Posted By Thomas E. Ricks Share

This Rumelt guy that Krepinevich and Watts cite repeatedly in their new essay on strategy so intrigued me that I poked around for more on him. Here is another good list of 10 strategic thoughts from him:

1. Most strategic plans have little to do with strategy. They're three-year or five-year rolling resource budgets, and they coordinate deployment of resources -- but that's not strategy.

2. Strategic planning is "a pathway to substantially higher performance." The best path to that "is to exploit some change in your environment--in technology, consumer tastes, [etc.] -- and ride that change with quickness and skill."

3. The annual resource budget should be separate from the strategy. Call "those budgets ‘long-term resource plans' -- and start a separate, nonannual, opportunity-driven process for strategy work."

4. Strategy starts with identifying changes. "Strategic thinking helps us take positions in a world that is confusing and uncertain."

5. What's needed is a "predatory approach. Leap through the window of opportunity and stay focused on big wins -- not on maintenance activities. (Think Steve Jobs and the iPod.)

6. Most "innovation flows from the unexpected combination of two or more things." (The iPod "came from knowledge and resources being adroitly combined.")

7. "Most of the strategy concepts in use today are static." If the terrain never changed, that would work, but in today's world, change is constant.

8. "'Value denials'...are products or services that are both desired and feasible but are not being supplied."" Value denials are business (or service) opportunities. One way to think about change is to ask yourself "what value denials it will uncover."

9. Strategic analysis is really about solving a puzzle. Small groups of smart people are needed to solve these puzzles.

10. A manager's most important job "is to break down a situation into challenges that subordinates can handle." The manager "absorbs a good chunk of the ambiguity in the situation and gives much less ambiguous problems to others.

I like most of these, with a couple of exceptions. No. 1 is a biggie. No. 4 is a smart operational observation: what is new, what is different, what is significant? These are concrete things to identify. 

I don't understand No. 8. I disagree with No. 10. I think a manager's job is to hire the right people and maintain a culture in which they can work creatively, ethically and collaboratively. I wouldn't try to manage away genuine ambiguity, which tends to be part of the task or problem that the subordinates address.

Darwin Bell/Flickr 

EXPLORE:ECONOMICS, MILITARY
 

WALKING WOUNDED

4:51 PM ET

September 3, 2009

OODA loop creates strategic momentum

This second strategy list touched a lot closer to Col. Boyd's dictum that speed of decision-action is strategic, if/when it is constantly re-oriented to current conditions.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/OODA_Loop
"The OODA Loop (for Observe, Orient, Decide and Act) is a concept applied to the combat operations process, often at strategic level in both the military and commercial operations. It was created by military strategist and USAF Colonel John Boyd."

Big Rich Holbrooke is being excoriated for his 'know it when I see it' statement, but think about it. He's saying that he hasn't seen it yet. "Show me' is the intelligent response to a new idea. Finding and replicating success is a successful strategy, for as long as the 'winning' conditions hold.

Maybe Team Petraeus had lucky timing when they 'observed, oriented, decided and acted' on cash deals with Sawa. The same kinda deal with JAM degenerated into an artillery-rocket duel, but timing (and an effective point anti-artillery defense that the Israeli's had turned down) was still with P. Maybe the Brits in Basra just didn't have the men, budget and momentum, or the concrete walls, or cranes to place them?

I once asked a world-class biologist whether Salk selected for good or lucky post-docs. Took him no time to recall that his PI peers talked about this, and 'lucky' was the consensus. The trick is in recognizing the new thing, (maybe something that's stopped working) that will become important, and reinforcing that good luck with timely decision and action.

Given adequate men and 'weapons', the team that 'loops' faster wins.

Master strategist Col. Boyd never made flag rank. Boyd's service failed us, retired him. Would that be a 'value denial' ?

 

PETERINDC

4:27 PM ET

September 4, 2009

number 8 and value denials

I think Rumelt is simply making an awkward phrase that means "unsatisfied consumer demand". But the denial part is indicating that businesses' lack of consumer orientation has prevented those demands from being satisfied.

 

WALKING WOUNDED

4:45 PM ET

September 4, 2009

8 example

-like solar powered fans, to keep parked car interiors cooler?

Or maybe planning for door guards on major gov't ministries and banks, to prevent looting in a freshly conquered capital.

 

Thomas E. Ricks covered the U.S. military for the Washington Post from 2000 through 2008.

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