Posted By Thomas E. Ricks Share

The V-22 Osprey, which takes off like a helicopter and then in flight tilts its engines forward to fly like an airplane, is an aircraft that just plain scares me. Basically, my problem is that it depends on levels of hydraulic pressure usually found in jet engines -- if I recall correctly, about 5,000 pounds per square inch. But unlike a jet, it flies into dirty places, where its rotors stir up flying dirt. And each little fleck of dirt that gets into the nacelles, which house the engines, can wear away at the hydraulic lines as they vibrate incessantly. This blog points out problems in the nacelles.

John H. Kim/Flickr

 

 

NYET

7:37 PM ET

June 5, 2009

How abt them Harriers?

So - it is not the AV8 harrier owned by USMC?

 

STARBUCK

8:13 PM ET

June 5, 2009

Despite many of my misgivings

Despite many of my original misgivings about the Osprey, it exceeded my expectations in Iraq. I think the situation in Iraq is showcasing the ideal role for the Osprey--it can fly light cargo missions to a number of FOBs within a day, so long as it has a relatively improved surface and secure area to land in. I still have my doubts about it being a great platform for air assault type missions in hostile and dusty landing zones. Anyone with more Osprey experience care to fill me in?

 

MB7532

8:23 PM ET

June 5, 2009

Dusty LZ...no problem

I just returned from Iraq, having flown ~150 hours in the Osprey there. The aircraft does not need an improved surface or secured area. We landed in the dustiest imaginable "landing zones"--including plowed fields, dirt roads, and random spots in the desert. The aircraft has instruments and controls that make it preferable to almost any helicopter for landing in dusty zones. It is faster getting in/out of zones than any helicopter; it can enter an objective area from miles above the threat and fly in at nearly 5 miles per minute while practically invisible to IR missiles; it can accelerate to ~200mph within 15 seconds of lifting from a zone. The Osprey is far from perfect (especially now, in its first stages of operational employment), but there is a lot of misinformation regarding its supposed limitations and problems.

 

STARBUCK

8:29 PM ET

June 5, 2009

Interesting info. I should

Interesting info. I should also note that the UH-60 had a pretty dismal combat debut when pilot error and misinformation regarding the stabilator system in the rear of the aircraft led to a number of deaths and two destroyed aircraft in Grenada in 1983.

 

TOM RICKS

10:38 PM ET

June 5, 2009

I enjoy your blog

Starbuck, I am glad to know you are a reader. I enjoy your blog--others can check it out at:

http://wingsoveriraq.blogspot.com/

 

STARBUCK

10:01 PM ET

June 6, 2009

Of course I'm a reader, Tom!

Hi Tom! But of course I am a reader :) I actually started following you at FP within the last month or so. I didn't know you had been on here since last year.

I actually see your books every now and then in Soldiers' hands in Iraq. I personally have both of your on my Kindle with me.

 

SPRINGBORED

4:12 AM ET

June 6, 2009

I seem to recall...

...that, at Grenada, the crashed UH-60s went down after taking a heck of a lot of punishment, and that the crew had either been wounded by ground fire or killed outright. I also remember a wounded pilot putting his shot-up Blackhawk down on the Guam (for which he was not trained to do). I thought that control-wise the Blackhawks did pretty well for what they were put into. If you have more info, or if I'm misremembering (I could be...) do post specifics or tell us if you don't have 'em. Thanks!

 

STARBUCK

8:17 AM ET

June 6, 2009

We had a chance to meet with

We had a chance to meet with the pilots involved in the mission. They flew into Grenada using tourist maps to navigate!

The Black Hawk had many problems with the automatic stabilator (a big fin-like wing) in the back. When it hovers or flies slow, the stabilator is down, so that the aircraft does not hover extremely nose high. In forward flight, it slews up, so that the aircraft does not nose over and crash into the ground. The early models had many problems with this feature.

So when the 82nd Aviation (Battalion, I think) launched the raid on Cavaligny Barracks on Grenada in 1983, they figured that, during the landing, they would leave the stabilator "up". They thought that it if the aircraft was shot, it would be better to have the stabilator stuck in the "up" position so that they could fly out of the LZ without the aircraft hopelessly nosing over.

During the landing, the stabilator remained up, and the aircraft came in incredibly nose high. The pilots had never trained to do this, and had never expected this. All of the four aircraft had hard landings, with two crashing in the LZ. One of the two had chopped off the tailboom with the rotor blades. In the pilot's excitement (it's combat), he didn't know that they had chopped off the aft portion of the aircraft. He pulled up on the collective, and, without a tail rotor, the aircraft spun around in the LZ.

 

SPRINGBORED

8:35 PM ET

June 6, 2009

Heck, they were under fire at the time...

...which, as I understood things, sorta complicated the situation. It was more of a consequence of assault tactics...Even if the pilots had the settings right for landing (or even a newer model blackhawk) they'd all have been hard-pressed to get out of the way of a bird that's out of control and in the process of getting shot down.

That said, for an initial combat experience, the Blackhawk did pretty well--it stood up under fire and did the job. And, I might add, it sure wasn't as coddled at the MV-22 has been during it's initial "combat" (tee-hee) deployment in peaceful 'ole Anbar.

But, to be fair, we can launch into the old argument about whether the MV-22's would have avoided such fire due to their design/operational parameters. My guess is no due to the low altitude/close quarters. But...hey, I can't argue with the amount of helicopters that got ground up by ground fire during that operation. Is the MV-22 going to reduce that loss rate? That's the billion dollar question...

 

MB7532

8:11 PM ET

June 5, 2009

No need to be scared

First, the results speak for themselves. The Osprey just completed about 10,000 hours of mishap-free combat flight hours over 18 months in Iraq (flown on the same 12 aircraft, with the last two Ospreys having been there for the last 12 months). Considered the safest and fastest way to move around the country, it was the aircraft of choice for high-profile VIP missions, including the transport of General Odierno and then-Senator Obama. The US military suffered unfortunate fatal crashes with a number of helicopters and other aircraft in the past year and a half, but none occurred in Ospreys. The Osprey may be the safest way to travel in combat, from both a mechanical safety and enemy threat perspective.

Second, 5000 psi hydraulics does not make an aircraft measurably less safe than, say, helicopters whose hydraulic systems run at 3000-3500 psi. The Osprey also has very good redundancy within its hydraulic and flight control systems, and provides its operators and maintainers with superior diagnostic tools. I believe the frequency of serious hydraulic leaks is far lower in the Osprey than it is in other helicopters, based on my experience flying helicopters and Ospreys.

Third, the recent G2Mil blog post has many inaccuracies and contains few citations or sources, yet respected people may take its assertions to be facts. (And unlike this distinguished FP column, G2Mil allows no space for comments). Examples of inaccuracies: folding is not avoided, I have folded and unfolded a V-22 dozens of times in many temperatures while ashore without damaging any components; repair of composite material on the aircraft can be done at the squadron level; the hydraulic lines are not "stressed" when the nacelles are rotated (there are swivel fittings to allow this movement to occur smoothly). As a taxpayer and as someone whose life often depends on the safety of military aircraft, I encourage a healthy debate on the procurement of military systems--but I want those debates to be based on facts and reasonable comparisons.

Much like other new military aircraft (and, yes, it should be considered new, its operational debut having occurred less than two years ago), the Osprey does have issues that need to be addressed, but its overall recent performance has been excellent and its capability is unmatched. Just ask the customers who know: soldiers and Marines returning from Iraq will tell you they prefer flying an in Osprey to any helicopter.

 

TOM RICKS

10:34 PM ET

June 5, 2009

Thanks!

I appreciate the thoughtful comment. And I've learned something.
Best,
Tom Ricks

 

SPRINGBORED

3:32 AM ET

June 6, 2009

How do you define mishap?

I seem to recall one of the ten first Ospreys into the theatre becoming a surface feature in Jordan...for like...four days? And trying to leave, but failing at...oh, day 4? (an incident covered in almost every major news outlet) Are you sure this wasn't considered a mishap? Or is that just standard operating procedure?

Or...How about mid-December '08 when an areoscout mission had to be scrubbed over a generator failure? (Covered in the Dallas News)

What about the other missions that didn't get done (or had to be rescheduled because the babies were in the barn) and didn't get publicized?

If no mishap = no crash, then ok, great. Good for you. But, at least, tell people what you're describing before you brag. And then maybe--just maybe--we can enjoy a frank talk about mission readiness and maintenance.

Or shouldn't I ask? I mean, does "don't ask, don't tell" apply to tech, too? Startin' to seem like it.

 

STARBUCK

8:15 AM ET

June 6, 2009

This is standard for most

This is standard for most aircraft, though (particularly helicopters, which need more maintenance). Whenever you start deploying anywhere, aircraft will break. A movement from Upstate NY to Louisiana for a training exercise will be a week-long ordeal with aircraft spread all over the eastern seaboard due to maintenance.

Additionally, almost every aircraft has had to cancel a mission due to maintenance, so I wouldn't blow that one out of proportion.

 

SPRINGBORED

8:04 PM ET

June 6, 2009

Still waiting...

...for somebody to define "mishap" in relation to the MV-22 deployment..

Look, when everyone from the Commandant on down says the thing operated "without mishap" they're pushing the rhetorical limits...to me, it's an integrity issue.

 

STARBUCK

10:14 PM ET

June 6, 2009

Generally, the word "mishap"

Generally, the word "mishap" refers to "accidents". Accidents are very clearly defined and reported in the military when it comes to aircraft.

Maintenance issues are not necessarily accidents. Think of it this way: if your car fails to start, is that an accident? No. If you have a leak somewhere, is that an accident? No. Does your insurance company care if you need to replace your alternator? No.

To my knowledge, no Osprey has crashed, had a hard landing or killed any of its occupants in this Iraq deployment (although someone can correct me on this if they know differently), which is much better than almost anyone was expecting.

The aircraft still has plenty to improve upon, and there's a number of roles that we haven't fully exploited yet, so my personal verdict is still out. Then again, it's a relatively new technology.

 

MB7532

7:44 PM ET

June 9, 2009

Mishaps

Fair question on "mishaps"; please see my note on this in my very long posting below.

 

GARYC

8:52 PM ET

June 5, 2009

Osprey

This monstrosity will be the biggest scandal in military aviation history (or it may die a quiet death in a few years). It has been kept alive by cleverly spreading out the aerospace jobs to as many states as possible thus insuring political support. It does not have a pressurized cabin so it cannot fly high enough to avoid bad weather. It cannot autorotate like a helicopter for an emergency landing after being damaged by enemy fire. It does not fly anywhere near as efficienty as a fixed wing or helicopter with the same power. Every possible maintenance nightmare from several types of aircraft are present in this airframe. It is a bastardized politicized cash cow rip-off. No matter how many people who say it is great because it is in their best interest to do so, it is a loser and the truth will sooner or later come out.

 

TOBY BONTHRONE

10:07 PM ET

June 5, 2009

No offense GaryC, but

The Marines who are flying in the Osprey overwhelmingly say it's a good piece of kit. They're the ones who trust their lives in the Osprey every time they take off on a sortie; and if they say it's good to go, that's all we should need to hear. Marines don't mince words, especially when there's no disincentive and they can comment anonymously. If it were broke, the preceding comments would reflect this.

 

RICH24KM

1:53 AM ET

June 24, 2009

haha

Hey do you even know how high the plane can fly? With our without oxygen?

 

CTR

5:45 AM ET

June 6, 2009

Tom,You are to intelligent

Tom,

You are to intelligent to simply regurgitate flawed and biased information regarding the V-22.

The Airbus 380 and Boeing 787 both utilize 5,000 psi hydraulic systems.

The F/A-18E/F that crashes into a carrier deck when it lands has a 5,000 psi hydraulic system.

The Sikorsky S-92 and CH-53K and C-17 use 4,000 PSi Hydraulic systems.

The only issue the V-22 hydraulic system has is that 20 years ago it pioneered 5,000 psi hydraulics. The Lessons Learned from the V-22 hydraulics have since been incorporated into the EMD V-22 and all the mentioned aircraft.

CTR

 

STARBUCK

8:24 AM ET

June 6, 2009

We had a chance to meet with

My one huge misgiving, of course is a Monday-morning quarterback issue. Would it have been better, thirty years ago, to invest in more proven designs (a much larger number of newer Chinooks and fixed-wing aircraft as opposed to only a few Ospreys) in order to get the same capabilities for the Marine Corps? I don't know. Obviously, it's a new aircraft and it can certainly prove itself.

 

AA CUNNINGHAM

5:29 PM ET

June 6, 2009

g2mil and the Osprey

Thomas Ricks should do himself a few favors. (1)File a SF180 and get a copy of g2mil blog proprietor Carlton Meyer's OQR and find out exactly why he was not retained in the service of the Marine Corps; (2)read all 145 pages of the Osprey thread at military.com:

http://forums.military.com/eve/forums/a/tpc/f/5671946761/m/591104612

and see firsthand where Carlton Meyer was exposed as a liar in attempting to pass off congressional testimony that he himself fabricated as legitimate and (3)take a trip to MCAS New River and visit VMMT-204, the MV-22 FRS, along with all of the FMF MV-22 squadrons that have already stood up. The Marine Corps might even allow Ricks to take a trip out to the USS Bataan which currently is underway and has VMM-263 embarked, as part of the ACE of the 22nd MEU, with their MV-22s:

http://www.navy.mil/management/photodb/photos/090521-M-8752R-221.jpg

http://www.navy.mil/management/photodb/photos/090527-M-8752R-078.jpg

http://www.navy.mil/management/photodb/photos/090521-M-8752R-174.jpg

and see firsthand how compatible the Osprey is with a LHA/LHD.

As someone who has dealt with him in the past I can tell you that if Carlton Meyer told you what time it is, you'd be wise to get a second opinion. A writer like Ricks shouldn't be relying on such suspect gouge as that provided by Meyer and his ilk at g2mil.

 

WALKING WOUNDED

10:37 PM ET

June 6, 2009

Is V22 more or less lift for the buck?

After all is said and done, availability's what saves lives, completes or cancels missions. The question isn't whether you'd rather have a V22 or a helo for a max-range mission. The choice was to forgo 2-3 helos for a single V22, for an average mission year. That's the primary impact of V22 thru the last 8 years of war. The helos that weren't available in Afghanistan, Iraq or New Orleans were undeployed Ospreys.

We're still not screaming for Osprey in Afghanistan. Lift in general is lacking, but we'd rather beg NATO and repair Russian birds than deploy Osprey in force. Go figure.

The USAF, Navy and Army air analysts all said 'net negative', and opted out of the program. The SpecOps community hasn't embraced V22, outside of the pilot rescue capability. The USAF assessment on OUTPUT vs input performance is instructive. Loading/unloading time is a large fraction of the Osprey duty cycle, and the cramped cabin makes loading 2X slower. More time on the ground (or in high hover!) degrades the speed advantage, increasing risk, decreasing output.

"Flies like a plane, lands like a helo" is interesting and exciting. But unsaid is that it's not as good at hover-ops as a helo, at nearly three times the cost. My source says that fast-roping infantry to get below Osprey jet-blast WILL often result in injured men on the ground at the top of the mission. Wide axis rotors (& lethal hot blast) mean assymetric ground-lift effects for ship and mountain ops. You'll never see V22 perched in hover with one wheel on the roof of a flooded home or some rocky Afghan hillside. V22 jet blast means that rescue options also narrow to high hover winching, several minutes for each casualty, badly exposed to enemy fire of any caliber.

Ad hominem attacks on Meyer or g2mil are a distraction from some real problems: vertical jet blast capable of lighting a deck and shot-peening the fuselage adjacent to the side doors can't be 'matured' out of. In an air assault or evacuation mission, those engines can't be shut down, and rotating them creates new hazards. Several reporters have told me that the Marines wouldn't allow them to cover off-field training excercises, were very tightlipped following the 2007 deployment. Imbedded reporters could cut through the lost credibility, if Marine Air would allow it.

Whatever exciting new tricks V22 may bestow, and the obvious comfort of closed cabin fixed wing flight above MANPAD range, Marine Air has a record of doping the analysis and witholding the data. Crafted statements like "Every mission in Iraq was a combat mission." don't help, when the unvarnished truth is that off-field landings were avoided. Given the problems, program risks of a fatality accident, and the cost of V22, why wouldn't they be? Rolls Royce has concelled their 'pay for hours' maint. contract, indicating the push-to-buy numbers didn't add up for them in actual deployment.

There's only one way to restore V22 credibility. But don't expect open books or full spectrum mission-risk until it's forced by events, after the V22 purchase is complete, and the boondogglers have retired.

 

TOM RICKS

1:51 PM ET

June 7, 2009

AA Cunningham?

I asked Carlton Meyer about this post. He responded that he has commented on this in the past--I'll post this below. He also suggested that Mr. AA Cunningham works for the maker of the V-22. Is that right? If so, you should say so.
Thanks,
Tom

--

Flogging Truth Tellers

A few years ago, the consumer technology industry became aware of the threat of internet forums. People could publish negative info and insiders could covertly blow whistles. Companies soon directed their advertising firms and public relations officers to engage in what has become known as "flogging." They pose as regular folks to write about their great product. They attack anyone who posts negative views with childish insults, in hopes of quieting the truth.
Defense contractors joined in several years ago. They destroyed most military forums with their full-time floggers. They pose as experts and dismiss negative reports as "old news" and claim problems have been fixed. They accuse negative posters of working for a rival company, and dismiss critical media reports as ill informed. They claim that negative postings are "opinions" not facts, which can only come from the contractor. They badger those who post inside info to fully identify themselves so they can contact their bosses and have them fired.
At places like military.com, they pressured the editor to remove moderators and put one of their boys in charge, so he can delete entries and ban anyone with bad news. (Contractors are often advertisers on a website, so they carry clout) Some V-22 forums like at popasmoke.com now review postings in advance to keep out what they call "bad info." Aviation Week once had great forums, but closed them because of contractor complaints. They recently started them again, but topics must be pre-approved, and those about the pros and cons of weapons systems are taboo. Former V-22 maintenance chief Josh Brannon started a web forum in 2007 to allow open discussion of the V-22. He struggled to moderate a discussion forum as floggers appeared to attack posters. After a couple of months, his web host sponsor removed the forum, and refused to offer an explanation.
If you notice rude fanatics on any Internet forum that show little interest in discussing issues and only seek to advertise products and demean critics, they are probably paid floggers.

 

RICH24KM

2:08 AM ET

June 24, 2009

haha you guys are uniformed riots

first off you are mislead like anyone else that listened to Mr. "former" SSgt Joshua Brannon. I used to work with that douche bag and he lies more than a politician. He was never a maintenance chief. He worked in Phase crew at VMX-22 where he barely knew enough about the plane to get by. He was a SSgt with no respect what so ever. Everyone used to play pranks on him and make fun of him. Hell the guy went as far as to say he was a computer hacker in his spare time. I went to college for networking and the guy didn't barely know how to turn a PC on much less hack one. This guy is an idiot and anyone that would even begin to listen to anything he had to say about the V22 is an idiot. I've worked on this plane over 7 years, I actually worked on the V22 during opeval and they had to send civilian contractors to check up on us because our numbers were so thru the roof on every mission we attempted and our readiness that they thought we were lying.
The v22 has done everything it needs to. All you you people that have no clue what you're talking about need to go put your heads up each others asses or maybe try to fight your way out of a wet paper bag.
The v22 hands down has done better than any A/C in its past. The numbers speak for themselves, you can read all this mis information and think what you want. But go ride some other platforms dick....peace.

 

AA CUNNINGHAM

2:46 PM ET

June 7, 2009

Carlton Meyer

The only connection I have with the V-22 is that I am a former airedale Marine with an interest in the safety and lives of Marines and the capabilities and success of Marine Corps aviation and the truth. The Osprey has been the victim of a lot of yellow journalism and there hasn't been much objectivity from the "media", including wannabe journalists like Carlton Meyer.

I do not now, nor have I ever in the past, work on any aspect of the V-22 or for any contractor associated in any way whatsoever with the Osprey. Leveling the charge that any supporter of the program is earning a buck from it is Meyer's modus operandi. Meyer thinks that everyone is an opportunist like himself, which explains why he charges for access to his archives. Meyer has been exposed as a fraud in the past and he'll continue to be exposed as a fraud until he takes his final breath.

 

TOM RICKS

2:49 PM ET

June 7, 2009

Thanks

Thanks for clearing this up. I appreciate it.
Best,
Tom

 

RICH24KM

2:19 AM ET

June 24, 2009

I've worked on the v22 and done opeval testing.

And helped train Marines to standup 6 squadrons. These guys definately don't know what they are talking Carlton Meyer and Tom are both ridiculous in every way possible. I hate people like these 2. I've been a QA for quite a few years on this A/C and worked on it a total of 7yrs.

 

WALKING WOUNDED

9:19 PM ET

June 7, 2009

The plane's the thing

Here's a defense industry rag's 2008 attempt to untie a long and knotty list of V-22 counterclaims. It's an awful lot of smoke to simply claim 'nothing smoldering here, move along, nothing to see now...'

http://www.defenseindustrydaily.com/V-22-Osprey-A-Flying-Shame-04822/

To my mind, the issues boil down to V-22's high cost vs multiple copies of the best contemporary helo option, the cramped cabin and long load times, and the operational changes in air assault and rescue drills forced by the jet blast. None of those are 'growing pain' things, since the prototypes were flying in 1991, before the other services bailed out.

Too soon to tell whether reliability, maint. and spares issues will shake out. A re-engine program is already under discussion; neither unusual nor cheap for aircraft.

V-22 costs just under twice the C130 price, and carries just over half a CH53 load. Army aviation doesn't even recognize V-22 as a acquisition planning option.

 

CTR

2:40 AM ET

June 8, 2009

V-22 costs just under twice the C130 price,?

Please clarify this statement "V-22 costs just under twice the C130 price".

All the information I find on line appears to indicate that the the latest Herc the C-130J costs about the same if not a little more than a V-22.

http://www.strategypage.com/htmw/htproc/20090321.aspx

March 21, 2009: The U.S. Department of Defense has ordered another 172 V-22 tilt-rotor transports, for about $63 million each. Most of these (141) will go to the U.S. Marine Corps, and 31 for U.S. Air Force units operating with SOCOM (Special Operations Command). The plan involves buying up to 35 V-22s a year.

http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/systems/aircraft/c-130j.htm

The Pentagon plans to save more than $5 billion by ending the C-130J program in FY07 and scrapping the purchase of 63 aircraft that was planned through 2011. The FY06 budget proposed to end production of the Air Force’s C-130J at 53, rather than the 168 originally projected. At $66.5 million, then Defense Secretary Rumsfeld said that the aircraft had become increasingly expensive to build and to maintain, especially given the ability to modernize existing C-130s. The Air Force said that shutting down the C-130J line will cost between $500 million and a billion dollars.

Perhaps the costs you are quoting are for earlier versions of the Herc. But would not that be like comparing an F/A-18A versus an F/A-18E?

Thanks in advance for clairification

CTR

 

WALKING WOUNDED

5:56 PM ET

June 8, 2009

Cost rehash

Good questions and points, but I only have the fuzzy answers I read. Published numbers vary over time. The '07 cancellation Global Security talks of was cancelled, and part of that story is that Lock-Mart somehow never had to provide hard cost data.

The C130H is spec'd at $23M ('92 dollars) at an FAS site; another source says $37M in '94, quite a spread. Purchase vs support costs? Dunno. C130H ended production in 1996, after 30 years. The H is the most abundant model, and still in wide service. Life extension upgrades seem to be a way of life in aviation.

My comparison was invalid for the current Super-Herc C130J program costs. The J model is one hmv longer, heavier, up-engined and augmented in many ways. Development was 'privately funded', and pitched to compete with C17 cost overruns as I recall. Changes and 'non-compliant' introduction to US service opened the program up to mission creep, production gremlins and contract controversy. But note the $66M cited by Global Security amortizes undocumented development costs. Actual unit production cost might have been $50M-ish, depending on features and whether the line was run near capacity, according to some writups.

Wiki puts the V-22 at $68M/ea (2008). There's buz that will rise again in the next purchase 'block', perhaps $80M in FY2010. Rolls has backed out of their guaranteed cost/hour contract on the engines, a red flag. If the composite airframes are used up after only 4000 hours, and the engines don't last that long, expect the actual cost of delivering Marines via V-22 to redouble.

The Osprey's will last much longer as VIP rides, doing rolling takeoffs and safe landings from paved strips. But it was supposed to be better than any helo for air assault, not junketing congressmen. As a replacement USMC combat air ambulance, it's also very expensive (reducing helo availability), and may give new meaning to 'dustoff'.

Tiltrotor as a concept seems to retain a lot of backers in the airlift community, including heavy lift plans beyond 2020. Tiltrotor UAV's are being designed.

We still have to face up to why V-22 was abandoned by the three largest military aviation communities, and Cheney's DoD. I hope the Marines beat the odds. Meanwhile, the services have already scavenged every usable CH-47 and CH-53 airframe back into use.

 

MB7532

7:52 PM ET

June 9, 2009

Lift/$, capability gaps, mishaps, flogging, etc

(coming soon) Took me a while to write this, very long post appears below.

 

TOM RICKS

9:50 PM ET

June 8, 2009

Here's more

From a guy I know:

"Still a lot of relevant questions not going answered. Altitude could be a real problem in Afghanistan. Very little weight carrying / vertical landing/takeoff capability.

"FYI, unit (procurement) cost from 2010 budget docs: 2008 - $85.24 million each (23 planes); 2009 - $75.1 million (30 planes); 2010 - $78.6 million (30 planes).

"Recurring unit flyaway cost, which military and contractors love to talk about (airplane only, no spares, no maint. manuals) was about $65 million in 2009, per `09 budget submission. I believe they had to renegotiate contract with Rolls for engines last year because the cost of “power-by-the-hour” was not coming out well for Rolls due to heavy wear and tear, early overhauls."

 

MB7532

7:55 PM ET

June 9, 2009

Is the Osprey Worth It? (and responses to other posts)

IS THE OSPREY WORTH IT?

It is appropriate to consider the Osprey's capabilities and limitations versus its cost and recent performance. To do so in a meaningful way requires assessments made with proper context and fair comparisons.

Framing The Discussion

In the procurement of military equipment, there is always the unanswerable question of what is the best possible set of tools for the job--because nobody can predict with certainty what the next job is, how well the planned tools will work, or even how much they'll end up costing (or whether the budgets with which they are supposed to be bought will change). Our enormous military procurement machine, including the Congress, is supposed to find the best answer to this question, but it will always be terribly imperfect. Of course it is acceptable and necessary that those who are paying for all of this ask hard questions.

In these sorts of discussions, meaningful assessments can only come from fair comparisons in which capabilities and limitations are considered collectively and in context. For example, if I write that the new $70M aircraft X, during its initial deployment from the US to Kerblochistan, stranded an aircraft for four days at an intermediate point, some might understandably think, "My goodness, we paid $70M for an aircraft that doesn't work!" But to make a fair assessment, I would then put the information in context: many transcontinental deployments of military aircraft--including even mechanically simple tactical jets--involve unplanned multi-day maintenance delays. Then I should further explain that the comparable movement of the older aircraft that aircraft X is replacing either would require 300% more time to execute the same movement, or that they could not do it all without the involvement of additional strategic lift aircraft. Finally I could add that aircraft X has been repeatedly flown from coast to coast (in the US) in one cycle of daylight, a mission that takes conventional helos 3-5 days. At this point the maintenance delay--which was, to be sure, an accurate fact--can be more fairly evaluated and compared to aircraft X alternatives.

It is possible to take ANY DoD program and poke so many holes in it that its existence sounds ludicrous to the average citizen, if context and fair comparisons aren't provided. Any one of us could write an article about, say, the M-1A1/2 Abrams or the F-14 Tomcat, that would make these defense items seem like blatant taxpayer wastes at early points in their life cycles, even though they are/were eventually considered good pieces of equipment in their day. This does not mean that one should brush aside all criticisms of current systems; it means that capabilities and limitations must be considered in context and with reasonable comparisons.

As new technologies emerge, the change from old to new always requires trade-offs and support system changes. Remember when people didn't trust cell phones because they depended on a battery and a mostly invisible network? Today many people don't even have a 'wire-line' phone in their house; they accepted the limitation (battery and wireless network dependence) for the greatly enhanced capability (connectivity almost anywhere). Same thing probably happened when automobiles became available--some people pointed to all the problems with the car and all the things a horse could do better, and all of those facts were true (but only decisive if considered without context). Cars DO have all sorts of limitations: they generally need roads, gas stations, expensive maintenance, etc. But at the end of the day most of us decided that the capability trade-offs are worth it, and bought a Toyota to get to work instead of a draft horse. And along the way governments and corporations had to made infrastructure and procedure changes to support the automobile. And, it is still true today that there are certain scenarios and missions in which a horse is clearly superior to a car. This is very often the case in discussions about the tilt-rotor technology and the Osprey: writers point out factually correct (sometimes) limitations or the induced requirement for new procedures/equipment, but without context these points don't provide a good basis for making an overall assessment of the Osprey's viability because they often minimize the Osprey's immensely improved capability in the majority of common mission scenarios.

Limitations, Capabilities, and Comparisons

With these points regarding context, comparisons, and trade-offs in mind, let's consider some Osprey limitations. There ARE things the Osprey cannot do as well as a conventional helicopter. As mentioned by an astute writer earlier in this discussion, an airplane-helo hybrid will never be as good a helo as a 'pure' helo (the effect of engineering compromise)--and the V-22 is no exception to this compromise. A V-22 probably won't hover with one wheel on the top of a building or mountain ridge, it won't land in a 25' wide alley in Mogadishu, and it does take up more space on a ship than the old CH-46 with the same size cabin (although much greater lift). It can fast rope personnel, but it does so from higher hover altitudes and has greater downwash compared to conventional helos that have lower weight / rotor diameter ratios. For similar aerodynamic reasons, it is not as effective at high altitude as a CH-47, although its overall high engine power give it plenty of capability and much more than the CH-46 (and its easy aerial refueling capability could extend its high-altitude range/LZ envelope in Afghanistan). It is possible for a V-22 to set fire to grass/bushes in a landing zone--although this is only in very specific and generally preventable circumstances, I have landed in grass and near bushes hundreds of times with no fires. The aircraft is made mostly out of carbon fiber composite, which is more expensive than aluminum and fiberglass (but it can be repaired by troops in the squadron, unless the damage is severe). The V-22 is expensive, around three times the cost of a medium lift helicopter. These are actual issues and limitations; many other supposed oft-cited problems are either inaccurate or insignificant, and I'll address some of them next.

The old "it doesn't auto-rotate" argument is irrelevant for several reasons. First, the concept of autorotation capability, especially when applied to heavy dual/triple-engine military aircraft, is frequently misunderstood. There is always a Viet Nam pilot (bless you guys!) somewhere with stories of autorotating a shot-up helo into an opening in the trees, but the reality is that across decades of military helo flying there are very few instances of all-engine failures, and very, very, very few verifiable instances of successful, survivable autorotations. If one is lucky enough to be flying high and fast enough when both engines quit, a top-notch helo pilot might get really lucky to survive the controlled crash. Second, the vast majority of Osprey mission flight time is conducted in "airplane mode", in which it is possible to "glide" to a landing (admittedly not very far, but in controlled flight at least). In the final phases of a normal landing the Osprey is converted to "helo mode", but this occurs at an altitude/airpseed combination in which an autorotation would be nearly impossible in ANY rotorcraft; in most helos an all-engine failure in the landing phase would not be survivable. Lastly, most Osprey pilots have practiced auto-rotations in the flight simulator, it has just never been tested in the aircraft (yes, it would be too dangerous). Bottom line: ask any pilot who has flown both helos and Ospreys in which machine they feel safer, given all the capabilities and limitations--they will all tell you: 'give me the V-22.'

The Osprey IS shipboard compatible, but it does require adjustments in shipboard operating procedures and equipment as compared to the CH-46 (again, think car/horse and cell phone technology analogy: does the fact that we have to change procedures/infrastructure mean the new technology is a failure? Yes? Then give up your cell phone). Assertions that VMM-266 did not deploy on board ship last year due to incompatibilities or problems are simply false (I joined that squadron around that time). It is, to be fair, more complicated to manage all the aircraft in the afloat Aviation Combat Element (ACE) when V-22s are included. Deck heating on the smaller ships is currently a concern, although engineering fixes will address this. It is more challenging to do maintenance on the Osprey aboard ship compared to other naval aircraft, but it is far from impossible. The downwash on shipboard landings is significant, but simple procedures mitigate safety concerns. Should we give up the V-22 capability because it is harder to work with in some ways? Ask the a Commander and a ship-embarked Marine unit responsible for responding to events ashore--he or she will tell you, "I want Ospreys", not "It is too hard to use on the ship." For decades we have adjusted operating procedures and solved problems to safely accommodate new aircraft; it is only in the scrutinized Osprey program where critics cite every adjustment or issue as a complete failure of the aircraft. The V-22 is more challenging than its predecessor to integrate into shipboard operations, but nothing else in the ACE provides its capabilities.

I have been involved in hundreds of on-loads and off-loads of personnel on a V-22, and nobody has been injuriously shot-peened or burned by the exhaust or downwash. Yes, personnel need to train on new equipment, and often we have to adjust our procedures (again, the horse/car analogy--we may do things a little differently as new technology emerges). Regarding the previously posted comments on slow on/off-load times for V-22 operations, I would like to see comparison data for on/offload of other aircraft versus a V-22. My squadron did dozens of on/offload drills and missions with combat-loaded troops (inlcuding Iraqis), and all went quickly after a few practices (as is done with all helos). The cabin is about the same size of the CH-46, and its on/off-load times are just as quick in my experience. If filled to volumetric capacity with loose cargo, it does take a long time to load/unload (more than a 46 because it can carry so much more weight), but this is not a tactical scenario where time is critical, nor it is not significantly different from any other aircraft. Of course an H-47 is quicker to on/off-load (wider ramp and cabin), and perhaps and H-60 is a bit faster (smaller number of troops on board). To my knowledge, on/off-load time is not a significant limitation in a fair comparison (take the same troops and test their on/off-load times on both aircraft), but I am certainly open to data that proves otherwise.

To say that on/off-load is a significant portion of mission "cycle time" assumes an ultra-short range mission. For sake of argument, let's say an Osprey takes two minutes to unload 24 troops, and for comparison two H-60s take one minute to offload 12 troops each (twice as fast). And we'll say it takes eight minutes to load the Osprey, and four minutes to load the Blackhawks (again, twice as fast). Then let's say the mission is flown from a base to an destination 120 miles away. Roughly speaking, the one Osprey will get there in 30 minutes, the Blackhawks will make it in just under an hour (please let's not quibble over exact parameters...what altitude are the V-22s flying at, what exact groundspeed do the H-60s fly at, what are the winds, etc). So if we are flying a one-wave insert, the total cycle times: 1xV-22 => 70 minutes (8+30+2+30), 2xH-60 => 115 minutes (4+55+1+55). The on/offload time does not negate the speed advantage, it isn't even close. If we are talking about a quick response mission (medevac, high-value target, reinforcement)--the response time advantage makes a huge difference, and would have to balanced against a potentially smaller exposure time in the unloading phase. There are, to be sure, scenarios where an H-60 or a UH-1Y would be a better choice (very short range, tight LZ).

Let's do one more scenario to flesh out the capacity and cycle-time comparison: move 280 troops to a zone 70 miles away, using four V-22s or four H-60s. Based on Army.mil/Wiki data and being very generous, let's say the H-60s travel at 140 kts, carry 15 troops, and have 2.2 hrs of usable fuel carrying this load (which would mean no reserve, but we'll ignore that), and take 30 minutes to refuel all four aircraft (a big FARP available). Four H-60s get it done in about 6.4 hrs, the V-22s are done in 2.5 hrs (no refuel required)--this is the combined effect of speed, endurance, and payload.

So, the V-22 does force trade-offs versus conventional medium helos in important but niche capabilities like tiny LZs and building-top landings, but these must be weighed against a major advantage in total mission lift capacity. Furthermore, trade-offs must also be assessed against the V-22's own unique capabilities: what is it worth for the capability to execute a "Desert One" mission, or to be able to launch 6 aircraft from a ship to an embassy many hundreds of miles away to evacuate 100+ US citizens? What about ferrying a high-level Iraqi sheikh from his compound in the southwestern corner of Iraq to a meeting Baghdad in time for breakfast? Or the ability to fly high above threats at high ground speeds but still be able to land in a parking lot, and transit across entire countries non-stop? Only the Osprey can do these things. There are things the Osprey can't do well or do at all, but there are also things it can do that NO other aircraft can.

Answering the Question

The relevant question, therefore, is whether the Osprey's capabilities and limitations make it, overall, significantly "better" than conventional helicopters. Based on my experience flying and managing maintenance for conventional helos and Ospreys, on my time working on defense procurement in the Pentagon and on Capitol Hill (where I admit to having been skeptical of the Osprey at times), and on the examples I've outlined here, I don't think it is even a close call: in the universe of possible mission scenarios, the Osprey dramatically outperforms conventional helos in all but a few cases. For the majority of what helos do on a daily basis in training and combat, the Osprey is simply much better: it is much faster, safer, goes much farther, and is currently the best rotary-wing platform for adverse weather and brown-out landings*. It offers capabilities offered by no other aircraft, but gives up niche scenario capabilities. Every pilot who has flown an Osprey and a conventional helicopter has the same opinion: give me the V-22 any day of the week.

Finally, we must consider the money. Is it worth buying an expensive machine that can insert/extract troops at least twice as fast/far and with greater safety in 95% of mission scenarios and has some unique capabilities, or should we forego this technology and only buy cheaper conventional helos that enable operations in the 5% of scenarios where an Osprey doesn't fit? My opinion is we need Ospreys as part of a fleet that also includes conventional helicopters, to enable a full range of capabilities for potential missions. We must balance the cost against other budget requirements, but there is definitely a place for V-22--it is just a question of how many aircraft we need. Our country has a unique advantage with tilt-rotor technology, and we would be foolish not to maintain it.

[ *Why: triple laser-ring gyro INS integrated with pGPS, full flight director with approach mode, hover coupler and display with drift cues, dual digital maps: the aircraft can fly itself from high altitude, along a route, to a hover over any defined point, and then be landed in low/no visibility. It can fly instrument approached in slow helo mode to maximize chance of successful landings, and its speed and range provide the ability to attempt adverse weather operations while maintaining capability to reach alternate landing sites.]

Additional Issues:

AVAILABILITY: A good point was made by a writer in this discussion regarding aircraft availability, but some clarification is in order. The Marine Corps' current procurement plan is a one-for-one replacement of H-46/H-53D units, so there is not a "forego 2-3 helos for one V-22" trade-off in the long term. The V-22 will go to Afghanistan, it was not part of this first major Marine rotation because the V-22 squadron in the queue for deployment was sent aboard ship. The phase-in of V-22 does require the stand-down of existing squadrons, but this would have occurred regardless of whether the V-22 or another helo replaced the H-46/53Ds, to allow time for re-equipping and re-training squadrons. It is fair to assume that replacement with H-60s or another in-production aircraft would have taken less time per squadron, so I'd agree that the V-22 did "cost" some available lift in Afghanistan/Iraq versus an existing alternative aircraft, but not a difference of 3 squadrons per year for the last eight years. Again, this is a trade-off of a new technology: incorporation takes time. I believe it was worth the added delay and reduction in lift capacity, but it is an open question. On a higher level, the decision to move forward with recapitalization of the Marine fleet (including H-46, H-1, H-53E, AV-8/F-18, KC-130F/R) during prolonged combat operations was made by senior Marine and Congressional leaders with the understanding that it would be challenging, but the alternative was to delay replacement of 20-30-40 year old aircraft for undetermined number of years.

V-22 EMPLOYMENT: Much has been written about what the V-22 did or did not do in Iraq ("...the unvarnished truth is that off-field landings were avoided"), and many writers imply there was some sort of secret program to restrict the V-22 to to "easy" missions or locations. I can't say for certain what happened in the year before my squadron arrived (Oct '07- Oct '08). It is reasonable to assume that the very first combat deployment of this aircraft would have been approached with a "crawl, walk, run" philosophy--if I were a Commanding General in Iraq receiving Ospreys for their first operational deployment, I would certainly not throw them in the most difficult missions as soon as they arrived. BUT I can state this with certainty: my squadron, during OIF 08.2 (Oct 08-Apr 09) flew all the same missions and landed in all the same places that the other helicopter units did--and more. We routinely flew to the extreme southern and western borders of Iraq in the same sortie (impossible with a conventional helo because of shorter range and endurance), and we landed on dirt roads and in "unimproved" zones (a.k.a. severe brownout). We regularly flew into Baghdad, and we often flew to areas near Kuwait (non-stop). The only places we did not land were the "H-1/H-60 only" established landing zones because our aircraft, like the H-47/53D/53E, was too big for these zones--and these comprised at most 5% of the established LZs in Iraq, and probably comprised far less than 1% of actual scheduled missions. The Osprey was shot at too, probably less than other helicopters because of its altitude/speed/approach profiles. We flew in the some of the worst weather, often when no other squadrons would fly because our aircraft systems and range gave us an added safety margin. We did this with aircraft that had been deployed in the desert for 12-18 months. The aircraft was not coddled during my time in Iraq.

DISCLOSURE: We all know about the past embarrassments regarding V-22 maintenance data, but I don't think there are any intentional restrictions on data availability or media access today. I know the Marine Corps recently provided reams of data to GAO and Congress; it appears to be OMB/DoD's review process that delayed provision of data for a subcommittee hearing, causing some bloggers to cite as an example of evidence of inadequate disclosure. During my recent deployment we had reporters (and GAO personnel) visit us, I don't think there was any restriction on embedding (frankly, nobody was interested). I think there is a misimpression that the Marine Corps is trying to hide information on V-22, and I don't think that is true. If there are documented recent examples of reporters being denied access, this would change my opinion (and dishearten me).

MISHAPS & MAINT DELAYS: The "mishaps" issue raised earlier on this discussion board is a great example of the need for clear terminology to enable fair comparisons. I addressed the transcontinental flight maintenance delay issue earlier, but I should clarify my usage of 'mishap'. DoD defines mishap in classes: class A = aircraft destroyed, or loss of life/permanent disability, or >$1M of damage, and class B/C are defined by lower thresholds in the same areas. The "mishap free" term means, in generic terms, "no big crashes"--NOT that there were not instances of things not going as planned.

FLOGGING & BLOGGING: I was not aware of the "flogging" concept. It sounds feasible that it could occur, but think it is fair to ask for documentation of this sort of thing before believing that every pro-Opsrey writer is a front-man for industry bent on repressing the truth as put forth by a few brave souls exposing government deceit. My reading of various commentators on the Osprey tells me that there are a few folks who are so ferociously anti-Osprey that they filter out anything but negative information regarding the aircraft--just as there are writers whose clear motivation is to propagandize in favor of the aircraft. It is appropriate to be skeptical of writers whose stance is that an entire government program is a complete fraud if their writings contain a number of statements that simply aren't true. Some of these writers cite no sources (or cite other bloggers!) for key assertions, and it is relevant to consider their backgrounds and past actions when assessing their statements--just like it is appropriate to consider the motivation of a defense contractor's statements about his own product. The bias knife cuts both ways. I fear the day--coming soon--when we have no Washington Post or New York Times and the like, and all "news" will come from writers who have no fear of inaccurate reporting and no requirement for fact checking (in fact there was a column in the Sunday NYT about this very subject, noting that some Tech blogs knowingly post bad rumors just to increase "buzz").

Regarding my own bias, I've already explained my position and background. Though I have emphasized some of the Osprey's strengths, I know it is far from perfect: it is really expensive, perhaps not as reliable as it should be (at least right now), and there are a few scenarios where other aircraft would be preferred. It has some unique aerodynamic and flying qualities that must be respected, but I those are vastly outweighed by its capabilities in my opinion as a pilot. I recognize that some may dismiss everything I've written as a fabrication because they believe I am part of conspiracy to support an aircraft on which my life often depends. If so, I encourage the disclosure of verifiable facts to counter my statements, as they are based mostly on my personal experience. In the end, I hope the tone and content of this posting achieve the reasoned approach I sought.

I hope this has been informative. The Osprey is not going to bring about world peace or cure cancer, nor is it a perfect or cheap aircraft. But in the final analysis, it is certainly a tool worth having in our arsenal. Let future debates be based on facts.

 

TOM RICKS

2:09 AM ET

June 10, 2009

I sighed

I sighed when I saw the length of this post, but having read it over, I am both impressed and grateful. Good thoughts, well expressed, and with the right tone of serious inquiry.
With thanks,
Tom

 

MB7532

2:28 AM ET

June 10, 2009

Thanks

Thank you Mr. Ricks. I did not initially intend to hijack the comment board with such a long post, but I could not help it once I got going (with a couple of post-deployment days off to write...). Even if it changes nobody's mind about the Osprey, I hope it causes as least a few people to take a more holistic approach when deciding their stance on a given system; it is too easy to hurriedly dismiss or accept a complex idea based on a few selected facts.

mb7532

 

CMEYERGO

7:25 PM ET

June 10, 2009

Since Mr. Ricks has taken

Since Mr. Ricks has taken interest in this scandal, I will take time to refute the seemingly valid comments made by mb. I realize he hasn't the time to study the program or read all the info at G2mil, so he mostly throws out sales pitches he heard in briefings. I'm sure if he finds time to read and ponder the real info, he will change his mind. Of course he is not allowed to speak his mind, lest the Generals track him down and burn him at the stake. I'll break this into parts for ease of reading.

After all the sales talk of V-22s ability to "self-deploy" overseas, they do not. I wrote long ago that each V-22 would require a KC-130 escort to refuel it. It must carry three internal fuel tanks, so no troops. It must fly 8 hours at 18,000 feet where pilots must wear masks and don arctic clothing. If it loses an engine it may not make it. And contrary to claims, it has never demonstrated 2100nm flight with one refuel, it can't even take off at the max gross weight required for such an attempt. Then there is crew rest and aircraft wear and tear. This has been demonstrated as pilots hugged the North Atlantic coast to fly to England, where one broke down enroute, but it is not practical, which is why the 12 V-22s went to Iraq and came home as ship cargo. The CH-53E can do this too, but does not.

A common spin is that all new DoD equipment encounters problems, so just give the V-22 time. 26 years? Some ideas don't work out, read about "Tail sitter" aircraft, so they are canceled. The V-22 was canceled for this reason, but continues only because of corruption in DC, where Generals get kickbacks upon retirement and Congressmen spend most time soliciting bribes (called contributions)FYI, the F-14 had problems because it went from first flight to combat duty within 3 years.

Yes, the V-22 has many new electronic gadgets that are wonderful, but the same systems exist on modern helicopters. In fact, the V-22 is a decade behind in design technology compared to the latest helos.

As for autorotation, the Marine Corps made that a requirement, but was only dropped when the V-22 failed to demonstrate it. The FAA requires it for helos, which is why it refused to certify the V-22 for commerical development. This is why Boeing isn't trying to sell the V-22 to commerical carriers, it is unsafe.

Where are the foreign buyers for the great V-22? The Army and Coast Guard have studied and rejected it, as has the Navy, despite claims by the program office. The V-22 is such a flop that Boeing didn't even enter it in the recent USAF CSAR competition, which was won by the HH-47 since that is much safer, can carry twice as much, has three heavy machine guns, has far less downwash, and has MORE range. The Air Force spec ops people are stuck with an old order for 50 CV-22s, which may be useful in some missions where a small payload is moved long distances.

Why wasn't the V-22 considered for the new Presidential helo, the Marine pilots at HMX-1 said it was not safe, which led to the formation of VMX-22 so the tiltrotor people could confirm their own tests. There is more on this in a Marine Corps funded study posted at G2mil.

Also, the V-22 has the dangerous side-by-side rotor design, which can lead to VRS or rotor or gearbox damage which can flip over a V-22 in an instant. This has been avoided by keeping V-22s 250 feet apart and prohibiting combat maneuvering. They tried flying helo type combat maneuvers during testing. No. 10 almost broke apart and suffered so much damaged that it was retired.

More later

 

RICH24KM

2:24 AM ET

June 24, 2009

you're lying asshole....

We didn't even have a/c 10 with us at opeval that was left in the rear at new river. Good try....where do you get your information from really. I just look at a pic i took of all our a/c on the flightline and that was not 1 of them.

And we don't have HMX planes because of the fact the osprey would burn the grass at most places. jesus you're a rocket scientist. When i grow up i wanna be just like you and have no clue wtf is going on around me. and make up stuff. Fucking prick

 

CMEYERGO

8:15 PM ET

June 10, 2009

Hiding problems? Yes, the

Hiding problems?

Yes, the Marine Corps has refused to provide key unclassified data to the GAO. As a result, it was called before a congressional committee, and it refused to provide it. The excuse is that DOD must approve any info Congress requests, which is simply not true.

There are Marine Generals at DoD who can help kill scandals. The committee planned to hold hearings again last Thursday, but that was scrubbed with no explanation. Marine Major Dent at HQMC told Colin Clark at DoD buzz that he would provide the info, but no go. The Corps can simply put the data on its website to silence the critics.

Last week, General Conway held a news conference to assure everyone that the V-22 did not have mission capable problems, but then he refused to say what rates have been reported. It seems that this scandal was about to break open, but the Bell-Boeing lobby crushed it.

It would be embarrassing to admit there are 27 broke down V-22s hidden at New River where they are officially in "preservation" status. Preserved for what? Too bad a film crew can't visit the hangar at New River behind ops where the C-12s are parked to report on the 27 scrapped V-22s hidden there, plus two dozen more hidden at Amarillo. A Marine may be kicked out for losing his rifle, but the Generals "lost" four dozen V-22s worth $4 billion and nothing happens.

Tiltrotor technology is not "new". It seems like a nifty idea and has been studied for decades with a dozen test aircraft. In the end, they are so heavy and complex the payload is near zero. The V-22 has only half the range and payload promised. When you see V-22 specs on websites, those are the old program goals. America's leading rotorcraft expert, Dr. J. Gordon Leishman, has denounced the V-22 as a horrible design, but the press didn't seem to notice. The DoD's top independent rotorcraft expert at IDA, Rex Rivilo, reported the V-22 is unsafe in 2003, but no one cared.

 

RICH24KM

2:06 AM ET

June 24, 2009

haha

You are a fucking idiot. There are actually less LRIP A/C than I have fingers on my left hand in preservation at our preservation hanger. Which squadron has 27 A/C? Surely you would know...oh wait a minute even vmmt-204 doesn't have that many. Nice try picking a/c 27 and thinking there are actually 27 a/c. you are fucking retarded. I work on new river gtfo

 

CMEYERGO

8:51 PM ET

June 10, 2009

Mb's misleading

Mb's misleading comparison

The common V-22 tactic is to only compare it to "the aircraft it is replacing," the 40-year CH-46E, which is half its size, with one-sixth its engine power. Mb used a different spin in his comparison, comparing the V-22 with the H-60, which is one-third its size.

A March 2006 USAF report http://www.g2mil.com/scandal.htm
compared the V-22 to the Corps's 25-year old CH-53E, which is slightly smaller than the V-22. It concluded that old helo can move much more per day than a V-22 since it can carry twice as much. Perhaps Mb would like to do a lift comparison with the new CH-53K that will enter the fleet in 2015. That is the same size of the V-22 but can carry five times more! It is wider than the Echo so it can carry two Hummers, whilst the V-22 can't even carry one old WWII jeep.

Another myth is that Mb spun the V-22 can carry 24 combat equipped troops. If he is a V-22 pilot, he will admit that he never carried that many. Recall that 10 people can fit in phone booth too. The GAO concluded only 15-18 would fit. To pass opeval, they selected 24 small Marines and jammed them inside with no combat equipment (e.g. backpacks. Knees interlock so no one can move about. Nevertheless, the Corps is now "trying" to install a complex million dollar belly gun that will require the removal of four seats.

The V-22's cabin is 25% smaller than the CH-46E, but a friend of mine said that in all his years as a pilot the most they ever jammed in the back of a CH-46E is 18 combat troops. A few years ago, the CH-46E was safety restricted to half its original payload for age reasons, but also to make the V-22 look better.

I wrote about this in an article several years ago, noting the specs show the the V-22s cabin is four feet shorter, six inches narrower, and six inches lower than the CH-46E. They promptly changed the specs on all V-22 websites to match the CH-46E. A couple years ago, a new V-22 pilot Captain Sarno told me that was an absurd claim. I suggested that he measure the V-22 himself. He did, and apologized.

Finally, the V-22 demonstrated a cruise speed of only 220-240 knots during OPEVAL in 2005, but has gained a couple thousand pounds of empty weight, so 210 knots is a good estimate now, compared to the goal of 300 knots and the minimum KPP requirement of 275 knots that somehow disappeared. Still much better than a helo of around 150 knots. However, the most dangerous area is the LZ where 91% of helos in Vietnam were downed, and a V-22 cannot land faster than a helo vertically as it must land straight and slow to avoid flipping over.

All this and much more is at G2mil.com for those interested. The basic problem is that the Corps' political machine "committed" to the V-22 decades ago, and since they never fail, they will get the V-22 fully fielded, even if far superior alternatives are available. One thing that shocks civilians is that telling lies is not only tolerated among today's career military officers, it is expected. I don't mean to attack on demean mb as I realize he is just sharing what he has been told and that every pilot loves his own aircraft.

 

RICH24KM

2:03 AM ET

June 24, 2009

wow

I was at OPEVAL and we can definately fly faster than 210 knots brother. I have been in the back of an OSPREY doing 315 knots with a tail wind. To eliminate high vib or critcal flapping condition we don't fly quite that fast. I'm not gonna post our limitations but you're fucking wrong put it that way we definately fly faster that 220-240. I guess since you are going off of someone elses numbers and don't actually fly or ride in an Osprey you're wrong. I highly doubt Capt. john sarno told you any of that. You read his name on some other forum because i know first hand he defends the v22 not because it's his aircraft. But because its definately something he takes pride and believes in. We were all given the task of proving the V22 worked...and you damn right it worked. It works well too. All the haters want to talk shit and use hear say its o.k. leave it to the pro's that actually use it and risk our lives and sweat the V22 opsrey to have an opinion.....all of you can fuck off for all i care. I value my life and i'd trust an opsrey any day of the week in any condition.

BTW the stupid bullshit comments i read about weather...are ridiculous as well.

 

CMEYERGO

4:16 AM ET

June 11, 2009

Several Alternatives

Here are the alternatives. http://www.g2mil.com/V-22retirement.htm

The V-22 first flew in 1989 and went into production in 1999. Over 140 have been built, 50 have been scrapped. They have a good idea of how it works, which is why they are hiding reports from Congress and the GAO.

You hit the nail on the head. Those involved in testing and evaluating DoD programs have their careers tied to them. If the V-22 is canceled, all V-22 pilots will be unfairly tarnished as losers.

 

SPRINGBORED

5:53 PM ET

June 11, 2009

Wow...A V-22 Conversation....

...that's been interesting, civil and...nobody's yet been banned!

Amazing. Of all the gin joints in all the world, it could only happen at Ricks Place, I guess...

 

GARYC

11:57 PM ET

June 11, 2009

Incredible Sport

Speaking of alternatives, it occurs to me that rocket equipped C-130 they threw together in three weeks for the Iran Hostage rescue mission was a better idea than a tilt-rotor. Think about it; all those billions spent on that turkey...I mean, Osprey. There is not much that can go wrong with JATO bottles. A C-130 that can drop into a soccer stadium and blast off vertically would be a "good piece of kit" for the Marines. If you watch the video of the credible sport mishap you can see it managed to crash and not kill the crew, which brings to mind the old saying about any good landing. It would have worked and still would. Consider just for starters engine nacelles that tilt 90 degrees, computer assisted fly by wire, composites, titanium tubing, propellers that perform poorly as rotors and vice versa. Now consider solid fuel rockets with no moving parts, no vortex ring state or altitude problems, no FOD, and a plane that can fly at high altitude to distant lands and back- normal ops. Yes, a C-130 can land on an aircraft carrier but it really does not need to. Credible Sport would definiteley start brush fires but the one hundred fully equipped marines with fire extinguishers that run down the ramp in triple file might be able to deal with it. Credible sport cannot hover but it could dive into an LZ pulling G's and climb out like....a rocket. It might even make it with a couple engines shot out. Sound incredible? Rocket science is amazing stuff and has been around longer than tilt rotors. I submit 30 years and 30 billion dollars of development of credible sport would have given the Corps the sure ability to air assault with thousands of Marines from thousands of miles away instead of the criminally poor results we are discussing in this thread.

 

TOM RICKS

9:43 PM ET

June 13, 2009

JATO'd C-130

Yes, I seem to remember seeing video once of a C-130 taking off from an aircraft carrier with a rocket assist. But how does it land on a carrier? Wouldn't repeated landings pull it apart?

 

STARBUCK

11:18 AM ET

June 22, 2009

Here is a good article on the

Here is a good article on the C-130 and the USS Forrestal:

http://www.theaviationzone.com/factsheets/c130_forrestal.asp

Amazingly, the landings were conducted without the use of the tailhook that most carrier-based aircraft have. (I heard another relatively credible source claim that the takeoffs were conducted without the use of the catapult as well).

I can't speak to whether or not repeated landings would tear the aircraft apart. It would seem that the reason that this never caught on was because of the inherent risks involved--it was probably deemed better to have a much lighter cargo aircraft with a tailhook land on a carrier (i.e., the C-2).

 

WALKING WOUNDED

12:18 AM ET

June 14, 2009

C-130 on Forrestal: not JATO

The C-130 landing TO trials shown here are not JATO.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CfwJJD5jGXk

The narration track says that the sink rate (wing/gear stress) was about half the tolerance, but nowhere near naval aviation standards. The carrier stuff starts at 2:30

I do recall seeing a JATO Herc lifting off a football pitch, where it had landed.

Kids, don't try that at home.

 

WALKING WOUNDED

12:18 AM ET

June 14, 2009

honest comparisons

In terms of V-22 alternatives, the C-27J transport and the current CH47 and CH53 models are what the Army is using to do the same jobs (bigger loads and Af-Pak altitudes), and integrating much of the avionics advancements too.

In defense of V-22 cost growth, the Comanche armed scout helo was up to $60M/ea when it was deemed obsolescent and cancelled pre-purchase.

 

RICH24KM

2:10 AM ET

June 24, 2009

ch47

is way too slow......you'll see how many of those will be getting shot down in afghan

 

Thomas E. Ricks covered the U.S. military for the Washington Post from 2000 through 2008.

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