Friday, April 3, 2009 - 4:36 PM

Until now, Defense Secretary Robert Gates has been Washington's bipartisan heartthrob. But as he settles in with the new administration, suspicion is growing among his old Republican buddies. There is growing belief on the right that President Obama will use him for political cover to slash weapons programs and the defense budget. Push may come to shove next week if Gates rolls out his tough choices, which likely will cause great pain in parts of the Navy and Air Force -- and in congressional districts that bend metal for warships and fighter planes.
Here is how my old friend (and uber-hawk) Tom Donnelly of the militarily promiscuous AEI puts it:
Obama is going to be cutting defense budgets (and we shall see what happens in Iraq and Afghanistan) and Gates gives him top cover that no Dem can give. Obama needs Gates through this year's budget, the QDR process and the 2011 budget-build, and these are difficult defense issues that matter a lot more than gays or satisfying any of the party constituencies, because they could jeopardize Obama's domestic priorities. Gates, for reasons that I cannot quite figure out, has agreed to this Faustian bargain."
My bet is that Gates will stay on until about this time next year, and leave when the QDR (Quadrennial Defense Review) is done. By then, I predict, Republicans will be crying, "Bobby, we hardly knew ye."
JIM WATSON/AFP/Getty Images
Any chance Gates might be available for Secretary of State...?
Or is it time to run a think tank, take an ivy league tenured professioship or just go fishing.
. . . Eisenhower had some interesting thoughts about that.
Please opine further. Is he a decoy/ stalking horse/ beard?
Gates has been talking about resetting defense spending priorities and cutting expensive weapons systems for a year. Here he is last May 13:
In a world of finite knowledge and limited resources, where we have to make choices and set priorities, it makes sense to lean toward the most likely and lethal scenarios for our military. And it is hard to conceive of any country confronting the United States directly in conventional terms – ship to ship, fighter to fighter, tank to tank – for some time to come.
He may be a stalking horse, or he may just be someone who wants to oversee the inevitable in the most responsible way possible. With trillion dollar deficits for the foreseeable future on top of an already enormous debt, there's no way we can sustain anywhere close to the current level of military spending.
The country is spending itself straight into bankruptcy and many many programs are eventually going to have to be slashed.
Gates has, since he stepped into his office as Sec Def, been emphasizing the need for reductions in the defense budget, and increases in funds for State. This is why the Obama Administration kept him on - he agrees with them on core civil-military imbalance issues.
This was obviously not a PDB 753 slash and burn exercise. Hopefully it will generate a real national discussion on what we will be doing and where in 20 years. Unicorn
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