Monday, November 14, 2011 - 11:19 AM

That's the National Park Service verdict on Bill O'Reilly's error-filled history of the assassination of President Lincoln. My favorite example: He has the president meeting in the Oval Office-which didn't exist until the 20th century.
futureatlas.com/Flickr
Wednesday, October 12, 2011 - 10:50 AM
Now the new CNO has one. "Whoa, homeys, some mad crazy budget bullshit going on in the Tank with the Chiefs today." I wish!
cnrc.navy.mil
Wednesday, September 21, 2011 - 10:30 AM
While I was on August break trying to finish writing my book, Greg Jaffe, one of the most thoughtful defense reporters going, had a fine article that looked at the "patriotic''commericals that use our sentiments about soldiers to peddle beer. The article is rather discursive, but captures well the gap between today's new combat vets and the other 99 percent of society. I liked especially that Jaffe went to the creator of one of the ads and reported the guy's thinking.
In a related piece, Chief Red Bull offers some useful thoughts on the do's and don'ts of greeting homecoming soldiers.
Wikimedia Commons
Tuesday, September 13, 2011 - 11:14 AM

Dexter Filkins has a terrific piece in the new, Sept. 19 issue of the New Yorker that at first glance is just about the recent killing of a Pakistani journalist, but actually is kind of an overview of the state of play with the ISI, the Pakistani intelligence agency.
I am glad that he did it, but also awed that he did it. It takes real nerve to go around Pakistan these days prying into the ISI's relationship to the Taliban and al Qaeda, and about whether it is killing journalists -- especially in the country where Danny Pearl was kidnapped and decapitated for doing something similar.
One item in the article particularly struck me: A March 17 airstrike by U.S. drones not only killed some insurgent leaders, but also the ISI officials with whom they were meeting.
Anyone interested in Pakistan should run out and buy a copy of this article.
Wikimedia Commons; BANARAS KHAN/AFP/Getty Images
Tuesday, September 13, 2011 - 11:04 AM
What a story! It turns out that four military personnel deployed to the U.S. Embassy to help with security and explosive ordnance disposal. For Fox, this apparently constitutes President Obama breaking his vow not to insert troops. The article actually begins, "Despite repeated assurances from President Obama and military leaders that the U.S. would not send uniformed military personnel into Libya …"
I wonder if one day having worked for Fox News during our time will be regarded like being a supporter of Sen. Joe McCarthy in the 1950s. I think Fox may be the most destructive force in American society nowadays, basically pouring poison into the stream of our political discourse.
(HT to a captain of the Marines)
New England Secession/Flickr
Tuesday, September 13, 2011 - 10:53 AM
I was struck by this observation by "JESTEPHENS" about the BD character in Doonesbury: "If only we all were as reflective as BD has become. Remember in the early days of the strip how emptyheaded and reactionary he was. Trudeau has taken BD from that shallowness to a character who has become something of a cultural barometer."
This is one of those things that seems obvious when you read it -- but it had never occurred to me. BD is now one of the major heroes of the strip.
doonesbury.com
Monday, September 12, 2011 - 11:03 AM
By "A. Checklist Monkey"
Best Defense guest columnist
When I first read the
commentary by Jörg Muth comparing the different command philosophy/command
cultures of the Armies of Germany and the United States. I couldn't help but laugh. My
very first thought was, "If he thinks the Army is bad, I wonder what he
would think of the Air Force!" As a space and missile operations officer
in the USAF, not only is the concept of Auftragstaktik foreign, any
exercise thereof could possibly get you thrown in jail!
As an ICBM ops officer, I was trained from day one to not think for
myself, to always follow checklists, and to never try and shotgun
anything. Time and again in my training I was told to "Just follow the
checklist," or "The checklist will take care of you." For the
most part, they were right. Nearly 50 years of ICBM ops gives you a lot of time
to work out the bugs in a system. If something went wrong out in the field with
one of the missiles, and it was discovered that you made a mistake by not
following your checklist, you were at risk of being relieved of duty, given
extra training on top of your regular training, and having to go through the
process of being re-certified to perform nuclear alerts again (a process that
could take a day or several weeks depending on the severity of the error). You
weren't allowed to think for yourself. You were trained NOT to.
There is a reason AF space operators call themselves "Checklist Monkeys."
"Read a step, do a step, eat a banana," is a common quote thrown
around in the space ops world.
Even when I was not out in the field sitting on alert, I experienced massive frustration at the micro-management and inflexibility of how life in the missile world was being run. When I was a 2Lt, I very quickly came to realize how nothing would ever change after I made a few suggestions about how the alert shift schedule could be worked better (a quality of life issue, I admit). I was told point blank: "Interesting idea, but forget about it because nothing's gonna change." He was right. In the nearly five years I was in my missile wing, nothing did. When it came to annual performance reports--in the AF we call them OPRs for officers, EPRs for enlisted--they had to be coordinated up to the WING COMMANDER. Not just signed off, mind you. I mean that the Flight, Squadron, Group and Wing levels all had to get their hands on that OPR/EPR, make changes, send it back down the chain so the changes can be made, and then send it up again for more review/changes before it was signed off. I had an OPR I wrote on one individual take THREE MONTHS to get approved. Auftragstaktik? What's that?
Loren Javier/Flickr
Monday, September 12, 2011 - 10:59 AM

Despite my intentions, I wound up reading a smattering of the 9/11 coverage. Lots of energy expended by the writers, I am not sure to what end. I think yesterday's Doonesbury strip captured my feelings best.
And my second favorite comment is from old Francis Fukuyama: "Since 2001 the most important world-historical story has been the rise of China. This is a development whose impact will almost certainly be felt in 50 years' time. Whether anyone will remember Osama bin Laden and al-Qaida at that remove is a different matter."
doonesbury.com
Friday, September 9, 2011 - 10:33 AM
This blog turns out to be produced not by an individual but a collective. A friend asked me why I was not more bothered by the deception. I think it is because I consider it 90 percent artistic license and just 10 percent an integrity violation -- the 10 percent being the e-mails the group sent pretending to be an individual. So I am less upset and more just impressed that a group could consistntely produce prose with that power.
This is a piece I ran by the group.
Wikimedia Commons
Thursday, September 8, 2011 - 11:32 AM
That's the article I'd like to read by everyone who predicted a stalemate or quagmire in which the United States eventually would have to insert ground troops. (For those of you too hurried to click through to all them links, I am calling out the following members of the diverse quagmire/stalemate coalition: Dov Zakheim, Andrew Sullivan, Alexander Cockburn, Anne Applebaum, Richard Norton-Taylor, Melanie Clarke, the German government, the editorial page of the Wall Street Journal, the Xinhua news service, and the Beirut Daily Star.)
Who wants to go first?
Meanwhile, from Fareed Zakaria, here is one of the best summaries I have seen of the meaning of the Libyan war:
The Libyan intervention offers a new model for the West. It was a humanitarian mission with strategic interests as well -- support for the Arab Spring and the new aspirations of the people of the Middle East. It was also a new model in that it involved an America that insisted on legitimacy and burden sharing, that allowed the locals to own their revolution. That means, however, that it is in the hands of the Libyans. They can avoid the mistakes of Iraq, which makes the challenge before them even more daunting. But it is a challenge they have eagerly sought and one for which they will find help from friends around the world.
coddogblog/Flickr
Tuesday, July 19, 2011 - 11:44 AM
As the chickens come home to roost in London, Joe Nocera captures well the symmetric nature of the Murdoch scandal.
It couldn't happen to a nicer bunch of guys. There has always been a rough edge in good journalism, but these people have acted like thugs -- a point seemingly lost on the editorial page of the Wall Street Journal as it comments on its owners. I agree with pretty much everything Nocera writes. As with other major scandals, I am struck not only by how we never know what is going to happen next, as Nocera says, but also, how in retrospect each step seems inevitable.
Genista/Flickr
Tuesday, July 12, 2011 - 10:27 AM
The little think tank that could is launching a new TV series, titled "Command Post," with the Lucian empire. You can see the first episodes, about the future direction of U.S. policy in Afghanistan, here.
Next, "CNAS: The Movie"? If so, I wanna be played by Homer Simpson, the TV character with whom I most closely identify.
Wikimedia Commons
Friday, July 8, 2011 - 12:35 PM

Adm. Mike Mullen, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs, essentially accused the Pakistani government of beating a journalist to death in May. "It was sanctioned by the government," he said.
There is an interesting parallel here to the murder of Danny Pearl back in 2002. He was killed by al Qaeda in Pakistan. Saleem Shahzad was killed by the government of Pakistan, Mullen is saying.
Also, the New York Times reports
that there is new evidence that the Pakistani military sold nuclear weapons
technology to North Korea.
Again, I wonder why anyone thinks Pakistan should still be considered an ally.
Meanwhile, Karachi continues to writhe with political violence. For reasons I don't understand, the Edhi Foundation's ambulances are being attacked.
Wikimedia Commons; BANARAS KHAN/AFP/Getty Images
Thursday, June 9, 2011 - 11:05 AM
It looks like I got taken in here. If she is a phony, I apologize for highlighting passages in this blog. HT to salty Littlemantate for good antenna on this.
But there may be even more to this story. "I wouldn't give up on her yet," cautions Jim Gourley, our chief correspondent for physical and mental fitness. "I've dealt with people like this before. She's obviously in Damascus, and pretty apparently homosexual. Given that, I'd say the real story may still be a sympathetic one. What I've found in my experience is that people like this craft these kinds of elaborate personalities for themselves as an escape. I would hypothesize that the incident with her father facing down the security goons is half-true, with the heroic father being the creation of an imagination that wishes her real father was like that. Probably more likely is that she was rejected by her family in the beginning and feels horrible about it."
law_keven/Flickr
Wednesday, June 1, 2011 - 1:01 PM
He also was a critic of the ISI.
I take it the State Department is still arguing that we should continue to play along with Pakistan because there we have no other choice. I think we do have a choice.
BANARAS KHAN/AFP/Getty Images
Monday, May 23, 2011 - 11:21 AM

He is a hard core supporter of Israel but throws a flag on Prime Minister Nethanyahu for trash talking to the president of the United States:
I read a statement from Prime Minister Netanyahu yesterday that he "expects to hear a reaffirmation from President Obama of U.S. commitments made to Israel in 2004, which were overwhelmingly supported by both Houses of Congress."
So Netanyahu "expects" to hear this from the President of the United States? And if President Obama doesn't walk back the speech, what will Netanyahu do? Will he cut off Israeli military aid to the U.S.? Will he cease to fight for the U.S. in the United Nations, and in the many international forums that treat Israel as a pariah?I don't like this word, "expect."
JIM WATSON/AFP/Getty Images
Wednesday, May 18, 2011 - 11:20 AM
"Was the chief of the International Monetary Fund telling other countries to tighten their belts while he was dropping his trousers?"
Dowd can be too light sometimes, but for my money she is one of the sharpest writers around, worth reading just for the technical sharpness.
Mike Licht, NotionsCapital.com/Flickr
Monday, May 16, 2011 - 10:51 AM

Defense Secretary Gates is loosening up in his public comments as the exit sign beckons. When Katie Couric asked him for a "60 Minutes" profile to briefly describe each of the presidents he's known, he did so, in an passage that for some reason was posted only on the web:
Nixon: "probably one of our strangest presidents," brilliant at foreign policy, but "a distorted personality"
Carter: "he could not establish priorities"
Reagan: One of his favorites:. "a historic president," "slyer," and "more manipulative" than he is perceived.
Bush the elder: "helped bring the Cold War to a peaceful close"
Bush the younger: Only knew him at the end of his term, found him at that point at least to be very non-political.
Obama: "very thoughtful…an easy decisionmaker."
In the main interview, which did air, Gates said that the Pentagon over last 10 years has had a culture of an "open checkbook."
The U.S. National Archives/Flickr
Wednesday, May 11, 2011 - 11:19 AM
It will be a better world when we can no longer see headlines like that. I am amazed that Castro has hung on so long. I suspect that our embargo has helped keep him in power.
Cuba may be the sleeper that becomes a very big story in the next few years. Americans have been cut off from it for so long that they think it is a small island. It is not.
Wikimedia Commons
Tuesday, May 10, 2011 - 10:28 AM
We're having the Washington equivalent of a barn-raising: A daylong policy symposium, followed by drinks and carrying on at night.
Here are some of the nerd celebrities who will be speaking:
Ambassador Anne Patterson, former U.S. Ambassador to Pakistan
Rand Beers, Undersecretary for the National Protection and Programs Directorate at the Department of Homeland Security
Admiral Patrick Walsh, Commander of the U.S. Pacific Fleet
Bing West, author of The Wrong War, The Strongest Tribe, and The Village
Max Kelly, former Chief Security Officer at Facebook
Jim Miller, Principal Deputy Undersecretary of Defense for Policy
Rajiv Chandrasekaran, Associate Editor at the Washington Post and author of Imperial Life in the Emerald City
Ellen Nakashima, National News Reporter at the Washington Post
Steve Coll, President of the New America Foundation and author of Ghost Wars and The Bin Ladens
Shadi Hamid, Director of Research at the Brookings Doha Center
Karen House, former Publisher of the Wall Street Journal
Plus the CNAS gang
For more info and to try to get in, click here.
cnas.org
Wednesday, May 4, 2011 - 11:02 AM
These things always sound better in French, don't you think? It is from the "libre de penser" pages of the newspaper Le Devoir of Canada. Francophones are big on pensing -- have you ever noticed how in France, even the corporate executives look like philosophy professors? Bonus is the byline: "Serge Truffaut," which sounds like it was made up by a writer for Saturday Night Live.
Anyway, I say: La méfiance est mère de sûreté.
ledevoir.com
Tuesday, May 3, 2011 - 11:11 AM
The new issue of Parameters, the journal of the Army War College, is a collection of some of its best articles over the last 40 years. Anyone wishing to understand the U.S. Army in recent decades would do well to start by reading this issue cover to cover.
carlisle.army.mil
Friday, April 22, 2011 - 3:36 PM

Regular readers of this blog know that I have a lot of admiration for the work of David Ignatius -- both his columns and his novels.
So I was surprised to see his denunciation on the deployment of armed drones to Libya. He thinks that in the Arab world they have become a symbol of targeted assassination.
Perhaps so. But deploying them in Libya is a sign that the U.S. is not bugging out on its NATO allies nor on the Libyan rebels, who are Arabs.
Frankly, I am surprised it has taken the U.S. government so long to get the Predators over Libya. They should have been there on Day One. This is exactly the type of move that makes sense here: Putting U.S. assets into the operation in support of an intervention led by other members of NATO, but supported by the United States, especially in areas where the U.S. can offer unique capabilities, especially when U.S. aircrews are not endangered by the deployment.
In this case, I can see many more uses for drones than the assassination of Col. Qaddafi, which Ignatius figures is their likely use. We have seen Qaddafi's forces adapting to the presence of NATO aircraft overhead-for example, moving from tanks to pickup trucks. So closer observation is needed before striking. That requires getting down low, but that can sucker a NATO aircraft into getting hit. Drones are a good answer to this tactical problem. Likewise, they can get down under clouds in bad weather, taking away from Qaddafi's goods the advantage of attacking under overcasts. Plus, drones can "loiter" over a target, which helps both with observation and deterrence. They even can harass the foe-on exercises at the Army's National Training Center, I once was with an "opposition force" ambush team that crouched down warily when they head that lawnmower-like buzzing of a drone somewhere overhead. They hated that noise.
My question is, What took so long to make this move? I worry that the national security establishment -- the Pentagon, the CIA and even State Department-are slow-rolling this mission a bit, foot-dragging by "defining terms" and "seeking legal clarification." I know the military doesn't much like the Libyan intervention, and worries about mission creep. But they are supposed to follow legal orders. Part of this slow response probably has been President Obama's fault, because he was very cautious to act and then when he did, he emphasized U.S. minimalism. That sort of nuance runs contrary to U.S. national security culture, and so may have thrown some sand in the gears. Still, fellas, he is the president, so let's be careful about shirking. If your conscience can't take it, you know where the door is.
Meanwhile, here's an interesting take on Libya from retired Marine Col. Gary Anderson, who I think has appeared in all three of my non-fiction books.
And here is Sebastian Junger's meditation on the loss of his friend and Restrepo collaborator Tim Hetherington in Libya. Worth reading
Wikimedia Commons
Friday, April 22, 2011 - 10:56 AM
By Matthew Collins
Best Defense office
of military compensation analysis
Time magazine recently had an interesting article on defense spending. While it makes some good points about the need for a 12-carrier fleet when most countries survive with... none, he reached a bit too far at one point:
"Here's
a number that would make Wall Street weep: some 60 members of the crew of the
carrier U.S.S. Abraham Lincoln recently pocketed $3.4 million in bonuses
--$57,000 each, tax-free -- simply to re-enlist."
While a $57,000 tax-free check is no pittance, it is important to put that figure in perspective. These sailors got those bonuses for reenlisting, typically for 3 to 4 year stints, so they essentially signed up for a $15,000 pay raise. They were likely from the Navy Nuclear Power field, arguably the most technical enlisted specialty in the military. Ambitious dilettantes might learn to fly a plane or pick up a language as a hobby, but few people dabble in nuclear engineering.
The bonus was tax-free because they signed the papers while they were deployed to the Middle East. It is pretty common for enlisted personnel to time their reenlistments for deployments to avoid paying taxes on those bonuses, and officers encourage it. With 5,000 people on the carrier, those 60 people with big dollar bonuses are hardly a representative sample.
The Navy uses those bonuses to coax their nukes into re-enlisting. Their other option is going back to school or taking higher paying/lower stress civilian jobs, where they don't spend healthy chunk of their lives out at sea or in port, preparing for the next inspection. Some nukes actually enjoy fresh air and sunlight. The bonus system might be clunky, but Congress insists on paying everyone from Air Force admin clerks to Special Forces team sergeants on the same pay scale.
It bears mentioning that in the last fifty years, no navy reactor has ever had a catastrophic failure or melt down. Perhaps Lehman Brothers should have hired more former nukes.
Matthew Collins is a graduate of the US Naval Academy and spent 10 years as a Marine officer. He never received a bonus, of any sort.
Jacob D. Moore/U.S. Navy
Thursday, April 21, 2011 - 7:19 PM

Tim Hetherington, whom many Best Defense readers know from his film Restrepo, was killed yesterday in Libya along with Chris Hondros of Getty.
This compelling note from C.J. Chivers hits pretty close to home. I know too many stories like this, particularly one about a war reporter who was shown her the body bag holding her dead husband, also a war reporter. Her first reaction was, that couldn't be him, he isn't that short. He had been in a car that hit a land mine and his legs had been blown off.
PHIL MOORE/AFP/Getty Images
Monday, April 18, 2011 - 11:16 AM

Like the Atlantic article said, the best officers may indeed be leaving the military services, report two graduate students at Harvard's Kennedy School of Government. In their survey of "nearly 250 former junior military officers," 80 percent of respondents said the best officers were bailing out.
Even more interesting is why they are leaving.
The report, based on found that the two top reasons for leaving were "limited ability to control their own careers" and "frustration with military bureaucracy." High operating tempo and compensation were not real drivers. (Tom: I've long thought that optempo kicks in as a problem more with officers likely to have more than one child, and especially multiple adolescents -- that is, majors and above.)
The former officers overwhelmingly believed that the Army did not reward talent with faster promotions, and did not do a good job of matching talent to jobs. As the authors of this paper noted, an exodus of talented young officers is not just a problem in itself, but also "a symptom of larger underlying institutional challenges."
Navy Visual News Service
Monday, April 18, 2011 - 11:05 AM

From C.J. Chivers' terrific blog from Libya: "A quick note: we have a terrible satellite connection here, and that and the ongoing battle beside the building we are working in has made swift updates difficult."
If the Pulitzer board doesn't give this guy something eventually, shame on them.
(I'd give Abu Mook a HT on this but I wrote it before I saw his item on same.)
ODD ANDERSEN/AFP/Getty Images
Monday, March 28, 2011 - 11:20 AM

I was on Meet the Press yesterday, following Hillary Clinton and Robert Gates. I was struck at how frequently they emphasized the short-term, limited nature of the U.S. action in Libya, and how they used the past tense to discuss it:
Gates: "I think that the no fly zone aspect of the mission has been accomplished."
Clinton: "I think we've prevented a great humanitarian disaster."
Gates: "we see our commitment of resources actually beginning to -- to decline."
Gates: "in terms of the military commitment, the president has put some very strict limitations in terms of what we are prepared to do."
Gates: "I don't think it's [Libya] a vital interest for the United States. But we clearly have interests there. And it's a part of the region, which is a vital interest for the United States."
I also was struck at how much more assertive Clinton seemed than Gates. A friend of mine calls this "State's War."
SAUL LOEB/AFP/Getty Images
Wednesday, March 23, 2011 - 10:54 AM

I disagree with much of what follows here, but this blog is not about finding out who agrees with me, it is about thinking through the challenges facing us. I hope. I am publishing it because I think it is a well-argued defense of the status quo. Anyone advocating change in personnel policies needs to consider views like these.
In particular, I object to their dismissal of radical
change. "Turning over the keys
to a bunch of really smart captains," they caution, "is a recipe for
strategic and policy disaster." Well, yes and no. It sure would be in some
cases. But in others, and often in tactical situations, it might be just what
we need. One example was the realization that a whole new generation of
submarine skippers needed to be put in place -- along with some torpedoes that
actually worked.
By COL James Miller,
US Army
CAPT Anthony Calandra,
US Navy
Lt Col Gabriel Vann
Green, US Air Force
LtCol R. G. Bracknell,
US Marine Corps
Tim Kane's exposition on military officer retention, "Why Our Best Officers Are Leaving," hits close to the mark on the issue of whether the military is hemorrhaging talent at unacceptable levels resulting in a less capably led force. While Kane may be on to something, his incomplete methodology netted inconclusive findings as to the existence of a problem and available remedies. A close look at officer retention is certainly warranted, but his economic model for manpower management fails to account for vitally important constraints of military human resource management which make a pure market construct inapposite. Kane's article is useful as a signal that something may be rotten in the state of Denmark, but its utility ends there. Accepting his assumptions, premises, methodology and conclusions could lead to a dangerously wrong assessment of what is wrong with our military manpower system. Without better evidence than that provided by Kane, one should not conflate the very personal aspects of the decision to separate from military service with the notion that best and brightest are leaving because "the system" has kept them down.
Regardless of how a narrow sample of West Point alumni captains, majors and lieutenant colonels feel about officer retention, the system ultimately produces what it is supposed to, even with certain inefficiencies: an adequate supply of highly qualified, well-trained, adequately educated, loyal leaders and managers with technical expertise and a developed sense of duty. It also produces senior (flag-level) leaders who are ably managing the world's largest set of bureaucracies to achieve the nation's strategic objectives. We won in Iraq - both in the "hot" war of 2003 (a decisive victory that achieved the President's strategic objective of regime change) and in the long slog of counterinsurgency from late 2003 until the present (a fragile victory, the permanence of which will be tested by time). Iraq's stability and state maturity is still a work in progress, but the bottom line is the U.S. achieved most of its strategic objectives there, notwithstanding the deferred timeline for success. Similarly, recent strategic reviews show progress in Afghanistan, though the mission is still at risk, mostly due to circumstances beyond the control of the US military. Perceived strategic failures and shortcomings in the Afghanistan and Iraq campaigns are not necessarily the product of some fatal shortcoming in military manpower and retention policies which produces deficient generals and strategic leaders -- more compelling evidence of causation would be required to make this link.
The author relies on a survey of West Point graduates from a handful of years ranging back a little more than two decades, as though opinions of a small sample of officers, gleaned from a single, unique commissioning source is reflective of attitudes throughout the force. If the author were interested in achieving a representative picture of attitudes, he would have relied on a more thorough cross-section of officers, including Army ROTC and OCS graduates from throughout the nation, not merely the cloistered set from West Point, whose viewpoints may be colored by their unique experiences. Moreover, one wonders why the author did not look at any other service; maybe the Army has a junior officer problem, but the other three services are doing just fine -- or maybe not. We would never know based on Kane's artificially narrow survey.
Navy Visual News Service