Another major question arising from the Wanat battle in eastern Afghanistan that left nine American soldiers dead last summer is whether the soldiers in the fight were adequately supported. And a review of the investigation and interviews with key sources suggests there's lots to be concerned about here -- from potentially insufficient troop numbers to conduct this kind of operation to insufficient supplies of basics such as potable water and concertina wire.

This is a touchy subject because it goes directly to the actions -- or lack thereof -- of senior officers. At the same time, if the lesson learned here is that more backup was required, that's easily remedied in future situations, if people speak up, so it is especially worth examination. This issue breaks down into four key questions: Were there enough troops for the task at hand? Did they have what they needed? Was there sufficient aviation support? And was there adequate command attention?

Troops: On the face of it, it would appear that there were not enough soldiers assigned for mission. The platoon leader sensed this going in, telling his best friend in the battalion, according to that friend's sworn statement, "1st LT Brostrom expressed concerns to me about the number of men he was taking with him for the mission." One platoon may have been fine if there was no enemy action. But it wasn't enough to build the outpost while also providing deterrent security, including foot patrols. They probably needed two platoons for those two tasks.

Supplies: I am told they ran out of concertina wire. Also, they lacked earth-moving machinery big enough to fill 7-foot-high Hesco barriers, so they cut them down to just over 3 feet and then filled them. This is grueling work, especially in the Afghan summer. Daytime temperatures were more than 100 degrees. In their exertions, they ran low of potable water, which was rationed, and so went on a reduced work schedule, which in turn lessened the amount of defenses finished by the time of the attack. Most of the men were "mildly dehydrated" by the second day of building the outpost, one soldier stated. By the afternoon before the attack, "we continued to improve positions and were unable to do anything else due to the lack of proper equipment and Class 4 supplies," a staff sergeant stated.

Helicopters: I am told that aviation resources were stretched, that the unit had only a handful of AH-64 Apache attack helos, and that those were mainly devoted to escorting CH-47 Chinooks carrying troops and cargo and UH-60 Black Hawks flying around commanders. In addition, the attack was launched just as the Apaches were switching from night crews to day crews, with the arriving aviators needing to do preflight checks on their aircraft, debrief the old crews, get a weather update, and be briefed on the enemy situation. It took roughly an hour for the attack helos to come on scene and begin firing, I am told. "By the time they got there, the enemy was in retreat mode," said one person who has reviewed the data.

Staff and command support: The unit had been there for a year, and the brigade staff appears to have been busy with planning for redeployment and taking care of the RIP, or "relief in place," with the incoming unit. "They were distracted and didn't focus on this particular mission," said one veteran who has looked at the Army investigatory material. (There also was lots of intelligence that an attack was imminent, but I don't make too much of that, because in my experience there is always intelligence of that sort, so I don't think it means that much.) The platoon at Wanat could have used a visit by someone like the battalion commander or his XO to visit to ensure they were getting what they needed, from supplies to aerial surveillance.

The feeling that there was a distracted staff trying to do too many things at once originated with the platoon sergeant who likely was the savviest soldier at Wanat. "[It] is my own personal belief that this was the wrong time to start a new FOB," he said in his statement to an Army investigator. "The RIP was going on, so that was using up assets that could have been used."

There is lots to take away from this:

One likely lesson: Don't bite off more than you can chew. If you don't have the troops to hold, don't move in.

A second lesson: One or two little mistakes are tolerable, but more than that and they begin to accumulate into a dangerously big mistake. Blow the whistle before they snowball.

A third very simple lesson: Don't try to establish new bases at the end of your deployment.

A fourth time-honored lesson: Don't be predictable. Maybe move around the crew shift time. And make sure you have attack helicopters ready to go at the most likely time of an enemy attack, just before dawn.

U.S. Army

EXPLORE:AFGHANISTAN, WANAT
 

ROCKPARATROOPER

7:00 PM ET

January 30, 2009

A Paratrooper's Perspective

The problem with this discussion is no one knows or has laid out the geography (which includes the human terrain) of Wanat or Kunar Province. Participants in this discussion cannot fathom the environmental conditions that The Rock fought in, the intransigent population, lack of resources, and still the necessity to do their mission – something Paratroopers do. Before our end of tour leave the Battalion Commander informed us we did 9500 patrols, had 1100 contacts, fired 5400 fire missions and 36,000 rounds, and executed 3800 deliveries from aircraft, while firing 108 TOW and 23 Javelin missiles. We had 26 killed and 143 wounded and fought lethally and non-lethally every day of our deployment; I wrote this down and most is in the unclassified 15-6... So suffice to say other bases were also in daily contact and were also working daily to build capacity AND we knew how to fight.

For months (likely over a year) our leaders and commanders sought resources to move Bella but rightly so higher commanders had other priorities – perhaps in more contested areas (four other bases were closed or relocated throughout the year in AO Rock alone). Bella was one of 15 sites The Rock occupied. Bella was not located with a population center, it was not co-located with a government entity, there was no police in the area (only corrupt security guards), and there was no economics to be spoken of. A ground LOC was not available meaning the base was air centric and had a one helicopter landing zone. In late May 2-300 insurgents of many flavors threatened to overrun Bella. They remained in the area and Rehearsed their attack plans. In early June the insurgents were successful in damaging a helicopter on the one-ship landing zone, which blocked our resupply, MEDEVAC, and potential reinforcements for three days. The insurgents’ indirect fires accuracy increased dramatically as rounds landed on Bella and on July 3rd insurgent fires hit one of our OPa severely wounding our platoon’s forward observer. All indications were the attacking force was finalizing efforts to achieve their stated goal of overrunning Bella, which as mentioned could not be reinforced by ground and could be isolated from air reinforcements, resupply, and MEDEVAC. The commanders sought to relocate Bella – literally reposition (pullback) 8 kilometers south closer to a base of support that could reinforce by vehicle or by foot if necessary (so the comment of leap-frogging into the valley is a bit uninformed).

Our commanders who were both in many engagements and in ambushes vicinity Wanat (end of May and early June) sought to move to Wanat, which was a district center, had a police station, a population, a market area, was connected by a HMMWV trafficable ground LOC (which was subsequently used to reinforce with two platoons), and had much larger helicopter landing zones (which were subsequently used to reinforce with a platoon and a commando company). Comments about our ROE are off the mark. As per the above stats, we used every non-lethal and lethal munition we had available with less restrictions than most have ever experienced. We did bomb and mortar strings of enemy and we did drop on buildings when required. And we did care more about the population we lived with than anyone else...

I had and continue to have more time to think about my time in Kunar and Nuristan than most. I have enough information and a good enough education to research and debate every armchair quarterback that has not lived or served in the environment we so honorably did. The loss was tragic and much has been learned but efforts to disparage the commanders, leaders, or Paratroopers that commanded, led, lived amongst, and fought for the good people of Afghanistan and each other is truly tragic. I think interviews will show the complete faith the Paratroopers of The Rock had in each other, their leaders, and commanders. Men that selflessly accepted a mission, and thus an obligation to do their best for their entire deployment (a mission that America nor the international community could understand or adequately resource); the Paratroopers of The Rock were consistently vigilant, on mission, and made the best decisions time and available resources allowed while others hunkered on bases. How do I know? I am a Rock Paratrooper with a lot of time in Waygul Valley, Kunar and Nuristan Provinces. Although I applaud and will partake in learning lessons, the arrogance, generalizations, and ignorance of some is disheartening if not disrespectful. I look forward to the dialogue! ROCK!

 

WALKING WOUNDED

8:55 PM ET

January 30, 2009

Tell us more

RockParatrooper,

Thank you for your contribution, your service. I wish I knew words that would convey respect for your losses.

Please tell us more about the human terrain, either generally, or if in your power, specific to the Wanat. Was the town Pashtun, Tajik, Nuristani, or other? Sunni, wahabi, Shiite?

What was the nature of local civil or religious authority, and it's relation to district gov't, police, and ANA? Were the Afghan army and commandos compatable with the local police, with each other.

Re physical terrain, the 15-6 reports close range elevated fire from buildings and roofs, including the headman's house, and a local hotel. Also helo gun runs thru the deserted bazaar adjacent to the base. With no picture or map, it seems odd to me that either Wanat or TF Rock decisionmakers would want to co-locate that way. Is this a 'hold your friend close, and your enemy closer' kind of thing, or is the valley so very restricted in terms of road access and landing pad potential?

 

ROCKPARATROOPER

9:46 PM ET

January 30, 2009

More Told

The Waygul is a mix of isolated uneducated tribes(the ignorant are notoriously easy to influence and intimidate). There are Korengalis and Nuristanis in the area - all but outsiders are Pashto (and subscribe to Pashtunwali to various degrees). The Koregalis that venture into the area either have a wahabist bend or are fighting for economic reasons. A separate thread would highlight most of us believed the issues (to include fighting) can be boiled down to and addressed as an economic argument.

Civil authority consisted of the Waygul District Governor who was oddly seated in Wanat (v Waygul Village - which is in Nuristan) and Wanat is arguably in Kunar Province v Nuristan. At best he was intimidated at worst he was corrupt and in bed with the insurgents. He was supported but never visited by the Nuristan Province Governor. He was also a "mullah"... The police chief was corrupt and in bed with the insurgents – period. I know the commanders despised him but couldn’t get rid of him. Note comments about 100 weapons found for his 20 man force. Our ANA was solid and got better daily; they shared the risk and fought beside us with substandard equipment. ANA commandos are outstanding and were outstanding when they arrived arrives after the initial battle – we were glad they were there. They are mentored by US SF, equipped, trained, fit, and disciplined and very proud to be the ANA's elite force. They called BS on the police and disarmed and detained them. The Police Chief and the District Governor were detained but subsequently released. A separate thread is Rule of Law. The commanders charged us with making security forces of different flavors but there were no functional courts and few confinement facilities. I think America has 1% of its population confined, I'd bet Afghanistan has less than .001%... May want to ask our European allies how that capacity building is coming along.

Wanat Vehicle Patrol Base and Planned COP was negotiated for 12 months. Lesson learned is in contested areas, Afghan central government be damned – seize the land and build rapidly... The land was akin to a flat park in a very small village, along the road (HMMWV capable road), adjacent to the buildings, with access to land for the base to include a helicopter landing zone. There were few examples of the insurgents shooting into villages as The Rock was comparatively successful at separating the insurgents from the population, which forced the insurgents to [also] fight for the human terrain. Shooting into villages and destroying infrastructure is generally viewed as a bad thing by both sides. Maybe someday I will post some pictures and explain the layout.

I'm hopeful you will note this isn't a 2+2 = 4 equation and we as Paratroopers were too dumb to get an answer close to 4. This is like Newtonian Physics where most don't understand the question much less have a shot at an acceptable answer.

 

ROCKPARATROOPER

10:01 PM ET

January 30, 2009

SSG (promotable) Phillips - Super Bowl Highlight

I you want a sense of the leadership and talent present in the Waygul, pay attention during the Super Bowl. SSG(p) Phillips, 25 years old, Ranger Qualified, Mortar Squad Leader was awarded the Distinguished Service Cross for a battle in Waygul Valley known as the Ranch House (Aug 07). He was subsequently recommended for a Silver Star for actions at Wanat. He is supposed to be highlighted during the Super Bowl.

 

WALKING WOUNDED

12:01 AM ET

January 31, 2009

Pashtunwali

Thx again.

I noticed a number of seargents mentioned in the 15-6. It struck me as a lot of stripes for one platoon.

There is an article on Pashtunwali at:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pashtunwali
Wiki says that this honor/social code contains a scalable basis for local militia organization / community defense, as well as an oligarchic program for justice, or at least dispute resolution. Did the locals perceive the police, and even the extra arms that were removed as functioning within Pashtunwali? Has the code been used, so far as you heard, to remove corrupt authoritiy, such as the police chief?

Aside from the good qualities you found in the ANA, what was their religio-ethnic makeup vs the Pashtun in Wanat? Did the ANA/training mission present before the battle include partnering with the Wanat police? Did they remain, and did the battle change that mission, before the RIP?

Your description raised the issue of whether Pashtun Wanat and it's district gov't is somewhat alienated from a Nuristan state gov't. Is that what you were implying, and is that part of the economic beef that maybe underlies the war in the Waygul valley?

I haven't heard any mention that the police arms removed had been fired, or cleaned, in a way that indicated evidence of use against the VPB had just been removed. Is it your thought that ammunition or other arms from this armory were used in the attack? Or that the sudden change of uniform indicated these 10 policemen had been on the firing line just hours earlier? Another possibility is that their well soiled duty clothes were used by others for infiltration, or escape after the action.

I'm not fishing for fault, or asking for more than an informed opinon. But the 'catch and release' part of the 15-6 narrative, given our losses and the suspicions raised, is hard to understand.

 

OLD BLUE

6:57 PM ET

February 1, 2009

Huh?

Correct me if I'm wrong, but the way that I've read everything to this point is that Wanat was not Pashtun, it was Nuristani and although the GIRoA considered it part of Kunar, the people including the district government considered itself part of Nuristan.

Pashtuns have made significant incursions into Nuristani territory and in the area of Nuristan that I served in 2008, there were tensions about Pashtuns encroaching and squatting in Nuristani territory, sometimes resulting in violence.

Focusing on Pashtun issues when you are talking about a Nuristani town is mistaken. Granting too much credence to social anthropology can develop into an excuse for not dealing with real issues of insurgency, however.

I have worked with the ANP closely. First of all, they don't just "go to the range." Typically they suffer from a dearth of ammunition, as their supply system is broken. The condition of their weapons was not the significant point. The fact that they had a huge surplus of weapons and ammunition was the significant point. The only other time I saw such a surplus it was an indication (proved later to be true) that there were some ANP involved in arms trafficking. In this case, it's an indication that they were serving as an armory for the AAF.

Again, a PMT would have noticed this very strange phenomenon early enough for it to have influenced the developing situation. There was no PMT, there was no one whose job it was to engage the ANP, and this oversight allowed the ANP to support the AAF unfettered.

 

DIRTDOG

3:34 AM ET

February 1, 2009

Wanat

RockParatrooper, you exemplify what I now know to be common among the Rock Paratroopers: They are intelligent, determined, articulate,selfless,focused and whether under verbal or physical fire will mainain an unmatched level of professionalism. I know this because my son showed the same in Chowkay and had friends at Wanat. I will most definitely watch the Super Bowl for SSG Phillips and remember the heroes of Wanat and Ranch House.

 

ROCKPARATROOPER

4:37 PM ET

February 3, 2009

Double Post

Double Post

 

VICTOR

9:10 PM ET

January 30, 2009

Aviation support shift change

I'm not an aviator but I believe, from my limited dealings with aviation support in Iraq, that there is a window twice a day (normally done in conjunction with the shift change, but not necessarily) when the aviators have to be on the ground to "transition" from daylight, naked-eye flying to night, NVG flying and vice versa. This is done during the hour or so of twilight in each the morning and evening. If the day crew is just starting their mission in the morning, they will launch once there is enough light to fly with the naked eye. If the night crew is just lauching around sunset, they will wait until it is dark enough to go straight to NVG flying. And, if a flight crew's shift overlaps from day to night or vice versa, they still have to land somewhere during the twilight period to adjust their eyes to the light or to the NVGs. Therefore, if the aviation support to this action was late in arriving, it may have been due to this vulnerable transition period between nighttime and daylight flying. The birds may have to have been on the ground as it may have been too bright to fly with NVGs but not yet light enough to safely fly with the naked eye. If an aviator out there knows more about this than me, please confirm or deny this.

 

TRUSTED USER

11:39 PM ET

January 30, 2009

Wanat

Deep thanks to Rock paratrooper for your service, and your submissions here.
I remember hearing an interview with a national guard medical unit, who reported that they had not been in country more than two hours when they began treating the casualties from this fight, both US and ANA. They were stunned, overwhelmed both by numbers of casualties, the relative youth of the soldiers, and the severity of wounds: they expressed deep sense of unease about "saving" the lives of young men with terrible amputations and head injuries. The percentage of wounded and KIA of paratrooper's company highlights the profound nature of their loss.

Is that percentage typical or unique?
Was the relative inexperience of new units a problem, given the complex nature of the war there?

 

DIRTDOG

3:59 AM ET

February 1, 2009

Trusted, the Rock

Trusted, the Rock Paratroopers are one of the best trained fighting forces we have. Those at Wanat fought against an attacking force 5 times or more their size and came at the end of a hard fought deployment. There were no inexperienced Paratroopers in Afghanistan and I'm not sure if any battle is typical or unique.The Rock is a separate Brigade and not attached to a division, you are correct, their losses are profound. If we consider the possible upcoming surge of 30k more troops to Afghanistan it makes what the Rock has accomplished during their deployment all the more heroic.

 

JOHNMEUNIER

3:12 AM ET

January 31, 2009

disparage or learn?

The loss was tragic and much has been learned but efforts to disparage the commanders, leaders, or Paratroopers that commanded, led, lived amongst, and fought for the good people of Afghanistan and each other is truly tragic.

It is not clear to me if your comments are directed at Tom Ricks' piece or the comments of others.

If things were done that could be done better next time, how is talking about that disparaging anyone?

 

ANONYMOUS

3:06 PM ET

January 31, 2009

Waygal Valley

Just wanted to make sure everybody's straight on the makeup of this area: Most of the Waygal Valley is historically Nuristani. Nuristanis are not Pashtuns. (Neither are Korengalis, by their lineage; they are Pashai.) Pashtuns from the areas around Monogai and Nangalam (Pech) began encroaching on Waygali grazing lands in the past two decades, and have moved pretty far up toward Wanat. But the boundary of Pashtun habitation ends abruptly about a mile south of Wanat. Above that line, the villages are ethnically and culturally Nuristan.

The posts above don't make this clear, but it's very important info if one is to contemplate operations in that area.

 

WALKING WOUNDED

6:17 PM ET

February 2, 2009

Local vs regional war

Rock Paratrooper reasonably asserts that readers like myself can't comprehend the Wanat human terrain without having been there. That raises the question, how well is OEF and CENTCOM informed, as they plan a theater campaign that overlays a matrix of shifting and overlapping local wars.

The Northern Alliance Tajik army led the charge to Kabul, retaking Tajik orchards that had been scorched by the Taliban, and bought by tajik blood at least three times since 1900.

TF Rock's attempts to establish security for one ethnic center may reasonably be seen by competing tribes as a US tilt towards their rivals, endorsing a status quo that stole grandpa's farm in yesteryear's occupation. Arable land is scarce, and even the loser's may have a demographic surplus of angry you ng men.

The 1956 era Brit travelog that I'm reading tells me that Nuristani's are regarded as barely moslem, and regarded as uncivilized 'other' by the Tajik herdsmen, branded as raiders thieves and murderers.

I take the US reports of fire discipline and COIN regard for locals at face value. But to pay off, forbearance from retribution, self-limiting our force protection/firepower advantage has to be consistent over time, and include the folks we patrol with and train, who may look 'local' only to US paratroopers.

The 1993 Durand Line lease (from the Afghan king) of what the Brit Raj called Pashunistan seems to have lumped Nuristan into the split. This is triple, or even quadruple contested turf in the Waygul and Kunar valleys.

Bringing it back to the Wanat action, the 15-6 seems to be at sea as to the enemy order of battle. Was this the same force that was maneuvering their previous helo suppied base? If any prisoners were taken they aren't in the report. Only an oblique reference to a 'foreigner' with camies under his local garb. Afghani, and especially Nuristanis are a physically mixed lot, some with red hair and blue eyes, residue from wars over millinia.

The human terrain seems as steep as the geography. War is politics by other means, and in the Kush, 'politics is local' is measured on a walking scale. The gov't in Kabul doesn't walk the mountain passes.

 

OLD BLUE

8:12 PM ET

January 31, 2009

Finding and arming friends

Tom Ricks describes full-press counterinsurgency as one of the failures in this piece, describing "finding and arming friends." There were a "local militia" nearby who were supposed to be friends; the Afghan National Police. They were not friends, however. There was no Police Mentor Team assigned to work with that district. I know, because I was a PMT in Nuristan shortly before leaving, and was not replaced when I left due to a shortfall in numbers and the lack of priority, inclusion and credence given to PMT's throughout the 173rd's area of operations.

There were many failures and/or hinderances in the Police Mentor program in that general area during 2007-2008. It appears that very little contact had been made with the local ANP. Police Mentors evaluate, among other things, the potential reliability of the ANP. The ANP in Wanat were enablers of the attackers who attempted to overrun the VPB at Wanat. The fact that the ANP Chief of Police (CoP) was identified as unfriendly after the attack did no one any good.

The senior PMT in the region, the Regional Police Advisory Team (RPAT) Team Chief, was managed by COL Preysler through an MP Captain. That is not inclusion in the overall COIN effort; it is subordination to a lower level of command and demonstrates the priority of the TF Commander given to Police Mentoring efforts. Ignoring this key piece of the pie and the contributions that LTC Jochim (the senior Mentor, who was a very good counterinsurgent) could make to the work with the ANP disabled a key portion of the capability towards a complete COIN solution in the TF area. COL Preysler often directed the efforts of the PMT's to support his plan through this MP Captain. He ran a parallel operation regarding the ANP using his MP's and subordinated the PMT's to that plan. Battlespace owners can do that, but in this case it materially contributed to the tragedy of Wanat, although no recommendations or notations of this complex failure exist.

The Rock soldiers are great Soldiers. Make no mistake. They were doing the best that they could under difficult conditions that they were proud to serve under. There was no complaining about the conditions from any of the 173rd Soldiers that I ever met. They seemed to prefer the more difficult conditions to anything less so. The failures I describe are not the fault of leadership up to the company or perhaps even the battalion level. They were a climate issue that ran throughout the Area of Operations.

The failures involved the inability to provide PMT teams (this issue was not under the control of the TF) and the failure to appropriately manage the resources that were available cohesively in their absence, including when teams were available and when those assets began to blend efforts with organic assets. There is an entire article's worth of material there.

In short, the "friends" we needed locally are supposed to be the ANP. With no PMT's there was no one to recognize the potential defection of the ANP to the insurgent side and no one to begin recommending the removal of the CoP prior to his complicity in this raid. The ANP were capable of materially assisting the coalition forces who were attacked. More importantly, they were capable of forewarning them of the attack and perhaps preventing the insurgents from being able to mass for such an assault.

Mr. Ricks is correct; there was a failure in COIN here, but it was not in identifying irregular allies. It was in failing to work with the allies that we were supposed to have in such a way as to have recognized their unreliability and attempt to fix or replace the ANP. These ANP were only disarmed and detained following the attack. It was not confirmed what role they had played until afterward. They should have been an active participant in preventing this from occurring and failing that an active participant on the coalition side.

Failing to leverage the ANP as a key ally is a key COIN failure in many areas of the country. Arming non-ANP locals should only be considered after working with the assets currently available in partnership with the ANA. An effective ANP would have ameliorated many of the causative factors that day in Wanat and in the days preceding it.

 

WALKING WOUNDED

4:33 AM ET

February 1, 2009

tribal illiteracy

Based on what's contained in the 15-6, the groundwork of making sure that TF Rock was solidly supported by Wanat ANP, (and vice versa) could not have been done by a single Lt's platoon, one that had to spend their first/only 3 days strengthening weak defenses. Or the seargents, or the captain, for that matter. Those guys all did their duty, and paid a price that sucks.

While the narrative makes it clear that the Wanat ANP weren't on TF Rock's side, the 15-6 doesn't clarify whose side the cops were thought to be on. Once TF Rock began to establish a permanent outpost, it radically changed the ANP position. Being outside of a perimeter, one that all expected to be probed, left the ANP and their families exposed. That's the opposite of secure.

Consider the strength of the initial predawn RPG attack and a defensive fire that included hours of 155 artilery, jets dropping 250-500 lb bombs, helo rocketry and gun runs. Graveyard shift cops soiling their trousers could explain some of the fresh ANP uniforms in the aftermath.

How would an urban US substation respond, if things got that kind Death Wish scary? New Orleans '05 offers a clue. Were the off-duty ANP supposed to abandon their kids, and fight their way in singly? Did the ANP have an emergency assembly point, other than a station that might very well be a prepared ambush? Even a stateside SWAT team takes time to assemble, and our A-teams deploy in a secured zone.

The 15-6 reports the unemployed locals as quietly hostile in the 2 days prior to the assualt, cruising the adjacent road and perimeter, and probably gathering details about the defenses being erected. No reason to doubt that. But the former patrol stopover point was so close to town, adjacent to the bazaar, that hostile recon from overlooking buildings would've been hard to prevent without blocking the main road, and clearing the headman's house and local hotel, maybe even close the market.

If the heavily equipped paratroopers and their company captain couldn't get their commanders attention, was the (corrupt by local tradition) ANP raghead LT supposed to clear the bazaar of moslem malcontents? And somehow convince the infidel soldiers that a nonstop evil eye treatment meant they were camped on an anthill? It's maybe easier to blame him than it was to be him.

I can't determine whether the ANP were even Pashtun locals, like the villagers. If not, they may have been getting the evil eye too, and feared they were marked for retribution, for their grafting ways.

Then there's the possibility that the Wanat may've been under Nuristani control within the last 20 years and two civil wars. The unclassified 15-6 doesn't characterize the attackers, beyond their combat strength. Enemy motivation and order of battle is maybe tough to pin down, but it's still a big piece to leave out.

My guess is that every Afghan adult in Wanat knew the ethnic background and religious habits of the ANP chief and his constables, the district governor and his superior, their local neighbors, the ANA contingent, the differences and grievances between the upvalley vs downvalley villages, and what factions TF Rock had cultivated or pissed off in the last year. That kind of knowledge is just in the air in any communal conflict, and a matter of survival for folks trying to outlive yet another civil war.

Maybe it was known that the new garrison were shortimers, this still weak new outpost was soon due fresh troops and reinforcement. Maybe the local Pashtunwali code entitled the insurgents a shot at revenge on the infidels, in spite of the risks.

For whatever reason, very little human terrain's been unvieled here, either in the 15-6, or in the discussion. Understandable, but it's telling if we don't know what makes Wanat residents percieve Afghans in the security forces as 'local'. That's not the same as looking local to our paratroops, or sounding local to readers like me.

In struggling to make sense of the pre-combat picture, I'm reminded of years of Iraq civil war reporting, accounts that more often than not failed to mention the sectarian makeup of a bombed neighborhood or IA/IP unit attacked in that civil war. Condi Rice enthusing about 'clear and hold' made headlines. But nothing was heard about the problems inherent in the ethno-sectarian makeup of the 'local' Shiite police and Kurd troops that Col. McMasters had available in 2005, to reduce a second major rebellion in the Sunni Turkman city of Talafar.

Afghanistan sounds like even more of a jigsaw puzzle. Lots of parts look similar, but that just makes it harder to find where the piece you pick up really fits.

 

OLD BLUE

5:49 AM ET

February 1, 2009

The point is that they didn't know

The 15-6 doesn't even mention the ANP substantially until the visit to the ANP following the attack. It was not the platoon's job to mentor the ANP while improving the defenses of the VPB. That would have been the job of the Police Mentor Team, had there been one. There wasn't one. That's the point.

Rock Paratrooper noted earlier that the area was Nuristani, not Pashtun. Regardless, the ANP could have been keeping people from loitering around during improvements to positions, had they been integrated into the plans. Most ANP are unmarried and live at the district station. Weapons were clearly stored there for the AAF, another thing that a PMT would have noticed during their first assessment, along with all of the extra ammunition and the lack of reliability of the leadership.

The ANP would also, had they been reliable, been able to pass along what knowledge they had of the attack (they know what's going on in their district better than you appear to think that they do.) There is no indication that the ANP were significantly engaged during the process, a key failure in COIN.

Again, it was not the job of the platoon at VPB Kahler to engage the ANP. That would have been the job of a Police Mentor Team doing their job; if there had been a PMT. It was not the fault of the battalion leadership that there was no PMT. Most districts in Afghanistan don't have a PMT. Had the ANP been properly engaged, this disaster may have been foretold.

When looking at the variables in the battle, the ANP were a key potential influence that did not come into play until after the battle was over, other than to neglect to inform the CF that there was a meeting about security; an indicator that the CF were never invited because the meeting was about them. Again, engaging that ANP district with a PMT would possibly have warned of at least the unreliability of the local ANP.

Pressure on the ANP from Provincial level or above could have shaken the progress of the planning for the attack, which they were almost certainly a part of. Becoming a weapons depot for the AAF was not an impromptu move. A PMT who detected unreliability could have begun such a disruption. Relationship building may have begun to swing the ANP away from cooperation with the AAF. There are a number of positive results or influences on the outcome of this scenario that could have come from engaging the only GIRoA entity in that area. There is no record of that occurring in the 15-6.

Do not become distracted with too much social anthropology. Most ANP are local, although the chiefs often are not. Making assumptions as to their standing in the local community is also less than completely productive. Examining efforts (or the lack thereof) to engage and assess the local ANP, an area that was largely ignored in the 15-6, is not unproductive. When we look at what could have been done differently, it is absolutely germane. The ANP are a key COIN system.

This was not a pattern isolated to Wanat; but Wanat is the place where that failure contributed to a very negative outcome.

 

ROCKPARATROOPER

12:11 AM ET

February 2, 2009

WANAT ANP and PMTs

These issues and those of “Walking Wounded”/Tribal Illiteracy above are worth commenting on. In Kunar alone there are 14 districts. There was one ANP Provisional Mentorship Team (PMT) that changed personnel at least three times on our watch. The PMT had their hands full with the Population, Enemy, and Friendly “situation”. The Afghan Population: BG Jalal and his province level staff and ANP required organizational assistance to get systems of accountability in place and to weed out a culture of corruption. The PMT(s) did this. The PMTs had 14 districts to mentor and monitor as part of their province responsibilities. The enemy got a vote and the understrengthed PMTs didn’t get a free pass to roll unchallenged through the battle space when and wear they needed to – this required coordination and was done through the Rock HHC commander in Asadabad (located close to the Province and the PMTs). The HHC Commander coordinated with the PMTs and focused HHC’s two squads of MPs on districts agreed to by the PMTs and Bn HQs. Where did the friendlies get in the way? When commanders outside the Battalion AO decided they knew when, where, how, and in what order to best train ANP districts – and changed this guidance routinely. Disconnected and dysfunctional higher headquarters routinely blew draconian guidance into the battle space despite local commanders clearly explaining the ongoing efforts that were surpassing expectations. How do I know? I was training ANP when were told to cease and refocus elsewhere… This also goes back to the larger rule of law issues and our allies not bellying up so we have to do so – it what American Soldiers and Paratroopers do.

Back to Wanat. The PLs, Co Cdr, and Bn Cdr knew enough about the Wanat police chief to not trust him and his 20 man force. They met several times at Blessing and at Wanat; in fact, both had lunch with him in May 30 minutes before being ambushed 1500 meters outside of Wanat. The Rock didn’t trust the ANP chief or ANP and it didn’t take a PMT to point that out. The ANP were not victims in the Wanat battle, they were collaborators. A PMT could have only mentored and trained the Wanat ANP with an accompanying/securing ground force – one of reasons for placing the VPB/COP at Wanat (to co-locate with, clean up, and train the ANP).

 

WALKING WOUNDED

7:28 PM ET

February 2, 2009

Wanat ANP

Thanks again for helping dial me in, RP. You and Old Blue are patient citizen-soldiers.

So the ANP were collaborators, selling arms to anti-gov't locals, and acting as an armory for the insurgents, prior to the attack on the new Wanat VPB. And TF Rock Paratroops knew that to be the general situation, as they began to set conditions for a radical change in Wanat ANP, just inside the S. edge of Nuristani Waygul.

Given that two strong CF platoons was insufficient to secure Wanat, the immediate effect of their presence and construction appears to have been to focus the AAF-ANP collaboration toward the lethal assault.

I'm amazed that the reaction to ANP collaboration was limited to partial disarming and a leadership change, in light of heavy CF losses. While CF forbearance in the aftermath is impressive, it tells me that there are CF hopes to turn these men.

It suggests that we recognize some ambiguity in their position, last July. The damage the village suffered in the attack and defense would also seem to justify the city fathers reluctance to cite a new base just off the center of town.

I'm just trying to put myself where I can picture what's going on inside the collective mind of the Nuristani district center that we are trying to connect to an alien and distant Kabul. What would loyal ANP survival chances have been that morning, when the strong force in the village was engaging and exhausting 70 entrenched paratroops?

Since nothing has been said on it so far, I'll mention that the lack of civilian casualties coupled with a lot of damaged buildings means that the town was largely evacuated. The 15-6 connects 'greater than usual foot traffic' with infiltration, not evacuation. But an elder who's overlooking house was used to fire into the CP had sent his family away days earlier, and warned the CF of impending attack. I have to wonder how he voted, when the shura considered leasing the local soccor pitch as a base for US paratroops. And whether his 2-story home can be repaired.

On the tactics picture: the 15-6 and this discussion has detailed how the 'ambush' at Wanat was planned and prepared in detail. The one area where the enemy seems to have failed in his preparations is that there was no reported AAF attempt to delay the first relief column coming up the road from C company's base, only 8 km away. Just an irrigation release across the river road could have quietly carved an impassable ditch overnight. One thing hillside farmers know how to do is move rocks and control water flow.

 

OLD BLUE

12:34 AM ET

February 3, 2009

The Choir

Rock Paratrooper, that's a great brief on the ANP situation. It's good to hear that they finally replaced the Provincial Mentor Team, but our failure to provide PMT-D's (Police Mentor Team - District) is a contributing factor to less than entirely successful ANP training in many of the country's 364 districts. Each district should have a PMT and accompanying SECFOR. Would they have been able to make a lot of difference? Perhaps not; but it would have potentially had an impact.

Your description of "higher" interfering in progress and priorities is, to my experience, accurate.

Walking Wounded, those ANP could have done a couple of significant things. The first is preventing such a thorough recon of the VPB. The second is to provide advanced warning. The added firepower wouldn't have hurt, but in lieu of that, some warning would have been nice.

Finally, it's possible that the soldiers can be turned, but the leadership both civil and ANP were definitely under the sway of the AAF. Some of that may be due to the cycle of fear. Some of it may be due to commitment to the AAF cause.

When we start looking at what could have been done differently, the ANP piece stands out.

 

ROCKPARATROOPER

12:54 PM ET

February 4, 2009

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Thomas E. Ricks covered the U.S. military for the Washington Post from 2000 through 2008.

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