of staff a critical one. Interestingly, the vice chief of staff, Peter Chiarelli, began his career in the 9th Infantry Division, which then was (or was in train to become) a "motorized" division, with different gear but a similar approach to today's Stryker units, mounted but not heavy and with a higher number of infantry dismounts. One might also say that the 101st Airborne (the community that produced David Petraeus and Jack Keane) is also not really a "light" organization in that the high number of helicopters (both lift and attack), make it a pretty large beast, with a lot of firepower and mobility but without the battering-ram abilities of tank-Bradley-based units. And should Odierno return to Washington (he was, for six months, the vice chief before being reassigned to Baghdad), he too would be a potential chief of staff.
Probably the real way to think about the effects of individuals and "corporate culture" on the direction of the service, though, is likely to be when there is a "post-surge" officer at the top. That is, someone who understands the nature of the Long War (which clearly demands a land force made up of not just light but some mixture of heavy, "motorized", heli-borne and pure light units) and has a track record of success. The same is also true of the Marine Corps: what will it do with Jim Mattis or John Kelly?
The need to actually fight and win on the battlefield has meant that, to some degree, the service institutions have yet to fully reflect the experience of its most successful combat leaders -- the writing of doctrinal manuals matters, but so does controlling budgets or setting personnel policy. In the long run, those may matter more.
Rennett Stowe/flickr
Sir-
I wasn't really accusing you of hostility toward the "heavy" side of the Army. I was challenging the assertion that a "light" vs "heavy" background is the most important discriminator indicating potential success in a COIN environment for a leader. History (to include very recent history) is filled with guys from the "heavy" Army that have done very well in the complex environment of COIN. In earlier discussions, we have really hit hard on the most recent examples (McMasters, MacFarland, etc.) as well as Vietnam (Abrams). You assert that Shinseki might have been among those that made a "negative" contribution to our unpreparedness for the fights we face in Afghanistan and Iraq, but he was among the few who actually spoke out against invading Iraq "on the cheap" (the Rumsfeld approach). He advocated higher troop levels because he had some idea as to what was going to be required, in terms of manpower at least, to deal with Iraq after the removal of the Saddam regime (of course, I hate his decision to adopt the black beret as our standard headgear. HA!)
The real distinction that we need to focus on is this: who is adaptive? Who isn't? I couldn't care less about where the next chief of staff comes from, "light" or "heavy" or "SOF" . . . I just don't care. Rather than being a blind advocate of my own branch, I want someone who can think, has moral courage and vision, and who isn't afraid to challenge past assumptions in the face of ever-changing and increasingly complex conditions.
I have agree with you, however, that many leaders, especially in OIF 1 and 2, were still trying to fit the square conventional peg into the round hole that was the COIN battlefield of Iraq. These leaders came from both "light" and "heavy" units. The armor units (just like everyone else) were trying to figure it out on the ground with equipment and task organizations that weren't really suited to the mission as it came to be (I was one of these). The "light" guys were better equipped and organized to adapt to this mission, but surprisingly few did so despite this initial "advantage." Does this mean that they were bad or inferior to the "heavy" forces? NO! It means that the problem was (and is) hard . . . and VERY different from what our senior leaders led us to expect and prepare for. Things have obviously begun to change, but it remains an on-going process.
Our training and leader development/education model as well as our overall culture must be tailored to nurture adaptive thinkers who aren't afraid to take tactical risks in order to acheive strategic results. Innovation and adaptability are the key! Can the "heavy" force do better than they have in the past? YES. Might there need to be a change in how those forces are task organzied and equipped? YES. How is this any different from how we have adapted and changed to deal with our Nation's enemies throughout our history? I don't care whether or not I have a tank, HMMWV or some other system/vehicle. Whatever I have, I will do my best to adapt to the specific place, enemy and overall context within which I am operating. I think the Army has started to realize this as the percentage of units within Armor branch has shifted to a higher amount of Cavalry (far more flexible and capable for COIN) than traditional "tank" units.
As has been said a thousand times, it is about "how" to think . . . not "what" to think. Rather than throwing around simplistic "light" vs "heavy" arguments, let's look deeper for the real distinction.
Maybe the next 'Army' Chief of Staff should be a Marine! :-)
Let's brush off the dust, part 2
Yes, and let's immediately recall Major Vandergriff back to duty as David Hackworth suggested in 2004:
http://www.sftt.org/cgi-bin/csNews/csnews.cgi/csNews.cgi?database=Hacks Target.db&command=viewone&op=t&id=56&rnd=941.4365905602895
There's no shortage of good ideas, there's a lack of powerful people willing to implement them. "Light" versus "heavy" is a non-debate. The only thing that matters now is to find out why certain officers performed well in combat/revolutionary warfare, while others failed miserably.
Then, finally apply these lessons, that basically should have been learned years ago, and start improving the Army's performance. Being the "best", doesn't necessarily mean that you're "good". Vandergriff's writings, amongst others, will prove a good guideline to get "better".
Why did we have to wait for eight years, and still waiting, for a "post-surge" army chief? Why is it that we are sticking with the peacetime promotion system while we're fighting two wars?
Why are so many generals allowed to retire with pension, even though their brigades and divisions have had mediocre results in OIF & OEF?!
Sir-
You are correct about the predominance of "heavy" Army officers in the Chief of Staff position in the 1990's, but before we go too far in proclaiming this as a "cause" for some of today's difficulties, we should probably take a look at the context of that decade. Being in the Army during 1990's (especially the mid to late 90's) was like wandering in the wilderness. The Soviets were gone. We had crushed the Iraqi army. We were just starting to think seriously about a challenge from China. Bosnia and Kosovo were our most important regular deployments. AND the threat from terrorists wasn't really even on the radar (even though there were plenty of warning signs). We had a very brief flare up in Somalia (Blackhawk Down) with our elite light force, the Rangers, and later some "heavy" units from Fort Stewart.
We didn't know what the hell we were doing in the Army in the 1990's after Gult War I, from top to bottom, "light" or "heavy" or otherwise. We were at a very strange transition point trying to figure out where we were going. Oh, and didn't we have a couple of non-"heavy" guys serving as Chairman of the Joint Chiefs along the way? (Colin Powell and Hugh Shelton?) Should they share some blame, too, if you want to talk about culpability with our top-level leaders? I don't really think so.
But all of the above is academic. Basking in the glow of victory in Gulf War I, we became complacent . . . "the best trained, best equipped, and best Army in the world!" We spoke of ourselves only in the superlative (and we continue to do so). The back-slapping, self-congratulatory attitude that really took root back then still resonates today. Maybe that is where the problem started. I don't think that it would have mattered a bit if the Chiefs of Staff had been "light" or "heavy." Complacency and self-satisfaction prevented us from taking a hard, critical look at ourselves. That fostered a lack of thinking or any sense of urgency to keep adapting and improving (complacency and arrogance have a way of doing that). This point is not as simplistic as a "light" vs. "heavy" argument, but I think it is a far better characterization of the pre-9/11 legacy that hampered our performance in Iraq.
How DAMN SAD !! We, the US, have not learned a thing from History and why not ? The Officers in charge are surly taught that in OCS..aren't they? In Vietanm(1967-1968,) we learned some very hard lessons...........todays' young men should not have to re-learn the same stuff. If you're gonna be in a fish barrel...have some surprises up your sleeve. If you're gonna take it on the chin...tuck it in. If you're gonna fight...don't count on air power to pull you out....have a better plan. Don't ever sit and wait for them to come to you.....go to them and destroy them. "Sensitive items" should be destroyed and not carried around by some fool like a letter from home. It's kinda of 'spooky' running out of ammo...food is no big deal...but ammo......NO EXCUSES HERE...NONE !! Finaaly, may GOD bless all these young people for what they endure and may God inspire some to become LEADERS in the real sense...!!
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This kind of reminds me of the hubbub surrounding putting GEN McChrystal (a SOF guy with a CT background) in charge of what was anticipated to be a COIN op. So much for those concerns.
Likewise for the issue of a heavy or light officer (or this or that branch background) as CoS of any other billet. Our Officers are much more dynamic than this simplistic analysis.
Some are, some aren't. Like any other people, the best of the officer corps are flexible and innovative individuals that will excel in whatever situation they find themselves. However, like any other bureaucracy, advancement in the military does not necessarily go to those who are most capable at accomplishing the mission, but rather to those who are better at punching tickets and kissing up to the brass.
There are plenty of reasons to be concerned with putting McChrystal in charge of Afghanistan, from his involvement in deceiving the American public about the death of Pat Tillman to his public statements undermining the president's deliberations to his rather conventional approach to success in Afghanistan. Yes, repeating the "surge" is a conventional response, and is likely to be even less successful than it was in Iraq. I'll grant that violence is down, but the "surge" in Iraq failed to accomplish the strategic goal of advancing political stability. Afghanistan is much less likely to be politically stable after we withdraw than Iraq, regardless of what we do.
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