Something, it looks like, but we are not going to be told about it, if a U.S. Court of Appeals ruling issued last Friday stands.

I wonder if Google and NSA will merge one day. 

On the other hand, something that discourages intelligence operatives in China from hacking into our e-mails is probably a good thing. Hmm -- maybe I am learning how to love Big Brother?

Wikimedia

Posted By Thomas E. Ricks

By Peter Bacon
Best Defense department of video reality

Video games have somewhat of a bad reputation today: individuals have attacked games for their supposed contribution to obscenity and their debilitation of male virtue. Despite these fears, scientists have identified some benefits from gaming, ranging from improved self-worth to augmented surgical skills. In the foreign policy arena, video games can and should serve as a powerful tool for educating civilian and military personnel about war and foreign affairs.

Video games can serve to help bolster America's glaring deficiency in one crucial discipline: history. Video games focused on war and IR provide refreshing bursts of information about often-overlooked leaders and wars. These games can offer descriptive backgrounds of leaders or events (e.g. Age of Empires' description of Genghis Khan or the Crusades). These methods can sometimes provide a deeper and more-engaging understanding of history than just a textbook or lecture.

A subgenre of games, so-called "serious" games, goes further by explicitly trying to educate gamers about historical or political issues. For example, Niall Ferguson in 2007 played the World War II serious game Making History and played out some of his WWII counterfactual scenarios, such as war breaking out over German seizure of Czechoslovakia in 1938. His experience led him to conclude that his counterfactual historical scenarios "weren't as robust as [he] thought." As a result, Ferguson ended up advising this series. This episode, forcing critical re-examinations of events, anecdotally illustrates the range of useful educational experiences gleaned from games like Making History or other, current games such as Global Conflicts: Palestine or the future-themed Fate of the World: Tipping Point that can help civilians better understand history and policymaking, thereby making better choices when voting or arguing politics.

All of the above is great for civilians, but what about actual warfighters and policymakers? Games cannot finely simulate actual combat or crises, yet can provide training related to the planning and responses needed for tactical and strategic decisions. Indeed, military officers have engaged in a modern form of Kriegsspiel by using tactical warfare games for their training: for example, the Close Combat series proved so popular that in 2004 the developer released Close Combat: Marines explicitly for military training. Other games, such as the tank-simulator Steel Beasts or the situational training tools of WILL interactive, have been used by the military for realistic simulations of warfighting and decision-making.

Civilian practitioners, however, have not embraced gaming as readily as the military: while think tankers or civilian politicians outside the Pentagon may play games in an unofficial capacity, official efforts like the Woodrow Wilson Center's Serious Games Initiative have petered out. In stark contrast, DOD policy practitioners embrace video games even in non-kinetic planning: Michael Peck's article on a DOD budgeting game shows how policymakers can prepare for things as prosaic as the budget with games. Hopefully civilian policymakers in the future will use games, both serious, educational games and fun strategy games, to prepare for the decision-making necessary during times of crisis.

WikiMedia

And then they must be shipped home for overhaul, reports Bill Sweetman, the king of military aviation journalists.

There is a good PhD dissertation to be written on the whole V-22 Osprey mess -- how many billions of dollars have been spent over the decades to produce a fast but very expensive long-range troop transport helicopter. One of the biggest untold stories in the military, I think, is the sorry state of Marine aviation -- ancient CH-53 helos, hangar queen V-22s, and multi-role expensive fighter jets -- when what the Corps should be flying is Black Hawks and A-10s, or even long-legged prop-driven aircraft.

Meanwhile, news of a Marine aviator being sent off to federal prison is right here.

DVIDSHUB/Flickr

By "a Naval Officer Specializing in Information Ops"
Best Defense guest cyber columnist

Recently, cyber experts and journalists have taken a sensible step back from the heated passions that surrounded cyber security in the aftermath of Stuxnet, the world's first cyber weapon. Many well-informed individuals (including this correspondent) were initially swept up in the drama centered on the Iranian enrichment centrifuges, and were quick to herald the coming cyber wars. Others, less innocently, looked at cyber war as a new growth industry and contributed to the hype, sometimes promoting inefficient or unnecessary defensive policies. But now that clearer heads are prevailing, we must not discount the real and credible cyber threats that face the United States and other western powers. It is important that we do not under-react to Stuxnet, and dismiss valid cyber security concerns as an artificial product of media sensationalism or alarmist defense contractors (or both).

Of immediate concern is critical infrastructure, including both power grids and artificial constructs, such as the stock market. Both private researchers and the Government Accountability Office (GAO) have warned that the adoption of smart grid technology has been progressing forward with inadequate emphasis on cyber security. Similarly, NASDAQ systems have been recently compromised, reigniting the congressional debate over the merits of new cyber security legislation. Nothing about these two areas of vulnerability is frivolous or "hyped"; it is well within the realm of possibility that a state actor (or a well funded private entity) could utilize cyber threats against these areas as leverage in conventional warfare or trade disputes. Moreover, these are areas of general consensus among cyber security experts, and should be addressed immediately. 

That said, not all advice from leading experts should be followed, especially from ones that are trying to drum up business for their consulting firms. For example, former Director of National Intelligence, Adm. Michael McConnell (ret.) (who is now an executive vice-president at Booz Allen Hamilton), proposed the complete redesign of the internet - a task that could possibly be contracted out to his firm -- in a Washington Post op-ed.

Read on

ZackW/Flickr

Posted By Thomas E. Ricks

Tom R.: For a long time I thought "infowar" or "cyberwar" was nonsense, mainly a gambit to make money in the defense consulting complex. But expert comments like this one on Stuxnet have me reconsidering. 

By Jay Holcomb
Best Defense infowar columnist 

I believe this event should be looked at from a much wider view … the Stuxnet worm (threat vector) certainly should be considered a "game changer" … the folks who are conducting the forensics analysis have been somewhat successful in gaining high level public/government attention to this issue.

While most folks seem to unofficially agree this worm likely targeted Iranian facilities -- if we look wider -- this "attack" … or perhaps a better classification "sabotage" … contains so many complex cyber elements combined into one package that it is absolutely fascinating. I do not believe it is hyperbole to say the Stuxnet worm is "revolutionary" in terms of what we should be expecting to see in future high quality cyber threat vectors.

For example, a few of the well publicized items used by the Stuxnet worm include:

  • At least four zero-day vulnerabilities were used. Remember, these were classified as "zero-days" once we found out about them back in June/July -- which means the folks that discovered the vulnerabilities could have been using them/testing them for 12-24 months(?) before we even knew they existed. Discovering a single previously unknown vulnerability and using it successfully against a target is impressive!
  • Read on

Night shiftMarkusram/Flickr

Posted By Thomas E. Ricks

I asked about the ethics of murdering a nuclear weapons scientist, and GSGF -- well, she's telling.

(HT to WOI)

wikimedia.org

I remember how I used to listen to various NATO officials complain about how member nations were not sending enough helicopters to Afghanistan. Now it appears that the chickens have come home to roost: The Canadian media is reporting that the Canadian Ministry of Defence has quietly leased a bunch of Russian helicopters to use in southern Afghanistan.

My first thought was this was to fool the locals. But I don't think it would fool the Taliban, who know their Russian helicopters. Canadian Navy Lt. Kelly Rozenberg-Payne said that Canadian forces in Afghanistan simply needed some additional vertical lift: "The (operational) tempo within the air wing became very great and it was just assessed by commanders on the ground that they needed additional platforms to help move troops around," she said.

My guess is that because both the Afghan and Pakistani militaries use the Mi-17, this makes it more convenient to fly NATO forces across the border and into the FATA as necessary, with lots of plausible deniability, especially if they are flown at night and no one gets around to painting a lot of markings on the aircraft. That would explain why, as the Canadian report puts it, "details were kept off the MERX web-site, which formally lists government procurement competitions, and no news release was issued about the new choppers, which have been in use since the spring."

ROMEO GACAD/AFP/Getty Images

Posted By Thomas E. Ricks

The Army's chief thinker about the future dropped by the office yesterday to talk to CNASties about how his service is changing. It clearly is down with advances in information technology, which I would expect. "We're cranking out apps" for soldiers, reported Lt. Gen. Michael Vane. It is teaching soldiers differently, with, he said, less "sage on the stage" and more "guide on the side."

What the general had to say was almost all reassuring. The Army is thinking differently about leadership. It knows it needs to push down certain skills to lower levels. It also needs to develop leaders who can handle ambiguity, historically a weak point for American generals, according to a psychological survey I was looking at the other day.

My worry is that it is one thing to say it, but another to do it. Amateurs talk tactics, professionals talk logistics, and people who know what they are talking about talk personnel policy. It's been nearly 10 years since 9/11, and I really don't see any significant changes in how the Army thinks about raising the force, training it, or promoting it. Why does there seem to be no relationship between command performance in combat and subsequent posts? I will believe that the Army is really responding to its strategic and operational shortcomings in Iraq and Afghanistan when I see changes in personnel policy. For example, why do generals appear to have tenure these days, with removal occurring only in response to zipper problems or other moral embarrassments? How about rewarding success and punishing failure? You can talk about change all you want, but until you change the personnel policies that create the internal incentive systems, you probably won't be able to institute sustainable change.

The U.S. Army/flickr

By Jim Gourley
Best Defense senior tactical shooter games reviewer

For those who don't have a video game system of some type in their houses or shop at a PX/BX, you might have missed the recent imbroglio between angry parents of service members in combat, the Army/Air Force Exchange Service, and video game developer Infinity Ward Studios. The point of contention is the newest incarnation of Infinity Ward's Modern Warfare game series, titled Black Ops, in which players can select the role of Taliban insurgents. Alerted to the implication that the option allowed players to notionally participate in the killing of U.S. soldiers, AAFES recently decided not to sell the game at its stores. Giving way to additional pressure from activists, Infinity Ward announced just prior to the game's release that it would drop the 'Taliban' designation from the enemy and re-dub them 'insurgents.' The rationale given by the game's executive producer Greg Goodrich was that "because the heartbeat of Medal of Honor has always resided in the reverence for American and Allied soldiers, we have decided to rename the opposing team in Medal of Honor multiplayer from Taliban to Opposing Force." It seems the Armed Forces and respect for the dead prevailed. Now if only the Armed Forces themselves could show the same respect.

It's a running gag in the "gamer" community that there are exactly five things you can shoot on sight in a video game and maintain a clear conscience; aliens, robots, zombies, Nazis, and terrorists. There's much truth in humor. While there have been radical departures from that convention such as Rockstar Games' Grand Theft Auto series, which declared open season on just about every level of law enforcement authority imaginable, such entries have been lambasted as much as lauded for their novelty. Successful franchises such as Halo and Doom shy from rocking the boat, endeavoring instead to have a nice, uncontroversial game where people can kill everything in sight. Even Black Ops double-dips on the principle, offering four optional "zombie levels" in case you get tired of shooting terrorists.

Still, the convention itself isn't without problems. 2008's Resident Evil 5 ran into opposition because it changed the location of the gameplay from Western civilization to Africa. Protests and polemic ensued shortly after players remarked that the game's white protagonists ran all over the place killing predominantly black zombies. No one bats an eye at games like Delta Force or Bad Company, though, in which the "terrorists" and "insurgents" are of homogenously Middle Eastern descent. These games are available in bulk at any AAFES location. Nor does anyone debate the racial distribution in shooters set in World War II. Arab, German and Japanese players have yet to log complaints about games in which their ethnicity or nationality binds them to the role of vanquished while Americans recoil from a game that provided the option to walk a mile in the enemy's shoes.

Read on

wikimedia.org

Posted By Thomas E. Ricks

One of the most obscure and confusing echelons of command is the "Army" designation. It is above division and corps -- you remember, like "Patton's Third Army today grabbed more headlines." I mention it because I learned this morning that the U.S. Army (the "big Army") has designated 2nd Army its cybercommand, under the command of Maj. Gen. Rhett Hernandez, who frankly gives a damn.

(HT to MT)

wikimedia.org

Posted By Thomas E. Ricks

Here is a great video of a British Harrier jet coming into Kandahar a bit oddly. Not clear why, but the pilot comes in with the nose high, so first the tail gets knocked off, and then the nose, and then the whole thing burns. He suffered only minor injuries, the article says. The plane was a total loss. On the tape, as with teenage sex, most of the fun happens in the first 40 seconds.

My CNAS colleague Herb Carmen, himself a carrier pilot, says that judging just by watching the tape that the Harrier jockey did pretty well, considering:

I can't speak credibly to the Harrier, since I've never flown one; but it looks like excessive speed and sink rate on the approach. Perhaps too hot, too heavy?  Again, I don't understand how or why those things fly.  Here's what I'd say though:

  • It looks like he intended to ride the jet to a stop, perhaps not knowing he was being chased by a fireball.  Why ride it to a stop instead of ejecting? Because he's on the deck and an ejection might not have given him enough altitude to get a swing in the chute before he impacted the ground (again). He was probably making an accurate time-critical risk calculation as he skidded down the deck.
Read on

By Matthew Acocella
Best Defense
deputy congressional bureau chief

National Security Agency Director Lieutenant General Keith Alexander finally got the chance Thursday to appear before the Senate Armed Services committee for his confirmation hearing to head the Department of Defense's newly formed Cyber Command operation. If confirmed, General Alexander would concurrently run both the NSA and the Cyber Command.

Members of the Senate Armed Services Committee clearly understand that the threat of cyber attacks is real and growing. (During his testimony, Alexander stated that hundreds of thousands of unauthorized probes are made each day into the Department of Defense's networks, and that he has seen a sharp spike in infiltrations and attacks since the beginning of this year.) Despite a six-month delay in holding a hearing, members of the committee expressed a sense of urgency that General Alexander get to work in standing up the command, which would be responsible for defending U.S. military networks against attacks and for launching retaliatory electronic counterattacks. Chairman Carl Levin attributed the significant delay in confirmation for Alexander to the still unresolved questions pertaining to the new command's mission, scope, and oversight.

One of the major themes of Thursday's hearing was questioning where the Cyber Command would fit within the traditional military chain of command and when and how Alexander and his team of computer whizzes would launch a counterattack. General Alexander admitted that we are in uncharted territory, but insisted that his command would defer to standing rules of engagement and that any order to retaliate would come from the Secretary of Defense and the President. In written responses to a Senate questionnaire obtained by the Associated Press ahead of his hearing, General Alexander asserted that commanders have clear rights to self-defense, and that while "this right has not been specifically established by legal precedent to apply to attacks in cyberspace, it is reasonable to assume that returning fire in cyberspace, as long as it complied with law of war principles... would be lawful."

Read on

Mark Wilson/Getty Images

Posted By Thomas E. Ricks

Adam Silverman writes in to recommend the Mobile Max Pure, a machine that uses solar power to purify water and also produces surplus electricity that can be used for other purposes. He writes:

The systems are portable, can turn out up to 30K gallons of drinking water a day, are solar powered, and best of all generate more electricity than they use doing the filtration, so they can also be used for power generation. They can literally be dropped anywhere and come with pictorial instructions that are easy to follow. These should be standard issue for all humanitarian assistance efforts.

It sounds to me like something that should indeed be in the inventory. Anyone else used them?

worldwatersolar.com

Posted By Thomas E. Ricks

These cats are thinking about air, sea, space and cyberspace warfare:

Admiral Gary Roughead, USN, Chief of Naval Operations
General Carrol H. Chandler, USAF, Vice Chief of Staff of the U.S. Air Force
Chris Inglis, Deputy Director, National Security Agency
Norman R. Augustine, Renowned Aerospace Expert and Former Chairman of the Defense Science Board
Abraham M. Denmark, CNAS Fellow
January 26, 2010
1:30 p.m.-4:00 p.m.
The Newseum's Knight Conference Center

You can catch their act by signing up here. It's not everyday that you get the deputy director of the NSA to appear during the light of day.

charliejb/flickr

Posted By Thomas E. Ricks

Buncha bigwigs discussing the "contested commons" next month at the Newseum:

On January 26, 2010, CNAS will launch a major report on the global contested commons at an event featuring: Chief of Naval Operations Admiral Gary Roughead, USN; Vice Chief of Staff of the U.S. Air Force General Carrol Chandler, USAF; renowned aerospace expert and former Chairman of the Defense Science Board Norman R. Augustine; CNAS Fellow Abraham Denmark; and a high-level cyberspace expert to be announced.

Sign up for it here.   

NOAA/Getty Images

Posted By Thomas E. Ricks

This comment, posted the other day in response to the item about the book on the experiences of platoon leaders, wins the contest in which the prize was my extra copy of the platoon leaders' book. Mark M., please send me an e-mail so I can mail it to you. 

ThePL and majors' books

by MarkM on Fri,10/02/2009 - 12:27am

Tom:

Just as we now have asymmetric warfare, which is certainly evolving in both theory and practice, we also now have asymmetric journalism. The platoon leaders compilation you cite and the majors' book are part of this new, rich, stunning, sometimes-chaotic, multi-pronged way (largely over the Internet) to better understand the various environments of a war -- and it's available through mainstream and freelance media, soldier diaries, jihadi Web sites, policy journals, Osama audiotapes, blogs, embeds by reporters and photographers, YouTube clips from the field, academic papers, foreign media, left-right rants, NGO reports, political and military memoirs, accounts from released detainees, leaked documents from the ICRC, you name it.

Any one of these, taken alone, delivers the classic "drinking-straw view" ---that is, a view not inherently inaccurate but also narrow, tunneled and tightly focused. A corporal's view of a firefight, for example, is not necessarily the definitive one. Nor is a major's. Nor is an emebedded journalist's. It's a Rashomon world.

But asymmetric journalism --- or maybe it's asymmetric history --- offers great promise and a fuller accounting of what is transpiring in our wars, ourmilitary, our government and our lives.

I think he is on to something here. The claim journalism makes is, yeah, that other stuff is good, but we move around and talk to lots of people and get the overview, so we're not just looking through a soda straw. But the platoon leader book gets an overview of that experience better than any journalist can, I think.

Journalism also is being changed by technology. The old line in newspapers was that news was defined by those who owned printing presses -- that is, the rich. (The golden rule being that those who have the gold make the rules.) But nowadays everyone who has a laptop effectively can publish a daily newspaper.  

chris.corwin/flickr

Posted By Thomas E. Ricks

Every so occasionally a bunch of whales run up on shore, going crazy, perhaps bleeding from the ears. This seems to be caused by U.S. Navy sonar experiments that send powerful sounds bouncing around the deep. It amazes me that there aren't more people upset by this. I wonder if one day in the future we will figure out how to communicate with whales. If so, I suspect their first question will be: Why do you hate us?

David McNew/Getty Images

Defense Secretary Gates's aircraft starts having mechanical problems when he is on the far side of the planet. Hmm.

"You say you need to be in Manila tonight, Mr. Secretary? Wow, tough deadline. Now, about those F-22s..."

Jerome_K/Flickr

Posted By Thomas E. Ricks

BAE Systems just bought Advanced Ceramics Research Inc., a small Arizona-based maker of UAVs, or drone aircraft. This is a sign to me that defense contractors are paying attention to the pro-UAV views of the new crowd at the Pentagon. I wonder if the first carrier to carry mainly stealthy, long-range, naval UCAVs -- that is, combat drones -- will be named the USS Obama.

Meanwhile, elsewhere in the drone wars, the United States shot down an Iranian drone that was in Iraqi airspace, according to Major-General Abdul Aziz Mohammed Jassim, head of military operations at the Iraqi Defense Ministry. He didn't disclose how this was done.

And here's more bad news for the Air Force, another service in the sights of the Brimleyites: The Russians are having a hard time playing a credible boogieman, with a large part of the Russian MiG-29 force found unable to fly safely.

JACK GUEZ/AFP/Getty Images

Thomas E. Ricks covered the U.S. military for the Washington Post from 2000 through 2008.

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