Why Pakistan is going down the tubes

Thu, 06/25/2009 - 4:59pm

John Schmidt, who used to be political counselor in the U.S. embassy in Islamabad, has a good piece in the new issue of Survival explaining why he thinks Pakistan is doomed, and why it is a fool's errand to expect the Pakistani political establishment to help the United States achieve its goals:

At the root of the country's problems is a feudal political establishment primarily interested in promoting and preserving its own narrow class interests and unable or unwilling to seriously address the myriad threats the country faces. Unless and until this dynamic changes, Pakistan cannot he counted on to help the United States in its struggle against the Taliban or even to stop the spread of radical Islam within its own borders. Unfortunately, there is nothing in the nature of Pakistani political culture, nor in the performance of the Pakistani political class since the founding of the state, that provides any grounds for optimism."

Basically, Schmidt argues, the country is a kleptocracy:

The highly contentious and sometimes violent nature of Pakistani politics does not reflect deep-seated differences of approach on policy issues, but rather a struggle between competing networks for the right to control state resources. . . . Although often regarded as a class apart, the Army functions in many ways like just another political party, keen to preserve its on prerogatives."

My thought: It's even harder to change the political culture of your allies than it is of your enemies.

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Pakistan 2007

Yes, good piece on Pakistan..

Here is one from March 2007

http://dissidentvoice.org/Mar07/Stanton31.htm

I read somewhere today that much of the aid we are sending to Pak ends up being used to enhance nuclear warmaking capability. Maybe it was a link at antiwar.com.

Down the tubes? Not with China

The US likes to think that every country is in its orbit, but China/Pakistan ties have always been stronger. Pakistan is key to China's security, as a counter to India for one thing, but also as its new highway to the Arabian Sea and the Gulf.

YEKATERINBURG, Russia, June 15 (Xinhua) -- Chinese President Hu Jintao on Monday held talks with his Pakistani counterpart Asif Ali Zardari and the two leaders agreed to push forward the China-Pakistan Strategic Cooperative Partnership.

The China-Pakistan friendship will grow ever more solid no matter how international or domestic situations of the two countries evolve, Hu said.

China always sees its relations with Pakistan from a strategic and long-term perspective, which is a strategic decision based on stable and sustainable development of the bilateral ties, said the Chinese president. China is ready to further push forward trade and economic cooperation with Pakistan on the basis of equality and reciprocity and common development, Hu said.
http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2009-06/15/content_11546344.htm
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Beijing, June 26 (ANI): In a step further to embolden their military relationship, Chinese Defence Minister, Liang Guanglie met Chief of Staff of the Pakistan Air Force, Air Chief Marshal Rao Qamar Suleman, here on Friday.

“China and Pakistan share a comprehensive traditional friendship.China appreciated Pakistan’s strong support on issues concerning China’s core interests. Given the new situation, the China-Pakistan Strategic Cooperative Partnership should be increasingly cherished,” The Xinhua quoted Guanglie, as saying.
http://www.sindhtoday.net/news/1/24141.htm
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Beijing, which has already made billion dollar investments in Pakistan, will use 'bail-out diplomacy' to further enhance its burgeoning power in the geo-strategically sensitive region.

President Asif Zardari has been on a fund-raising visit to China as Pakistan faces the prospect of possibly defaulting on massive loans as its foreign reserves have plummeted.

The government announced that Mr Zardari will visit China every three months "to promote economic integration between the two countries".

China, which is known as Pakistan's "all-weather friend", has undertaken building nuclear power stations in Pakistan as well as large infrastructural projects such as developing a port on the key Strait of Hormuz at Gwadar. --18 Oct 2008
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/asia/pakistan/3222412/China-to-bail-out-near-bankrupt-Pakistan.html

Why Pakistan is going down the tubes

Pakistan is suffering from self-inflicted wounds. It was Benazir Bhutto’s democratic government of Pakistan that chose to facilitate relocation of Osama bin Laden from Sudan to Afghanistan in 1990s. Sandy Berger, Clinton’s national security advisor had told 9/11 Commission in March 2004: “Pakistani Army was the ‘midwife’ of Taliban”. Ex-CIA official Bruce Riedel said in an interview on 1/29/2009 that ''In Pakistan, the jihadist Frankenstein monster that was created by the Pakistani army and the Pakistani intelligence service, is now increasingly turning on its creators. It's trying to take over the laboratory.'' Pakistani Army and Intelligence chose to create ‘this Frankenstein monster’ with full blessings and financing by Pakistan’s democratic governments in 1990s.

Declassified US Department of State Cable "Pakistan Support for Taliban" from Islamabad dated Sept. 26, 2000 states that "while Pakistani support for the Taliban has been long-standing, the magnitude of recent support is unprecedented." In response Washington orders the U.S. Embassy in Islamabad to immediately confront Pakistani officials on the issue and to advise Islamabad that the U.S. has "seen reports that Pakistan is providing the Taliban with materiel, fuel, funding, technical assistance and military advisors. [The Department] also understand[s] that large numbers of Pakistani nationals have recently moved into Afghanistan to fight for the Taliban, apparently with the tacit acquiescence of the Pakistani government." Additional reports indicate that direct Pakistani involvement in Taliban military operations has increased.

Declassified DIA Washington D.C., "IIR (intelligence Information Report) Pakistan Involvement in Afghanistan," dated November 7, 1996 states how "Pakistan's ISI is heavily involved in Afghanistan," and also details different roles various ISI officers play in Afghanistan. Stating that Pakistan uses sizable numbers of its Pashtun-based Frontier Corps in Taliban-run operations in Afghanistan, the document clarifies that, "these Frontier Corps elements are utilized in command and control; training; and when necessary combat“.

If you read just one book...

on why Pakistan is the way it is try this one

http://www.amazon.com/Descent-into-Chaos-Building-Afghanistan/dp/0670019704

India is the obsession for Pakistan...not the Taliban, not Afghanistan and Kashmir is deemed more strategically relevant than Kabul....the army is a private corporation whose motto should be "We Serve Ourselves" and the political classes are a bunch of whining, back-biting losers...(although the same could be said of most political groups)

Americans should be happy that the billions we should have spent educating our young people have fattened these sad cows....

Why Pakistan is going down the tubes

Thomas Rick’s thought on John Schmidt’s article in Survival ‘The unraveling of Pakistan’ i.e. ‘It's even harder to change the political culture of your allies than it is of your enemies’ amply demonstrates why US policy on Pakistan is so naive. It assumes that ‘if only the political culture of your allies can be changed’, then Pakistan will be so much better as an ally! US foreign policy establishment and administrations seem to ignore or justify so many of Pakistan’s ‘crimes’ that Pakistan is guaranteed to remain a headache and may be even cause the ultimate downfall of US as world’s super power.

First and foremost is Pakistan’s alliance with China – it has to be clear to US that China is seeking to replace US as sole super power of the world. And Pakistan is China’s best ally, better than even North Korea in that endeavor. US has to know that any technology – whether it is F-16 jet fighter or whether it is helicopter - that US gives Pakistan is going to wind up in China. Pakistan considers China an ‘all weather’ friend for a reason. US is naïve to ignore that Pakistan would have given any nuclear technology to North Korea without full blessings and even connivance of China.

Then there is Pakistan’s nuclear proliferation to Iran, Libya and Syria besides North Korea. US has just brushed it under the carpet by solely blaming it on one man i.e. A. Q. Khan. Only naïve US wants to propagate a myth that one person can do so much proliferation of nuclear items so closely guarded and watched over by Pakistani Army and governments.

Then there is 9/11 attacks. US has really given a free pass to Pakistan knowing fully well that it was Pakistani government that planned, financed and carried out 9/11 attacks. Pakistani ISI Director General Mahmud Ahmad had asked Omar Sheikh (released by India in Kandahar plane hijacking and the kidnapper of Daniel Pearl) to send $100,000 from a Dubai bank account to Mohammed Atta (the lead 9/11 hijacker) one year before those attacks. Mohammad Atta used that $100,000 for flight training, living expenses and to purchase flight tickets on the day of 9/11 attacks in US and returned unspent $25,000 back to same Dubai account. Musharraf was forced to retire ISI director General Mahmud Ahmad after Wall Street Journal exposed General Ahmad as the chief financier of 9/11 attacks. Pakistani ISI was heavily involved in planning of 9/11 attacks as corroborated by former Senate Intelligence Committee Chairman Bob Graham.

Then there is Afghanistan. Pakistan has been playing the game of ‘running with the hares while hunting with the hounds’ for last eight years ignoring all US protestations. Pakistani government controls Afghan Taliban groups based in Quetta, the provincial capital of Baluchistan from where attacks on US/NATO forces in southern Afghanistan are planned and carried out. Afterall Pakistan permits open people traffic across the border to keep Taliban insurgency alive in Afghanistan. Declassified US embassy cable from Pakistan dated March 9, 1998 clearly stated that "Afghanistan's border with Pakistan can be controlled by Pakistan if the Pakistani government chooses to do so, as "Pakistan, in the past, has shown that it can control this border. In fact, there are only just over 40 "jeepable" border crossing points. These points could be monitored if the Pakistani government got serious about the issue of flow of people and materials across the border”.

It has to be clear that US is intentionally letting Pakistan get away with all these actions in the misguided belief that Pakistan is its ally against terrorism or that US has no one else to turn to. What a waste of US resources! What a delusion US is under!