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Is that it?

I liked President Obama's Afghan stuff, as far as it went. Reducing American goals and training Afghan security forces makes sense. And reaching out to less extreme Taliban leaders is also worth trying. But I was surprised by how little the president had to offer on the other big problems. Sure, corruption in Afghanistan is easy to denounce, Mr. President, but what are you going to do about it? How are you going to stop the police from shaking down Afghans and so driving them into arms of the Taliban?
Finally, what about the Pakistani military? The saying is that most countries have militaries, while in Pakistan the military has a country.
Right now the Pakistani armed forces are part of the problem. Obama gave no indication of how they might be made part of the solution, and that worries me. I know it is difficult to say anything about this publicly -- but he should have said something.
NICHOLAS KAMM/AFP/Getty Images









I was appalled. He's facing
I was appalled.
He's facing probably the toughest situation any american president has run into.
And he's decided to spend his political capital on two more distant unwinnable wars.
We can't afford this. Not only do we not have enough money. We can't even pay enough attention.
Sending an additional 4000 troops to Afghanistan
Is still not enough. If Obama is really serious about winning the war against the Taliban in the region, another surge, with surge like numbers has to be started, and quickly.
This is what is known in military circles as mission creep.
Thereason we need US troops
Thereason we need US troops in aghanistan is because there aren't enough trained afghan troops to protect the afghan government.
There are lots of trained afghan troops in afghanistan, they just happen to support various other factions instead of the government.
This tells me that we are backing losers.
"Moderate taliban" is a codeword. It's like, once we fight with some afghan force we decide they're Taliban and then we can't be friends with them ever again because we've decided they're the enemy. The afghan groups naturally think in terms of shifting alliances and we've confused them by deciding that all our enemies are permanent enemies who belong to Taliban, which we seem to interpret as some sort of top-down organization that people belong to permanently.
So when we say "moderate taliban" we're telling people they can get an amnesty, that just because they've fought against us before doesn't mean we can't make a deal now.
There's no telling how many factions we can bring in that way. Maybe all of them, if we pay them enough and if we pay attention to each group's negotiating points.
Except, how does that help the afghan government? We can buy lots of cooperation with hard currency, but the afghan government can't do that. We want these guys to accept a permanent alliance with the afghan government with no shifting, when the afghan government doesn't have the money to bid for loyalty the way we do. It can't get that money except from us, and its top priority might not be to give it to people with dubious loyalty so they'll do something-or-other in places the afghan government has only nominal sovereignty anyway.
Once again, we wouldn't need large numbers of combat troops, or even moderate numbers, except we're backing losers. And I haven't seen much to show that the losers we're backing are that much better than the guys we aren't backing.
Unrealistic expectations of presidential granularity
I don't think it makes sense to expect POTUS to grind down into specific anti-corruption measures while at the podium in his initial strategy-orientation address on this. You're a reporter; do some reporting and ask the relevant officials that question, or do you seriously think such questions are not being addressed? Obama has said explicitly that he views the president's role as setting broad strategy and holding officials in his command accountable. This just looks like you're searching for something to criticize.
The Pakistani military question is certainly more fundamental (and knotty), but you seem to answer it yourself. It's basically the central issue at stake; you're right that Obama needs to address it. Not doing so should in my estimation tell us that the question continues to vex all who approach it, and so it remains under intense analysis and policy debate. I don't quarrel with your desire to have heard something on it, but at the same time, what's he going to say? He doesn't want to get out in front of Holbrooke on it, so why go through the motions of delivering some meaningless boilerplate that would then be endless ly picked over and overanalyzed by Tom Ricks and others, when in fact all he wanted to do was signal inconclusion on the matter. Silence accomplishes that more definitively. Are you really feeling so deprived by not getting to hear presidential hem-hawing in absence of policy? Again, if you're so desperate to know the state of thinking on the question, why don't you go talk to the officials who are making the assessments and report it out? We'd like to know too.
He obviously would be aware
He obviously would be aware of the issues you mention, yet his decision is a dance around those issues: he can't back away because he campaigned on doing something about Afghanistan [a disingenuous promise as far as I'm concerned made because he had to project military gravitas but for obvious reasons couldn't use Iraq for such]; yet moving aggressively on Afghanistan is full of risks and burdens that he evidently has no appetite for - so he opts for a relatively 'safe' compromise and crosses his fingers. Hard to come to any other conclusion than that this is just essentially window dressing - expensive, combustible window dressing, but a show all the same.
If Bush's speech-writers had
If Bush's speech-writers had given him this speech to read, would he have recited it?
What's different here from 2007?
rebus
This is something which doesn't benefit from sunshine. Its like weeding out the weeds in a minefield. The more sun, the faster they grow.
Its a rebus. Good luck.
What's different from 2007? Not much.
Every serious observer of American foreign policy understood that there was always going to be a much larger difference between pre-2006 Bush and post-2006 Bush then there was going to be between post-2006 Bush and Obama. American's were in essence voting for which iteration of George W. Bush they preferred. At least when it came to foreign policy.
And as far as "seriously thinking such questions [as corruption] aren't being addressed." I seem to recall a previous military endeavor where such question went rather decidedly unaddressed. It is the job of reporters to push for answers, Ricks is simply using his blog to push his readers into pushing for answers as well.
Isn't it possible that the
Isn't it possible that the militaristic policies our government knows and loves have become defunct in the twenty first century?
Could we not envision a military which operates under the assumption that it is far better to BUILD a country than to destroy one while hunting for witches, the so-called "terrorists"?
Here's what I mean...In Iraq, we have recently agreed to leave a nation destroyed by firefights...one which is in absolute disarray without a military or a police force that can control it's own civilian population. Bombings are increasing daily as we exit the scene.
But far worse than that is the blunt fact that there is precious little city drinking water, an unreliable electrical source, roads in disrepair, insufficient hospitals and staff, insufficient food supplies, need I go on here? Irag is a shambles and it's people are destitute with little or NO HOPE. They cannot even pump and distribute their own oil successfully, which is their only source of income.
I would propose that the American government might well be better off to establish a true CHANGE in it's foreign policy vis a vis it's militaristic agenda.
Forget sticks and stones, bomb and aircraft, tanks and missiles, drones and all the rest of the dragons of militaristic thought for the last twelve trillion years of the existence of beasts. (Exaggeration intentional, for we really can't agree on long we've been here. Authorities differ).
Suppose our soldiers were armed with electrical grid componentry, water supply technology, hydroponic gardening skills and organic fertilizers for countries with poor or no soils, a knowledge of how to produce something other than opium, bring in hospital equipment, hospital staff...you get my drift?
We are in a position to slay the beast of Al Quaida, the Taleban, and all other comers by simply giving the people of the countries under "terrorist" influence and control HOPE for a manageable future INDEPENDENT of the terror organizations who always ALWAYS successfully use our best attempts to kill off the perpetrators of wrong doing AGAINST the U.S. by means of propaganda.
To HAVE a friend, it is said, one must BE a friend. Can we figure out a way to BE a friend to the Afghan population? Wouldn't they then HOPE to see us coming down the road, rather than HATE US for having killed their civilian friends and family members?
Why, I wonder, are we so blind, and for how long will that condition last? to paraphrase a NAM era rock tune: "Somethin's happenin' there,
What it is, IS exactly clear"...
...we are losing Afghanistan, Pakistan, have lost Iraq, and will lose our own nationality if we don't step back and take a deep breath, re-focus on POSSIBILITIES, and work from a humanitarian viewpoint.
The militaristic code of destruction is not working, and hasn't worked since W.W.II
It IS time for a change, Mr. Obama.